PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Stephen F. Austin vs TX A&M Commerce Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 28 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 79-72
44-34 35-38
Position#244
Record8-12
FormWLLLL
Points / game63.8
Allowed / game64.5
vs
Position#363
Record2-18
FormLLLLL
Points / game63.5
Allowed / game79.3
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Stephen F. Austin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
TX A&M Commerce winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Stephen F. AustinUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oregon
#52
L
61-79
61
79
-18
A15/12
NCAA
Texas Wesleyan
#395
W
82-56
82
56
+26
H21/12
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#208
W
62-57
62
57
+5
A31/12
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#190
L
49-55
49
55
-6
H04/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#304
L
73-83
73
83
-10
H07/01
NCAA
Lamar
#123
W
72-63
72
63
+9
A12/01
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
L
59-66
59
66
-7
H14/01
NCAA
Nicholls State
#122
L
61-73
61
73
-12
A18/01
NCAA
McNeese State
#20
L
59-79
59
79
-20
A20/01
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#198
L
54-57 OT
54
57
-3
H25/01
NCAA
1H
2H
23-37
38-42
34-24
48-32
29-25
33-32
18-26
31-29
26-40
47-43
32-37
40-26
26-31
33-35
33-39
28-34
26-43
33-36
20-22
29-27
130.0Avg total
63.2Scored
66.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)63.864.5128.2-0.740%
Season at home (10)68.061.8129.8+6.250%
Season away (10)59.667.1126.7-7.530%
Last 10 (10)63.266.8130.0-3.630%
Last 5 (5)61.067.6128.6-6.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)57.866.9124.7-9.215%
vs Similar (9)63.971.6135.4-7.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)76.960.8137.6+16.188%
This opponent (TX A&M Commerce) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TX A&M CommerceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Alabama
#83
L
72-81
72
81
-9
H15/12
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#208
W
68-67
68
67
+1
H18/12
NCAA
South Florida
#282
L
62-88
62
88
-26
A21/12
NCAA
McNeese State
#20
L
56-75
56
75
-19
H04/01
NCAA
Nicholls State
#122
L
61-83
61
83
-22
H07/01
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#198
L
67-75
67
75
-8
A11/01
NCAA
UTRGV
#186
L
55-57
55
57
-2
A14/01
NCAA
New Orleans
#365
L
73-131
73
131
-58
H18/01
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
L
68-76
68
76
-8
H20/01
NCAA
Lamar
#123
L
58-61 OT
58
61
-3
A26/01
NCAA
1H
2H
32-38
40-43
20-27
48-40
26-49
36-39
23-41
33-34
24-38
37-45
24-38
43-37
27-26
28-31
33-33
40-98
36-33
32-43
27-23
25-29
143.4Avg total
64.0Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)63.579.3142.8-15.810%
Season at home (8)65.682.2147.9-16.625%
Season away (12)62.277.3139.5-15.20%
Last 10 (10)64.079.4143.4-15.410%
Last 5 (5)64.280.0144.2-15.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)62.676.7139.3-14.110%
vs Similar (8)73.583.2156.8-9.850%
vs Weaker (1)98.085.0183.0+13.0100%
This opponent (Stephen F. Austin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -5.7-5.71st half: -7.4-7.42nd half2nd half: +2.4+2.42nd half: -7.7-7.7
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -5.7-5.71st half: -7.4-7.42nd half2nd half: +2.4+2.42nd half: -7.7-7.7
Stephen F. AustinTX A&M Commerce
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Stephen F. AustinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oregon
#52
L
23-37
23
37
-14
A15/12
NCAA
Texas Wesleyan
#395
W
34-24
34
24
+10
H21/12
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#208
W
29-25
29
25
+4
A31/12
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#190
L
18-26
18
26
-8
H04/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#304
L
26-40
26
40
-14
H07/01
NCAA
Lamar
#123
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A12/01
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
L
26-31
26
31
-5
H14/01
NCAA
