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Serbia vs Estonia Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 27 Aug 2025
Tip-off: 18:15
Final 98-64
32-12 24-17 30-15 12-20
Position#6
Record-
FormWWWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Serbia 🏆
vs
Estonia
Position#18
Record-
FormWWLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeEuroBasketRound 1· Xiaomi Arena
Other2025
Meetings · Serbia v Estonia
27 Aug 2025
SERB98
ESTO64
16 Sep 2018
SERB91
ESTO65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Serbia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Estonia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SerbiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSerbia
Date
Competition
Canada
#4
W
95-86
95
86
+9
no box
H08/09
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
77-83
77
83
-6
no box
A10/09
World Cup
Finland
#34
W
77-61
77
61
+16
no box
H23/02
EuroBasket
Georgia
#21
W
76-63
76
63
+13
no box
A26/02
EuroBasket
Denmark
#27
W
72-52
72
52
+20
72avg 94
A21/11
EuroBasket
Denmark
#27
W
98-51
98
51
+47
104avg 94
H24/11
EuroBasket
Finland
#34
W
105-95
105
95
+10
107avg 94
A21/02
EuroBasket
Georgia
#21
W
63-54
63
54
+9
49avg 94
H24/02
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#4
W
113-84
113
84
+29
116avg 94
H15/08
DBB Supercup
Germany
#3
W
91-81
91
81
+10
90avg 94
A16/08
DBB Supercup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-15
29-24
23-24
20-23
26-23
21-24
10-22
20-14
17-20
19-14
22-17
19-10
21-12
17-19
22-21
16-11
29-6
14-13
19-16
10-17
25-17
25-11
20-11
28-12
24-26
27-31
28-14
26-24
13-17
14-14
17-10
19-13
29-21
32-27
31-20
21-16
18-15
20-17
32-23
21-26
157.7Avg total
86.7Scored
71.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)86.771.0157.7+15.790%
Last 5 (5)94.073.0167.0+21.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)95.086.0181.0+9.0100%
vs Similar (4)97.878.2176.0+19.575%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)88.773.8162.6+14.988%
This opponent (Estonia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEstonia
Date
Competition
Sweden
#33
L
82-87
82
87
-5
no box
H11/11
World Cup
Finland
#22
L
71-91
71
91
-20
no box
A14/11
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
W
79-78
79
78
+1
no box
H24/02
World Cup
Sweden
#33
W
72-71
72
71
+1
no box
A27/02
World Cup
North Macedonia
#15
W
74-69
74
69
+5
no box
A23/02
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
W
65-59
65
59
+6
no box
H26/02
EuroBasket
Poland
#24
W
82-78
82
78
+4
79avg 75
A21/11
EuroBasket
Poland
#24
L
86-88
86
88
-2
81avg 75
H24/11
EuroBasket
North Macedonia
#15
W
84-65
84
65
+19
90avg 75
H21/02
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
L
75-82
75
82
-7
67avg 75
A24/02
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-27
24-12
24-20
21-28
16-21
25-18
15-27
15-25
24-16
13-24
18-19
24-19
17-16
11-14
15-14
29-27
19-20
17-23
21-10
17-16
17-18
24-19
9-13
15-9
19-18
19-22
19-13
25-25
25-22
17-18
21-22
23-26
22-17
16-22
20-11
26-15
19-28
24-32
21-7
11-15
153.8Avg total
77.0Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)77.076.8153.8+0.260%
Last 5 (5)78.474.4152.8+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)73.580.2153.7-6.732%
vs Similar (3)80.770.3151.0+10.3100%
vs Weaker (2)84.083.0167.0+1.050%
This opponent (Serbia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.3+5.3Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +4.6+4.6Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: +0.1+0.1
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.3+5.3Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +4.6+4.6Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: +0.1+0.1
SerbiaEstonia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SerbiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Canada
#4
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H08/09
World Cup
Germany
#2
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A10/09
World Cup
Finland
#34
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H23/02
EuroBasket
Georgia
#21
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A26/02
EuroBasket
Denmark
#27
W
43-19
43
19
+24
A21/11
EuroBasket
Denmark
#27
W
50-28
50
28
+22
H24/11
EuroBasket
Finland
#34
L
51-57
51
57
-6
A21/02
EuroBasket
Georgia
#21
L
27-31
27
31
-4
H24/02
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#4
W
61-48
61
48
+13
H15/08
DBB Supercup
Germany
#3
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A16/08
DBB Supercup
80.9Avg total
