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Sydney vs Melbourne United Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 05:00
Final 98-86
22-26 36-17 14-22 26-21
Position#7
Record11-13
FormLLWLL
Points / game95.0
Allowed / game94.1
Sydney 🏆
Australia
vs
Melbourne United
Australia
Position#1
Record17-6
FormWLWLW
Points / game93.7
Allowed / game87.3
AustraliaNBLRound 17· Qudos Bank Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Sydney v Melbourne United
10 Jan 2027
SYDN v MELB
upcoming
29 Dec 2026
SYDN v MELB
upcoming
11 Jan 2026
SYDN97
MELB94
08 Oct 2025
SYDN93
MELB107
09 Jan 2025
SYDN88
MELB90
28 Jan 2024
SYDN98
MELB86
04 Jan 2024
SYDN85
MELB101
25 Dec 2022
SYDN101
MELB80
26 Dec 2021
SYDN68
MELB82
05 Dec 2021
SYDN79
MELB74
29 May 2021
SYDN100
MELB98
19 Mar 2021
SYDN103
MELB75
05 Mar 2020
SYDN89
MELB87
29 Feb 2020
SYDN86
MELB80
26 Jan 2020
SYDN106
MELB88
01 Dec 2019
SYDN111
MELB101
03 Mar 2019
SYDN76
MELB90
08 Feb 2019
SYDN97
MELB85
23 Dec 2018
SYDN70
MELB75
28 Jan 2018
SYDN76
MELB93
30 Dec 2017
SYDN79
MELB103
04 Feb 2017
SYDN76
MELB89
11 Dec 2016
SYDN81
MELB88
30 Dec 2015
SYDN90
MELB100
05 Nov 2015
SYDN94
MELB105
20 Feb 2015
SYDN88
MELB91
02 Jan 2015
SYDN68
MELB82
19 Jan 2014
SYDN97
MELB84
13 Oct 2013
SYDN73
MELB69
18 Jan 2013
SYDN74
MELB77
12 Oct 2012
SYDN85
MELB82
02 Mar 2012
SYDN61
MELB66
04 Nov 2011
SYDN76
MELB94
06 Mar 2011
SYDN95
MELB86
23 Dec 2010
SYDN73
MELB82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sydney winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Melbourne United winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SydneyAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSydney
Date
Competition
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
90-82
90
82
+8
83avg 89
A17/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
L
101-109
101
109
-8
97avg 89
A22/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
90-94
90
94
-4
86avg 89
H25/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
101-82
101
82
+19
93avg 89
H29/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
85-101
85
101
-16
81avg 89
H04/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
93-101
93
101
-8
84avg 89
H07/01
NBL
Adelaide
#9
L
82-95
82
95
-13
64avg 89
A11/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
W
105-76
105
76
+29
107avg 89
H14/01
NBL
Perth
#3
L
98-104
98
104
-6
87avg 89
H21/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
L
98-104
98
104
-6
89avg 89
A25/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
18-9
18-19
33-30
17-29
36-24
15-33
33-23
29-17
19-29
25-31
17-17
27-24
27-21
15-12
32-25
23-18
17-20
19-35
26-28
24-23
15-29
28-28
26-21
19-20
8-22
27-28
28-25
34-19
29-15
26-20
16-22
20-34
37-24
21-22
20-24
27-36
27-25
14-21
30-22
189.1Avg total
94.3Scored
94.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)95.094.1189.0+0.946%
Season at home (12)96.794.4191.1+2.250%
Season away (12)93.293.8187.0-0.542%
Last 10 (10)94.394.8189.1-0.530%
Last 5 (5)95.296.0191.2-0.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (19)90.889.0179.8+1.847%
vs Weaker (11)94.592.5186.9+2.055%
This opponent (Melbourne United) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Melbourne UnitedAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUnited
Date
Competition
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
103-68
103
68
+35
99avg 85
H10/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
106-78
106
78
+28
104avg 85
A14/12
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
107-96
107
96
+11
105avg 85
H16/12
NBL
Perth
#3
W
109-103 OT
109
103
+6
no box
H23/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
L
78-95
78
95
-17
54avg 85
A31/12
NBL
Sydney
#7
W
101-85
101
85
+16
96avg 85
A04/01
NBL
Adelaide
#9
L
96-100
96
100
-4
90avg 85
A06/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
W
82-81
82
81
+1
78avg 85
A12/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
86-107
86
107
-21
74avg 85
A19/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
93-77
93
77
+16
87avg 85
A26/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
36-16
23-22
26-9
35-18
31-28
11-18
29-14
28-23
27-19
25-30
27-24
21-26
21-24
21-21
29-21
19-26
21-19
23-21
15-29
18-23
20-17
35-19
28-26
23-27
19-19
24-31
30-23
17-22
22-22
23-18
20-19
22-24
22-30
14-25
28-28
21-13
29-26
23-20
20-18
185.1Avg total
96.1Scored
89.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)93.787.3181.0+6.474%
Season at home (11)96.588.5185.0+7.973%
Season away (12)91.286.2177.4+5.175%
Last 10 (10)96.189.0185.1+7.170%
Last 5 (5)91.690.0181.6+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)75.572.5148.0+3.050%
vs Similar ◀ (11)95.592.0187.5+3.573%
vs Weaker (17)94.585.4179.9+9.182%
This opponent (Sydney) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +4.1+4.1
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +4.1+4.1
SydneyMelbourne United
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SydneyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A17/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
D
53-53
53
53
+0
A22/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H25/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
54-45
54
45
+9
H29/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H04/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
39-52
39
52
-13
H07/01
NBL
Adelaide
#9
L
27-42
27
42
-15
A11/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
W
63-34
63
34
+29
H14/01
NBL
Perth
#3
L
57-58
57
58
-1
H21/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
