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Split vs Mega Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 22 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 96-74
25-17 24-15 21-19 26-23
Position#18
Record4-16
FormLLLLL
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game93.7
Split 🏆
vs
Position#8
Record9-11
FormLLWWW
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game90.9
EuropeABA LeagueRound 5· Dvorana KK Split
Domestic2025
Meetings · Split v Mega Basket
22 Mar 2026
SPL96
MEG74
19 Oct 2024
SPL90
MEG80
18 Dec 2023
SPL88
MEG73
11 Dec 2022
SPL79
MEG75
31 Mar 2022
SPL81
MEG80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Split winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mega Basket winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Split
4.0out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Below their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 85.5
83.4▼ 2.1
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 83.4
97.2▲ 13.8
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 59%
56%▼ 3%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 18.3
17.6▼ 0.7
🔥 Form · Mega Basket
4.1out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Below their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 84.6
88.6▲ 4.0
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 88.5
85.4▼ 3.1
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 58%
59%▲ 1%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 16.9
14.4▼ 2.5
SplitLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zadar
#1
L
67-82
67
82
-15
A30/01
Premijer liga
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
L
92-105
92
105
-13
A02/02
ABA League
Dubrava
#6
W
88-87
88
87
+1
H07/02
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#12
W
93-55
93
55
+38
A12/02
Premijer liga
Perspektiva Ilirija
#13
L
107-112 OT
107
112
-5
H03/03
ABA League
Zadar
#9
L
77-106
77
106
-29
A06/03
ABA League
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
L
94-99
94
99
-5
H09/03
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#11
L
99-104
99
104
-5
A13/03
Premijer liga
Spartak Subotica
#5
L
71-92
71
92
-21
A15/03
ABA League
Vienna Basket
#17
L
76-85
76
85
-9
H18/03
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-22
15-17
13-18
13-25
21-31
28-26
23-21
20-27
22-15
18-24
23-25
25-23
26-14
18-17
30-14
19-10
31-20
16-26
20-22
27-26
21-28
23-38
19-26
14-14
22-25
29-22
15-25
28-27
29-27
20-23
20-25
30-29
22-31
17-22
16-27
16-12
24-20
24-19
21-14
7-32
179.1Avg total
86.4Scored
92.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)83.093.7176.7-10.820%
Season at home (10)87.489.8177.2-2.440%
Season away (10)78.597.6176.1-19.10%
Last 10 (10)86.492.7179.1-6.320%
Last 5 (5)83.497.2180.6-13.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)83.196.0179.1-12.914%
vs Similar (3)85.389.0174.3-3.733%
vs Weaker (13)99.183.4182.5+15.777%
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mega BasketLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#3
L
82-100
82
100
-18
A26/12
ABA League
Vienna Basket
#17
W
100-98
100
98
+2
H05/01
ABA League
KK Bosna
#11
L
83-94
83
94
-11
A18/01
ABA League
Perspektiva Ilirija
#13
W
86-77
86
77
+9
A24/01
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#4
W
107-102
107
102
+5
H01/02
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#5
L
89-94
89
94
-5
H08/02
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#10
L
87-102
87
102
-15
A15/02
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#16
W
90-76
90
76
+14
H09/03
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#15
W
95-77
95
77
+18
H15/03
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
W
82-78
82
78
+4
A19/03
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-31
19-22
20-22
24-25
30-26
20-23
26-29
24-20
17-27
18-33
25-15
23-19
20-27
23-24
17-16
26-10
29-29
28-33
23-26
27-14
23-25
16-21
25-23
25-25
17-32
18-19
28-25
24-26
26-19
21-14
23-23
20-20
26-28
20-16
22-21
27-12
21-22
20-24
29-14
12-18
179.9Avg total
90.1Scored
89.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)86.290.9177.1-4.745%
Season at home (10)92.389.5181.8+2.870%
Season away (10)80.192.3172.4-12.220%
Last 10 (10)90.189.8179.9+0.360%
Last 5 (5)88.685.4174.0+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)80.493.8174.2-13.58%
vs Similar (15)89.185.5174.7+3.673%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)84.079.5163.5+4.5100%
This opponent (Split) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: +4.3+4.3
SplitMega Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SplitLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zadar
#1
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A30/01
Premijer liga
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
L
49-57
49
57
-8
A02/02
ABA League
Dubrava
#6
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H07/02
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#12
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A12/02
Premijer liga
Perspektiva Ilirija
#13
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H03/03
ABA League
Zadar
#9
L
44-66
44
66
-22
A06/03
ABA League
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H09/03
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#11
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A13/03
Premijer liga
Spartak Subotica
#5
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A15/03
ABA League
Vienna Basket
#17
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H18/03
ABA League
91.9Avg total
45.2Scored
46.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.244.590.7+1.660%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.440.985.3+3.464%-
