Sydney vs Melbourne United Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Dec 2019

Tip-off: 04:00

Final 111-101

35-25 30-25 31-28 15-23

Position#1

Record10-1

FormLWWWW

Points / game93.6

Allowed / game84.8

Sydney 🏆

Melbourne United

Position#6

Record7-5

FormWWWWL

Points / game98.6

Allowed / game95.2

NBL

Other2019-20

Meetings · Sydney v Melbourne United

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sydney winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Melbourne United winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sydney

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Adelaide

102-80

102

+22

H12/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

96-91

H18/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

76-66

+10

A20/10

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

94-79

+15

H26/10

NBL

Adelaide

98-96 OT

A02/11

NBL

Melbourne United

104-107

104

107

-3

A04/11

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

95-85

+10

A08/11

NBL

Perth

104-85

104

+19

H10/11

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

92-87

H17/11

NBL

South East Melbourne

90-86

A23/11

NBL

30-14

29-28

25-21

18-17

27-28

21-19

24-20

24-24

25-21

15-24

17-13

19-8

25-19

27-13

19-20

23-27

12-24

33-19

24-17

17-26

29-25

26-23

21-28

28-31

25-33

22-27

28-8

20-17

20-20

29-26

30-18

25-21

24-28

27-17

19-20

22-22

25-19

30-18

12-28

23-21

181.3Avg total

95.1Scored

86.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	93.6	84.8	178.5	+8.8	91%
Season at home (5)	97.6	84.4	182.0	+13.2	100%
Season away (6)	90.3	85.2	175.5	+5.2	83%
Last 10 (10)	95.1	86.2	181.3	+8.9	90%
Last 5 (5)	97.0	90.0	187.0	+7.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	84.0	93.3	177.3	-9.3	33%
vs Similar ◀ (17)	89.8	86.6	176.5	+3.2	71%
vs Weaker (10)	87.6	82.7	170.3	+4.9	80%

This opponent (Melbourne United) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Melbourne United Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Perth

93-95

-2

H20/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

104-98

104

H26/10

NBL

Cairns

85-90

-5

A28/10

NBL

South East Melbourne

110-98

110

+12

A02/11

NBL

Sydney

107-104

107

104

H04/11

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

104-101

104

101

A07/11

NBL

Adelaide

109-90

109

+19

H10/11

NBL

South East Melbourne

96-95

H16/11

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

108-94

108

+14

H24/11

NBL

Cairns

86-93

-7

A29/11

NBL

22-19

22-23

21-27

28-26

22-30

29-28

27-23

26-17

31-19

14-22

21-26

19-23

32-26

23-16

25-27

30-29

25-29

23-26

28-21

31-28

27-27

24-26

33-14

20-34

19-27

37-14

24-25

29-24

26-31

21-22

21-19

28-23

27-27

22-21

32-24

27-22

26-20

18-27

13-22

29-24

196.0Avg total

100.2Scored

95.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (12)	98.6	95.2	193.8	+3.3	58%
Season at home (7)	100.7	95.3	196.0	+5.4	71%
Season away (5)	95.6	95.2	190.8	+0.4	40%
Last 10 (10)	100.2	95.8	196.0	+4.4	70%
Last 5 (5)	100.6	94.6	195.2	+6.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (23)	92.7	90.5	183.2	+2.2	52%
vs Weaker (7)	100.0	91.3	191.3	+8.7	71%

