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Strasbourg vs AEK Athens Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 23 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 91-73
31-18 21-27 21-13 18-15
Position#15
Record4-5
FormLWLWL
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game77.7
vs
Position#12
Record6-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game83.1
Allowed / game78.1
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 4
European cup2020
Meetings · Strasbourg v AEK Athens
23 Mar 2021
STR91
AAT73
04 Apr 2018
STR83
AAT83
07 Nov 2017
STR80
AAT78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Strasbourg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AEK Athens winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

StrasbourgLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Roanne
#15
W
82-78
82
78
+4
A16/01
LNB
Rytas
#31
L
77-81
77
81
-4
A26/01
Champions League
Cholet
#14
W
75-72
75
72
+3
H01/02
LNB
Levallois
#6
W
71-63
71
63
+8
A06/02
LNB
Turk Telekom
#13
L
76-83
76
83
-7
A02/03
Champions League
Nizhny Novgorod
#8
L
68-73
68
73
-5
H10/03
Champions League
Chalon/Saone
#17
W
96-92
96
92
+4
H13/03
LNB
AEK Athens
#12
L
68-77
68
77
-9
A16/03
Champions League
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#16
W
81-78
81
78
+3
A18/03
LNB
Dijon
#8
L
63-83
63
83
-20
A20/03
French Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-14
12-25
32-20
15-19
21-12
15-26
14-19
27-24
19-20
22-16
22-24
12-12
19-17
28-10
14-21
10-15
20-25
17-21
19-18
20-19
22-13
14-16
21-25
11-19
28-15
18-28
26-24
24-25
22-15
14-24
20-17
12-21
23-21
13-22
34-17
11-18
14-14
22-20
13-24
14-25
153.7Avg total
75.7Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)78.277.7155.9+0.644%
Season at home (4)81.876.8158.5+5.050%
Season away (5)75.478.4153.8-3.040%
Last 10 (10)75.778.0153.7-2.350%
Last 5 (5)75.280.6155.8-5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)65.578.0143.5-12.50%
vs Similar ◀ (13)80.581.2161.7-0.846%
vs Weaker (13)84.379.8164.1+4.569%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ionikos
#8
W
81-74
81
74
+7
H23/01
Basket League
PAOK
#5
W
76-56
76
56
+20
H27/01
Basket League
Larisa
#11
L
75-76
75
76
-1
A30/01
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
W
91-59
91
59
+32
H06/02
Basket League
Lavrio
#11
L
85-90 OT
85
90
-5
A10/02
Greek Cup
Harilaos Trikoupis
#12
W
98-76
98
76
+22
H06/03
Basket League
Turk Telekom
#13
W
74-65
74
65
+9
H10/03
Champions League
PAOK
#5
W
87-85 OT
87
85
+2
A13/03
Basket League
Strasbourg
#15
W
77-68
77
68
+9
H16/03
Champions League
Iraklis
#10
W
100-97 OT
100
97
+3
H20/03
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-18
19-19
20-19
28-18
26-6
18-21
17-12
15-17
20-21
23-30
17-13
15-12
19-17
25-11
23-14
24-17
24-16
13-19
21-17
16-22
27-24
25-16
24-20
22-16
16-12
22-19
19-15
17-19
19-17
18-19
20-16
17-22
15-22
24-14
17-20
21-12
21-17
15-26
27-17
22-25
159.0Avg total
84.4Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)83.178.1161.2+5.075%
Season at home (5)85.875.8161.6+10.0100%
Season away (3)78.782.0160.7-3.333%
Last 10 (10)84.474.6159.0+9.880%
Last 5 (5)87.278.2165.4+9.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)78.785.7164.3-7.00%
vs Similar ◀ (10)81.078.5159.5+2.560%
vs Weaker (16)84.571.4155.9+13.194%
This opponent (Strasbourg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.5+4.5Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: -4.1-4.1Q4: +1.7+1.7
StrasbourgAEK Athens
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
StrasbourgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Roanne
#15
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A16/01
LNB
Rytas
#31
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A26/01
Champions League
Cholet
#14
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H01/02
LNB
Levallois
#6
W
47-27
47
27
+20
A06/02
LNB
Turk Telekom
#13
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A02/03
Champions League
Nizhny Novgorod
#8
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H10/03
Champions League
Chalon/Saone
#17
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H13/03
LNB
AEK Athens
#12
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A16/03
Champions League
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#16
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A18/03
LNB
Dijon
#8
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A20/03
French Cup
76.0Avg total
38.6Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.339.380.6+2.060%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.240.483.6+2.877%-
Last 30 away (17)39.838.578.4+1.347%-
Last 10 (10)38.637.476.0+1.250%-
Last 5 (5)38.037.675.6+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.031.567.5+4.5100%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)42.939.882.7+3.269%-
vs Weaker (13)41.540.181.6+1.546%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ionikos
#8
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H23/01
Basket League
PAOK
#5
W
44-27
44
27
+17
H27/01
Basket League
Larisa
#11
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A30/01
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H06/02
Basket League
Lavrio
#11
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A10/02
Greek Cup
Harilaos Trikoupis
#12
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H06/03
