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Split vs Mega Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 18 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 88-73
24-20 21-27 17-10 26-16
Position#8
Record3-8
FormWWLWW
Points / game72.8
Allowed / game79.5
Split 🏆
vs
Position#4
Record5-6
FormWLWLL
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game80.9
EuropeABA LeagueRound 12· Dvorana KK Split
Domestic2023
Meetings · Split v Mega Basket
22 Mar 2026
SPL96
MEG74
19 Oct 2024
SPL90
MEG80
18 Dec 2023
SPL88
MEG73
11 Dec 2022
SPL79
MEG75
31 Mar 2022
SPL81
MEG80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Split winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mega Basket winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SplitLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSplit
Date
Competition
Alkar
#11
W
80-65
80
65
+15
77avg 75
H13/11
Premijer liga
Zadar
#6
L
75-82
75
82
-7
72avg 75
H17/11
ABA League
Skrljevo
#12
W
99-80
99
80
+19
98avg 75
A19/11
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
W
87-72
87
72
+15
86avg 75
H24/11
Premijer liga
Mornar Bar
#13
W
93-76
93
76
+17
95avg 75
A26/11
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
78-74
78
74
+4
78avg 75
H01/12
ABA League
Bosco
#13
W
104-54
104
54
+50
101avg 75
H03/12
Premijer liga
Cibona
#12
L
73-81
73
81
-8
66avg 75
A07/12
ABA League
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
98-75
98
75
+23
91avg 75
A10/12
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#4
W
89-65
89
65
+24
87avg 75
A14/12
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-18
26-14
21-12
7-21
14-16
28-19
14-25
19-22
26-22
19-23
20-21
34-14
20-20
25-14
17-20
25-18
18-21
23-22
23-14
29-19
29-19
19-17
20-23
10-15
26-21
28-8
26-13
24-12
20-18
21-23
16-23
16-17
28-13
28-21
24-21
18-20
25-12
21-25
21-14
22-14
160.0Avg total
87.6Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)72.879.5152.3-6.627%
Season at home (6)73.877.3151.2-3.533%
Season away (5)71.682.0153.6-10.420%
Last 10 (10)87.672.4160.0+15.280%
Last 5 (5)88.469.8158.2+18.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)66.883.0149.8-16.20%
vs Similar (8)74.884.4159.1-9.612%
vs Weaker (17)86.668.6155.2+17.994%
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mega BasketLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Borac Mozzart
#10
L
89-90
89
90
-1
85avg 78
H06/10
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#11
W
83-73
83
73
+10
83avg 78
A16/10
ABA League
Partizan
#3
W
88-86
88
86
+2
81avg 78
H23/10
ABA League
Buducnost
#2
L
71-73
71
73
-2
65avg 78
A28/10
ABA League
Zadar
#6
W
91-81
91
81
+10
97avg 78
H05/11
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#13
W
99-65
99
65
+34
92avg 78
A12/11
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
L
72-77
72
77
-5
60avg 78
H19/11
ABA League
Cibona
#12
W
83-69
83
69
+14
71avg 78
A24/11
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#9
L
82-89
82
89
-7
65avg 78
A04/12
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
88-98
88
98
-10
81avg 78
H11/12
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-24
32-28
20-23
12-15
19-21
17-13
19-20
28-19
21-11
19-18
29-32
19-25
13-18
18-23
22-17
18-15
26-17
25-18
15-26
25-20
23-16
23-24
23-6
30-19
21-13
21-19
19-27
11-18
15-18
20-11
23-20
25-20
17-17
19-29
24-13
22-30
27-22
13-26
30-20
18-30
164.7Avg total
84.6Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)84.880.9165.7+3.945%
Season at home (5)85.686.4172.0-0.840%
Season away (6)84.276.3160.5+7.850%
Last 10 (10)84.680.1164.7+4.550%
Last 5 (5)84.879.6164.4+5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)78.687.3165.9-8.811%
vs Similar (8)83.883.9167.6-0.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)87.275.9163.1+11.277%
This opponent (Split) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.2+5.2Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +5.2+5.2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: -0.3-0.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.2+5.2Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +5.2+5.2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: -0.3-0.3
SplitMega Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SplitLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alkar
#11
W
52-32
52
32
+20
H13/11
Premijer liga
Zadar
#6
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H17/11
ABA League
Skrljevo
#12
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A19/11
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H24/11
Premijer liga
Mornar Bar
#13
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A26/11
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H01/12
ABA League
Bosco
#13
W
54-29
54
29
+25
H03/12
Premijer liga
Cibona
#12
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A07/12
ABA League
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
56-34
56
34
+22
A10/12
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#4
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A14/12
Premijer liga
83.6Avg total
47.0Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.538.278.6+2.360%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.934.775.6+6.281%-
Last 30 away (14)39.942.182.1-2.236%-
Last 10 (10)47.036.683.6+10.470%-
