Sydney vs Melbourne United Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 08 Feb 2019

Tip-off: 08:50

Final 97-85

21-21 25-18 27-22 24-24

Position#3

Record16-9

FormLWLWW

Points / game86.6

Allowed / game84.6

Sydney 🏆

Melbourne United

Position#2

Record16-8

FormLWWWW

Points / game93.6

Allowed / game89.0

NBL

Other2018-19

Meetings · Sydney v Melbourne United

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sydney winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Melbourne United winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sydney

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Brisbane Bullets

75-68

H29/12

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

71-78

-7

A05/01

NBL

Cairns

86-82

A07/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

100-92

100

H11/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

84-96

-12

H13/01

NBL

Adelaide

99-119

119

-20

H19/01

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

87-81

A25/01

NBL

Perth

68-88

-20

H27/01

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

95-93

A01/02

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

107-91

107

+16

H03/02

NBL

24-18

21-17

17-19

13-14

15-17

11-19

26-24

19-18

29-18

19-22

17-17

21-25

22-20

32-32

22-23

24-17

20-18

18-28

16-26

30-24

22-27

25-27

24-33

28-32

23-24

24-22

22-19

18-16

23-20

8-27

14-21

23-20

27-26

25-17

24-31

19-19

34-18

23-27

22-16

28-30

176.0Avg total

87.2Scored

88.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (25)	86.6	84.6	171.3	+2.0	64%
Season at home (12)	87.2	87.6	174.8	-0.3	58%
Season away (13)	86.1	81.9	168.0	+4.2	69%
Last 10 (10)	87.2	88.8	176.0	-1.6	60%
Last 5 (5)	91.2	94.4	185.6	-3.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	79.8	87.5	167.2	-7.8	50%
vs Similar ◀ (19)	90.0	85.3	175.3	+4.7	68%
vs Weaker (7)	84.1	80.4	164.6	+3.7	71%

This opponent (Melbourne United) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Melbourne United Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Perth

82-65

+17

H17/12

NBL

Sydney

75-70

A23/12

NBL

Adelaide

101-103

101

103

-2

H26/12

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

86-95

-9

A06/01

NBL

Cairns

99-89 OT

+10

A13/01

NBL

Perth

79-84

-5

A20/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

113-89

113

+24

H23/01

NBL

Adelaide

114-91

114

+23

A28/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

107-87

107

+20

A01/02

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

111-102 OT

111

102

H03/02

NBL

23-16

15-21

23-6

21-22

26-25

14-22

16-13

19-10

22-30

31-26

29-19

19-28

23-19

22-29

22-20

19-27

18-25

14-21

27-26

22-9

14-27

25-19

23-19

17-19

27-20

31-30

37-17

18-22

31-20

17-28

34-27

32-16

30-21

29-13

24-25

24-28

21-29

25-16

34-23

16-28

184.2Avg total

96.7Scored

87.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (24)	93.6	89.0	182.6	+4.5	67%
Season at home (12)	90.5	85.7	176.2	+4.8	75%
Season away (12)	96.7	92.4	189.1	+4.2	58%
Last 10 (10)	96.7	87.5	184.2	+9.2	70%
Last 5 (5)	104.8	90.6	195.4	+14.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (22)	92.3	89.5	181.7	+2.8	59%
vs Weaker (8)	98.5	91.4	189.9	+7.1	88%