Last 30 away (16)47.847.795.4+0.156%-
Last 10 (10)45.246.791.9-1.560%-
Last 5 (5)46.251.097.2-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)43.348.091.3-4.736%-
vs Similar (3)38.340.779.0-2.333%-
vs Weaker (13)51.141.792.8+9.492%-
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mega BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#3
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A26/12
ABA League
Vienna Basket
#17
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H05/01
ABA League
KK Bosna
#11
L
35-60
35
60
-25
A18/01
ABA League
Perspektiva Ilirija
#13
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A24/01
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#4
L
57-62
57
62
-5
H01/02
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#5
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H08/02
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#10
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A15/02
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#16
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H09/03
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#15
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H15/03
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A19/03
ABA League
92.6Avg total
43.1Scored
49.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.748.190.9-5.430%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.845.891.6+0.053%-
Last 30 away (15)39.750.590.1-10.87%-
Last 10 (10)43.149.592.6-6.430%-
Last 5 (5)41.644.085.6-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)38.850.289.1-11.48%-
vs Similar (15)45.846.091.8-0.253%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)45.050.595.5-5.50%-
This opponent (Split) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Splittheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Split: 85.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.420.0
53.5%
54.6%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.39.6
32.8%
35.1%28.8
🏀 Free throws20.916.7
79.9%
75.3%16.7
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mega Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mega Basket: 88.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.122.2
55.4%
54.6%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.38.7
33.1%
35.1%26.1
🏀 Free throws23.317.7
76.0%
75.3%17.7
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Split
LLLLLLWWLL
Mega Basket
WWWLLWWLWL
#18
League position
#8
-8.0
Net rating
+1.2
98.6
Offensive rating
101.4
106.6
Defensive rating
100.3
51.6%
Effective FG%
53.1%
57.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
13.2%
Turnover %
16.5%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.35
32.8%
3-point %
33.1%
60.5%
Assist %
54.7%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence98.6 · 101.4Defence106.6 · 100.3Shooting51.6% · 53.1%3-point %32.8% · 33.1%Ball care13.2% · 16.5%Off. rebounds- · 38.3%Free throws0.31 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Split   ■ Mega Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Split wins
4
Mega Basket wins
DateGameScore
09/02/25Mega Basket v Split84-82
19/10/24Split v Mega Basket90-80
31/03/24Mega Basket v Split92-78
18/12/23Split v Mega Basket88-73
26/03/23Mega Basket v Split90-85
11/12/22Split v Mega Basket79-75
31/03/22Split v Mega Basket81-80
12/12/21Mega Basket v Split78-65
Splitlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/03/26HVienna Basket76-85
15/03/26ASpartak Subotica71-92
13/03/26AKvarner99-104
09/03/26HDinamo Zagreb94-99
06/03/26AZadar77-106
03/03/26HPerspektiva Ilirija107-112 OT
12/02/26AGKK Sibenka93-55
07/02/26HDubrava88-87
02/02/26AKK Krka Novo mesto92-105
30/01/26AZadar67-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/03/26AKK Krka Novo mesto82-78
15/03/26HBorac Mozzart95-77
09/03/26HStudentski Centar90-76
15/02/26AFMP Beograd87-102
08/02/26HSpartak Subotica89-94
01/02/26HCrvena zvezda107-102
24/01/26APerspektiva Ilirija86-77
18/01/26AKK Bosna83-94
05/01/26HVienna Basket100-98
26/12/25ABuducnost82-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Split
ABA League 2025
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL20%
HomeLLWLL40%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %20%40%0%
Points / game83.087.478.5
Allowed / game93.789.897.6
Point differential-10.8-2.4-19.1
Avg total176.7177.2176.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %15%30%0%
Mega Basket
ABA League 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW45%
HomeWWLWW70%
AwayLLWLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %45%70%20%
Points / game86.292.380.1
Allowed / game90.989.592.3
Point differential-4.7+2.8-12.2
Avg total177.1181.8172.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)75% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Partizan1918195%92.379.2+13.1
2 Dubai2018290%89.977.0+12.9
3 Buducnost2015575%88.580.9+7.6
4 Crvena zvezda1914574%92.784.8+7.9
5 Cedevita Olimpija1912763%88.082.0+6.0
6 Cluj-Napoca1810856%92.388.6+3.8
7 Spartak Subotica2011955%83.782.5+1.1
8 KK Bosna1991047%81.385.8-4.5
9 Mega Basket2091145%86.290.9-4.7
10 Igokea2091145%83.088.8-5.8
11 FMP Beograd2081240%85.087.2-2.2
12 Perspektiva Ilirija2181338%83.487.5-4.1
13 Zadar1971237%81.982.6-0.7
14 KK Krka Novo mesto2071335%78.581.6-3.1
15 Vienna Basket2171433%84.789.3-4.6
16 Borac Mozzart2171433%79.884.9-5.1
17 Studentski Centar2051525%78.683.3-4.7
18 Split2041620%83.093.7-10.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Split2524212696
Mega Basket1715192374
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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