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Zadar vs Mega Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 17 Oct 2022
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 96-90
23-30 23-19 26-19 24-22
Position#9
Record1-1
FormWWLLW
Points / game93.5
Allowed / game83.5
Zadar 🏆
vs
Mega Basket
Position#6
Record0-2
FormLLLLL
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game88.5
EuropeABA LeagueRound 3
Domestic2022
Meetings · Zadar v Mega Basket
07 Dec 2026
ZAD v MEG
upcoming
14 Nov 2025
ZAD88
MEG73
02 Dec 2024
ZAD65
MEG68
06 Feb 2024
ZAD74
MEG71
17 Oct 2022
ZAD96
MEG90
04 Apr 2022
ZAD81
MEG85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zadar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mega Basket winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ZadarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZadar
Date
Competition
Cibona
#1
W
77-70
77
70
+7
no box
A30/05
Premijer liga
Cibona
#1
L
73-77
73
77
-4
no box
A01/06
Premijer liga
Cibona
#1
L
62-67
62
67
-5
no box
H05/06
Premijer liga
Cibona
#1
W
61-59
61
59
+2
no box
H07/06
Premijer liga
Cibona
#1
L
51-56
51
56
-5
no box
A10/06
Premijer liga
Studentski Centar
#8
W
96-67
96
67
+29
no box
H30/09
ABA League
Bosco
#11
W
97-81
97
81
+16
no box
H03/10
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
73-91
73
91
-18
no box
A07/10
Premijer liga
Mornar Bar
#14
L
91-100
91
100
-9
84avg 68
A09/10
ABA League
Skrljevo
#9
W
81-76
81
76
+5
no box
H14/10
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-20
18-23
16-10
19-17
23-23
13-20
16-15
21-19
19-17
17-13
11-14
15-23
16-17
20-19
13-9
12-14
16-18
9-20
12-8
14-10
25-8
16-20
24-20
31-19
25-21
23-20
23-16
26-24
18-25
21-18
17-24
17-24
23-23
23-24
24-28
21-25
20-25
25-15
17-16
19-20
150.6Avg total
76.2Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)93.583.5177.0+10.050%
Season at home (1)96.067.0163.0+29.0100%
Season away (1)91.0100.0191.0-9.00%
Last 10 (10)76.274.4150.6+1.850%
Last 5 (5)87.683.0170.6+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)75.086.0161.0-11.00%
vs Similar ◀ (17)75.474.2149.6+1.241%
vs Weaker (11)87.278.5165.7+8.673%
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mega BasketLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Borac Mozzart
#4
W
85-71
85
71
+14
no box
H22/05
Super League
Borac Mozzart
#4
W
82-75
82
75
+7
no box
A24/05
Super League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
78-114
78
114
-36
no box
A10/06
Super League
Crvena zvezda
#1
W
77-70
77
70
+7
no box
H12/06
Super League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
66-88
66
88
-22
no box
A14/06
Super League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
76-101
76
101
-25
no box
A23/09
VTB Super Cup
Unics Kazan
#3
L
69-78
69
78
-9
no box
A24/09
VTB Super Cup
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
93-95
93
95
-2
no box
A25/09
VTB Super Cup
FMP Beograd
#5
L
76-90
76
90
-14
66avg 73
A03/10
ABA League
Igokea
#7
L
76-87
76
87
-11
no box
H09/10
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-22
20-17
13-22
20-10
27-22
17-15
20-18
18-20
15-33
24-25
17-31
22-25
12-22
14-16
28-15
23-17
16-26
17-27
12-15
21-20
21-29
25-25
11-28
19-19
17-18
21-18
11-23
20-19
15-24
27-26
30-15
21-30
17-27
20-19
19-17
20-27
18-19
19-25
23-14
16-29
164.7Avg total
77.8Scored
86.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)76.088.5164.5-12.50%
Season at home (1)76.087.0163.0-11.00%
Season away (1)76.090.0166.0-14.00%
Last 10 (10)77.886.9164.7-9.130%
Last 5 (5)78.090.2168.2-12.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)74.287.9162.1-13.614%
vs Similar ◀ (11)81.379.8161.1+1.564%
vs Weaker (4)84.073.5157.5+10.575%
This opponent (Zadar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -5.2-5.2Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -1.6-1.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -5.2-5.2Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -1.6-1.6
ZadarMega Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ZadarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cibona
#1
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A30/05
Premijer liga
Cibona
#1
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A01/06
Premijer liga
Cibona
#1
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H05/06
Premijer liga
Cibona
#1
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H07/06
Premijer liga
Cibona
#1
L
25-38
25
38
-13
A10/06
Premijer liga
Studentski Centar
#8
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H30/09
ABA League
Bosco
#11
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H03/10
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A07/10
Premijer liga
Mornar Bar
#14
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A09/10
ABA League
Skrljevo
#9
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H14/10
Premijer liga
78.3Avg total
39.4Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.138.977.0-0.837%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.636.875.4+1.857%-
