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Sydney vs Melbourne United Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 09 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 08:30
Final 88-90
16-32 25-25 23-13 24-20
Position#4
Record13-9
FormWLLWW
Points / game90.5
Allowed / game86.7
vs
Position#2
Record13-9
FormLLLWL
Points / game94.7
Allowed / game90.5
AustraliaNBLRound 16· Qudos Bank Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Sydney v Melbourne United
10 Jan 2027
SYDN v MELB
upcoming
29 Dec 2026
SYDN v MELB
upcoming
11 Jan 2026
SYDN97
MELB94
08 Oct 2025
SYDN93
MELB107
09 Jan 2025
SYDN88
MELB90
28 Jan 2024
SYDN98
MELB86
04 Jan 2024
SYDN85
MELB101
25 Dec 2022
SYDN101
MELB80
26 Dec 2021
SYDN68
MELB82
05 Dec 2021
SYDN79
MELB74
29 May 2021
SYDN100
MELB98
19 Mar 2021
SYDN103
MELB75
05 Mar 2020
SYDN89
MELB87
29 Feb 2020
SYDN86
MELB80
26 Jan 2020
SYDN106
MELB88
01 Dec 2019
SYDN111
MELB101
03 Mar 2019
SYDN76
MELB90
08 Feb 2019
SYDN97
MELB85
23 Dec 2018
SYDN70
MELB75
28 Jan 2018
SYDN76
MELB93
30 Dec 2017
SYDN79
MELB103
04 Feb 2017
SYDN76
MELB89
11 Dec 2016
SYDN81
MELB88
30 Dec 2015
SYDN90
MELB100
05 Nov 2015
SYDN94
MELB105
20 Feb 2015
SYDN88
MELB91
02 Jan 2015
SYDN68
MELB82
19 Jan 2014
SYDN97
MELB84
13 Oct 2013
SYDN73
MELB69
18 Jan 2013
SYDN74
MELB77
12 Oct 2012
SYDN85
MELB82
02 Mar 2012
SYDN61
MELB66
04 Nov 2011
SYDN76
MELB94
06 Mar 2011
SYDN95
MELB86
23 Dec 2010
SYDN73
MELB82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sydney winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Melbourne United winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SydneyAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSydney
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
79-86
79
86
-7
63avg 84
A16/11
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
81-75
81
75
+6
76avg 84
A29/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
98-101
98
101
-3
89avg 84
A01/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
98-83
98
83
+15
90avg 84
A07/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
93-81
93
81
+12
81avg 84
H15/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
92-84
92
84
+8
85avg 84
A20/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
108-111
108
111
-3
100avg 84
H25/12
NBL
Adelaide
#6
L
96-111
96
111
-15
80avg 84
H30/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
W
110-101
110
101
+9
106avg 84
H02/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
91-86
91
86
+5
88avg 84
A04/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-22
13-22
19-23
25-19
20-26
21-16
18-13
22-20
28-27
21-38
26-14
23-22
25-14
27-26
25-15
21-28
25-25
23-29
18-19
27-8
15-19
29-32
23-18
25-15
31-23
27-35
23-30
27-23
12-32
31-30
25-28
28-21
28-30
19-30
25-25
38-16
28-29
17-19
24-23
22-15
186.5Avg total
94.6Scored
91.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)90.586.7177.2+3.959%
Season at home (9)94.088.3182.3+5.756%
Season away (13)88.285.5173.7+2.662%
Last 10 (10)94.691.9186.5+2.760%
Last 5 (5)99.498.6198.0+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)92.097.7189.7-5.70%
vs Similar ◀ (11)91.789.7181.5+2.045%
vs Weaker (16)92.383.6175.9+8.769%
This opponent (Melbourne United) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Melbourne UnitedAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUnited
Date
Competition
Perth
#3
W
106-97
106
97
+9
103avg 85
H09/11
NBL
Adelaide
#6
W
113-93
113
93
+20
109avg 85
H17/11
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
101-98
101
98
+3
102avg 85
H01/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
97-70
97
70
+27
90avg 85
A05/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
L
114-122
114
122
-8
102avg 85
H08/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
93-106
93
106
-13
79avg 85
H13/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
97-109
97
109
-12
88avg 85
A15/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
L
91-97
91
97
-6
86avg 85
H23/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
76-66
76
66
+10
72avg 85
A26/12
NBL
Adelaide
#6
L
81-100
81
100
-19
70avg 85
A04/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-29
20-36
32-12
23-20
29-22
30-24
26-27
28-20
27-28
38-21
14-26
22-23
28-24
18-19
24-7
27-20
28-28
29-29
30-31
27-34
24-27
23-19
15-27
31-33
36-24
23-27
20-32
18-26
26-36
21-15
20-17
24-29
25-13
21-16
13-22
17-15
17-27
25-28
20-22
19-23
192.7Avg total
96.9Scored
95.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)94.790.5185.3+4.259%
Season at home (13)96.694.2190.8+2.554%
Season away (9)92.085.3177.3+6.767%
Last 10 (10)96.995.8192.7+1.150%
Last 5 (5)87.695.6183.2-8.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)92.596.5189.0-4.050%
vs Similar ◀ (12)92.488.1180.5+4.358%
vs Weaker (16)97.192.5189.6+4.656%
This opponent (Sydney) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -4.9-4.9Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +7.1+7.1Q4: -0.7-0.7
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -4.9-4.9Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +7.1+7.1Q4: -0.7-0.7
SydneyMelbourne United
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SydneyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A16/11
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A29/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
49-65
49
65
-16
A01/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
52-40
52
40
+12
A07/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
L
48-54
48
54
-6
H15/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A20/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
