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Southern Illinois vs Valparaiso Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 25 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 75-69
29-34 46-35
Position#131
Record12-7
FormWWLLL
Points / game72.9
Allowed / game64.6
vs
Position#355
Record6-13
FormLLWLW
Points / game67.9
Allowed / game71.7
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Southern Illinois v Valparaiso
24 Jan 2027
SOUT v VALP
upcoming
01 Jan 2026
SOUT75
VALP70
22 Feb 2025
SOUT79
VALP83
24 Jan 2024
SOUT75
VALP69
30 Jan 2022
SOUT77
VALP55
21 Feb 2021
SOUT65
VALP66
17 Jan 2021
SOUT v VALP
upcoming
07 Jan 2020
SOUT63
VALP50
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Southern Illinois winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valparaiso winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Southern IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wichita State
#255
L
68-69
68
69
-1
A17/12
NCAA
North Dakota St
#235
W
76-63
76
63
+13
H20/12
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#346
W
81-50
81
50
+31
H23/12
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
W
62-50
62
50
+12
H31/12
NCAA
Belmont
#128
W
73-63
73
63
+10
H03/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
W
71-64
71
64
+7
A07/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
W
77-68
77
68
+9
A11/01
NCAA
Drake
#15
L
58-76
58
76
-18
H14/01
NCAA
Bradley
#71
L
69-70
69
70
-1
H18/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
L
57-61
57
61
-4
A21/01
NCAA
1H
2H
27-34
41-35
42-31
34-32
39-14
42-36
32-30
30-20
34-31
39-32
31-29
40-35
44-24
33-44
25-36
33-40
45-24
24-46
30-29
27-32
132.6Avg total
69.2Scored
63.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)72.964.6137.5+8.463%
Season at home (13)75.764.2139.8+11.569%
Season away (6)67.065.5132.5+1.550%
Last 10 (10)69.263.4132.6+5.860%
Last 5 (5)66.467.8134.2-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)56.170.6126.7-14.40%
vs Similar (7)67.161.6128.7+5.657%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)75.962.1138.0+13.988%
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValparaisoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia Tech
#161
L
50-71
50
71
-21
A09/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#286
L
62-63
62
63
-1
H16/12
NCAA
Samford
#12
L
61-79
61
79
-18
H19/12
NCAA
Elon
#282
L
78-82
78
82
-4
A29/12
NCAA
Bradley
#71
L
61-86
61
86
-25
H04/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
L
64-70
64
70
-6
A07/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
L
68-77
68
77
-9
H11/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
W
59-50
59
50
+9
A14/01
NCAA
Evansville
#225
L
75-78
75
78
-3
A18/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
W
84-77
84
77
+7
H20/01
NCAA
1H
2H
23-37
27-34
32-33
30-30
27-35
34-44
29-42
49-40
29-44
32-42
36-42
28-28
24-44
44-33
28-20
31-30
38-40
37-38
34-39
50-38
139.5Avg total
66.2Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)67.971.7139.6-3.832%
Season at home (11)69.570.5140.1-1.045%
Season away (8)65.673.2138.9-7.612%
Last 10 (10)66.273.3139.5-7.120%
Last 5 (5)70.070.4140.4-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)66.973.9140.8-7.022%
vs Similar (4)70.076.2146.2-6.225%
vs Weaker (3)79.065.3144.3+13.767%
This opponent (Southern Illinois) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +6.7+6.71st half: -7.6-7.62nd half2nd half: -0.9-0.92nd half: +0.5+0.5
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +6.7+6.71st half: -7.6-7.62nd half2nd half: -0.9-0.92nd half: +0.5+0.5
Southern IllinoisValparaiso
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Southern IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wichita State
#255
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A17/12
NCAA
North Dakota St
#235
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H20/12
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#346
W
39-14
39
14
+25
H23/12
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H31/12
NCAA
Belmont
#128
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H03/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A07/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
W
44-24
44
24
+20
A11/01
NCAA
Drake
#15
L
25-36
25
36
-11
H14/01
NCAA
Bradley
#71
W
45-24
45
24
+21
H18/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A21/01
NCAA
63.1Avg total
34.9Scored
28.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.329.162.4+4.263%-
Last 30 at home (18)35.828.063.8+7.872%-
Last 30 away (12)29.630.860.3-1.250%-
Last 10 (10)34.928.263.1+6.780%-
Last 5 (5)35.028.463.4+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)25.435.761.1-10.30%-
vs Similar (7)36.029.765.7+6.386%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)35.625.961.6+9.781%-
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia Tech
#161
L
23-37
23
37
-14
A09/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#286
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H16/12
NCAA
Samford
#12
L
27-35
27
35
-8
H19/12
NCAA
Elon
#282
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A29/12
NCAA
Bradley
#71
L
29-44
29
44
-15
H04/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A07/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
L
24-44
24
44
-20
H11/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
W
28-20
28
20
+8
A14/01
NCAA
Evansville
#225
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A18/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H20/01
NCAA
67.6Avg total
30.0Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.635.167.8-2.533%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.132.865.8+0.344%-
Last 30 away (14)32.137.970.0-5.721%-
Last 10 (10)30.037.667.6-7.610%-
Last 5 (5)32.037.069.0-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)31.036.267.2-5.126%-
vs Similar (4)33.837.571.2-3.825%-
vs Weaker (3)43.324.067.3+19.3100%-
This opponent (Southern Illinois) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Southern Illinois wins
2
Valparaiso wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/24ANorthern Iowa57-61
18/01/24HBradley69-70
14/01/24HDrake58-76
11/01/24AValparaiso77-68
07/01/24AIllinois State71-64
03/01/24HBelmont73-63
31/12/23HIllinois (Chi.)62-50
23/12/23HSouthern Indiana81-50
20/12/23HNorth Dakota St76-63
17/12/23AWichita State68-69
Valparaisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/24HIllinois (Chi.)84-77
18/01/24AEvansville75-78
14/01/24AIllinois State59-50
11/01/24HSouthern Illinois68-77
07/01/24AIllinois (Chi.)64-70
04/01/24HBradley61-86
29/12/23AElon78-82
19/12/23HSamford61-79
16/12/23HChicago State62-63
09/12/23AVirginia Tech50-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Southern Illinois
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL63%
HomeWWWLL69%
AwayLLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19136
Win %63%69%50%
Points / game72.975.767.0
Allowed / game64.664.265.5
Point differential+8.4+11.5+1.5
Avg total137.5139.8132.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%62%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)33% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valparaiso
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW32%
HomeLLLLW45%
AwayLLLWL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19118
Win %32%45%12%
Points / game67.969.565.6
Allowed / game71.770.573.2
Point differential-3.8-1.0-7.6
Avg total139.6140.1138.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%18%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)50% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Indiana State1916384%85.771.5+14.3
2 Drake1916384%79.766.7+13.0
3 Bradley2015575%75.266.3+8.9
4 Southern Illinois1912763%72.964.6+8.4
5 Northern Iowa2012860%74.670.5+4.2
6 Evansville2011955%74.274.6-0.5
7 Belmont2011955%77.378.8-1.5
8 Illinois State20101050%67.068.5-1.6
9 Illinois (Chi.)1981142%69.466.7+2.7
10 Murray State2081240%71.669.8+1.9
11 Valparaiso1961332%67.971.7-3.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Southern Illinois294675
Valparaiso343569
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