This opponent (Sydney) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

SydneyMelbourne United

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.4	20.8	43.2	+1.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.2	20.2	42.4	+2.0	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.7	21.4	44.1	+1.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.9	20.6	44.5	+3.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.8	23.0	48.8	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	21.8	22.8	44.5	-1.0	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	23.4	21.6	45.0	+1.7	53%	-
vs Weaker (7)	20.3	17.4	37.7	+2.9	57%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.7	22.0	45.7	+1.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.5	20.8	45.3	+3.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.9	23.2	46.1	-0.3	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.5	23.2	46.7	+0.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.6	23.4	48.0	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (22)	24.5	22.2	46.7	+2.4	68%	-
vs Weaker (8)	21.5	21.5	43.0	+0.0	38%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	21.3	43.3	+0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.6	22.1	44.7	+0.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.4	20.5	41.9	+0.9	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	23.8	44.4	-3.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	24.0	45.0	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	17.5	21.8	39.2	-4.2	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	23.5	21.6	45.1	+1.8	53%	-
vs Weaker (7)	20.6	20.0	40.6	+0.6	57%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	23.7	45.3	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.1	23.7	46.8	-0.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.2	23.7	43.9	-3.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	22.5	44.8	-0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.4	21.2	46.6	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (22)	21.1	23.9	45.0	-2.8	36%	-
vs Weaker (8)	23.1	23.0	46.1	+0.1	50%	-

SydneyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Brisbane Bullets

45-35

+10

H29/12

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

26-36

-10

A05/01

NBL

Cairns

48-40

A07/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

54-52

H11/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

38-46

-8

H13/01

NBL

Adelaide

47-54

-7

H19/01

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

47-46

A25/01

NBL

Perth

31-47

-16

H27/01

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

52-43

A01/02

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

57-45

+12

H03/02

NBL

88.9Avg total

44.5Scored

44.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.4	42.1	86.5	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.8	42.3	87.1	+2.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	44.1	41.9	85.9	+2.2	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.5	44.4	88.9	+0.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.8	47.0	93.8	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	39.2	44.5	83.8	-5.2	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	46.8	43.3	90.1	+3.6	63%	-
vs Weaker (7)	40.9	37.4	78.3	+3.4	71%	-

This opponent (Melbourne United) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Melbourne UnitedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Perth

38-37

H17/12

NBL

Sydney

40-47

-7

A23/12

NBL

Adelaide

53-56

-3

H26/12

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

45-48

-3

A06/01

NBL

Cairns

32-46

-14

A13/01

NBL

Perth

39-46

-7

A20/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

58-50

H23/01

NBL

Adelaide

48-48

A28/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

59-34

+25

A01/02

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

46-45

H03/02

NBL

91.5Avg total

45.8Scored

45.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.4	45.7	91.1	-0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	47.7	44.5	92.1	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	43.1	46.9	90.0	-3.7	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.8	45.7	91.5	+0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	50.0	44.6	94.6	+5.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (22)	45.7	46.1	91.8	-0.4	45%	-
vs Weaker (8)	44.6	44.5	89.1	+0.1	38%	-

This opponent (Sydney) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	20.8	41.6	+0.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.0	22.0	42.0	-2.0	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.6	19.6	41.2	+2.0	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	22.9	43.3	-2.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	24.0	45.2	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	17.8	20.0	37.8	-2.2	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	21.8	20.8	42.6	+1.0	58%	-
vs Weaker (7)	19.9	21.3	41.1	-1.4	29%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.3	21.1	45.4	+3.2	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.3	20.5	44.7	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	24.3	21.7	46.0	+2.7	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	26.9	19.5	46.4	+7.4	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	30.4	22.2	52.6	+8.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (22)	24.4	20.4	44.7	+4.0	73%	-
vs Weaker (8)	24.1	23.0	47.1	+1.1	38%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	21.4	43.0	+0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.0	22.7	44.7	-0.7	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.1	20.1	41.3	+1.0	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	21.5	43.8	+0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	23.4	46.6	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	22.8	23.0	45.8	-0.2	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	21.4	21.3	42.6	+0.1	42%	-
vs Weaker (7)	21.4	20.9	42.3	+0.6	57%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	20.8	42.0	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.0	21.6	41.6	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.5	20.0	42.5	+2.5	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	20.9	41.6	-0.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	22.6	44.0	-1.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (22)	21.0	22.0	43.0	-1.0	45%	-
vs Weaker (8)	21.9	17.6	39.5	+4.2	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.4	42.2	84.6	+0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.0	44.7	86.7	-2.7	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.7	39.7	82.5	+3.0	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.7	44.4	87.1	-1.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.4	47.4	91.8	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	40.5	43.0	83.5	-2.5	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	43.2	42.1	85.2	+1.1	58%	-
vs Weaker (7)	41.3	42.1	83.4	-0.9	29%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.5	41.9	87.4	+3.7	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.3	42.1	86.3	+2.2	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	46.8	41.7	88.5	+5.1	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.6	40.4	88.0	+7.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	51.8	44.8	96.6	+7.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (22)	45.4	42.3	87.7	+3.0	64%	-
vs Weaker (8)	46.0	40.6	86.6	+5.4	88%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Sydney wins

