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Tallinna Kalev vs Rapla Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 28 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 76-82
15-20 18-24 23-13 20-25
Position#16
Record2-9
FormLLLLL
Points / game66.8
Allowed / game83.5
vs
Rapla 🏆
Position#10
Record3-9
FormLLLLL
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game78.4
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Sole Spordikeskus (Tallinn)
Other2023
Meetings · Tallinna Kalev v Rapla
28 Nov 2023
TALL76
RAPL82
15 Oct 2022
TALL90
RAPL73
08 Apr 2022
TALL84
RAPL64
26 Mar 2022
TALL64
RAPL78
01 Apr 2021
TALL72
RAPL87
13 Jan 2021
TALL83
RAPL85
21 Nov 2020
TALL83
RAPL89
14 Feb 2019
TALL83
RAPL86
27 Apr 2018
TALL64
RAPL93
22 Apr 2018
TALL72
RAPL70
11 Nov 2017
TALL76
RAPL70
09 Oct 2017
TALL56
RAPL78
28 Mar 2017
TALL76
RAPL72
25 Feb 2017
TALL74
RAPL98
17 May 2016
TALL66
RAPL74
12 May 2016
TALL82
RAPL83
09 Mar 2016
TALL90
RAPL88
19 Jan 2016
TALL83
RAPL57
20 Nov 2015
TALL61
RAPL80
14 Jan 2015
TALL63
RAPL81
18 Oct 2014
TALL54
RAPL68
30 Jan 2014
TALL75
RAPL68
29 Nov 2013
TALL73
RAPL69
09 Oct 2013
TALL88
RAPL86
22 Feb 2013
TALL70
RAPL75
09 Nov 2012
TALL69
RAPL85
28 Mar 2012
TALL99
RAPL72
02 Dec 2011
TALL67
RAPL61
07 Apr 2011
TALL89
RAPL80
02 Apr 2011
TALL89
RAPL53
29 Mar 2011
TALL100
RAPL82
22 Oct 2010
TALL86
RAPL70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tallinna Kalev winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rapla winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tallinna KalevLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKalev
Date
Competition
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
W
87-79
87
79
+8
75avg 54
H30/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
L
56-69
56
69
-13
50avg 54
H08/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
51-98
51
98
-47
33avg 54
A13/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
L
50-78
50
78
-28
41avg 54
A21/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
L
73-82
73
82
-9
63avg 54
H29/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
63-77
63
77
-14
57avg 54
H01/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
L
63-87
63
87
-24
50avg 54
A09/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
L
66-93
66
93
-27
48avg 54
A10/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
L
75-83
75
83
-8
61avg 54
H19/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
L
73-101
73
101
-28
61avg 54
A25/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-21
14-19
25-23
23-16
18-18
14-17
16-11
8-23
16-24
13-28
14-23
8-23
12-16
6-15
12-24
20-23
21-22
25-19
10-17
17-24
12-21
19-17
19-20
13-19
16-29
15-20
20-18
12-20
18-25
10-21
23-30
15-17
20-22
20-17
16-14
19-30
21-25
15-22
20-29
17-25
150.4Avg total
65.7Scored
84.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)66.883.5150.4-16.718%
Season at home (5)70.878.0148.8-7.220%
Season away (6)63.588.2151.7-24.717%
Last 10 (10)65.784.7150.4-19.010%
Last 5 (5)68.088.2156.2-20.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)67.884.3152.1-16.515%
vs Similar (7)79.182.7161.9-3.614%
vs Weaker (3)91.376.3167.7+15.067%
This opponent (Rapla) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RaplaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRapla
Date
Competition
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
L
75-77 OT
75
77
-2
70avg 65
A06/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
66-90
66
90
-24
55avg 65
A14/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
71-63
71
63
+8
68avg 65
H17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
88-67
88
67
+21
92avg 65
A22/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
L
79-86
79
86
-7
72avg 65
A25/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
67-71
67
71
-4
55avg 65
H28/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
L
65-72
65
72
-7
56avg 65
A02/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
L
78-88
78
88
-10
67avg 65
A03/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
L
81-89 OT
81
89
-8
77avg 65
H11/11
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
71-85
71
85
-14
68avg 65
H17/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
19-14
14-19
14-15
8-28
18-22
25-21
15-19
20-16
22-18
23-17
6-12
26-13
16-27
23-12
23-15
32-16
15-28
21-21
11-21
16-16
18-19
13-15
20-21
21-21
22-19
12-16
10-16
19-19
14-24
21-17
24-28
16-26
24-15
16-19
17-13
15-22
13-22
17-16
26-25
152.9Avg total
74.1Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)74.278.4152.6-4.225%
Season at home (5)72.477.2149.6-4.820%
Season away (7)75.479.3154.7-3.929%
Last 10 (10)74.178.8152.9-4.720%
Last 5 (5)72.481.0153.4-8.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)73.782.0155.7-8.320%
vs Similar (10)74.779.3154.0-4.620%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)84.169.4153.5+14.780%
This opponent (Tallinna Kalev) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -6.8-6.8Q4: -1.9-1.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -6.8-6.8Q4: -1.9-1.9
Tallinna KalevRapla
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Tallinna KalevLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H30/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H08/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
29-52
29
52
-23
A13/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
L
18-31
18
31
-13
