Sydney vs Melbourne United Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 06 Mar 2011

Tip-off: 07:00

Final 95-86

23-20 19-20 28-19 25-27

Position#9

Record6-17

FormWLWWL

Points / game76.7

Allowed / game82.0

Sydney 🏆

Melbourne United

Position#7

Record9-13

FormLWLWW

Points / game79.7

Allowed / game84.4

NBLRound 21

Other2010-11

Meetings · Sydney v Melbourne United

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sydney winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Melbourne United winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sydney

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cairns

48-60

-12

A31/12

NBL

Townsville

73-80

-7

H08/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

81-71

+10

H21/01

NBL

Melbourne United

85-67

+18

A26/01

NBL

Gold Coast

91-94

-3

A30/01

NBL

Adelaide

99-90

H04/02

NBL

Perth

84-98

-14

H11/02

NBL

Cairns

81-69

+12

H18/02

NBL

Cairns

76-75

A25/02

NBL

Townsville

68-96

-28

A26/02

NBL

12-16

12-15

14-11

10-18

23-21

13-27

17-14

20-18

26-22

15-21

22-15

18-13

23-20

15-12

19-16

28-19

19-26

20-22

28-21

24-25

21-19

24-22

28-31

26-18

24-25

20-21

18-30

22-22

26-23

16-21

20-11

19-14

13-22

18-22

23-18

22-13

18-23

20-21

12-23

18-29

158.6Avg total

78.6Scored

80.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	76.7	82.0	158.7	-5.3	26%
Season at home (11)	78.0	83.4	161.4	-5.4	27%
Season away (12)	75.6	80.8	156.3	-5.2	25%
Last 10 (10)	78.6	80.0	158.6	-1.4	50%
Last 5 (5)	81.6	85.6	167.2	-4.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	74.2	82.1	156.3	-7.9	20%
vs Similar ◀ (8)	81.5	81.8	163.2	-0.2	38%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Melbourne United) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Melbourne United Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Adelaide

87-66

+21

H02/01

NBL

Perth

93-86

A07/01

NBL

Townsville

78-94

-16

A14/01

NBL

Cairns

74-95

-21

A15/01

NBL

Cairns

83-76

H22/01

NBL

Sydney

67-85

-18

H26/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

93-72

+21

H06/02

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

91-101

101

-10

A11/02

NBL

Adelaide

86-83 OT

A18/02

NBL

Cairns

70-63

H19/02

NBL

25-16

19-14

20-14

23-22

27-21

20-15

25-19

21-31

22-18

24-27

11-19

21-30

16-20

13-29

17-19

28-27

21-21

19-20

22-21

21-14

20-23

12-15

16-19

19-28

23-16

25-17

23-18

22-21

29-25

21-27

26-20

15-29

21-15

15-22

17-28

22-10

20-20

21-14

13-9

16-20

164.3Avg total

82.2Scored

82.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (22)	79.7	84.4	164.1	-4.6	41%
Season at home (11)	78.4	80.4	158.7	-2.0	45%
Season away (11)	81.1	88.4	169.5	-7.3	36%
Last 10 (10)	82.2	82.1	164.3	+0.1	60%
Last 5 (5)	81.4	80.8	162.2	+0.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	80.7	87.2	167.9	-6.4	28%
vs Similar ◀ (12)	82.2	83.9	166.2	-1.7	58%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Sydney) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

SydneyMelbourne United

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (23)	20.3	21.2	41.5	-0.9	48%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	20.8	20.8	41.6	+0.0	64%	-
Last 30 away (12)	19.8	21.6	41.4	-1.8	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	21.7	42.2	-1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	22.4	42.8	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	20.5	21.7	42.2	-1.3	47%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	20.0	20.2	40.2	-0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	21.3	42.7	+0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.9	21.9	43.8	-0.1	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.9	20.5	41.4	+0.4	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	19.5	41.9	+2.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	19.8	42.4	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	21.7	22.1	43.8	-0.3	44%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	21.0	20.1	41.1	+0.9	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (23)	19.1	21.5	40.6	-2.3	22%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	18.3	23.5	41.7	-5.2	18%	-
Last 30 away (12)	19.9	19.7	39.6	+0.2	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.3	20.4	37.7	-3.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	21.4	41.0	-1.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	18.4	21.9	40.3	-3.5	7%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	20.5	20.6	41.1	-0.1	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	21.6	41.9	-1.2	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.2	19.6	39.8	+0.7	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.4	23.9	44.3	-3.4	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	20.0	38.9	-1.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	19.0	37.8	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	20.3	21.9	42.3	-1.6	22%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	20.3	21.0	41.3	-0.7	42%	-
vs Weaker	no games

SydneyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cairns

24-31

-7

A31/12

NBL

Townsville

36-48

-12

H08/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

41-43

-2

H21/01

NBL

Melbourne United

38-32

A26/01

NBL

Gold Coast

39-48

-9

A30/01

NBL

Adelaide

45-41

H04/02

NBL

Perth

44-46

-2

H11/02

NBL

Cairns

42-44

-2

H18/02

NBL

Cairns

31-44

-13

A25/02

NBL

Townsville

38-44

-6

A26/02

NBL

79.9Avg total

37.8Scored

42.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (23)	39.4	42.7	82.1	-3.3	39%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	39.1	44.3	83.4	-5.2	27%	-
Last 30 away (12)	39.8	41.2	81.0	-1.5	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.8	42.1	79.9	-4.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	43.8	83.8	-3.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	38.9	43.7	82.5	-4.8	27%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	40.5	40.9	81.4	-0.4	62%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Melbourne United) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Melbourne UnitedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Adelaide

