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Southern Illinois vs Valparaiso Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 24 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 21:00
Scheduled
Position#154
Record2-1
FormWLWLW
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game70.0
Southern Illinois
USA
vs
Valparaiso
USA
Position#162
Record2-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game73.0
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Southern Illinois v Valparaiso
24 Jan 2027
SOUT v VALP
upcoming
01 Jan 2026
SOUT75
VALP70
22 Feb 2025
SOUT79
VALP83
24 Jan 2024
SOUT75
VALP69
30 Jan 2022
SOUT77
VALP55
21 Feb 2021
SOUT65
VALP66
17 Jan 2021
SOUT v VALP
upcoming
07 Jan 2020
SOUT63
VALP50
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Southern Illinois win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Valparaiso win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Southern IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Evansville
#362
W
86-60
86
60
+26
H13/02
NCAA
Bradley
#91
L
60-70
60
70
-10
H15/02
NCAA
Drake
#271
W
66-61
66
61
+5
A19/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
W
59-57
59
57
+2
A21/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
W
66-55
66
55
+11
H26/02
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
81-67
81
67
+14
A01/03
NCAA
Drake
#271
L
63-67
63
67
-4
H05/03
NCAA
Maryville
#457
W
82-40
82
40
+42
H03/11
NCAA
UMKC
#264
L
93-100
93
100
-7
A07/11
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#91
W
80-70
80
70
+10
H13/11
NCAA
1H
2H
43-32
43-28
28-28
32-42
31-36
35-25
33-30
26-27
36-23
30-32
38-27
43-40
31-27
32-40
34-11
48-29
42-55
51-45
43-32
37-38
138.3Avg total
73.6Scored
64.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)85.070.0155.0+15.067%
Season at home (2)81.055.0136.0+26.0100%
Season away (1)93.0100.0193.0-7.00%
Last 10 (10)73.664.7138.3+8.970%
Last 5 (5)79.868.8148.6+11.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)71.066.8137.8+4.283%
vs Similar (16)69.872.0141.8-2.225%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)76.969.4146.3+7.471%
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValparaisoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana State
#311
W
76-75
76
75
+1
H15/02
NCAA
Bradley
#91
W
79-72
79
72
+7
H19/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
W
71-67
71
67
+4
A21/02
NCAA
Drake
#271
W
74-71
74
71
+3
H26/02
NCAA
Evansville
#362
L
79-80
79
80
-1
A28/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
W
63-62
63
62
+1
H06/03
NCAA
Bradley
#91
L
84-90 OT
84
90
-6
A07/03
NCAA
Western Illinois
#304
W
80-58
80
58
+22
H03/11
NCAA
Purdue
#126
W
83-80 OT
83
80
+3
A06/11
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#62
L
69-81
69
81
-12
A12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
49-43
27-32
35-35
44-37
31-29
40-38
36-37
38-34
42-34
37-46
28-37
35-25
31-31
33-33
38-19
42-39
20-32
38-26
32-49
37-32
149.4Avg total
75.8Scored
73.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)77.373.0150.3+4.367%
Season at home (1)80.058.0138.0+22.0100%
Season away (2)76.080.5156.5-4.550%
Last 10 (10)75.873.6149.4+2.270%
Last 5 (5)75.874.2150.0+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)68.570.5138.9-2.045%
vs Similar (15)74.574.9149.4-0.553%
vs Weaker (4)82.864.0146.8+18.875%
This opponent (Southern Illinois) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +5.8+5.81st half: -0.4-0.42nd half2nd half: +3.1+3.12nd half: +2.9+2.9
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +5.8+5.81st half: -0.4-0.42nd half2nd half: +3.1+3.12nd half: +2.9+2.9
Southern IllinoisValparaiso
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Southern IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Evansville
#362
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H13/02
NCAA
Bradley
#91
D
28-28
28
28
+0
H15/02
NCAA
Drake
#271
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A19/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A21/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
W
36-23
36
23
+13
H26/02
