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South Korea vs Japan Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 11 Jul 2025
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 91-77
20-15 22-30 25-20 24-12
Position-
Record-
FormWWLWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
South Korea 🏆
vs
Japan
Position-
Record-
FormWWWLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeFriendly International
Other2025
Meetings · South Korea v Japan
06 Jul 2026
SOUT81
JAPA79
11 Jul 2025
SOUT91
JAPA77
06 Oct 2023
SOUT74
JAPA55
01 Oct 2014
SOUT71
JAPA63
25 Nov 2010
SOUT55
JAPA51
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

South Korea winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Japan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

South KoreaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKorea
Date
Competition
Bahrain
#9
W
88-73
88
73
+15
no box
H02/10
Asian Games
China
#2
L
70-84
70
84
-14
no box
A03/10
Asian Games
Iran
#4
L
82-89
82
89
-7
no box
A04/10
Asian Games
Japan
#8
W
74-55
74
55
+19
no box
H06/10
Asian Games
Australia
#1
L
71-85
71
85
-14
no box
A22/02
Asia Cup
Thailand
#12
W
96-62
96
62
+34
no box
H25/02
Asia Cup
Indonesia
#29
W
86-78
86
78
+8
89avg 81
H21/11
Asia Cup
Australia
#1
L
75-98
75
98
-23
64avg 81
H24/11
Asia Cup
Thailand
#12
W
91-90
91
90
+1
86avg 81
A20/02
Asia Cup
Indonesia
#29
W
90-63
90
63
+27
85avg 81
A23/02
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-20
31-16
20-15
13-22
12-20
17-30
15-16
26-18
20-21
28-19
15-26
19-23
19-18
22-7
18-18
15-12
15-14
25-22
17-17
14-32
28-15
27-16
17-11
24-20
19-15
21-25
18-23
28-15
19-19
13-35
26-17
17-27
24-23
31-20
17-19
19-28
24-17
25-7
24-23
17-16
160.0Avg total
82.3Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)82.377.7160.0+4.660%
Last 5 (5)87.678.2165.8+9.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)71.691.3162.9-19.70%
vs Similar (5)81.280.6161.8+0.640%
vs Weaker (15)90.971.0161.9+19.993%
JapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJapan
Date
Competition
South Korea
#5
W
83-77
83
77
+6
no box
H30/09
Asian Games
Chinese Taipei
#6
L
66-85
66
85
-19
no box
H03/10
Asian Games
Saudi Arabia
#7
L
74-79
74
79
-5
no box
A04/10
Asian Games
South Korea
#5
L
55-74
55
74
-19
no box
A06/10
Asian Games
Guam
#14
W
77-56
77
56
+21
no box
H22/02
Asia Cup
China
#2
W
76-73
76
73
+3
no box
H25/02
Asia Cup
Mongolia
#15
W
93-75
93
75
+18
98avg 75
H21/11
Asia Cup
Guam
#14
W
83-78
83
78
+5
82avg 75
A24/11
Asia Cup
China
#2
L
58-100
58
100
-42
41avg 75
A20/02
Asia Cup
Mongolia
#15
W
89-79
89
79
+10
93avg 75
A23/02
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-17
20-20
18-16
22-24
12-28
13-15
18-23
23-19
23-19
13-27
19-19
19-14
18-19
7-22
18-18
12-15
17-12
18-24
20-8
22-12
19-20
19-18
17-13
21-22
22-22
25-14
20-15
26-24
20-15
28-16
20-22
15-25
12-19
21-31
12-19
13-31
23-22
23-22
21-18
22-17
153.0Avg total
75.4Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)75.477.6153.0-2.260%
Last 5 (5)79.881.0160.8-1.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)68.087.4155.4-19.429%
vs Similar (6)80.886.0166.8-5.233%
vs Weaker (17)87.966.4154.3+21.694%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -0.8-0.8
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -0.8-0.8
South KoreaJapan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
South KoreaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bahrain
#9
W
55-36
55
36
+19
H02/10
Asian Games
China
#2
L
29-50
29
50
-21
A03/10
Asian Games
Iran
#4
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A04/10
Asian Games
Japan
#8
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H06/10
Asian Games
Australia
#1
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A22/02
Asia Cup
Thailand
#12
W
55-31
55
31
+24
H25/02
Asia Cup
Indonesia
#29
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H21/11
Asia Cup
Australia
#1
L
32-54
32
54
-22
H24/11
Asia Cup
Thailand
#12
W
55-43
55
43
+12
A20/02
Asia Cup
Indonesia
#29
W
49-24
49
24
+25
A23/02
Asia Cup
82.3Avg total
44.4Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.838.381.2+4.553%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.938.981.8+4.153%-
Last 30 away (15)42.737.880.5+4.953%-
Last 10 (10)44.437.982.3+6.570%-
Last 5 (5)46.238.484.6+7.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)34.945.280.1-10.320%-
vs Similar (5)43.437.881.2+5.660%-
vs Weaker (15)47.933.981.9+14.073%-
JapanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Korea
#5
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H30/09
Asian Games
Chinese Taipei
#6
L
25-43
25
43
-18
H03/10
Asian Games
Saudi Arabia
#7
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A04/10
Asian Games
South Korea
#5
L
25-41
25
41
-16
A06/10
Asian Games
Guam
#14
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H22/02
Asia Cup
China
#2
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H25/02
Asia Cup
Mongolia
#15
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H21/11
Asia Cup
Guam
#14
W
48-31
48
31
+17
A24/11
Asia Cup
China
#2
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A20/02
Asia Cup
Mongolia
#15
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A23/02
Asia Cup
77.8Avg total
37.6Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.239.379.5+0.947%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.637.277.8+3.450%-
Last 30 away (14)39.641.781.4-2.143%-
Last 10 (10)37.640.277.8-2.640%-
Last 5 (5)42.439.882.2+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)31.746.177.9-14.414%-
vs Similar (6)33.545.579.0-12.00%-
vs Weaker (17)46.034.380.3+11.776%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
South Koreatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