Basket League
Turk Telekom
#13
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H10/03
Champions League
PAOK
#5
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A13/03
Basket League
Strasbourg
#15
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H16/03
Champions League
Iraklis
#10
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H20/03
Basket League
76.7Avg total
40.3Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.437.579.0+3.973%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.437.480.8+6.182%-
Last 30 away (13)38.837.876.6+1.162%-
Last 10 (10)40.336.476.7+3.970%-
Last 5 (5)40.437.277.6+3.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)42.343.085.3-0.767%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)40.137.677.7+2.570%-
vs Weaker (16)42.436.679.0+5.875%-
This opponent (Strasbourg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Strasbourgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Strasbourg: 76.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.019.0
50.0%
52.7%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.89.0
36.3%
35.4%27.0
🏀 Free throws14.411.3
78.5%
73.2%11.3
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.520.0
51.9%
52.7%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.78.3
36.6%
35.4%24.9
🏀 Free throws21.316.4
77.0%
73.2%16.4
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Mar 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Strasbourg
LWLWLLWWLW
AEK Athens
WWWWWLWLWW
#15
League position
#12
-0.6
Net rating
+14.2
105.6
Offensive rating
116.6
106.1
Defensive rating
102.4
51.8%
Effective FG%
53.0%
55.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
18.9%
Turnover %
18.0%
31.0%
Off. rebound %
38.4%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.35
36.3%
3-point %
36.6%
65.4%
Assist %
67.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence105.6 · 116.6Defence106.1 · 102.4Shooting51.8% · 53.0%3-point %36.3% · 36.6%Ball care18.9% · 18.0%Off. rebounds31.0% · 38.4%Free throws0.23 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Strasbourg   ■ AEK Athens
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Strasbourg wins
3
AEK Athens wins
DateGameScore
16/03/21AEK Athens v Strasbourg77-68
04/04/18Strasbourg v AEK Athens83-83
28/03/18AEK Athens v Strasbourg78-69
23/01/18AEK Athens v Strasbourg87-88
07/11/17Strasbourg v AEK Athens80-78
Strasbourglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/03/21ADijon63-83
18/03/21AGravelines-Dunkerque81-78
16/03/21AAEK Athens68-77
13/03/21HChalon/Saone96-92
10/03/21HNizhny Novgorod68-73
02/03/21ATurk Telekom76-83
06/02/21ALevallois71-63
01/02/21HCholet75-72
26/01/21ARytas77-81
16/01/21ARoanne82-78
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/03/21HIraklis100-97 OT
16/03/21HStrasbourg77-68
13/03/21APAOK87-85 OT
10/03/21HTurk Telekom74-65
06/03/21HHarilaos Trikoupis98-76
10/02/21ALavrio85-90 OT
06/02/21HPeristeri91-59
30/01/21ALarisa75-76
27/01/21HPAOK76-56
23/01/21HIonikos81-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Strasbourg
Champions League 2020
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL44%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayWWLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %44%50%40%
Points / game78.281.875.4
Allowed / game77.776.878.4
Point differential+0.6+5.0-3.0
Avg total155.9158.5153.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %11%25%0%
AEK Athens
Champions League 2020
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW75%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %75%100%33%
Points / game83.185.878.7
Allowed / game78.175.882.0
Point differential+5.0+10.0-3.3
Avg total161.2161.6160.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Pablo Burgos87188%90.078.0+12.0
2 Bamberg97278%86.474.8+11.7
3 Nizhny Novgorod97278%83.276.0+7.2
4 Basket Zaragoza97278%86.185.4+0.7
5 Nymburk86275%90.981.1+9.8
6 AEK Athens86275%83.178.1+5.0
7 Tenerife107370%87.080.9+6.1
8 Hapoel Holon107370%79.976.9+3.0
9 Brindisi96367%85.183.2+1.9
10 Dijon64267%76.274.8+1.3
11 Bakken Bears85362%87.581.1+6.4
12 Karsiyaka106460%78.173.4+4.7
13 Turk Telekom106460%78.880.7-1.9
14 Igokea116555%76.176.9-0.8
15 Donar Groningen21150%72.556.5+16.0
16 Szombathely63350%82.278.5+3.7
17 Sporting CP21150%74.074.0+0.0
18 Belfius Mons21150%76.077.5-1.5
19 Minsk84450%75.577.8-2.2
20 Sassari84450%87.089.2-2.2
21 Neptunas21150%68.071.0-3.0
22 Tofas94544%83.981.1+2.8
23 Strasbourg94544%78.277.7+0.6
24 VEF Riga94544%77.377.9-0.6
25 Hapoel Jerusalem62433%82.080.3+1.7
26 Peristeri62433%76.377.0-0.7
27 Bilbao62433%74.275.2-1.0
28 Limoges62433%76.577.7-1.2
29 Cholet62433%76.378.0-1.7
30 Oostende62433%80.786.2-5.5
31 Rytas62433%77.885.7-7.8
32 Keravnos82625%69.885.1-15.4
33 Darussafaka61517%75.284.0-8.8
34 Galatasaray61517%82.591.8-9.3
35 Iraklis1010%94.096.0-2.0
36 London Lions1010%73.077.0-4.0
37 Fribourg Olympic1010%78.084.0-6.0
38 Cluj Napoca1010%75.082.0-7.0
39 Balkan1010%65.073.0-8.0
40 Anwil Wloclawek1010%69.081.0-12.0
41 Lublin6060%72.085.0-13.0
42 Fortitudo Bologna6060%63.882.0-18.2
43 Hapoel Tel-Aviv1010%71.091.0-20.0
44 BC Dnipro1010%53.088.0-35.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Strasbourg3121211891
AEK Athens1827131573
← all games of the day
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