PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Pistoia vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 17 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 73-74
23-17 15-30 14-17 21-10
Position#10
Record6-5
FormLWWWW
Points / game80.4
Allowed / game81.0
vs
Pesaro 🏆
Italy
Position#16
Record4-7
FormWLWLL
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game87.5
ItalyLega ARound 12· PalaCarrara
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Pistoia v Pesaro
11 Apr 2027
PIS v PES
upcoming
29 Mar 2026
PIS89
PES91
17 Dec 2023
PIS73
PES74
22 Dec 2019
PIS91
PES79
20 Jan 2019
PIS77
PES81
09 Dec 2017
PIS86
PES83
23 Apr 2017
PIS87
PES83
25 Jan 2016
PIS77
PES75
29 Dec 2014
PIS84
PES53
24 Nov 2013
PIS115
PES110
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pistoia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pesaro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistoia
Date
Competition
Trento
#6
L
73-78
73
78
-5
58avg 72
H08/10
Lega A
Scafati
#14
L
77-85
77
85
-8
64avg 72
A15/10
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
72-84
72
84
-12
65avg 72
H22/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
W
78-72
78
72
+6
68avg 72
A29/10
Lega A
Venezia
#4
W
85-77
85
77
+8
79avg 72
H05/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
L
82-95
82
95
-13
75avg 72
A12/11
Lega A
Sassari
#8
W
68-63
68
63
+5
64avg 72
H19/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
86-81
86
81
+5
71avg 72
A26/11
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
W
81-76
81
76
+5
77avg 72
H02/12
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
100-97
100
97
+3
94avg 72
A09/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-25
28-12
20-25
11-16
16-21
14-22
23-22
24-20
12-19
19-19
17-28
24-18
18-18
19-18
23-20
18-16
25-17
18-19
22-24
20-17
30-29
18-19
10-21
24-26
24-17
18-17
10-15
16-14
19-28
20-25
29-10
18-18
19-21
20-19
14-18
28-18
28-25
27-23
21-23
24-26
161.0Avg total
80.2Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)80.481.0161.4-0.655%
Season at home (5)75.875.6151.4+0.260%
Season away (6)84.285.5169.7-1.350%
Last 10 (10)80.280.8161.0-0.660%
Last 5 (5)83.482.4165.8+1.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)85.884.8170.5+1.075%
vs Similar ◀ (22)72.574.9147.4-2.450%
vs Weaker (4)88.280.0168.2+8.275%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Venezia
#4
L
64-76
64
76
-12
49avg 72
H08/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
W
81-68
81
68
+13
74avg 72
A14/10
Lega A
Scafati
#14
L
103-107 OT
103
107
-4
no box
H22/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
90-82
90
82
+8
89avg 72
A29/10
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
L
77-97
77
97
-20
73avg 72
H04/11
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
96-92
96
92
+4
91avg 72
H12/11
Lega A
Cremona
#11
L
69-96
69
96
-27
60avg 72
A19/11
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
95-76
95
76
+19
100avg 72
H26/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
L
68-101
68
101
-33
63avg 72
A02/12
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
74-87
74
87
-13
65avg 72
H10/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
9-18
17-19
19-16
24-15
18-15
18-18
21-20
14-34
16-13
31-20
25-19
27-17
15-28
23-19
25-18
25-19
12-28
18-24
22-26
20-29
28-16
16-27
32-20
17-26
16-27
23-20
13-23
26-21
22-18
28-13
19-24
18-29
20-22
14-19
16-31
12-19
22-17
13-25
27-26
169.9Avg total
81.7Scored
88.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)81.587.5169.0-6.136%
Season at home (6)84.889.2174.0-4.333%
Season away (5)77.485.6163.0-8.240%
Last 10 (10)81.788.2169.9-6.540%
Last 5 (5)80.490.4170.8-10.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)76.689.8166.4-13.226%
vs Similar ◀ (10)85.085.9170.9-0.940%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pistoia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -0.4-0.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -0.4-0.4
PistoiaPesaro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#6
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H08/10
Lega A
Scafati
#14
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A15/10
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H22/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A29/10
Lega A
Venezia
#4
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H05/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A12/11
Lega A
Sassari
#8
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H19/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A26/11
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H02/12
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
55-48
55
48
+7
A09/12
Lega A
81.9Avg total
40.6Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.040.078.9-1.043%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.835.172.9+2.657%-