Last 5 (5)49.035.484.4+13.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)36.043.079.0-7.020%-
vs Similar (8)37.540.978.4-3.450%-
vs Weaker (17)43.235.578.6+7.776%-
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mega BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Borac Mozzart
#10
W
57-52
57
52
+5
H06/10
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#11
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A16/10
ABA League
Partizan
#3
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H23/10
ABA League
Buducnost
#2
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A28/10
ABA League
Zadar
#6
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H05/11
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#13
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A12/11
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H19/11
ABA League
Cibona
#12
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A24/11
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#9
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A04/12
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H11/12
ABA League
80.0Avg total
41.4Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.641.082.6+0.660%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.239.583.7+4.780%-
Last 30 away (15)38.942.581.5-3.640%-
Last 10 (10)41.438.680.0+2.870%-
Last 5 (5)39.839.078.8+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)38.443.982.3-5.422%-
vs Similar (8)42.242.885.0-0.562%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)43.337.981.2+5.485%-
This opponent (Split) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Splittheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Split: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.621.7
61.0%
54.3%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.27.7
33.2%
34.1%23.1
🏀 Free throws15.712.6
80.3%
73.8%12.6
They take 58.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mega Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mega Basket: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.723.0
55.2%
54.3%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.57.0
32.6%
34.1%21.0
🏀 Free throws22.816.6
72.8%
73.8%16.6
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Split
WWLWWWWWLW
Mega Basket
LLWLWWLWWL
#8
League position
#4
+19.5
Net rating
+4.9
117.5
Offensive rating
108.8
98.0
Defensive rating
103.9
56.5%
Effective FG%
53.0%
48.1%
Opp. effective FG%
49.9%
16.7%
Turnover %
17.2%
33.6%
Off. rebound %
29.1%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.36
33.2%
3-point %
32.6%
69.7%
Assist %
57.3%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence117.5 · 108.8Defence98.0 · 103.9Shooting56.5% · 53.0%3-point %33.2% · 32.6%Ball care16.7% · 17.2%Off. rebounds33.6% · 29.1%Free throws0.27 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Split   ■ Mega Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Split wins
2
Mega Basket wins
DateGameScore
26/03/23Mega Basket v Split90-85
11/12/22Split v Mega Basket79-75
31/03/22Split v Mega Basket81-80
12/12/21Mega Basket v Split78-65
Splitlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/23ACedevita Junior89-65
10/12/23AGKK Sibenka98-75
07/12/23ACibona73-81
03/12/23HBosco104-54
01/12/23HKK Krka Novo mesto78-74
26/11/23AMornar Bar93-76
24/11/23HZabok87-72
19/11/23ASkrljevo99-80
17/11/23HZadar75-82
13/11/23HAlkar80-65
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/12/23HCrvena zvezda88-98
04/12/23AStudentski Centar82-89
24/11/23ACibona83-69
19/11/23HKK Krka Novo mesto72-77
12/11/23AMornar Bar99-65
05/11/23HZadar91-81
28/10/23ABuducnost71-73
23/10/23HPartizan88-86
16/10/23AFMP Beograd83-73
06/10/23HBorac Mozzart89-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Split
ABA League 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL27%
HomeLWLLW33%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %27%33%20%
Points / game72.873.871.6
Allowed / game79.577.382.0
Point differential-6.6-3.5-10.4
Avg total152.3151.2153.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%17%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mega Basket
ABA League 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL45%
HomeLWWLL40%
AwayWLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %45%40%50%
Points / game84.885.684.2
Allowed / game80.986.476.3
Point differential+3.9-0.8+7.8
Avg total165.7172.0160.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%20%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)33% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda1211192%89.374.5+14.8
2 Partizan129375%95.274.2+21.0
3 Igokea129375%84.879.6+5.2
4 Cedevita Olimpija129375%84.782.6+2.1
5 Buducnost128467%83.576.8+6.8
6 Zadar126650%83.380.3+3.0
7 Studentski Centar126650%85.686.2-0.7
8 Borac Mozzart126650%77.681.3-3.8
9 Mega Basket115645%84.880.9+3.9
10 Cibona125742%77.283.8-6.5
11 Split113827%72.879.5-6.6
12 FMP Beograd123925%79.388.6-9.2
13 KK Krka Novo mesto1221017%73.685.7-12.1
14 Mornar Bar121118%71.589.6-18.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Split2421172688
Mega Basket2027101673
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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