44-30

+14

H02/01

NBL

Perth

47-36

+11

A07/01

NBL

Townsville

46-45

A14/01

NBL

Cairns

29-49

-20

A15/01

NBL

Cairns

40-41

-1

H22/01

NBL

Sydney

32-38

-6

H26/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

48-33

+15

H06/02

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

50-52

-2

A11/02

NBL

Adelaide

36-37

-1

A18/02

NBL

Cairns

41-34

H19/02

NBL

80.8Avg total

41.3Scored

39.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.8	42.8	84.6	-1.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.1	41.5	83.6	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.4	44.4	85.7	-3.0	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.3	39.5	80.8	+1.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	38.8	80.2	+2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	42.1	44.0	86.1	-1.9	44%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	41.3	41.1	82.4	+0.2	42%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Sydney) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (23)	18.3	19.6	37.9	-1.3	48%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	19.2	19.7	38.9	-0.5	45%	-
Last 30 away (12)	17.4	19.5	36.9	-2.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	19.0	39.1	+1.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	22.6	42.8	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	17.7	18.7	36.5	-1.0	53%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	19.2	21.2	40.5	-2.0	38%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	20.6	40.0	-1.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.1	20.3	39.4	-1.2	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.8	20.9	40.6	-1.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	18.6	37.6	+0.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	18.8	37.8	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	20.5	20.2	40.7	+0.3	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	17.8	21.1	38.9	-3.2	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (23)	19.0	19.7	38.7	-0.7	48%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	19.7	19.4	39.1	+0.4	55%	-
Last 30 away (12)	18.4	20.0	38.4	-1.6	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	18.9	39.6	+1.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	19.2	40.6	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	17.6	19.7	37.3	-2.1	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	21.8	19.6	41.4	+2.1	62%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	21.4	40.8	-2.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.4	19.7	39.1	-0.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.4	23.3	42.7	-3.9	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	23.2	44.0	-2.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	21.6	40.4	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	17.8	22.2	40.0	-4.4	28%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	21.8	20.1	41.9	+1.8	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (23)	37.3	39.3	76.6	-2.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	38.9	39.1	78.0	-0.2	45%	-
Last 30 away (12)	35.8	39.5	75.3	-3.7	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.8	37.9	78.7	+2.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	41.8	83.4	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	35.3	38.5	73.8	-3.1	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	41.0	40.9	81.9	+0.1	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.8	41.9	80.8	-3.1	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	38.5	40.0	78.5	-1.5	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.2	44.1	83.4	-4.9	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.8	41.8	81.6	-2.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.8	40.4	78.2	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	38.3	42.4	80.7	-4.2	22%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	39.7	41.2	80.8	-1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Sydney wins

Melbourne United wins

Date	Game	Score
26/01/11	Melbourne United v Sydney	67-85
23/12/10	Sydney v Melbourne United	73-82
15/10/10	Melbourne United v Sydney	68-84

Sydneylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/02/11	A	Townsville	68-96
25/02/11	A	Cairns	76-75
18/02/11	H	Cairns	81-69
11/02/11	H	Perth	84-98
04/02/11	H	Adelaide	99-90
30/01/11	A	Gold Coast	91-94
26/01/11	A	Melbourne United	85-67
21/01/11	H	Illawarra Hawks	81-71
08/01/11	H	Townsville	73-80
31/12/10	A	Cairns	48-60

Melbourne Unitedlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
19/02/11	H	Cairns	70-63
18/02/11	A	Adelaide	86-83 OT
11/02/11	A	New Zealand Breakers	91-101
06/02/11	H	Illawarra Hawks	93-72
26/01/11	H	Sydney	67-85
22/01/11	H	Cairns	83-76
15/01/11	A	Cairns	74-95
14/01/11	A	Townsville	78-94
07/01/11	A	Perth	93-86
02/01/11	H	Adelaide	87-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sydney

NBL 2010-11

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWL	26%
Home	LWWLW	27%
Away	LWLWL	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	11	12
Win %	26%	27%	25%
Points / game	76.7	78.0	75.6
Allowed / game	82.0	83.4	80.8
Point differential	-5.3	-5.4	-5.2
Avg total	158.7	161.4	156.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	17%	18%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	17% (6)	0% (1)	20% (5)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Melbourne United

NBL 2010-11

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWW	41%
Home	WWLWW	45%
Away	WLLLW	36%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	22	11	11
Win %	41%	45%	36%
Points / game	79.7	78.4	81.1
Allowed / game	84.4	80.4	88.4
Point differential	-4.6	-2.0	-7.3
Avg total	164.1	158.7	169.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	9%	18%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (5)	50% (2)	67% (3)
Overtime %	5%	0%	9%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	New Zealand Breakers	24	19	5	79%	87.2	84.8	+2.4
2	Perth	24	14	10	58%	85.3	78.8	+6.5
3	Townsville	24	14	10	58%	79.5	77.4	+2.1
4	Cairns	23	12	11	52%	78.7	75.8	+2.9
5	Illawarra Hawks	24	12	12	50%	81.3	81.0	+0.4
6	Gold Coast	23	11	12	48%	85.6	86.8	-1.2
7	Melbourne United	22	9	13	41%	79.7	84.4	-4.6
8	Adelaide	23	8	15	35%	79.6	83.4	-3.8
9	Sydney	23	6	17	26%	76.7	82.0	-5.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Sydney	23	19	28	25	95
Melbourne United	20	20	19	27	86

← all games of the day

Sydney vs Melbourne United Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature