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Valur vs Hottur Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 10 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 20:15
Final 94-75
23-19 22-18 22-18 27-20
Position#1
Record18-4
FormWWLWW
Points / game93.0
Allowed / game84.1
Valur 🏆
Iceland
vs
Position#8
Record11-11
FormLLWWL
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game84.0
IcelandPremier leaguePremier League - Quarter-finals· Origo-hollin Hlidarenda
Other2023-24
Meetings · Valur v Hottur
04 Mar 2027
VALU v HOTT
upcoming
07 Feb 2025
VALU92
HOTT58
18 Apr 2024
VALU94
HOTT74
10 Apr 2024
VALU94
HOTT75
17 Nov 2023
VALU80
HOTT69
25 Nov 2022
VALU82
HOTT79
28 Jan 2021
VALU88
HOTT81
19 Jan 2018
VALU102
HOTT94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valur winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hottur winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValurIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValur
Date
Competition
Keflavik
#3
W
105-82
105
82
+23
100avg 84
H18/01
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
L
79-84
79
84
-5
68avg 84
A21/01
Icelandic Cup
Tindastoll
#9
W
90-79
90
79
+11
83avg 84
H25/01
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
W
85-81
85
81
+4
70avg 84
A02/02
Premier league
Haukar
#10
W
82-72
82
72
+10
80avg 84
H08/02
Premier league
Hottur
#8
W
92-83
92
83
+9
87avg 84
A15/02
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
W
89-71
89
71
+18
84avg 84
H07/03
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
L
67-98
67
98
-31
53avg 84
A15/03
Premier league
Breidablik
#11
W
106-94
106
94
+12
101avg 84
H28/03
Premier league
Njardvik
#5
W
114-106 OT
114
106
+8
100avg 84
A04/04
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-14
24-20
32-28
21-20
19-24
23-19
22-20
15-21
25-18
25-20
27-25
13-16
20-17
26-29
16-24
23-11
24-10
17-17
19-23
22-22
23-26
23-23
24-16
22-18
25-27
21-15
21-14
22-15
19-22
21-26
16-29
11-21
27-31
24-22
38-17
17-24
18-19
38-26
20-33
19-17
175.9Avg total
90.9Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)93.084.1177.1+8.882%
Season at home (11)91.579.0170.5+12.591%
Season away (11)94.589.3183.7+5.273%
Last 10 (10)90.985.0175.9+5.980%
Last 5 (5)93.690.4184.0+3.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)89.488.0177.4+1.460%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)92.482.2174.6+10.379%
This opponent (Hottur) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HotturIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHottur
Date
Competition
Njardvik
#5
L
85-88
85
88
-3
78avg 74
H18/01
Premier league
Keflavik
#1
L
93-123
93
123
-30
85avg 74
H21/01
Icelandic Cup
Thorl
#4
W
92-89
92
89
+3
84avg 74
A25/01
Premier league
Hamar
#12
W
93-80
93
80
+13
91avg 74
H01/02
Premier league
Valur
#1
L
83-92
83
92
-9
72avg 74
H15/02
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
L
82-92
82
92
-10
70avg 74
A07/03
Premier league
Keflavik
#3
L
71-110
71
110
-39
59avg 74
A11/03
Premier league
Haukar
#10
W
93-68
93
68
+25
83avg 74
H14/03
Premier league
Tindastoll
#9
W
87-82
87
82
+5
71avg 74
H28/03
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
L
54-63
54
63
-9
34avg 74
A04/04
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-21
28-35
11-13
22-19
21-29
15-25
31-37
26-32
33-23
24-22
13-22
22-22
22-20
26-13
22-20
23-27
26-23
23-23
16-24
18-22
18-24
32-22
14-25
18-21
16-35
23-27
17-22
15-26
19-17
26-19
28-18
20-14
13-18
17-20
29-26
28-18
14-14
11-12
10-20
19-17
172.0Avg total
83.3Scored
88.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)82.784.0166.7-1.450%
Season at home (11)84.178.6162.7+5.564%
Season away (11)81.389.5170.7-8.236%
Last 10 (10)83.388.7172.0-5.440%
Last 5 (5)77.483.0160.4-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)81.193.0174.1-11.920%
vs Similar (12)82.280.2162.5+2.050%
vs Weaker (7)90.183.6173.7+6.671%
This opponent (Valur) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -0.7-0.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -0.7-0.7
ValurHottur
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keflavik
#3
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H18/01
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A21/01
Icelandic Cup
Tindastoll
#9
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H25/01
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A02/02
Premier league
Haukar
#10
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H08/02
Premier league
Hottur
#8
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A15/02
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H07/03
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A15/03
Premier league
Breidablik
#11
L
51-53
51
53
-2
H28/03
Premier league
Njardvik
#5
W
56-45
56
45
+11
A04/04
Premier league
89.5Avg total
47.0Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)47.142.489.5+4.762%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.141.387.3+4.867%-
Last 30 away (14)48.243.691.8+4.657%-
Last 10 (10)47.042.589.5+4.550%-
Last 5 (5)47.847.495.2+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)46.645.191.7+1.560%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)47.440.988.3+6.463%-