This opponent (Sydney) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

SydneyMelbourne United

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.4	21.6	45.0	+1.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.7	21.4	46.1	+3.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.1	21.9	44.0	+0.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.2	23.1	47.3	+1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.6	25.0	49.6	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	25.0	20.0	45.0	+5.0	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	24.1	23.1	47.2	+1.1	47%	-
vs Weaker (10)	21.7	19.7	41.4	+2.0	60%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.0	23.7	46.7	-0.6	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.4	24.9	47.3	-2.5	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.7	22.5	46.1	+1.2	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.7	25.5	51.2	+0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.0	26.4	51.4	-1.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (23)	23.0	23.3	46.3	-0.3	35%	-
vs Weaker (7)	23.3	24.9	48.1	-1.6	43%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.1	21.6	43.7	+0.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.7	22.3	45.0	+0.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.5	20.9	42.3	+0.6	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.9	21.4	47.3	+4.5	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.8	22.2	49.0	+4.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	14.0	23.3	37.3	-9.3	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	22.8	22.1	44.9	+0.8	59%	-
vs Weaker (10)	23.3	20.2	43.5	+3.1	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.8	22.1	44.9	+0.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.6	22.5	47.1	+2.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.0	21.7	42.7	-0.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.3	22.5	45.8	+0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	22.0	46.4	+2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (23)	22.3	22.0	44.3	+0.4	48%	-
vs Weaker (7)	24.3	22.4	46.7	+1.9	43%	-

SydneyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Adelaide

59-42

+17

H12/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

48-47

H18/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

40-45

-5

A20/10

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

52-32

+20

H26/10

NBL

Adelaide

45-43

A02/11

NBL

Melbourne United

55-48

A04/11

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

47-60

-13

A08/11

NBL

Perth

49-46

H10/11

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

51-45

H17/11

NBL

South East Melbourne

55-37

+18

A23/11

NBL

94.6Avg total

50.1Scored

44.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.5	43.2	88.7	+2.3	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	47.4	43.7	91.1	+3.7	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	43.6	42.7	86.3	+0.9	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	50.1	44.5	94.6	+5.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	51.4	47.2	98.6	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	39.0	43.3	82.3	-4.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	46.9	45.1	92.1	+1.8	65%	-
vs Weaker (10)	45.0	39.9	84.9	+5.1	80%	-

This opponent (Melbourne United) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Melbourne UnitedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Perth

44-42

H20/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

51-58

-7

H26/10

NBL

Cairns

45-41

A28/10

NBL

South East Melbourne

55-42

+13

A02/11

NBL

Sydney

48-55

-7

H04/11

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

51-53

-2

A07/11

NBL

Adelaide

56-41

+15

H10/11

NBL

South East Melbourne

47-53

-6

H16/11

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

49-48

H24/11

NBL

Cairns

44-47

-3

A29/11

NBL

97.0Avg total

49.0Scored

48.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.8	45.7	91.6	+0.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	47.0	47.3	94.3	-0.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	44.7	44.1	88.8	+0.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	49.0	48.0	97.0	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	49.4	48.4	97.8	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (23)	45.3	45.3	90.6	+0.0	43%	-
vs Weaker (7)	47.6	47.3	94.9	+0.3	43%	-

This opponent (Sydney) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	21.0	41.6	-0.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.6	21.5	42.1	-0.9	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	20.5	41.1	+0.0	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	19.3	41.2	+2.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	20.4	42.4	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	17.3	22.3	39.7	-5.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	21.5	20.7	42.2	+0.8	41%	-
vs Weaker (10)	19.9	21.1	41.0	-1.2	40%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.3	21.9	45.3	+1.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.4	20.5	44.9	+3.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.3	23.3	45.6	-1.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.5	22.8	47.3	+1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.6	20.8	45.4	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (23)	22.9	21.8	44.7	+1.1	52%	-
vs Weaker (7)	24.9	22.4	47.3	+2.4	43%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	20.9	42.6	+0.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.2	22.2	44.4	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.3	19.5	40.8	+1.7	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	21.4	43.3	+0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	22.4	46.0	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	24.7	21.7	46.3	+3.0	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	21.4	20.8	42.2	+0.5	35%	-
vs Weaker (10)	21.5	20.7	42.2	+0.8	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.7	22.5	46.2	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.5	22.4	46.9	+2.1	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.9	22.6	45.5	+0.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	26.7	25.0	51.7	+1.7	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.6	25.4	52.0	+1.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (23)	23.3	23.1	46.4	+0.2	52%	-
vs Weaker (7)	25.0	20.4	45.4	+4.6	86%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.3	41.9	84.2	+0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.8	43.7	86.5	-0.9	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.8	40.1	81.9	+1.7	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.8	40.7	84.5	+3.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.6	42.8	88.4	+2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	42.0	44.0	86.0	-2.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	42.9	41.5	84.4	+1.4	53%	-
vs Weaker (10)	41.4	41.8	83.2	-0.4	40%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	47.0	44.4	91.5	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	48.9	42.9	91.9	+6.0	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	45.1	45.9	91.1	-0.8	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	51.2	47.8	99.0	+3.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	51.2	46.2	97.4	+5.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (23)	46.2	44.9	91.1	+1.3	52%	-
vs Weaker (7)	49.9	42.9	92.7	+7.0	86%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Sydney wins

