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Mega Basket vs Split Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 09 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 84-82
32-14 18-23 17-25 17-20
Position#9
Record9-10
FormLLLLW
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game81.5
vs
Position#14
Record6-13
FormLWLWW
Points / game75.9
Allowed / game83.3
EuropeABA LeagueRound 20· Hala sportova Ranko
Domestic2024
Meetings · Mega Basket v Split
20 Apr 2026
MEG95
SPL72
09 Feb 2025
MEG84
SPL82
31 Mar 2024
MEG92
SPL78
26 Mar 2023
MEG90
SPL85
12 Dec 2021
MEG78
SPL65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mega Basket winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Split winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mega BasketLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Zadar
#10
W
68-65
68
65
+3
60avg 78
A02/12
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
98-74
98
74
+24
100avg 78
H09/12
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#8
L
86-110
86
110
-24
77avg 78
A14/12
ABA League
Cibona
#16
W
88-58
88
58
+30
82avg 78
H20/12
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#12
W
82-77
82
77
+5
78avg 78
A28/12
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
90-100 OT
90
100
-10
94avg 78
H06/01
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
L
87-94
87
94
-7
72avg 78
H12/01
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#11
L
87-89
87
89
-2
85avg 78
A19/01
ABA League
Dubai
#4
L
66-95
66
95
-29
60avg 78
H27/01
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#17
W
113-83
113
83
+30
118avg 78
A01/02
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
19-25
11-12
17-9
26-25
26-13
24-19
22-17
17-28
23-31
28-30
18-21
18-15
22-11
25-18
23-14
17-20
24-24
23-19
18-14
27-20
21-21
15-19
19-22
16-28
24-21
20-26
27-19
26-20
27-26
17-18
17-25
12-29
22-22
15-27
17-17
26-16
33-19
29-20
25-28
171.0Avg total
86.5Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)82.481.5163.9+0.947%
Season at home (9)81.879.3161.1+2.444%
Season away (10)83.083.4166.4-0.450%
Last 10 (10)86.584.5171.0+2.050%
Last 5 (5)88.692.2180.8-3.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)77.489.3166.8-11.925%
vs Similar (6)84.082.3166.3+1.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)89.377.7167.0+11.775%
This opponent (Split) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SplitLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSplit
Date
Competition
Igokea
#7
L
87-92
87
92
-5
75avg 78
A11/01
ABA League
Zadar
#1
L
54-59
54
59
-5
41avg 78
A16/01
Premijer liga
Buducnost
#3
L
48-83
48
83
-35
33avg 78
H18/01
ABA League
Alkar
#7
W
86-60
86
60
+26
90avg 78
H21/01
Premijer liga
Zabok
#8
W
87-69
87
69
+18
88avg 78
A25/01
Premijer liga
Crvena zvezda
#5
L
66-96
66
96
-30
57avg 78
A26/01
ABA League
Dubrovnik
#11
W
82-64
82
64
+18
78avg 78
A29/01
Premijer liga
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
L
69-75
69
75
-6
68avg 78
H01/02
ABA League
Dubrava
#9
W
97-71
97
71
+26
108avg 78
H03/02
Premijer liga
Osijek
#12
W
86-77
86
77
+9
79avg 78
A07/02
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-28
19-21
27-21
27-22
12-21
18-13
18-15
6-10
18-21
12-22
9-22
9-18
15-20
22-19
26-11
23-10
30-13
22-14
18-23
17-19
15-25
17-28
19-20
15-23
18-17
25-10
24-19
15-18
15-23
19-12
15-19
20-21
21-13
28-16
23-21
25-21
18-21
23-7
30-22
15-27
150.8Avg total
76.2Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)75.983.3159.2-7.332%
Season at home (11)76.580.0156.5-3.545%
Season away (8)75.187.8162.9-12.612%
Last 10 (10)76.274.6150.8+1.650%
Last 5 (5)80.076.6156.6+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)69.088.1157.1-19.10%
vs Similar (6)75.076.5151.5-1.550%
vs Weaker (15)86.370.5156.8+15.780%
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -1.7-1.7
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -1.7-1.7
Mega BasketSplit
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mega BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zadar
#10
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A02/12
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
52-38
52
38
+14
H09/12
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#8
L
40-59
40
59
-19
A14/12
ABA League
Cibona
#16
W
40-26
40
26
+14
H20/12
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#12
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A28/12
ABA League
Partizan
#2
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H06/01
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H12/01
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#11
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A19/01
ABA League
Dubai
#4
L
34-51
34
51
-17
H27/01
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#17
W
59-35
59
35
+24
A01/02
ABA League
88.0Avg total
44.7Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.043.685.6-1.643%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.442.484.9+0.050%-
Last 30 away (16)41.644.686.2-2.938%-
Last 10 (10)44.743.388.0+1.450%-
Last 5 (5)46.844.491.2+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)38.845.284.0-6.325%-