D
58-58
58
58
+0
H25/12
NBL
Adelaide
#6
L
43-62
43
62
-19
H30/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
47-60
47
60
-13
H02/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A04/01
NBL
98.6Avg total
46.2Scored
52.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.946.593.4+0.440%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.947.996.9+1.036%-
Last 30 away (16)45.145.290.3-0.144%-
Last 10 (10)46.252.498.6-6.210%-
Last 5 (5)47.455.8103.2-8.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)46.750.096.7-3.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)48.147.395.4+0.845%-
vs Weaker (16)46.145.291.4+0.944%-
This opponent (Melbourne United) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Melbourne UnitedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perth
#3
L
51-65
51
65
-14
H09/11
NBL
Adelaide
#6
W
59-46
59
46
+13
H17/11
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
65-49
65
49
+16
H01/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A05/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
D
57-57
57
57
+0
H08/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H13/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
W
59-51
59
51
+8
A15/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H23/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
46-29
46
29
+17
A26/12
NBL
Adelaide
#6
L
42-55
42
55
-13
A04/01
NBL
101.1Avg total
51.9Scored
49.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.946.395.2+2.663%-
Last 30 at home (18)50.348.698.9+1.756%-
Last 30 away (12)46.842.889.7+4.075%-
Last 10 (10)51.949.2101.1+2.760%-
Last 5 (5)48.246.494.6+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)43.541.585.0+2.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)49.845.395.2+4.575%-
vs Weaker (16)48.947.696.6+1.350%-
This opponent (Sydney) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sydneytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sydney: 93.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.9 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.221.4
50.7%
52.3%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.29.9
35.1%
35.1%29.7
🏀 Free throws28.720.9
72.8%
74.7%20.9
They take 70.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Melbourne Unitedtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Melbourne United: 96.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.322.8
53.9%
52.3%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.711.9
36.4%
35.1%35.7
🏀 Free throws21.314.8
69.5%
74.7%14.8
They take 75.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sydney
WWLLWWWLWL
Melbourne United
LWLLLLWWWW
#4
League position
#2
+2.8
Net rating
+1.6
114.3
Offensive rating
115.9
111.4
Defensive rating
114.3
51.5%
Effective FG%
54.2%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
54.4%
12.8%
Turnover %
15.3%
28.6%
Off. rebound %
33.2%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.28
35.1%
3-point %
36.4%
61.3%
Assist %
65.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence114.3 · 115.9Defence111.4 · 114.3Shooting51.5% · 54.2%3-point %35.1% · 36.4%Ball care12.8% · 15.3%Off. rebounds28.6% · 33.2%Free throws0.41 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Sydney   ■ Melbourne United
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Sydney wins
6
Melbourne United wins
Sydneylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/25ABrisbane Bullets91-86
02/01/25HSouth East Melbourne110-101
30/12/24HAdelaide96-111
25/12/24HIllawarra Hawks108-111
20/12/24ANew Zealand Breakers92-84
15/12/24HBrisbane Bullets93-81
07/12/24ANew Zealand Breakers98-83
01/12/24AMelbourne United98-101
29/11/24ACairns Taipans81-75
16/11/24AIllawarra Hawks79-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/25AAdelaide81-100
26/12/24ACairns Taipans76-66
23/12/24HTasmania JackJumpers91-97
15/12/24ASouth East Melbourne97-109
13/12/24HIllawarra Hawks93-106
08/12/24HBrisbane Bullets114-122
05/12/24ANew Zealand Breakers97-70
01/12/24HSydney101-98
17/11/24HAdelaide113-93
09/11/24HPerth106-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sydney
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW59%
HomeWWLLW56%
AwayWLWWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22913
Win %59%56%62%
Points / game90.594.088.2
Allowed / game86.788.385.5
Point differential+3.9+5.7+2.6
Avg total177.2182.3173.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%33%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)33% (3)40% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Melbourne United
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL59%
HomeWWLLL54%
AwayWWLWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22139
Win %59%54%67%
Points / game94.796.692.0
Allowed / game90.594.285.3
Point differential+4.2+2.5+6.7
Avg total185.3190.8177.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%23%56%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Illawarra Hawks2114767%101.092.2+8.7
2 Melbourne United2213959%94.790.5+4.2
3 Sydney2213959%90.586.7+3.9
4 Perth2112957%97.796.5+1.2
5 South East Melbourne21111052%93.490.2+3.2
6 Tasmania JackJumpers21111052%84.184.6-0.5
7 Brisbane Bullets21101148%94.295.1-0.9
8 Adelaide2091145%92.596.8-4.3
9 New Zealand Breakers2181338%84.690.4-5.9
10 Cairns Taipans2041620%84.395.0-10.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sydney1625232488
Melbourne United3225132090
← all games of the day
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