PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Shimane vs Nagasaki Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 09 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 10:05
Final 72-63
18-12 17-21 17-7 20-23
Position#8
Record31-18
FormLWWLW
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game74.4
Shimane 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#16
Record22-27
FormLLWLL
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game78.0
JapanB League· Matsue General Gymnasium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Shimane v Nagasaki
07 Apr 2027
SHIM v NAGA
upcoming
24 Dec 2025
SHIM101
NAGA93
09 Apr 2025
SHIM72
NAGA63
07 Feb 2024
SHIM92
NAGA99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shimane winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nagasaki winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ShimaneJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShimane
Date
Competition
Kyoto
#10
W
97-74
97
74
+23
92avg 73
A05/03
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
87-84 OT
87
84
+3
76avg 73
A12/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
L
70-71
70
71
-1
68avg 73
H19/03
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
L
65-69
65
69
-4
62avg 73
A22/03
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
W
85-61
85
61
+24
87avg 73
A23/03
B League
Saga
#18
L
73-87
73
87
-14
68avg 73
A26/03
B League
Osaka
#13
W
78-73
78
73
+5
72avg 73
H29/03
B League
Osaka
#13
W
95-73
95
73
+22
98avg 73
H30/03
B League
Yokohama
#17
L
74-75
74
75
-1
65avg 73
A05/04
B League
Yokohama
#17
W
85-79
85
79
+6
83avg 73
A06/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-21
21-17
22-16
23-20
18-13
27-20
11-26
18-15
18-15
26-19
16-17
10-20
18-16
19-21
14-21
14-11
22-11
17-20
24-11
22-19
22-19
16-16
28-25
7-27
20-16
17-17
28-15
13-25
27-14
25-16
24-19
19-24
15-21
23-18
18-21
18-15
16-13
31-21
18-17
20-28
155.5Avg total
80.9Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (49)80.174.4154.5+5.663%
Season at home (24)81.272.1153.3+9.271%
Season away (25)79.076.7155.7+2.256%
Last 10 (10)80.974.6155.5+6.360%
Last 5 (5)81.077.4158.4+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)87.084.0171.0+3.0100%
vs Similar (12)77.774.9152.6+2.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)78.974.8153.8+4.159%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNagasaki
Date
Competition
Saga
#18
W
92-86
92
86
+6
93avg 69
A05/03
B League
Osaka
#13
W
83-70
83
70
+13
79avg 69
A12/03
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#20
W
88-70
88
70
+18
83avg 69
H19/03
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
68-88
68
88
-20
55avg 69
A22/03
B League
Kyoto
#10
W
84-63
84
63
+21
84avg 69
A23/03
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
L
77-78
77
78
-1
69avg 69
H26/03
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
70-83
70
83
-13
62avg 69
H29/03
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
W
77-65
77
65
+12
74avg 69
H30/03
B League
NeoPhoenix
#2
L
65-95
65
95
-30
47avg 69
A05/04
B League
NeoPhoenix
#2
L
76-79
76
79
-3
66avg 69
A06/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-25
22-21
15-19
20-21
15-22
22-12
27-17
19-19
22-17
31-25
22-10
13-18
23-25
16-15
17-28
12-20
21-10
21-13
24-15
18-25
26-23
18-20
19-23
14-12
17-27
16-23
11-20
26-13
11-21
22-14
19-13
25-17
17-23
18-24
10-19
20-29
19-19
22-10
15-27
20-23
155.7Avg total
78.0Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (49)76.078.0153.9-2.045%
Season at home (26)74.376.8151.1-2.638%
Season away (23)77.979.2157.1-1.352%
Last 10 (10)78.077.7155.7+0.350%
Last 5 (5)73.080.0153.0-7.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)76.879.6156.5-2.845%
vs Similar (10)77.781.4159.1-3.740%
vs Weaker (9)84.378.4162.8+5.967%
This opponent (Shimane) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -4.0-4.0Q4: -1.0-1.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -4.0-4.0Q4: -1.0-1.0
ShimaneNagasaki
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ShimaneLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kyoto
#10
W
52-38
52
38
+14
A05/03
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A12/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H19/03
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A22/03
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A23/03
B League
Saga
#18
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A26/03
B League
Osaka
#13
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H29/03
B League
Osaka
#13
W
52-30
52
30
+22
H30/03
B League
Yokohama
#17
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A05/04
B League
Yokohama
#17
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A06/04
B League
77.3Avg total
42.9Scored
34.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.635.775.4+3.967%-
Last 30 at home (12)41.837.479.2+4.467%-
Last 30 away (18)38.234.672.8+3.667%-
Last 10 (10)42.934.477.3+8.580%-
Last 5 (5)42.434.276.6+8.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)45.033.078.0+12.0100%-
vs Similar (12)38.636.274.8+2.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)40.135.575.6+4.565%-
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Saga
#18
W