L
54-61
54
61
-7
A25/01
NBL
93.6Avg total
47.4Scored
46.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.845.191.9+1.753%-
Last 30 at home (16)48.246.895.0+1.450%-
Last 30 away (14)45.243.288.4+2.057%-
Last 10 (10)47.446.293.6+1.250%-
Last 5 (5)48.049.497.4-1.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (19)46.643.690.2+3.058%-
vs Weaker (11)47.247.895.0-0.645%-
This opponent (Melbourne United) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Melbourne UnitedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H10/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
66-46
66
46
+20
A14/12
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
55-42
55
42
+13
H16/12
NBL
Perth
#3
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H23/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A31/12
NBL
Sydney
#7
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A04/01
NBL
Adelaide
#9
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A06/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A12/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A19/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
50-39
50
39
+11
A26/01
NBL
91.3Avg total
47.0Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.543.188.6+2.453%-
Last 30 at home (12)46.945.292.1+1.858%-
Last 30 away (18)44.641.886.3+2.850%-
Last 10 (10)47.044.391.3+2.740%-
Last 5 (5)42.644.687.2-2.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)38.530.569.0+8.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)42.545.187.6-2.536%-
vs Weaker (17)48.243.491.6+4.959%-
This opponent (Sydney) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sydneytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sydney: 93.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.222.9
57.0%
50.9%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.59.5
30.2%
33.9%28.5
🏀 Free throws23.919.4
81.2%
73.8%19.4
They take 71.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Melbourne Unitedtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Melbourne United: 94.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.724.0
52.5%
50.9%48.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.110.6
39.1%
33.9%31.8
🏀 Free throws21.314.5
68.1%
73.8%14.5
They take 72.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sydney
LLWLLLWLLW
Melbourne United
WLWLWLWWWW
#7
League position
#1
+0.1
Net rating
+5.8
114.3
Offensive rating
115.7
114.1
Defensive rating
109.9
51.8%
Effective FG%
54.8%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
16.2%
Turnover %
14.0%
32.1%
Off. rebound %
29.9%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.29
30.2%
3-point %
39.1%
55.6%
Assist %
56.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence114.3 · 115.7Defence114.1 · 109.9Shooting51.8% · 54.8%3-point %30.2% · 39.1%Ball care16.2% · 14.0%Off. rebounds32.1% · 29.9%Free throws0.33 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Sydney   ■ Melbourne United
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Sydney wins
5
Melbourne United wins
DateGameScore
04/01/24Sydney v Melbourne United85-101
19/11/23Melbourne United v Sydney105-93
25/12/22Sydney v Melbourne United101-80
23/10/22Melbourne United v Sydney69-87
09/10/22Melbourne United v Sydney71-91
26/12/21Sydney v Melbourne United68-82
16/12/21Melbourne United v Sydney89-47
05/12/21Sydney v Melbourne United79-74
29/05/21Sydney v Melbourne United100-98 OT
02/05/21Melbourne United v Sydney103-78
Sydneylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/24ASouth East Melbourne98-104
21/01/24HPerth98-104
14/01/24HNew Zealand Breakers105-76
11/01/24AAdelaide82-95
07/01/24HBrisbane Bullets93-101
04/01/24HMelbourne United85-101
29/12/23HCairns Taipans101-82
25/12/23HIllawarra Hawks90-94
22/12/23ANew Zealand Breakers101-109
17/12/23ATasmania JackJumpers90-82
Melbourne Unitedlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/24ABrisbane Bullets93-77
19/01/24ATasmania JackJumpers86-107
12/01/24ANew Zealand Breakers82-81
06/01/24AAdelaide96-100
04/01/24ASydney101-85
31/12/23ACairns Taipans78-95
23/12/23HPerth109-103 OT
16/12/23HAdelaide107-96
14/12/23ASouth East Melbourne106-78
10/12/23HBrisbane Bullets103-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sydney
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL46%
HomeWLLWL50%
AwayWWLLL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %46%50%42%
Points / game95.096.793.2
Allowed / game94.194.493.8
Point differential+0.9+2.2-0.5
Avg total189.0191.1187.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Melbourne United
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW74%
HomeWLWWW73%
AwayWLWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %74%73%75%
Points / game93.796.591.2
Allowed / game87.388.586.2
Point differential+6.4+7.9+5.1
Avg total181.0185.0177.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%55%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %9%18%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Melbourne United2317674%93.787.3+6.4
2 Perth2416867%94.691.3+3.3
3 Tasmania JackJumpers24121250%90.986.1+4.8
4 Brisbane Bullets25121348%87.790.3-2.6
5 Illawarra Hawks23111248%90.190.2-0.1
6 Sydney24111346%95.094.1+0.9
7 Cairns Taipans25111444%89.491.6-2.2
8 New Zealand Breakers23101343%89.989.6+0.3
9 Adelaide24101442%88.691.8-3.2
10 South East Melbourne25101540%88.395.0-6.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sydney2236142698
Melbourne United2617222186
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