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Southern Illinois vs Valparaiso Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 17 Jan 2021
Tip-off: 21:00
Postponed
Position#211
Record7-3
FormWWLLL
Points / game72.7
Allowed / game69.3
vs
Position#279
Record3-8
FormWLLLL
Points / game69.6
Allowed / game70.5
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Meetings · Southern Illinois v Valparaiso
24 Jan 2027
SOUT v VALP
upcoming
01 Jan 2026
SOUT75
VALP70
22 Feb 2025
SOUT79
VALP83
24 Jan 2024
SOUT75
VALP69
30 Jan 2022
SOUT77
VALP55
21 Feb 2021
SOUT65
VALP66
17 Jan 2021
SOUT v VALP
upcoming
07 Jan 2020
SOUT63
VALP50
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Southern Illinois win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Valparaiso win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Southern IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southeast Missouri State
#247
W
87-79 OT
87
79
+8
A03/12
NCAA
Quincy Hawks
#464
W
102-61
102
61
+41
H06/12
NCAA
Murray State
#180
W
70-66
70
66
+4
H12/12
NCAA
North Dakota
#286
W
85-64
85
64
+21
H17/12
NCAA
North Dakota
#286
W
62-50
62
50
+12
H18/12
NCAA
Butler
#259
W
76-73
76
73
+3
A22/12
NCAA
Evansville
#277
W
63-57
63
57
+6
H27/12
NCAA
Evansville
#277
L
72-84
72
84
-12
H28/12
NCAA
Drake
#11
L
55-73
55
73
-18
A03/01
NCAA
Drake
#11
L
55-86
55
86
-31
A05/01
NCAA
1H
2H
29-31
42-40
56-34
46-27
40-32
30-34
37-20
48-44
29-25
33-25
37-24
39-49
28-19
35-38
39-35
33-49
30-39
25-34
21-41
34-45
142.0Avg total
72.7Scored
69.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)72.769.3142.0+3.470%
Season at home (6)75.763.7139.3+12.083%
Season away (4)68.277.8146.0-9.550%
Last 10 (10)72.769.3142.0+3.470%
Last 5 (5)64.274.6138.8-10.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)59.068.2127.2-9.230%
vs Similar ◀ (12)66.267.8134.1-1.658%
vs Weaker (8)71.555.4126.9+16.1100%
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValparaisoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois (Chi.)
#217
L
50-66
50
66
-16
A02/12
NCAA
Purdue
#97
L
61-68
61
68
-7
A05/12
NCAA
Judson
#478
W
85-45
85
45
+40
H06/12
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#287
W
80-58
80
58
+22
H10/12
NCAA
Central Michigan
#296
L
79-84
79
84
-5
A12/12
NCAA
Purdue Northwest
#383
W
89-71
89
71
+18
H17/12
NCAA
Toledo
#40
L
57-71
57
71
-14
A19/12
NCAA
Missouri State
#50
L
68-81
68
81
-13
H09/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#50
L
68-78
68
78
-10
H10/01
NCAA
DePaul
#314
L
58-77
58
77
-19
A16/01
NCAA
1H
2H
19-28
31-38
34-23
27-45
39-23
46-22
33-22
47-36
30-44
49-40
45-32
44-39
25-26
32-45
37-41
31-40
29-38
39-40
26-41
32-36
139.4Avg total
69.5Scored
69.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)69.670.5140.2-0.927%
Season at home (5)78.066.6144.6+11.460%
Season away (6)62.773.8136.5-11.20%
Last 10 (10)69.569.9139.4-0.430%
Last 5 (5)68.075.6143.6-7.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)65.674.0139.6-8.412%
vs Similar ◀ (15)69.771.5141.1-1.840%
vs Weaker (7)74.960.9135.7+14.0100%
This opponent (Southern Illinois) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.6+4.61st half: -0.1-0.12nd half2nd half: -2.0-2.02nd half: -0.3-0.3
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.6+4.61st half: -0.1-0.12nd half2nd half: -2.0-2.02nd half: -0.3-0.3
Southern IllinoisValparaiso
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Southern IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southeast Missouri State
#247
L
29-31
29
31
-2
A03/12
NCAA
Quincy Hawks
#464
W
56-34
56
34
+22
H06/12
NCAA
Murray State
#180
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H12/12
NCAA
North Dakota
#286
W
37-20
37
20
+17
H17/12
NCAA
North Dakota
#286
W
29-25
29
25
+4
H18/12
NCAA
Butler
#259
W
37-24
37
24
+13
A22/12
NCAA
Evansville
#277
W
28-19
28
19
+9
H27/12
NCAA
Evansville
#277
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H28/12
NCAA
Drake
#11
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A03/01
NCAA
Drake
#11
L
21-41
21
41
-20
A05/01
NCAA
64.6Avg total
34.6Scored
30.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.630.061.6+1.663%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.830.064.8+4.881%-
Last 30 away (14)27.929.957.9-2.043%-
Last 10 (10)34.630.064.6+4.670%-
Last 5 (5)31.031.662.6-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)29.132.161.2-3.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)32.831.564.2+1.258%-
vs Weaker (8)33.025.058.0+8.088%-
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois (Chi.)