This opponent (Hottur) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HotturLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Njardvik
#5
L
52-56
52
56
-4
H18/01
Premier league
Keflavik
#1
L
36-54
36
54
-18
H21/01
Icelandic Cup
Thorl
#4
W
57-45
57
45
+12
A25/01
Premier league
Hamar
#12
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H01/02
Premier league
Valur
#1
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H15/02
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A07/03
Premier league
Keflavik
#3
L
39-62
39
62
-23
A11/03
Premier league
Haukar
#10
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H14/03
Premier league
Tindastoll
#9
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H28/03
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
L
25-26
25
26
-1
A04/04
Premier league
87.3Avg total
43.1Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.242.583.7-1.347%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.241.481.6-1.247%-
Last 30 away (15)42.143.685.7-1.547%-
Last 10 (10)43.144.287.3-1.150%-
Last 5 (5)37.841.679.4-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)42.048.190.1-6.140%-
vs Similar (12)40.341.281.5-0.842%-
vs Weaker (7)41.437.478.9+4.057%-
This opponent (Valur) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valurtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valur: 91.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.5 points a game
46%
38%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.419.0
49.5%
51.2%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.511.8
35.2%
34.2%35.4
🏀 Free throws24.917.7
71.1%
74.4%17.7
They take 71.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hotturtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hottur: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.5 points a game
46%
38%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.215.9
46.5%
51.2%31.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.711.6
34.4%
34.2%34.8
🏀 Free throws19.615.9
81.1%
74.4%15.9
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valur
WWLWWWWWLW
Hottur
LWWLLLWWLL
#1
League position
#8
+7.5
Net rating
-6.5
110.2
Offensive rating
103.2
102.7
Defensive rating
109.7
51.0%
Effective FG%
49.0%
49.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
15.5%
Turnover %
17.2%
29.5%
Off. rebound %
25.7%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.29
35.2%
3-point %
34.4%
57.5%
Assist %
52.0%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence110.2 · 103.2Defence102.7 · 109.7Shooting51.0% · 49.0%3-point %35.2% · 34.4%Ball care15.5% · 17.2%Off. rebounds29.5% · 25.7%Free throws0.35 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Valur   ■ Hottur
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Valur wins
0
Hottur wins
DateGameScore
15/02/24Hottur v Valur83-92
17/11/23Valur v Hottur80-69
05/03/23Hottur v Valur81-90
11/01/23Hottur v Valur47-74
25/11/22Valur v Hottur82-79
22/04/21Hottur v Valur91-95
28/01/21Valur v Hottur88-81
19/01/18Valur v Hottur102-94
19/10/17Hottur v Valur93-99 OT
Valurlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/04/24ANjardvik114-106 OT
28/03/24HBreidablik106-94
15/03/24AGrindavik67-98
07/03/24HAlftanes89-71
15/02/24AHottur92-83
08/02/24HHaukar82-72
02/02/24AStjarnan85-81
25/01/24HTindastoll90-79
21/01/24AStjarnan79-84
18/01/24HKeflavik105-82
Hotturlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/04/24AAlftanes54-63
28/03/24HTindastoll87-82
14/03/24HHaukar93-68
11/03/24AKeflavik71-110
07/03/24AStjarnan82-92
15/02/24HValur83-92
01/02/24HHamar93-80
25/01/24AThorl92-89
21/01/24HKeflavik93-123
18/01/24HNjardvik85-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valur
Premier league 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW82%
HomeWWWWW91%
AwayWWWLW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %82%91%73%
Points / game93.091.594.5
Allowed / game84.179.089.3
Point differential+8.8+12.5+5.2
Avg total177.1170.5183.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%73%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %9%0%18%
Hottur
Premier league 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL50%
HomeLWLWW64%
AwayWWLLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %50%64%36%
Points / game82.784.181.3
Allowed / game84.078.689.5
Point differential-1.4+5.5-8.2
Avg total166.7162.7170.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%27%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valur2218482%93.084.1+8.8
2 Njardvik2316770%95.188.6+6.5
3 Grindavik2215768%94.187.5+6.6
4 Keflavik2215768%98.191.7+6.4
5 Thorl2315865%91.890.2+1.6
6 Alftanes2213959%84.081.6+2.4
7 Tindastoll22111150%87.085.0+1.9
8 Stjarnan22111150%86.885.5+1.4
9 Hottur22111150%82.784.0-1.4
10 Haukar2251723%87.992.0-4.1
11 Breidablik222209%85.7100.8-15.1
12 Hamar221215%84.299.5-15.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valur2322222794
Hottur1918182075
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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