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Crvena zvezda vs Split Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 24 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 89-67
21-16 26-18 24-17 18-16
Position#1
Record11-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game89.3
Allowed / game74.5
Crvena zvezda 🏆
vs
Split
Position#8
Record4-8
FormWWWWW
Points / game74.1
Allowed / game78.9
EuropeABA LeagueRound 13· Beogradska arena
Domestic2023
Meetings · Crvena zvezda v Split
26 Jan 2025
CZV96
SPL66
24 Dec 2023
CZV89
SPL67
17 Apr 2023
CZV83
SPL74
24 Sep 2021
CZV97
SPL61
15 Nov 2020
CZV78
SPL76
18 Dec 2012
CZV94
SPL67
25 Oct 2008
CZV83
SPL71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Crvena zvezda winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Split winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Formzvezda
Date
Competition
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
90-67
90
67
+23
92avg 81
A27/11
ABA League
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
97-83
97
83
+14
94avg 81
H01/12
Euroleague
Cibona
#12
W
84-56
84
56
+28
81avg 81
H03/12
ABA League
Valencia
#14
L
81-85
81
85
-4
85avg 81
A06/12
Euroleague
Baskonia
#9
L
85-87
85
87
-2
79avg 81
A08/12
Euroleague
Mega Basket
#4
W
98-88
98
88
+10
94avg 81
A11/12
ABA League
Alba Berlin
#18
W
85-71
85
71
+14
77avg 81
H14/12
Euroleague
Studentski Centar
#9
W
91-77
91
77
+14
87avg 81
A17/12
ABA League
Real Madrid
#1
L
58-72
58
72
-14
49avg 81
H19/12
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
W
98-92
98
92
+6
93avg 81
A21/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-13
15-12
21-17
28-25
22-21
21-28
29-21
25-13
21-16
25-13
15-14
23-13
19-25
21-31
25-16
16-13
18-26
25-26
19-15
23-20
22-27
26-13
20-30
30-18
25-22
26-20
20-11
14-18
21-21
25-20
17-24
28-12
20-20
14-25
11-16
13-11
20-20
31-22
28-23
19-27
164.5Avg total
86.7Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)89.374.5163.8+14.892%
Season at home (4)92.067.0159.0+25.0100%
Season away (8)88.078.2166.2+9.888%
Last 10 (10)86.777.8164.5+8.970%
Last 5 (5)86.080.0166.0+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)76.072.0148.0+4.033%
vs Similar (14)81.684.1165.7-2.629%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)89.572.3161.8+17.2100%
This opponent (Split) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SplitLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSplit
Date
Competition
Zabok
#7
W
87-72
87
72
+15
86avg 77
H24/11
Premijer liga
Mornar Bar
#13
W
93-76
93
76
+17
95avg 77
A26/11
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
78-74
78
74
+4
78avg 77
H01/12
ABA League
Bosco
#13
W
104-54
104
54
+50
101avg 77
H03/12
Premijer liga
Cibona
#12
L
73-81
73
81
-8
66avg 77
A07/12
ABA League
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
98-75
98
75
+23
91avg 77
A10/12
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#4
W
89-65
89
65
+24
87avg 77
A14/12
Premijer liga
Mega Basket
#4
W
88-73
88
73
+15
92avg 77
H18/12
ABA League
Dubrovnik
#8
W
91-77
91
77
+14
101avg 77
H20/12
Premijer liga
Zabok
#13
W
88-64
88
64
+24
85avg 77
A23/12
Croatian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
25-14
17-20
25-18
18-21
23-22
23-14
29-19
29-19
19-17
20-23
10-15
26-21
28-8
26-13
24-12
20-18
21-23
16-23
16-17
28-13
28-21
24-21
18-20
25-12
21-25
21-14
22-14
24-20
21-27
17-10
26-16
27-22
21-21
22-19
21-15
16-15
22-21
26-14
24-14
160.0Avg total
88.9Scored
71.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)74.178.9153.0-4.833%
Season at home (7)75.976.7152.6-0.943%
Season away (5)71.682.0153.6-10.420%
Last 10 (10)88.971.1160.0+17.890%
Last 5 (5)90.870.8161.6+20.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)70.381.3151.7-11.017%
vs Similar (8)74.884.4159.1-9.612%
vs Weaker (15)86.367.9154.2+18.593%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +5.2+5.2Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: +4.9+4.9Q4: +5.5+5.5
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +5.2+5.2Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: +4.9+4.9Q4: +5.5+5.5
Crvena zvezdaSplit
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
41-25
41
25
+16
A27/11
ABA League
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H01/12
Euroleague
Cibona
#12
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H03/12
ABA League
Valencia
#14
L
40-56
40
56
-16
A06/12
Euroleague
Baskonia
#9
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A08/12
Euroleague
Mega Basket
#4
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A11/12
ABA League
Alba Berlin
#18
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H14/12
Euroleague
Studentski Centar
#9
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A17/12
ABA League
Real Madrid
#1
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H19/12
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
W
51-42
51
42
+9
A21/12
Euroleague
86.4Avg total
44.3Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.739.281.9+3.563%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.235.679.8+8.577%-
Last 30 away (17)41.641.983.6-0.353%-
Last 10 (10)44.342.186.4+2.260%-
Last 5 (5)46.042.088.0+4.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)41.038.779.7+2.333%-