57-46
57
46
+11
A05/03
B League
Osaka
#13
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A12/03
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#20
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H19/03
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A22/03
B League
Kyoto
#10
W
42-23
42
23
+19
A23/03
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H26/03
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
33-50
33
50
-17
H29/03
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H30/03
B League
NeoPhoenix
#2
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A05/04
B League
NeoPhoenix
#2
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A06/04
B League
80.3Avg total
41.4Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.739.980.6+0.857%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.540.780.3-1.260%-
Last 30 away (15)41.939.181.0+2.953%-
Last 10 (10)41.438.980.3+2.560%-
Last 5 (5)37.240.878.0-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)37.339.276.5-1.936%-
vs Similar (10)43.640.183.7+3.570%-
vs Weaker (9)41.840.682.3+1.267%-
This opponent (Shimane) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Shimanetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shimane: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.320.7
51.4%
51.2%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.28.2
32.5%
33.4%24.6
🏀 Free throws18.913.5
71.4%
72.7%13.5
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 76.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.117.6
51.6%
51.2%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.710.3
35.9%
33.4%30.9
🏀 Free throws13.510.7
79.3%
72.7%10.7
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Shimane
WLWWLWLLWW
Nagasaki
LLWLLWLWWW
#8
League position
#16
+7.4
Net rating
-0.1
110.9
Offensive rating
102.4
103.5
Defensive rating
102.5
50.4%
Effective FG%
52.6%
48.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
14.9%
Turnover %
19.8%
34.1%
Off. rebound %
24.9%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.21
32.5%
3-point %
35.9%
70.9%
Assist %
60.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence110.9 · 102.4Defence103.5 · 102.5Shooting50.4% · 52.6%3-point %32.5% · 35.9%Ball care14.9% · 19.8%Off. rebounds34.1% · 24.9%Free throws0.29 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Shimane   ■ Nagasaki
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Shimane wins
5
Nagasaki wins
DateGameScore
02/02/25Nagasaki v Shimane96-74
01/02/25Nagasaki v Shimane69-78
18/12/24Nagasaki v Shimane77-73
31/03/24Nagasaki v Shimane81-85 OT
30/03/24Nagasaki v Shimane74-67
07/02/24Shimane v Nagasaki92-99
25/10/23Nagasaki v Shimane77-73
Shimanelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/25AYokohama85-79
05/04/25AYokohama74-75
30/03/25HOsaka95-73
29/03/25HOsaka78-73
26/03/25ASaga73-87
23/03/25ASun Rockers Shibuya85-61
22/03/25ASun Rockers Shibuya65-69
19/03/25HDiamond Dolphins70-71
12/03/25ARyukyu87-84 OT
05/03/25AKyoto97-74
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/25ANeoPhoenix76-79
05/04/25ANeoPhoenix65-95
30/03/25HUtsunomiya Brex77-65
29/03/25HUtsunomiya Brex70-83
26/03/25HHiroshima D.77-78
23/03/25AKyoto84-63
22/03/25AKyoto68-88
19/03/25HKoshigaya Alphas88-70
12/03/25AOsaka83-70
05/03/25ASaga92-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shimane
B League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW63%
HomeWWLWW71%
AwayLWLLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games492425
Win %63%71%56%
Points / game80.181.279.0
Allowed / game74.472.176.7
Point differential+5.6+9.2+2.2
Avg total154.5153.3155.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%42%28%
Close games (≤5 pts) won53% (15)71% (7)38% (8)
Overtime %10%8%12%
Nagasaki
B League 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL45%
HomeWWLLW38%
AwayWLWLL52%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games492623
Win %45%38%52%
Points / game76.074.377.9
Allowed / game78.076.879.2
Point differential-2.0-2.6-1.3
Avg total153.9151.1157.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%19%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (15)31% (13)50% (2)
Overtime %4%4%4%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NeoPhoenix4841785%92.779.7+13.0
2 Utsunomiya Brex4940982%85.475.8+9.6
3 Ryukyu49361373%84.476.8+7.7
4 Alvark49361373%76.871.3+5.5
5 Gunma49331667%77.972.2+5.7
6 SeaHorses Mikawa49321765%81.575.2+6.3
7 Chiba49321765%82.277.6+4.6
8 Shimane49311863%80.174.4+5.6
9 Sun Rockers Shibuya49272255%74.571.2+3.3
10 Diamond Dolphins49262353%81.781.3+0.5
11 Kyoto49252451%82.080.6+1.4
12 Osaka49252451%82.983.1-0.2
13 Akita49232647%73.774.7-1.0
14 Nagoya Fighting Eagles49232647%78.079.8-1.8
15 Hiroshima D.49232647%79.682.7-3.0
16 Nagasaki49222745%76.078.0-2.0
17 Yokohama49222745%76.679.5-2.9
18 Hokkaido49183137%75.179.4-4.3
19 Saga49173235%75.578.8-3.3
20 Koshigaya Alphas49163333%76.380.5-4.2
21 Brave Thunders49143529%78.687.1-8.5
22 Ibaraki Robots4994018%72.580.8-8.3
23 Sendai4994018%72.783.4-10.7
24 Shiga4874115%77.190.1-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Shimane1817172072
Nagasaki122172363
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.