South Korea: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.7 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.2 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 56.0 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.223.8
52.8%
55.4%47.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.58.7
32.7%
34.4%26.0
🏀 Free throws15.210.2
67.0%
74.1%10.2
They take 71.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Japantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Japan: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀33%
🏀🏀🏀48%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers26.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.5 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 56.0 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers25.813.0
50.3%
55.4%26.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.712.5
32.3%
34.4%37.5
🏀 Free throws19.014.8
78.1%
74.1%14.8
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 60% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/6 games with a box score before 11 Jul 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
South Korea
WWLWWLWLLW
Japan
WLWWWWLLLW
+6.8
Net rating
+2.9
103.0
Offensive rating
103.6
96.2
Defensive rating
100.7
51.4%
Effective FG%
49.2%
48.9%
Opp. effective FG%
46.4%
17.4%
Turnover %
16.1%
27.5%
Off. rebound %
25.6%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.29
32.7%
3-point %
32.3%
75.9%
Assist %
79.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence103.0 · 103.6Defence96.2 · 100.7Shooting51.4% · 49.2%3-point %32.7% · 32.3%Ball care17.4% · 16.1%Off. rebounds27.5% · 25.6%Free throws0.21 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ South Korea   ■ Japan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
South Korea wins
1
Japan wins
DateGameScore
06/10/23South Korea v Japan74-55
30/09/23Japan v South Korea83-77
14/08/17Japan v South Korea68-81
01/10/14South Korea v Japan71-63
25/11/10South Korea v Japan55-51
South Korealast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/02/25AIndonesia90-63
20/02/25AThailand91-90
24/11/24HAustralia75-98
21/11/24HIndonesia86-78
25/02/24HThailand96-62
22/02/24AAustralia71-85
06/10/23HJapan74-55
04/10/23AIran82-89
03/10/23AChina70-84
02/10/23HBahrain88-73
Japanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/02/25AMongolia89-79
20/02/25AChina58-100
24/11/24AGuam83-78
21/11/24HMongolia93-75
25/02/24HChina76-73
22/02/24HGuam77-56
06/10/23ASouth Korea55-74
04/10/23ASaudi Arabia74-79
03/10/23HChinese Taipei66-85
30/09/23HSouth Korea83-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

South Korea
Friendly International 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Japan
Friendly International 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
South Korea2022252491
Japan1530201277
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