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Sweden vs Slovenia Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 01 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 83-94
16-31 26-18 22-24 19-21
Position#47
Record0-1
FormWLLLL
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game97.0
vs
Position#44
Record0-1
FormWWWLL
Points / game93.0
Allowed / game94.0
EuropeWorld CupRound 2· Scandinavium
Other2027
Meetings · Sweden v Slovenia
01 Dec 2025
SWED83
SLOV94
03 Jul 2022
SWED81
SLOV84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sweden winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Slovenia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSweden
Date
Competition
Germany
#8
L
61-80
61
80
-19
no box
A25/11
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#13
L
77-81 OT
77
81
-4
73avg 73
A20/02
EuroBasket
Montenegro
#19
W
86-83 OT
86
83
+3
88avg 73
H23/02
EuroBasket
Finland
#10
L
90-93
90
93
-3
90avg 73
H27/08
EuroBasket
Germany
#1
L
83-105
83
105
-22
67avg 73
A29/08
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#20
W
78-59
78
59
+19
74avg 73
A30/08
EuroBasket
Montenegro
#19
L
81-87
81
87
-6
72avg 73
H01/09
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
L
71-74
71
74
-3
64avg 73
A03/09
EuroBasket
Turkey
#2
L
79-85
79
85
-6
77avg 73
A06/09
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#49
L
80-97
80
97
-17
no box
A28/11
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
12-18
17-19
13-20
22-25
17-9
15-24
16-12
20-14
12-19
21-18
19-21
21-26
27-23
24-23
18-21
17-27
25-32
24-25
17-21
19-13
16-17
26-17
17-12
15-18
19-22
31-24
16-23
21-14
18-19
14-21
18-20
23-20
19-17
13-26
24-22
22-27
24-20
17-27
17-23
163.0Avg total
78.6Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)80.097.0177.0-17.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)80.097.0177.0-17.00%
Last 10 (10)78.684.4163.0-5.820%
Last 5 (5)77.880.4158.2-2.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)74.281.5155.7-7.325%
vs Similar ◀ (3)83.391.7175.0-8.30%
vs Weaker (15)83.073.3156.3+9.767%
This opponent (Slovenia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSlovenia
Date
Competition
Ukraine
#36
W
84-71
84
71
+13
84avg 81
A21/02
EuroBasket
Israel
#5
L
74-84
74
84
-10
69avg 81
A24/02
EuroBasket
Poland
#9
L
95-105
95
105
-10
91avg 81
H28/08
EuroBasket
France
#5
L
95-103
95
103
-8
88avg 81
A30/08
EuroBasket
Belgium
#16
W
86-69
86
69
+17
86avg 81
H31/08
EuroBasket
Iceland
#22
W
87-79
87
79
+8
75avg 81
A02/09
EuroBasket
Israel
#12
W
106-96
106
96
+10
109avg 81
A04/09
EuroBasket
Italy
#7
W
84-77
84
77
+7
74avg 81
A07/09
EuroBasket
Germany
#1
L
91-99
91
99
-8
82avg 81
A10/09
EuroBasket
Estonia
#58
L
93-94 OT
93
94
-1
no box
H28/11
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-22
21-14
21-19
18-16
15-11
16-25
28-25
15-23
25-29
21-18
23-33
26-25
30-28
24-19
16-21
25-35
16-10
27-21
21-17
22-21
21-20
15-15
24-11
27-33
26-22
30-21
23-22
27-31
29-11
21-29
22-16
12-21
32-21
19-24
23-25
17-29
20-19
18-20
20-26
21-14
177.2Avg total
89.5Scored
87.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)93.094.0187.0-1.00%
Season at home (1)93.094.0187.0-1.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)89.587.7177.2+1.850%
Last 5 (5)92.289.0181.2+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)85.891.8177.5-6.038%
vs Similar ◀ (15)87.282.8170.0+4.467%
vs Weaker (7)85.976.9162.7+9.071%
This opponent (Sweden) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -3.8-3.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -3.8-3.8
SwedenSlovenia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SwedenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Germany
#8
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A25/11
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#13
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A20/02
EuroBasket
Montenegro
#19
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H23/02
EuroBasket