Last 30 away (16)37.740.878.4-3.119%-
Last 10 (10)39.438.978.3+0.540%-
Last 5 (5)43.839.883.6+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)39.538.578.0+1.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)35.938.874.6-2.924%-
vs Weaker (11)41.339.280.5+2.155%-
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mega BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Borac Mozzart
#4
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H22/05
Super League
Borac Mozzart
#4
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A24/05
Super League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
39-58
39
58
-19
A10/06
Super League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
26-38
26
38
-12
H12/06
Super League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
33-53
33
53
-20
A14/06
Super League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
46-54
46
54
-8
A23/09
VTB Super Cup
Unics Kazan
#3
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A24/09
VTB Super Cup
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A25/09
VTB Super Cup
FMP Beograd
#5
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A03/10
ABA League
Igokea
#7
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H09/10
ABA League
84.9Avg total
39.4Scored
45.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.441.381.7-0.943%-
Last 30 at home (12)40.038.178.1+1.950%-
Last 30 away (18)40.743.484.2-2.739%-
Last 10 (10)39.445.584.9-6.130%-
Last 5 (5)40.046.086.0-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)38.346.284.5-7.921%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)41.838.680.5+3.245%-
vs Weaker (4)44.034.578.5+9.5100%-
This opponent (Zadar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zadartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zadar: 75.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.516.2
47.0%
55.6%32.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.59.9
37.4%
35.2%29.7
🏀 Free throws19.113.7
71.7%
75.8%13.7
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mega Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mega Basket: 74.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.020.1
50.2%
55.6%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.76.8
30.0%
35.2%20.4
🏀 Free throws19.513.7
70.3%
75.8%13.7
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Oct 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zadar
WLLWWLWLLW
Mega Basket
LLLLLLWLWW
#9
League position
#6
-9.2
Net rating
-11.9
105.3
Offensive rating
100.2
114.5
Defensive rating
112.1
50.9%
Effective FG%
48.3%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
19.3%
Turnover %
16.4%
35.2%
Off. rebound %
27.4%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.31
37.4%
3-point %
30.0%
64.8%
Assist %
69.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence105.3 · 100.2Defence114.5 · 112.1Shooting50.9% · 48.3%3-point %37.4% · 30.0%Ball care19.3% · 16.4%Off. rebounds35.2% · 27.4%Free throws0.31 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Zadar   ■ Mega Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Zadar wins
1
Mega Basket wins
DateGameScore
04/04/22Zadar v Mega Basket81-85
19/12/21Mega Basket v Zadar70-72
Zadarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/22HSkrljevo81-76
09/10/22AMornar Bar91-100
07/10/22ACibona73-91
03/10/22HBosco97-81
30/09/22HStudentski Centar96-67
10/06/22ACibona51-56
07/06/22HCibona61-59
05/06/22HCibona62-67
01/06/22ACibona73-77
30/05/22ACibona77-70
Mega Basketlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/10/22HIgokea76-87
03/10/22AFMP Beograd76-90
25/09/22ALokomotiv Kuban93-95
24/09/22AUnics Kazan69-78
23/09/22ACSKA Moscow76-101
14/06/22ACrvena zvezda66-88
12/06/22HCrvena zvezda77-70
10/06/22ACrvena zvezda78-114
24/05/22ABorac Mozzart82-75
22/05/22HBorac Mozzart85-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zadar
ABA League 2022
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game93.596.091.0
Allowed / game83.567.0100.0
Point differential+10.0+29.0-9.0
Avg total177.0163.0191.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mega Basket
ABA League 2022
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game76.076.076.0
Allowed / game88.587.090.0
Point differential-12.5-11.0-14.0
Avg total164.5163.0166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cedevita Olimpija220100%96.579.0+17.5
2 Partizan330100%96.079.0+17.0
3 Crvena zvezda220100%78.066.0+12.0
4 FMP Beograd220100%87.580.0+7.5
5 Buducnost32167%82.764.7+18.0
6 Igokea32167%86.781.7+5.0
7 Mornar Bar32167%93.088.3+4.7
8 Zadar21150%93.583.5+10.0
9 Studentski Centar31233%82.090.3-8.3
10 Cibona31233%85.396.7-11.3
11 Borac Mozzart3030%81.091.0-10.0
12 Mega Basket2020%76.088.5-12.5
13 MZT Skopje3030%69.089.3-20.3
14 Split2020%68.094.5-26.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zadar2323262496
Mega Basket3019192290
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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