44.3Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.936.283.1+10.787%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.436.984.3+10.593%-
Last 30 away (15)46.435.581.9+10.980%-
Last 10 (10)44.336.680.9+7.770%-
Last 5 (5)45.439.284.6+6.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)52.039.091.0+13.0100%-
vs Similar (4)52.039.891.8+12.275%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)45.935.681.4+10.388%-
This opponent (Estonia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sweden
#33
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H11/11
World Cup
Finland
#22
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A14/11
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H24/02
World Cup
Sweden
#33
L
28-30
28
30
-2
A27/02
World Cup
North Macedonia
#15
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A23/02
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H26/02
EuroBasket
Poland
#24
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A21/11
EuroBasket
Poland
#24
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H24/11
EuroBasket
North Macedonia
#15
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H21/02
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
L
43-60
43
60
-17
A24/02
EuroBasket
78.8Avg total
38.1Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.540.178.6-1.640%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.639.277.8-0.647%-
Last 30 away (15)38.441.079.4-2.633%-
Last 10 (10)38.140.778.8-2.630%-
Last 5 (5)40.443.283.6-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)38.140.078.1-1.840%-
vs Similar (3)40.741.382.0-0.733%-
vs Weaker (2)40.040.080.0+0.050%-
This opponent (Serbia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Serbiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Serbia: 87.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.022.0
59.5%
52.4%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.78.9
39.0%
33.4%26.6
🏀 Free throws23.717.3
72.9%
73.1%17.3
They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Estoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estonia: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.7 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.219.8
54.8%
52.4%39.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.78.2
31.8%
33.4%24.5
🏀 Free throws19.512.8
65.8%
73.1%12.8
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 7/6 games with a box score before 27 Aug 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Serbia
WWWWWWWWLW
Estonia
LWLWWWWWLL
#6
League position
#18
+28.8
Net rating
+6.2
122.3
Offensive rating
106.2
93.5
Defensive rating
99.9
59.1%
Effective FG%
51.9%
46.4%
Opp. effective FG%
46.3%
15.1%
Turnover %
19.7%
33.2%
Off. rebound %
33.8%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.32
39.0%
3-point %
31.8%
63.9%
Assist %
71.4%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence122.3 · 106.2Defence93.5 · 99.9Shooting59.1% · 51.9%3-point %39.0% · 31.8%Ball care15.1% · 19.7%Off. rebounds33.2% · 33.8%Free throws0.40 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)90% · 60%
■ Serbia   ■ Estonia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Serbia wins
1
Estonia wins
DateGameScore
21/02/19Estonia v Serbia71-70
16/09/18Serbia v Estonia91-65
Serbialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/08/25AGermany91-81
15/08/25HCzech Republic113-84
24/02/25HGeorgia63-54
21/02/25AFinland105-95
24/11/24HDenmark98-51
21/11/24ADenmark72-52
26/02/24AGeorgia76-63
23/02/24HFinland77-61
10/09/23AGermany77-83
08/09/23HCanada95-86
Estonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/25ALithuania75-82
21/02/25HNorth Macedonia84-65
24/11/24HPoland86-88
21/11/24APoland82-78
26/02/24HLithuania65-59
23/02/24ANorth Macedonia74-69
27/02/23ASweden72-71
24/02/23HSlovenia79-78
14/11/22AFinland71-91
11/11/22HSweden82-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Serbia
EuroBasket 2025
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Estonia
EuroBasket 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Germany110100%106.076.0+30.0
2 Lithuania110100%94.070.0+24.0
3 Turkey110100%93.073.0+20.0
4 Portugal110100%62.050.0+12.0
5 Finland110100%93.090.0+3.0
6 Sweden1010%90.093.0-3.0
7 Czech Republic1010%50.062.0-12.0
8 Latvia1010%73.093.0-20.0
9 Great Britain1010%70.094.0-24.0
10 Montenegro1010%76.0106.0-30.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Serbia3224301298
Estonia1217152064
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