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
38-27
38
27
+11
A01/03
NCAA
Drake
#271
W
31-27
31
27
+4
H05/03
NCAA
Maryville
#457
W
34-11
34
11
+23
H03/11
NCAA
UMKC
#264
L
42-55
42
55
-13
A07/11
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#91
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H13/11
NCAA
66.0Avg total
35.9Scored
30.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.631.764.3+0.953%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.928.161.9+5.869%-
Last 30 away (14)31.235.967.1-4.636%-
Last 10 (10)35.930.166.0+5.870%-
Last 5 (5)37.630.468.0+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)31.230.261.3+1.067%-
vs Similar (16)31.532.263.7-0.744%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)36.334.971.1+1.457%-
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana State
#311
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H15/02
NCAA
Bradley
#91
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H19/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A21/02
NCAA
Drake
#271
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H26/02
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A28/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H06/03
NCAA
Bradley
#91
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A07/03
NCAA
Western Illinois
#304
W
38-19
38
19
+19
H03/11
NCAA
Purdue
#126
L
20-32
20
32
-12
A06/11
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#62
L
32-49
32
49
-17
A12/11
NCAA
68.8Avg total
34.2Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.832.666.4+1.243%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.529.766.3+6.867%-
Last 30 away (15)31.135.566.6-4.320%-
Last 10 (10)34.234.668.8-0.440%-
Last 5 (5)29.833.663.4-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)31.332.163.4-0.836%-
vs Similar (15)34.134.568.6-0.533%-
vs Weaker (4)40.026.866.8+13.2100%-
This opponent (Southern Illinois) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Southern Illinois wins
2
Valparaiso wins
DateGameScore
22/01/26Valparaiso v Southern Illinois69-63
01/01/26Southern Illinois v Valparaiso75-70
23/02/25Southern Illinois v Valparaiso79-83
29/01/25Valparaiso v Southern Illinois75-79
25/01/24Southern Illinois v Valparaiso75-69
11/01/24Valparaiso v Southern Illinois68-77
15/02/23Valparaiso v Southern Illinois62-66
30/01/22Southern Illinois v Valparaiso77-55
09/01/22Valparaiso v Southern Illinois60-63
23/02/21Valparaiso v Southern Illinois64-67
Southern Illinoislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HRichmond Spiders80-70
07/11/26AUMKC93-100
03/11/26HMaryville82-40
05/03/26HDrake63-67
01/03/26AEvansville81-67
26/02/26HIndiana State66-55
21/02/26ANorthern Iowa59-57
19/02/26ADrake66-61
15/02/26HBradley60-70
13/02/26HEvansville86-60
Valparaisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26ASouth Dakota St.69-81
06/11/26APurdue83-80 OT
03/11/26HWestern Illinois80-58
07/03/26ABradley84-90 OT
06/03/26HIndiana State63-62
28/02/26AEvansville79-80
26/02/26HDrake74-71
21/02/26AIllinois (Chi.)71-67
19/02/26HBradley79-72
15/02/26HIndiana State76-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Southern Illinois
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game85.081.093.0
Allowed / game70.055.0100.0
Point differential+15.0+26.0-7.0
Avg total155.0136.0193.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valparaiso
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game77.380.076.0
Allowed / game73.058.080.5
Point differential+4.3+22.0-4.5
Avg total150.3138.0156.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %33%0%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Murray State440100%95.067.5+27.5
2 Drake330100%85.762.7+23.0
3 Illinois (Chi.)43175%79.564.8+14.8
4 Belmont43175%73.562.2+11.2
5 Southern Illinois32167%85.070.0+15.0
6 Valparaiso32167%77.373.0+4.3
7 Indiana State42250%80.265.8+14.5
8 Evansville42250%76.076.2-0.2
9 Bradley52340%59.856.4+3.4
10 Northern Iowa52340%85.286.0-0.8
11 Illinois State41325%81.275.8+5.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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