Sydney vs Melbourne United Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Feb 2017

Tip-off: 08:30

Final 76-89

18-30 21-15 16-15 21-29

Position#7

Record13-13

FormLLLWW

Points / game82.5

Allowed / game81.6

Sydney

Melbourne United 🏆

Position#6

Record11-13

FormLLWLL

Points / game84.2

Allowed / game83.5

NBL

Other2016-17

Meetings · Sydney v Melbourne United

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sydney winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Melbourne United winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sydney

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Melbourne United

81-88

-7

H11/12

NBL

Adelaide

80-82

-2

A16/12

NBL

Adelaide

96-103

103

-7

H18/12

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

75-87

-12

H23/12

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

85-80

H30/12

NBL

Perth

74-80

-6

H07/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

74-92

-18

A13/01

NBL

Adelaide

73-87

-14

A21/01

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

80-77

A27/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

84-57

+27

H29/01

NBL

16-20

23-21

18-28

24-19

26-31

16-10

23-15

15-26

26-25

25-24

23-30

22-24

17-23

21-18

25-17

12-29

23-20

23-22

15-21

24-17

18-27

16-11

20-19

20-23

21-24

15-19

25-17

13-32

28-25

9-20

22-23

14-19

24-17

12-18

23-23

21-19

23-19

22-13

26-7

13-18

163.5Avg total

80.2Scored

83.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (26)	82.5	81.6	164.1	+0.9	50%
Season at home (13)	83.4	80.1	163.5	+3.3	54%
Season away (13)	81.6	83.1	164.7	-1.5	46%
Last 10 (10)	80.2	83.3	163.5	-3.1	30%
Last 5 (5)	77.0	78.6	155.6	-1.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	92.0	86.0	178.0	+6.0	50%
vs Similar ◀ (28)	83.7	83.1	166.9	+0.6	46%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Melbourne United) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Melbourne United Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sydney

88-81

A11/12

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

90-100

100

-10

A17/12

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

97-59

+38

H26/12

NBL

Cairns Taipans

79-78

A29/12

NBL

Adelaide

104-73

104

+31

H01/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

88-106

106

-18

A07/01

NBL

Adelaide

73-100

100

-27

A12/01

NBL

Cairns Taipans

92-85

H14/01

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

71-88

-17

A21/01

NBL

Perth

71-73

-2

A28/01

NBL

20-16

21-23

28-18

19-24

23-20

26-30

23-29

18-21

21-24

23-13

20-12

33-10

20-21

18-23

24-20

17-14

27-17

33-26

16-8

28-22

25-25

26-32

20-25

17-24

24-17

18-24

17-24

14-35

23-25

23-14

28-29

18-17

20-17

12-24

23-22

16-25

19-16

19-25

16-14

17-18

169.6Avg total

85.3Scored

84.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (24)	84.2	83.5	167.8	+0.7	46%
Season at home (12)	87.8	79.9	167.8	+7.9	67%
Season away (12)	80.6	87.2	167.8	-6.6	25%
Last 10 (10)	85.3	84.3	169.6	+1.0	50%
Last 5 (5)	79.0	90.4	169.4	-11.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	91.0	85.0	176.0	+6.0	100%
vs Similar ◀ (25)	82.2	84.5	166.8	-2.3	40%
vs Weaker (4)	84.0	79.2	163.2	+4.8	50%

This opponent (Sydney) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

SydneyMelbourne United

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	22.3	43.6	-1.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.6	20.9	41.5	-0.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.8	23.6	45.4	-1.9	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	23.1	45.3	-0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	22.4	45.2	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	25.0	22.5	47.5	+2.5	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (28)	21.0	22.3	43.3	-1.4	36%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	20.8	41.6	+0.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.1	21.1	41.2	-0.9	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.4	20.6	42.0	+0.9	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	19.8	42.0	+2.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	20.0	42.2	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	31.0	26.0	57.0	+5.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (25)	20.7	20.8	41.6	-0.1	40%	-
vs Weaker (4)	19.0	19.2	38.2	-0.2	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	19.7	40.5	+1.2	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.2	19.0	41.2	+3.2	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.6	20.2	39.9	-0.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	17.6	35.8	+0.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.8	16.2	31.0	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	25.0	23.5	48.5	+1.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (28)	20.5	19.4	39.9	+1.1	64%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	21.0	42.5	+0.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.4	17.6	41.0	+5.7	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.8	24.0	43.8	-4.2	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	23.4	45.3	-1.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	23.8	43.4	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	19.0	27.0	46.0	-8.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (25)	21.4	21.1	42.4	+0.3	44%	-
vs Weaker (4)	22.5	19.2	41.8	+3.2	50%	-

SydneyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Melbourne United

39-41

-2

H11/12

NBL

Adelaide

42-41

A16/12

NBL

Adelaide

51-49

H18/12

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

38-41

-3

H23/12

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

46-42

H30/12

NBL

Perth

34-38

-4

H07/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

36-43

-7

A13/01

NBL

Adelaide

37-45

-8

A21/01

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

36-35

A27/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

45-32

+13

H29/01

NBL

81.1Avg total

40.4Scored

40.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.1	42.0	84.1	+0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.9	39.9	82.7	+3.0	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.4	43.9	85.2	-2.5	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.4	40.7	81.1	-0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	38.6	76.2	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	50.0	46.0	96.0	+4.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (28)	41.5	41.7	83.2	-0.2	46%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Melbourne United) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Melbourne UnitedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sydney