Finland
#10
L
48-49
48
49
-1
H27/08
EuroBasket
Germany
#1
L
42-59
42
59
-17
A29/08
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#20
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A30/08
EuroBasket
Montenegro
#19
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H01/09
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A03/09
EuroBasket
Turkey
#2
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A06/09
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#49
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A28/11
World Cup
79.1Avg total
38.8Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.238.277.4+1.050%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.436.273.6+1.243%-
Last 30 away (16)40.840.080.8+0.856%-
Last 10 (10)38.840.379.1-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)39.237.476.6+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)38.141.879.9-3.833%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)43.743.387.0+0.333%-
vs Weaker (15)39.234.373.5+4.967%-
This opponent (Slovenia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SloveniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ukraine
#36
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A21/02
EuroBasket
Israel
#5
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A24/02
EuroBasket
Poland
#9
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H28/08
EuroBasket
France
#5
W
54-47
54
47
+7
A30/08
EuroBasket
Belgium
#16
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H31/08
EuroBasket
Iceland
#22
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A02/09
EuroBasket
Israel
#12
W
56-43
56
43
+13
A04/09
EuroBasket
Italy
#7
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A07/09
EuroBasket
Germany
#1
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A10/09
EuroBasket
Estonia
#58
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H28/11
World Cup
84.9Avg total
45.0Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.041.384.3+1.663%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.242.185.3+1.254%-
Last 30 away (17)42.840.883.5+2.071%-
Last 10 (10)45.039.984.9+5.170%-
Last 5 (5)46.240.486.6+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)46.543.489.9+3.162%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)42.041.283.2+0.860%-
vs Weaker (7)41.039.380.3+1.771%-
This opponent (Sweden) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Swedentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sweden: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.318.1
49.9%
-36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.79.0
35.0%
-27.0
🏀 Free throws19.413.5
69.6%
-13.5
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sloveniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Slovenia: 87.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀26%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws23.0 pts a game · 26% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.017.6
55.0%
-35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.79.7
31.6%
-29.1
🏀 Free throws28.823.0
79.9%
-23.0
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sweden
LLLLWLLWLL
Slovenia
LLWWWWLLLW
#47
League position
#44
-6.0
Net rating
+1.8
104.0
Offensive rating
114.9
109.9
Defensive rating
113.0
51.0%
Effective FG%
51.3%
46.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.0%
16.7%
Turnover %
17.4%
23.9%
Off. rebound %
35.4%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.46
35.0%
3-point %
31.6%
68.6%
Assist %
70.7%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Sweden   ■ Slovenia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Sweden wins
2
Slovenia wins
DateGameScore
03/07/22Sweden v Slovenia81-84
28/11/21Slovenia v Sweden94-89
Swedenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/11/25ACzech Republic80-97
06/09/25ATurkey79-85
03/09/25ALithuania71-74
01/09/25HMontenegro81-87
30/08/25AGreat Britain78-59