Last 30 away (16)40.044.284.2-4.231%-
Last 10 (10)40.641.381.9-0.750%-
Last 5 (5)44.644.689.2+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)42.043.885.8-1.850%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)38.238.877.0-0.645%-
vs Weaker (4)40.242.582.8-2.225%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#4
L
28-41
28
41
-13
H08/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A14/10
Lega A
Scafati
#14
L
30-47
30
47
-17
H22/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A29/10
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H04/11
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H12/11
Lega A
Cremona
#11
L
33-53
33
53
-20
A19/11
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H26/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A02/12
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H10/12
Lega A
81.4Avg total
38.0Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.443.782.1-5.330%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.140.778.8-2.644%-
Last 30 away (14)38.647.185.8-8.514%-
Last 10 (10)38.043.481.4-5.430%-
Last 5 (5)40.244.885.0-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)37.046.283.2-9.211%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)40.439.880.2+0.660%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pistoia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.318.0
49.6%
53.1%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.110.2
37.6%
35.7%30.6
🏀 Free throws17.912.6
70.4%
76.3%12.6
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.218.3
49.2%
53.1%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.89.4
37.9%
35.7%28.2
🏀 Free throws17.113.5
78.9%
76.3%13.5
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pistoia
WWWWLWWLLL
Pesaro
LLWLWLWLWL
#10
League position
#16
-1.1
Net rating
-8.6
107.1
Offensive rating
106.4
108.2
Defensive rating
114.9
52.5%
Effective FG%
52.3%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
14.7%
Turnover %
17.6%
22.8%
Off. rebound %
24.7%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.28
37.6%
3-point %
37.9%
51.8%
Assist %
64.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence107.1 · 106.4Defence108.2 · 114.9Shooting52.5% · 52.3%3-point %37.6% · 37.9%Ball care14.7% · 17.6%Off. rebounds22.8% · 24.7%Free throws0.28 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Pistoia   ■ Pesaro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Pistoia wins
3
Pesaro wins
DateGameScore
22/12/19Pistoia v Pesaro91-79
20/01/19Pistoia v Pesaro77-81
07/10/18Pesaro v Pistoia83-77
08/04/18Pesaro v Pistoia80-72 OT
09/12/17Pistoia v Pesaro86-83
23/04/17Pistoia v Pesaro87-83
27/12/16Pesaro v Pistoia57-59
25/01/16Pistoia v Pesaro77-75
11/10/15Pesaro v Pistoia73-74
26/04/15Pesaro v Pistoia82-86
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/23ATortona100-97
02/12/23HBasket Napoli81-76
26/11/23AOlimpia Milano86-81
19/11/23HSassari68-63
12/11/23AReggiana82-95
05/11/23HVenezia85-77
29/10/23ABrindisi78-72
22/10/23HBrescia72-84
15/10/23AScafati77-85
08/10/23HTrento73-78
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/23HTrento74-87
02/12/23AReggiana68-101
26/11/23HTreviso95-76
19/11/23ACremona69-96
12/11/23HTortona96-92
04/11/23HBasket Napoli77-97
29/10/23AOlimpia Milano90-82
22/10/23HScafati103-107 OT
14/10/23ABrindisi81-68
08/10/23HVenezia64-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pistoia
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW55%
HomeLLWWW60%
AwayLWLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %55%60%50%
Points / game80.475.884.2
Allowed / game81.075.685.5
Point differential-0.6+0.2-1.3
Avg total161.4151.4169.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)67% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pesaro
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL36%
HomeLLWWL33%
AwayLWWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %36%33%40%
Points / game81.584.877.4
Allowed / game87.589.285.6
Point differential-6.1-4.3-8.2
Avg total169.0174.0163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%17%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %9%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brescia1210283%88.874.7+14.1
2 Venezia129375%81.777.9+3.8
3 Virtus Bologna128467%87.878.4+9.4
4 Trento128467%85.281.2+4.0
5 Basket Napoli127558%85.481.4+4.0
6 Olimpia Milano127558%80.376.8+3.6
7 Reggiana127558%84.682.1+2.5
8 Pistoia116555%80.481.0-0.6
9 Cremona126650%85.181.5+3.6
10 Scafati125742%86.087.8-1.8
11 Tortona125742%78.083.1-5.1
12 Pesaro114736%81.587.5-6.1
13 Sassari114736%76.386.1-9.8
14 Treviso123925%79.283.9-4.7
15 Varese123925%82.490.3-7.9
16 Brindisi112918%70.081.3-11.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pistoia2315142173
Pesaro1730171074
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.