Melbourne United wins

Date	Game	Score
04/11/19	Melbourne United v Sydney	107-104
03/03/19	Sydney v Melbourne United	76-90
28/02/19	Melbourne United v Sydney	95-73
08/02/19	Sydney v Melbourne United	97-85
23/12/18	Sydney v Melbourne United	70-75
24/11/18	Melbourne United v Sydney	84-82
05/11/18	Melbourne United v Sydney	77-70
28/01/18	Sydney v Melbourne United	76-93
30/12/17	Sydney v Melbourne United	79-103
11/12/17	Melbourne United v Sydney	95-69

Sydneylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
23/11/19	A	South East Melbourne	90-86
17/11/19	H	Illawarra Hawks	92-87
10/11/19	H	Perth	104-85
08/11/19	A	Brisbane Bullets	95-85
04/11/19	A	Melbourne United	104-107
02/11/19	A	Adelaide	98-96 OT
26/10/19	H	Brisbane Bullets	94-79
20/10/19	A	New Zealand Breakers	76-66
18/10/19	H	New Zealand Breakers	96-91
12/10/19	H	Adelaide	102-80

Melbourne Unitedlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
29/11/19	A	Cairns	86-93
24/11/19	H	Brisbane Bullets	108-94
16/11/19	H	South East Melbourne	96-95
10/11/19	H	Adelaide	109-90
07/11/19	A	New Zealand Breakers	104-101
04/11/19	H	Sydney	107-104
02/11/19	A	South East Melbourne	110-98
28/10/19	A	Cairns	85-90
26/10/19	H	New Zealand Breakers	104-98
20/10/19	H	Perth	93-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sydney

NBL 2019-20

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	91%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WWLWW	83%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	5	6
Win %	91%	100%	83%
Points / game	93.6	97.6	90.3
Allowed / game	84.8	84.4	85.2
Point differential	+8.8	+13.2	+5.2
Avg total	178.5	182.0	175.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	45%	60%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	80% (5)	100% (2)	67% (3)
Overtime %	9%	0%	17%

Melbourne United

NBL 2019-20

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	58%
Home	WWWWW	71%
Away	LLWWL	40%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	12	7	5
Win %	58%	71%	40%
Points / game	98.6	100.7	95.6
Allowed / game	95.2	95.3	95.2
Point differential	+3.3	+5.4	+0.4
Avg total	193.8	196.0	190.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	29%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	43% (7)	50% (4)	33% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Sydney	11	10	1	91%	93.6	84.8	+8.8
2	Perth	12	8	4	67%	89.8	87.4	+2.3
3	Melbourne United	12	7	5	58%	98.6	95.2	+3.3
4	South East Melbourne	11	6	5	55%	97.5	96.0	+1.5
5	Adelaide	11	5	6	45%	98.1	99.4	-1.3
6	Cairns	12	5	7	42%	89.9	90.2	-0.3
7	Brisbane Bullets	12	5	7	42%	90.4	93.7	-3.2
8	New Zealand Breakers	11	3	8	27%	88.8	91.6	-2.8
9	Illawarra Hawks	12	3	9	25%	86.5	94.3	-7.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Sydney	35	30	31	15	111
Melbourne United	25	25	28	23	101

← all games of the day

Sydney vs Melbourne United Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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