29/08/25AGermany83-105
27/08/25HFinland90-93
23/02/25HMontenegro86-83 OT
20/02/25ABulgaria77-81 OT
25/11/24AGermany61-80
Slovenialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/11/25HEstonia93-94 OT
10/09/25AGermany91-99
07/09/25AItaly84-77
04/09/25AIsrael106-96
02/09/25AIceland87-79
31/08/25HBelgium86-69
30/08/25AFrance95-103
28/08/25HPoland95-105
24/02/25AIsrael74-84
21/02/25AUkraine84-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sweden
World Cup 2027
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game80.0-80.0
Allowed / game97.0-97.0
Point differential-17.0--17.0
Avg total177.0-177.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Slovenia
World Cup 2027
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game93.093.0-
Allowed / game94.094.0-
Point differential-1.0-1.0-
Avg total187.0187.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %100%100%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Canada110100%111.075.0+36.0
2 Jordan220100%87.053.5+33.5
3 Philippines220100%91.058.5+32.5
4 Croatia550100%96.465.6+30.8
5 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
6 Saudi Arabia220100%78.054.0+24.0
7 Turkey220100%89.065.5+23.5
8 Iran220100%90.069.5+20.5
9 Germany220100%86.066.5+19.5
10 Spain220100%82.062.5+19.5
11 Greece220100%83.566.0+17.5
12 Uruguay220100%88.571.0+17.5
13 Czech Republic110100%97.080.0+17.0
14 Japan220100%85.068.5+16.5
15 Brazil220100%80.064.0+16.0
16 Argentina110100%80.068.0+12.0
17 Poland110100%90.078.0+12.0
18 Guinea330100%72.360.7+11.7
19 South Korea220100%85.076.0+9.0
20 Dominican Republic110100%92.085.0+7.0
21 Australia220100%81.578.0+3.5
22 Serbia220100%82.079.0+3.0
23 Colombia110100%80.078.0+2.0
24 Jamaica110100%92.090.0+2.0
25 Estonia110100%94.093.0+1.0
26 Ukraine65183%82.572.8+9.7
27 Netherlands54180%79.873.0+6.8
28 South Sudan32167%81.364.7+16.7
29 Switzerland128467%75.466.5+8.9
30 Tunisia32167%74.770.0+4.7
31 Cameroon32167%71.369.7+1.7
32 Cape Verde32167%82.086.7-4.7
33 Hungary53260%82.072.8+9.2
34 Romania106460%75.674.6+1.0
35 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
36 Austria95456%88.077.8+10.2
37 Portugal21150%75.569.0+6.5
38 France21150%77.573.0+4.5
39 Great Britain21150%89.086.5+2.5
40 Qatar21150%80.079.0+1.0
41 Finland21150%82.582.5+0.0
42 Lithuania21150%85.085.0+0.0
43 Iceland21150%82.583.0-0.5
44 Lebanon21150%79.080.0-1.0
45 Italy21150%79.081.0-2.0
46 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
47 Montenegro21150%71.079.0-8.0
48 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
49 Denmark62433%75.080.3-5.3
50 Nigeria31233%69.375.3-6.0
51 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
52 Slovakia41325%75.580.8-5.2
53 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
54 Bulgaria41325%75.886.0-10.2
55 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
56 North Macedonia41325%69.582.5-13.0
57 Norway82625%66.981.0-14.1
58 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
59 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
60 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
61 Slovenia1010%93.094.0-1.0
62 Puerto Rico1010%90.092.0-2.0
63 Venezuela1010%78.080.0-2.0
64 New Zealand2020%78.081.5-3.5
65 Mexico1010%85.092.0-7.0
66 Latvia1010%78.086.0-8.0
67 China2020%76.085.0-9.0
68 Rwanda3030%68.378.7-10.3
69 Bosnia & Herzegovina2020%71.583.5-12.0
70 Cuba1010%68.080.0-12.0
71 Libya3030%66.780.3-13.7
72 Belgium1010%63.079.0-16.0
73 Chile2020%64.080.0-16.0
74 Chinese Taipei2020%68.585.0-16.5
75 Sweden1010%80.097.0-17.0
76 Panama2020%71.088.5-17.5
77 Israel1010%69.089.0-20.0
78 Iraq2020%69.590.0-20.5
79 Georgia2020%70.091.0-21.0
80 India2020%54.078.0-24.0
81 Cyprus2020%62.091.5-29.5
82 Guam2020%58.591.0-32.5
83 Syria2020%53.587.0-33.5
84 Bahamas1010%75.0111.0-36.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 84 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sweden1626221983
Slovenia3118242194
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