vs Similar (6)42.246.588.7-4.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)45.140.585.6+4.667%-
This opponent (Split) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SplitLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Igokea
#7
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A11/01
ABA League
Zadar
#1
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A16/01
Premijer liga
Buducnost
#3
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H18/01
ABA League
Alkar
#7
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H21/01
Premijer liga
Zabok
#8
W
52-27
52
27
+25
A25/01
Premijer liga
Crvena zvezda
#5
L
32-53
32
53
-21
A26/01
ABA League
Dubrovnik
#11
W
43-27
43
27
+16
A29/01
Premijer liga
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H01/02
ABA League
Dubrava
#9
W
49-29
49
29
+20
H03/02
Premijer liga
Osijek
#12
W
41-28
41
28
+13
A07/02
Premijer liga
74.5Avg total
38.1Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.437.877.2+1.640%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.737.877.5+1.940%-
Last 30 away (15)39.037.876.8+1.240%-
Last 10 (10)38.136.474.5+1.740%-
Last 5 (5)39.834.474.2+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)35.645.881.4-10.112%-
vs Similar (6)35.238.373.5-3.217%-
vs Weaker (15)42.734.076.7+8.760%-
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mega Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mega Basket: 85.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.619.7
55.3%
54.0%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.19.5
37.8%
35.7%28.5
🏀 Free throws24.417.6
72.1%
75.6%17.6
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Splittheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Split: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.418.4
52.0%
54.0%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.87.7
29.8%
35.7%23.1
🏀 Free throws19.015.1
79.5%
75.6%15.1
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mega Basket
WLLLLWWLWW
Split
WWLWLWWLLL
#9
League position
#14
+2.3
Net rating
+2.2
110.5
Offensive rating
103.5
108.1
Defensive rating
101.3
55.9%
Effective FG%
48.9%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
17.9%
Turnover %
15.2%
26.7%
Off. rebound %
23.5%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.31
37.8%
3-point %
29.8%
68.5%
Assist %
80.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence110.5 · 103.5Defence108.1 · 101.3Shooting55.9% · 48.9%3-point %37.8% · 29.8%Ball care17.9% · 15.2%Off. rebounds26.7% · 23.5%Free throws0.40 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Mega Basket   ■ Split
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Mega Basket wins
4
Split wins
DateGameScore
19/10/24Split v Mega Basket90-80
31/03/24Mega Basket v Split92-78
18/12/23Split v Mega Basket88-73
26/03/23Mega Basket v Split90-85
11/12/22Split v Mega Basket79-75
31/03/22Split v Mega Basket81-80
12/12/21Mega Basket v Split78-65
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/25AMornar Bar113-83
27/01/25HDubai66-95
19/01/25AFMP Beograd87-89
12/01/25HKK Krka Novo mesto87-94
06/01/25HPartizan90-100 OT
28/12/24AStudentski Centar82-77
20/12/24HCibona88-58
14/12/24ASpartak Subotica86-110
09/12/24HBorac Mozzart98-74
02/12/24AZadar68-65
Splitlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/25AOsijek86-77
03/02/25HDubrava97-71
01/02/25HCedevita Olimpija69-75
29/01/25ADubrovnik82-64
26/01/25ACrvena zvezda66-96
25/01/25AZabok87-69
21/01/25HAlkar86-60
18/01/25HBuducnost48-83
16/01/25AZadar54-59
11/01/25AIgokea87-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mega Basket
ABA League 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW47%
HomeWWLLL44%
AwayWLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %47%44%50%
Points / game82.481.883.0
Allowed / game81.579.383.4
Point differential+0.9+2.4-0.4
Avg total163.9161.1166.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%33%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)50% (2)75% (4)
Overtime %5%11%0%
Split
ABA League 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL32%
HomeLWLLL45%
AwayLLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19118
Win %32%45%12%
Points / game75.976.575.1
Allowed / game83.380.087.8
Point differential-7.3-3.5-12.6
Avg total159.2156.5162.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%18%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)50% (4)0% (3)
Overtime %11%9%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Partizan1917289%93.573.5+20.0
2 Buducnost1917289%90.774.3+16.4
3 Crvena zvezda1916384%89.878.5+11.3
4 Dubai2015575%87.579.1+8.4
5 Cedevita Olimpija2012860%84.280.0+4.2
6 Igokea2012860%83.785.8-2.1
7 Zadar1910953%75.973.8+2.2
8 Spartak Subotica20101050%84.883.1+1.7
9 FMP Beograd20101050%80.085.8-5.8
10 Mega Basket1991047%82.481.5+0.9
11 Borac Mozzart2081240%77.382.8-5.5
12 Studentski Centar1961332%82.785.5-2.8
13 Split1961332%75.983.3-7.3
14 KK Krka Novo mesto1941521%82.688.7-6.1
15 Cibona2031715%75.888.5-12.7
16 Mornar Bar201195%75.596.5-21.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mega Basket3218171784
Split1423252082
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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