vs Similar (14)39.443.182.4-3.736%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)46.835.281.9+11.6100%-
This opponent (Split) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SplitLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zabok
#7
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H24/11
Premijer liga
Mornar Bar
#13
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A26/11
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H01/12
ABA League
Bosco
#13
W
54-29
54
29
+25
H03/12
Premijer liga
Cibona
#12
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A07/12
ABA League
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
56-34
56
34
+22
A10/12
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#4
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A14/12
Premijer liga
Mega Basket
#4
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H18/12
ABA League
Dubrovnik
#8
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H20/12
Premijer liga
Zabok
#13
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A23/12
Croatian Cup
84.2Avg total
46.2Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.938.579.4+2.360%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.936.178.0+5.976%-
Last 30 away (13)39.541.881.2-2.338%-
Last 10 (10)46.238.084.2+8.270%-
Last 5 (5)46.639.486.0+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)37.543.781.2-6.217%-
vs Similar (8)37.540.978.4-3.450%-
vs Weaker (15)44.235.479.6+8.880%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 85.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.020.8
59.4%
54.3%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.910.0
35.8%
34.1%30.0
🏀 Free throws18.314.3
78.1%
73.8%14.3
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Splittheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Split: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.722.7
61.9%
54.3%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.97.2
36.2%
34.1%21.6
🏀 Free throws16.713.4
80.2%
73.8%13.4
They take 56.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Crvena zvezda
WLWWWLLWWW
Split
WWWWWLWWWW
#1
League position
#8
+12.0
Net rating
+23.4
116.2
Offensive rating
119.7
104.1
Defensive rating
96.4
56.9%
Effective FG%
59.2%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
48.7%
18.3%
Turnover %
18.0%
33.9%
Off. rebound %
34.5%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.30
35.8%
3-point %
36.2%
68.8%
Assist %
69.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence116.2 · 119.7Defence104.1 · 96.4Shooting56.9% · 59.2%3-point %35.8% · 36.2%Ball care18.3% · 18.0%Off. rebounds33.9% · 34.5%Free throws0.29 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)70% · 90%
■ Crvena zvezda   ■ Split
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Crvena zvezda wins
1
Split wins
DateGameScore
17/04/23Crvena zvezda v Split83-74
02/01/23Split v Crvena zvezda63-72
02/01/22Split v Crvena zvezda62-66
24/09/21Crvena zvezda v Split97-61
08/03/21Split v Crvena zvezda60-71
15/11/20Crvena zvezda v Split78-76
18/12/12Crvena zvezda v Split94-67
29/09/12Split v Crvena zvezda87-81
20/01/09Split v Crvena zvezda62-67
25/10/08Crvena zvezda v Split83-71
Crvena zvezdalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/23AMaccabi Tel Aviv98-92
19/12/23HReal Madrid58-72
17/12/23AStudentski Centar91-77
14/12/23HAlba Berlin85-71
11/12/23AMega Basket98-88
08/12/23ABaskonia85-87
06/12/23AValencia81-85
03/12/23HCibona84-56
01/12/23HAnadolu Efes97-83
27/11/23AKK Krka Novo mesto90-67
Splitlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/23AZabok88-64
20/12/23HDubrovnik91-77
18/12/23HMega Basket88-73
14/12/23ACedevita Junior89-65
10/12/23AGKK Sibenka98-75
07/12/23ACibona73-81
03/12/23HBosco104-54
01/12/23HKK Krka Novo mesto78-74
26/11/23AMornar Bar93-76
24/11/23HZabok87-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Crvena zvezda
ABA League 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW92%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLWWWW88%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1248
Win %92%100%88%
Points / game89.392.088.0
Allowed / game74.567.078.2
Point differential+14.8+25.0+9.8
Avg total163.8159.0166.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%75%62%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Split
ABA League 2023
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW33%
HomeWLLWW43%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %33%43%20%
Points / game74.175.971.6
Allowed / game78.976.782.0
Point differential-4.8-0.9-10.4
Avg total153.0152.6153.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%29%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda1211192%89.374.5+14.8
2 Cedevita Olimpija1310377%85.383.2+2.1
3 Igokea129375%84.879.6+5.2
4 Partizan139469%93.275.0+18.2
5 Buducnost138562%83.478.1+5.3
6 Zadar137654%83.479.4+4.0
7 Studentski Centar137654%86.285.9+0.3
8 Borac Mozzart136746%77.881.9-4.2
9 Mega Basket125742%83.881.5+2.3
10 Cibona135838%78.384.5-6.2
11 Split124833%74.178.9-4.8
12 FMP Beograd134931%79.287.5-8.4
13 KK Krka Novo mesto1331023%74.885.2-10.5
14 Mornar Bar131128%71.888.6-16.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Crvena zvezda2126241889
Split1618171667
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