A21/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H29/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H01/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A09/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
L
28-46
28
46
-18
A10/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H19/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A25/11
Latvia-Estonian League
74.8Avg total
33.0Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.640.375.9-4.730%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.839.277.0-1.436%-
Last 30 away (16)33.841.275.0-7.525%-
Last 10 (10)33.041.874.8-8.820%-
Last 5 (5)33.243.877.0-10.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)32.541.173.7-8.620%-
vs Similar (7)41.739.080.7+2.743%-
vs Weaker (3)42.037.779.7+4.367%-
This opponent (Rapla) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RaplaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A06/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
26-50
26
50
-24
A14/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A22/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A25/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H28/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A02/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A03/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H11/11
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
28-44
28
44
-16
H17/11
Latvia-Estonian League
78.0Avg total
37.5Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.739.976.6-3.240%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.641.176.7-5.527%-
Last 30 away (15)37.838.776.5-0.953%-
Last 10 (10)37.540.578.0-3.050%-
Last 5 (5)35.640.676.2-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)32.541.473.9-8.910%-
vs Similar (10)36.341.477.7-5.130%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)41.336.878.1+4.580%-
This opponent (Tallinna Kalev) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tallinna Kalevtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tallinna Kalev: 64.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.9 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.616.4
42.5%
50.5%32.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.36.3
25.9%
32.1%18.9
🏀 Free throws18.413.1
71.2%
70.5%13.1
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Raplatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rapla: 72.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.2 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.621.6
50.7%
50.5%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.36.4
28.7%
32.1%19.2
🏀 Free throws16.310.5
64.4%
70.5%10.5
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tallinna Kalev
LLLLLLLLLW
Rapla
LLLLLLWWLL
#16
League position
#10
-25.5
Net rating
-7.4
85.6
Offensive rating
95.9
111.0
Defensive rating
103.3
41.1%
Effective FG%
48.1%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.4%
21.4%
Turnover %
22.1%
27.5%
Off. rebound %
32.6%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.25
25.9%
3-point %
28.7%
51.5%
Assist %
62.9%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence85.6 · 95.9Defence111.0 · 103.3Shooting41.1% · 48.1%3-point %25.9% · 28.7%Ball care21.4% · 22.1%Off. rebounds27.5% · 32.6%Free throws0.29 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)10% · 20%
■ Tallinna Kalev   ■ Rapla
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Tallinna Kalev wins
6
Rapla wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/23ABK Ogre73-101
19/11/23HLatvijas Universitate75-83
10/11/23AVentspils66-93
09/11/23ABK Liepaja63-87
01/11/23HTartu Ulikool63-77
29/10/23HTal Tech73-82
21/10/23ARigas Zelli50-78
13/10/23ABC Kalev/Cramo51-98
08/10/23HViimsi56-69
30/09/23HValmiera Glass Via87-79
Raplalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/23HVEF Riga71-85
11/11/23HParnu81-89 OT
03/11/23AVentspils78-88
02/11/23ABK Liepaja65-72
28/10/23HBC Kalev/Cramo67-71
25/10/23ATal Tech79-86
22/10/23AViimsi88-67
17/10/23HLatvijas Universitate71-63
14/10/23APrometey66-90
06/10/23AValmiera Glass Via75-77 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tallinna Kalev
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL18%
HomeWLLLL20%
AwayLLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %18%20%17%
Points / game66.870.863.5
Allowed / game83.578.088.2
Point differential-16.7-7.2-24.7
Avg total150.4148.8151.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rapla
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL25%
HomeLWLLL20%
AwayLWLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %25%20%29%
Points / game74.272.475.4
Allowed / game78.477.279.3
Point differential-4.2-4.8-3.9
Avg total152.6149.6154.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%0%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %25%20%29%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Kalev/Cramo98189%91.869.7+22.1
2 Prometey98189%89.969.1+20.8
3 Rigas Zelli129375%79.969.0+10.9
4 VEF Riga118373%84.568.8+15.6
5 Tal Tech118373%81.076.4+4.6
6 Tartu Ulikool117464%78.170.4+7.7
7 Ventspils117464%92.185.3+6.8
8 BK Ogre127558%79.976.2+3.7
9 BK Liepaja126650%81.881.8+0.0
10 Parnu105550%73.775.6-1.9
11 Keila KK125742%79.482.2-2.8
12 Rapla123925%74.278.4-4.2
13 Viimsi1331023%66.287.0-20.8
14 Latvijas Universitate1431121%69.185.3-16.2
15 Tallinna Kalev112918%66.883.5-16.7
16 Valmiera Glass Via1221017%74.087.2-13.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tallinna Kalev1518232076
Rapla2024132582
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