Melbourne United wins

Date	Game	Score
23/12/18	Sydney v Melbourne United	70-75
24/11/18	Melbourne United v Sydney	84-82
05/11/18	Melbourne United v Sydney	77-70
28/01/18	Sydney v Melbourne United	76-93
30/12/17	Sydney v Melbourne United	79-103
11/12/17	Melbourne United v Sydney	95-69
11/11/17	Melbourne United v Sydney	108-90
04/02/17	Sydney v Melbourne United	76-89
11/12/16	Sydney v Melbourne United	81-88
26/11/16	Melbourne United v Sydney	95-92

Sydneylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
03/02/19	H	Brisbane Bullets	107-91
01/02/19	A	Brisbane Bullets	95-93
27/01/19	H	Perth	68-88
25/01/19	A	Brisbane Bullets	87-81
19/01/19	H	Adelaide	99-119
13/01/19	H	Illawarra Hawks	84-96
11/01/19	H	New Zealand Breakers	100-92
07/01/19	A	Cairns	86-82
05/01/19	A	Illawarra Hawks	71-78
29/12/18	H	Brisbane Bullets	75-68

Melbourne Unitedlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
03/02/19	H	New Zealand Breakers	111-102 OT
01/02/19	A	New Zealand Breakers	107-87
28/01/19	A	Adelaide	114-91
23/01/19	H	Illawarra Hawks	113-89
20/01/19	A	Perth	79-84
13/01/19	A	Cairns	99-89 OT
06/01/19	A	Brisbane Bullets	86-95
26/12/18	H	Adelaide	101-103
23/12/18	A	Sydney	75-70
17/12/18	H	Perth	82-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sydney

NBL 2018-19

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWW	64%
Home	WLLLW	58%
Away	WLWWW	69%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	25	12	13
Win %	64%	58%	69%
Points / game	86.6	87.2	86.1
Allowed / game	84.6	87.6	81.9
Point differential	+2.0	-0.3	+4.2
Avg total	171.3	174.8	168.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	24%	17%	31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	62% (8)	50% (2)	67% (6)
Overtime %	4%	8%	0%

Melbourne United

NBL 2018-19

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	67%
Home	LWLWW	75%
Away	LWLWW	58%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	24	12	12
Win %	67%	75%	58%
Points / game	93.6	90.5	96.7
Allowed / game	89.0	85.7	92.4
Point differential	+4.5	+4.8	+4.2
Avg total	182.6	176.2	189.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	17%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (8)	67% (3)	40% (5)
Overtime %	17%	8%	25%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Melbourne United	24	16	8	67%	93.6	89.0	+4.5
2	Perth	25	16	9	64%	89.6	84.1	+5.5
3	Sydney	25	16	9	64%	86.6	84.6	+2.0
4	Adelaide	26	14	12	54%	96.7	96.1	+0.6
5	Brisbane Bullets	26	13	13	50%	90.4	89.3	+1.1
6	Illawarra Hawks	26	12	14	46%	89.1	93.8	-4.7
7	New Zealand Breakers	25	10	15	40%	93.8	95.2	-1.4
8	Cairns	25	4	21	16%	86.0	93.4	-7.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Sydney	21	25	27	24	97
Melbourne United	21	18	22	24	85

← all games of the day

Sydney vs Melbourne United Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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