Nicholls State
#122
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A18/01
NCAA
McNeese State
#20
L
26-43
26
43
-17
A20/01
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#198
L
20-22
20
22
-2
H25/01
NCAA
59.1Avg total
26.7Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)28.730.359.0-1.643%-
Last 30 at home (14)31.427.358.7+4.164%-
Last 30 away (16)26.332.959.2-6.625%-
Last 10 (10)26.732.459.1-5.720%-
Last 5 (5)27.434.461.8-7.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)25.831.857.6-5.923%-
vs Similar (9)25.931.457.3-5.622%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)36.526.563.0+10.0100%-
This opponent (TX A&M Commerce) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TX A&M CommerceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Alabama
#83
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H15/12
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#208
L
20-27
20
27
-7
H18/12
NCAA
South Florida
#282
L
26-49
26
49
-23
A21/12
NCAA
McNeese State
#20
L
23-41
23
41
-18
H04/01
NCAA
Nicholls State
#122
L
24-38
24
38
-14
H07/01
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#198
L
24-38
24
38
-14
A11/01
NCAA
UTRGV
#186
W
27-26
27
26
+1
A14/01
NCAA
New Orleans
#365
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H18/01
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H20/01
NCAA
Lamar
#123
W
27-23
27
23
+4
A26/01
NCAA
61.8Avg total
27.2Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.036.766.6-6.727%-
Last 30 at home (12)30.435.966.3-5.525%-
Last 30 away (18)29.737.266.8-7.528%-
Last 10 (10)27.234.661.8-7.430%-
Last 5 (5)29.430.660.0-1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)28.237.565.8-9.324%-
vs Similar (8)32.034.066.0-2.025%-
vs Weaker (1)50.040.090.0+10.0100%-
This opponent (Stephen F. Austin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Stephen F. Austin wins
0
TX A&M Commerce wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/25HNorthwestern St.54-57 OT
20/01/25AMcNeese State59-79
18/01/25ANicholls State61-73
14/01/25HSE Louisiana59-66
12/01/25ALamar72-63
07/01/25HHouston Christian73-83
04/01/25HIncarnate Word49-55
31/12/24AAbilene Christian62-57
21/12/24HTexas Wesleyan82-56
15/12/24AOregon61-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/25ALamar58-61 OT
20/01/25HSE Louisiana68-76
18/01/25HNew Orleans73-131
14/01/25AUTRGV55-57
11/01/25ANorthwestern St.67-75
07/01/25HNicholls State61-83
04/01/25HMcNeese State56-75
21/12/24ASouth Florida62-88
18/12/24HAbilene Christian68-67
15/12/24HSouth Alabama72-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Stephen F. Austin
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL40%
HomeWLLLL50%
AwayLWWLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %40%50%30%
Points / game63.868.059.6
Allowed / game64.561.867.1
Point differential-0.7+6.2-7.5
Avg total128.2129.8126.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%30%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %10%20%0%
TX A&M Commerce
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL10%
HomeWLLLL25%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20812
Win %10%25%0%
Points / game63.565.662.2
Allowed / game79.382.277.3
Point differential-15.8-16.6-15.2
Avg total142.8147.9139.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)100% (2)0% (4)
Overtime %5%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 McNeese State2116576%78.064.8+13.3
2 Texas A&M-CC2214864%79.768.5+11.3
3 UTRGV2112957%78.072.5+5.6
4 Lamar2112957%72.067.3+4.8
5 Nicholls State2112957%74.169.9+4.3
6 SE Louisiana2112957%72.068.4+3.6
7 Incarnate Word21101148%76.070.2+5.9
8 Northwestern St.21101148%70.269.2+1.0
9 Houston Christian21101148%68.270.6-2.4
10 Stephen F. Austin2081240%63.864.5-0.7
11 New Orleans2141719%69.883.4-13.6
12 TX A&M Commerce2021810%63.579.3-15.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Stephen F. Austin443579
TX A&M Commerce343872
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.