#217
L
19-28
19
28
-9
A02/12
NCAA
Purdue
#97
W
34-23
34
23
+11
A05/12
NCAA
Judson
#478
W
39-23
39
23
+16
H06/12
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#287
W
33-22
33
22
+11
H10/12
NCAA
Central Michigan
#296
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A12/12
NCAA
Purdue Northwest
#383
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H17/12
NCAA
Toledo
#40
L
25-26
25
26
-1
A19/12
NCAA
Missouri State
#50
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H09/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#50
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H10/01
NCAA
DePaul
#314
L
26-41
26
41
-15
A16/01
NCAA
63.5Avg total
31.7Scored
31.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.933.464.3-2.537%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.930.964.7+3.057%-
Last 30 away (16)28.235.663.9-7.419%-
Last 10 (10)31.731.863.5-0.140%-
Last 5 (5)32.435.668.0-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)30.434.164.5-3.825%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)29.335.564.8-6.320%-
vs Weaker (7)34.928.062.9+6.986%-
This opponent (Southern Illinois) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Southern Illinois wins
1
Valparaiso wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/21ADrake55-86
03/01/21ADrake55-73
28/12/20HEvansville72-84
27/12/20HEvansville63-57
22/12/20AButler76-73
18/12/20HNorth Dakota62-50
17/12/20HNorth Dakota85-64
12/12/20HMurray State70-66
06/12/20HQuincy Hawks102-61
03/12/20ASoutheast Missouri State87-79 OT
Valparaisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/21ADePaul58-77
10/01/21HMissouri State68-78
09/01/21HMissouri State68-81
19/12/20AToledo57-71
17/12/20HPurdue Northwest89-71
12/12/20ACentral Michigan79-84
10/12/20HSiu Edwardsville80-58
06/12/20HJudson85-45
05/12/20APurdue61-68
02/12/20AIllinois (Chi.)50-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Southern Illinois
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL70%
HomeWWWWL83%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %70%83%50%
Points / game72.775.768.2
Allowed / game69.363.777.8
Point differential+3.4+12.0-9.5
Avg total142.0139.3146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %10%0%25%
Valparaiso
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL27%
HomeWWWLL60%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %27%60%0%
Points / game69.678.062.7
Allowed / game70.566.673.8
Point differential-0.9+11.4-11.2
Avg total140.2144.6136.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake13130100%83.959.9+24.0
2 Belmont1615194%81.169.1+12.0
3 Southern Illinois107370%72.769.3+3.4
4 Bradley128467%74.262.1+12.1
5 Illinois (Chi.)117464%70.770.2+0.5
6 Evansville136746%65.468.2-2.8
7 Murray State115645%80.168.0+12.1
8 Indiana State125742%67.770.8-3.1
9 Illinois State114736%77.278.9-1.7
10 Valparaiso113827%69.670.5-0.9
11 Northern Iowa123925%72.173.3-1.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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