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Southern Illinois vs Valparaiso Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 01 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 75-70
36-25 39-45
Position#203
Record6-8
FormWLLLL
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game74.3
vs
Position#170
Record6-7
FormWLLLL
Points / game71.4
Allowed / game70.2
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Southern Illinois v Valparaiso
24 Jan 2027
SOUT v VALP
upcoming
01 Jan 2026
SOUT75
VALP70
22 Feb 2025
SOUT79
VALP83
24 Jan 2024
SOUT75
VALP69
30 Jan 2022
SOUT77
VALP55
21 Feb 2021
SOUT65
VALP66
17 Jan 2021
SOUT v VALP
upcoming
07 Jan 2020
SOUT63
VALP50
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Southern Illinois winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valparaiso winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Southern IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Delaware
#326
W
79-59
79
59
+20
A23/11
NCAA
UAB
#99
L
73-81
73
81
-8
H24/11
NCAA
Memphis
#277
L
58-74
58
74
-16
A27/11
NCAA
UALR
#295
W
74-65
74
65
+9
H30/11
NCAA
High Point
#10
W
86-84
86
84
+2
A04/12
NCAA
UT Martin
#72
W
83-54
83
54
+29
H11/12
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#231
L
84-93 OT
84
93
-9
A13/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
L
68-75
68
75
-7
H19/12
NCAA
Bradley
#91
L
69-73
69
73
-4
A21/12
NCAA
Murray State
#102
L
81-84
81
84
-3
A30/12
NCAA
1H
2H
33-24
46-35
35-36
38-45
29-42
29-32
29-33
45-32
34-46
52-38
34-27
49-27
36-32
38-42
35-30
33-45
34-39
35-34
34-47
47-37
149.7Avg total
75.5Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)78.974.3153.2+4.643%
Season at home (6)80.365.8146.2+14.567%
Season away (8)77.980.6158.5-2.825%
Last 10 (10)75.574.2149.7+1.340%
Last 5 (5)77.075.8152.8+1.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)72.874.0146.8-1.242%
vs Similar ◀ (13)77.076.5153.5+0.538%
vs Weaker (4)78.069.0147.0+9.075%
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValparaisoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bryant University
#344
W
68-50
68
50
+18
H16/11
NCAA
Cleveland State
#303
W
90-75
90
75
+15
A20/11
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#357
L
56-64
56
64
-8
H26/11
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
84-55
84
55
+29
H29/11
NCAA
Marquette
#290
L
72-75 OT
72
75
-3
A03/12
NCAA
Calumet College
#553
W
98-58
98
58
+40
H06/12
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#17
L
70-73
70
73
-3
H13/12
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
L
70-86
70
86
-16
A17/12
NCAA
Murray State
#102
L
79-85
79
85
-6
H21/12
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
L
48-58
48
58
-10
A30/12
NCAA
1H
2H
22-30
46-20
39-27
51-48
30-36
26-28
37-17
47-38
27-23
38-42
53-30
45-28
40-31
30-42
30-39
40-47
39-36
40-49
22-22
26-36
141.4Avg total
73.5Scored
67.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)71.470.2141.5+1.246%
Season at home (8)73.663.9137.5+9.862%
Season away (5)67.880.2148.0-12.420%
Last 10 (10)73.567.9141.4+5.640%
Last 5 (5)73.072.0145.0+1.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)63.175.4138.6-12.314%
vs Similar ◀ (16)72.174.9147.1-2.838%
vs Weaker (7)76.165.6141.7+10.657%
This opponent (Southern Illinois) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -2.3-2.31st half: +4.8+4.82nd half2nd half: +4.5+4.52nd half: +1.1+1.1
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -2.3-2.31st half: +4.8+4.82nd half2nd half: +4.5+4.52nd half: +1.1+1.1
Southern IllinoisValparaiso
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Southern IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Delaware
#326
W
33-24
33
24
+9
A23/11
NCAA
UAB
#99
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H24/11
NCAA
Memphis
#277
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A27/11
NCAA
UALR
#295
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H30/11
NCAA
High Point
#10
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A04/12
NCAA
UT Martin
#72
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H11/12
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#231
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A13/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H19/12
NCAA
Bradley
#91
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A21/12
NCAA
Murray State
#102
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A30/12
NCAA
68.9Avg total
33.3Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.833.568.3+1.350%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.329.565.8+6.871%-
Last 30 away (16)33.537.070.5-3.531%-
Last 10 (10)33.335.668.9-2.340%-
Last 5 (5)34.635.069.6-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)33.834.067.8-0.233%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)35.334.269.5+1.262%-
vs Weaker (4)34.833.268.0+1.550%-
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bryant University
#344
L
22-30
22
30
-8
H16/11
NCAA
Cleveland State
#303
W
39-27
39
27
+12
A20/11
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#357
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H26/11
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
37-17
37
17
+20
H29/11
NCAA
Marquette
#290
W
27-23
27
23
+4
A03/12
NCAA
Calumet College
#553
W
53-30
53
30
+23
H06/12
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#17
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H13/12
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A17/12
NCAA
Murray State
#102
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H21/12
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
D
22-22
22
22
+0
A30/12
NCAA
63.0Avg total
33.9Scored
29.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.533.466.8+0.150%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.931.064.9+2.960%-
Last 30 away (15)33.035.768.7-2.740%-
Last 10 (10)33.929.163.0+4.860%-
Last 5 (5)36.831.668.4+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)32.135.067.1-2.957%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)33.033.266.2-0.244%-
vs Weaker (7)35.932.067.9+3.957%-
This opponent (Southern Illinois) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Southern Illinois wins
3
Valparaiso wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/25AMurray State81-84
21/12/25ABradley69-73
19/12/25HIllinois State68-75
13/12/25ARichmond Spiders84-93 OT
11/12/25HUT Martin83-54
04/12/25AHigh Point86-84
30/11/25HUALR74-65
27/11/25AMemphis58-74
24/11/25HUAB73-81
23/11/25ADelaware79-59
Valparaisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/25ANorthern Iowa48-58
21/12/25HMurray State79-85
17/12/25ANorthwestern70-86
13/12/25HNC Wilmington70-73
06/12/25HCalumet College98-58
03/12/25AMarquette72-75 OT
29/11/25HWestern Michigan84-55
26/11/25HSouthern Indiana56-64
20/11/25ACleveland State90-75
16/11/25HBryant University68-50

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Southern Illinois
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL43%
HomeWLWWL67%
AwayLWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %43%67%25%
Points / game78.980.377.9
Allowed / game74.365.880.6
Point differential+4.6+14.5-2.8
Avg total153.2146.2158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)-25% (4)
Overtime %14%0%25%
Valparaiso
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL46%
HomeLWWLL62%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1385
Win %46%62%20%
Points / game71.473.667.8
Allowed / game70.263.980.2
Point differential+1.2+9.8-12.4
Avg total141.5137.5148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%38%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %8%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Belmont1512380%82.771.1+11.6
2 Illinois State1411379%80.466.5+13.9
3 Murray State1411379%88.978.3+10.6
4 Northern Iowa1310377%70.257.3+12.8
5 Bradley1410471%78.369.4+8.9
6 Indiana State148657%76.773.7+3.0
7 Drake147750%77.469.4+8.0
8 Valparaiso136746%71.470.2+1.2
9 Southern Illinois146843%78.974.3+4.6
10 Illinois (Chi.)135838%77.873.7+4.1
11 Evansville1441029%69.373.1-3.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Southern Illinois363975
Valparaiso254570
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