41-39

A11/12

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

49-50

-1

A17/12

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

44-37

H26/12

NBL

Cairns Taipans

38-44

-6

A29/12

NBL

Adelaide

60-43

+17

H01/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

51-57

-6

A07/01

NBL

Adelaide

42-41

A12/01

NBL

Cairns Taipans

46-39

H14/01

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

32-41

-9

A21/01

NBL

Perth

38-41

-3

A28/01

NBL

87.3Avg total

44.1Scored

43.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.3	41.8	84.1	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	43.5	38.7	82.2	+4.8	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.2	44.6	85.8	-3.4	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.1	43.2	87.3	+0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	43.8	85.6	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	50.0	53.0	103.0	-3.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (25)	42.1	41.9	84.0	+0.2	52%	-
vs Weaker (4)	41.5	38.5	80.0	+3.0	50%	-

This opponent (Sydney) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	19.8	41.0	+1.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.0	19.4	40.4	+1.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.4	20.2	41.6	+1.2	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	20.0	42.0	+2.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	17.8	41.0	+5.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	20.0	21.5	41.5	-1.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (28)	21.3	19.7	41.0	+1.6	54%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	19.3	39.4	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.7	19.8	40.5	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.4	18.9	38.4	+0.5	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	20.1	41.6	+1.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	22.8	43.6	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	18.0	12.0	30.0	+6.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (25)	20.0	19.4	39.4	+0.6	52%	-
vs Weaker (4)	20.5	20.8	41.2	-0.2	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	21.0	41.5	-0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.9	20.6	41.6	+0.3	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.2	21.2	41.4	-1.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	22.6	40.4	-4.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	22.2	38.4	-6.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	22.0	18.5	40.5	+3.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (28)	20.4	21.1	41.6	-0.7	46%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	22.0	41.9	-2.2	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.1	20.4	41.6	+0.7	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.7	23.4	42.1	-4.8	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	21.0	40.7	-1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	23.8	40.2	-7.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	13.0	16.0	29.0	-3.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (25)	19.8	22.6	42.4	-2.8	36%	-
vs Weaker (4)	22.0	20.0	42.0	+2.0	25%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.7	40.8	82.5	+1.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.9	40.0	81.9	+1.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.6	41.4	83.0	+0.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.8	42.6	82.4	-2.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	40.0	79.4	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	42.0	40.0	82.0	+2.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (28)	41.7	40.8	82.5	+0.9	43%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.9	41.4	81.2	-1.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.9	40.2	82.1	+1.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.1	42.4	80.5	-4.2	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.2	41.1	82.3	+0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	46.6	83.8	-9.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	31.0	28.0	59.0	+3.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (25)	39.8	42.0	81.8	-2.2	56%	-
vs Weaker (4)	42.5	40.8	83.2	+1.8	25%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Sydney wins

Melbourne United wins

Date	Game	Score
11/12/16	Sydney v Melbourne United	81-88
26/11/16	Melbourne United v Sydney	95-92
12/11/16	Melbourne United v Sydney	71-87
30/12/15	Sydney v Melbourne United	90-100
16/12/15	Melbourne United v Sydney	81-96
05/11/15	Sydney v Melbourne United	94-105
01/11/15	Melbourne United v Sydney	96-82
22/02/15	Melbourne United v Sydney	95-92
20/02/15	Sydney v Melbourne United	88-91
02/01/15	Sydney v Melbourne United	68-82

Sydneylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
29/01/17	H	New Zealand Breakers	84-57
27/01/17	A	Brisbane Bullets	80-77
21/01/17	A	Adelaide	73-87
13/01/17	A	New Zealand Breakers	74-92
07/01/17	H	Perth	74-80
30/12/16	H	New Zealand Breakers	85-80
23/12/16	H	Illawarra Hawks	75-87
18/12/16	H	Adelaide	96-103
16/12/16	A	Adelaide	80-82
11/12/16	H	Melbourne United	81-88

Melbourne Unitedlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/01/17	A	Perth	71-73
21/01/17	A	Brisbane Bullets	71-88
14/01/17	H	Cairns Taipans	92-85
12/01/17	A	Adelaide	73-100
07/01/17	A	Illawarra Hawks	88-106
01/01/17	H	Adelaide	104-73
29/12/16	A	Cairns Taipans	79-78
26/12/16	H	Brisbane Bullets	97-59
17/12/16	A	Brisbane Bullets	90-100
11/12/16	A	Sydney	88-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sydney

NBL 2016-17

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWW	50%
Home	LLWLW	54%
Away	WLLLW	46%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	26	13	13
Win %	50%	54%	46%
Points / game	82.5	83.4	81.6
Allowed / game	81.6	80.1	83.1
Point differential	+0.9	+3.3	-1.5
Avg total	164.1	163.5	164.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	23%	31%	15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	57% (7)	67% (3)	50% (4)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Melbourne United

NBL 2016-17

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLL	46%
Home	WWWWW	67%
Away	WLLLL	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	24	12	12
Win %	46%	67%	25%
Points / game	84.2	87.8	80.6
Allowed / game	83.5	79.9	87.2
Point differential	+0.7	+7.9	-6.6
Avg total	167.8	167.8	167.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	21%	33%	8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	43% (7)	67% (3)	25% (4)
Overtime %	4%	8%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Adelaide	26	17	9	65%	92.6	89.2	+3.5
2	Illawarra Hawks	26	14	12	54%	88.8	88.0	+0.8
3	Perth	25	13	12	52%	80.8	80.2	+0.6
4	Sydney	26	13	13	50%	82.5	81.6	+0.9
5	New Zealand Breakers	27	13	14	48%	83.9	85.8	-1.9
6	Cairns Taipans	25	12	13	48%	81.3	82.0	-0.7
7	Melbourne United	24	11	13	46%	84.2	83.5	+0.7
8	Brisbane Bullets	27	10	17	37%	81.1	84.7	-3.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Sydney	18	21	16	21	76
Melbourne United	30	15	15	29	89

← all games of the day

Sydney vs Melbourne United Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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