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Tartu Ulikool vs Parnu Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 30 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#5
Record5-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game74.0
vs
Position#10
Record2-3
FormLLWWL
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game78.6
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Tartu Ulikooli spordihoone
Other2026
Meetings · Tartu Ulikool v Parnu
30 Jan 2027
TUL v PAR
upcoming
20 Mar 2026
TUL80
PAR71
01 Nov 2025
TUL83
PAR71
30 Nov 2024
TUL94
PAR91
11 May 2024
TUL75
PAR78
07 May 2024
TUL80
PAR77
16 Dec 2023
TUL88
PAR78
12 May 2023
TUL78
PAR68
08 May 2023
TUL72
PAR71
02 May 2023
TUL56
PAR71
14 Feb 2023
TUL79
PAR68
23 May 2022
TUL68
PAR69
16 Apr 2022
TUL89
PAR91
17 Nov 2021
TUL82
PAR77
27 Mar 2021
TUL77
PAR89
23 Jan 2021
TUL67
PAR91
08 Nov 2020
TUL88
PAR80
09 Mar 2019
TUL52
PAR68
12 Jan 2018
TUL84
PAR67
27 Oct 2017
TUL78
PAR62
15 May 2017
TUL66
PAR57
11 May 2017
TUL72
PAR54
20 Jan 2017
TUL88
PAR69
05 Dec 2015
TUL93
PAR63
16 Oct 2015
TUL71
PAR50
21 Oct 2014
TUL90
PAR63
31 Mar 2014
TUL78
PAR50
06 Mar 2012
TUL122
PAR72
14 Dec 2011
TUL111
PAR68
01 Mar 2011
TUL99
PAR66
08 Nov 2010
TUL118
PAR80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tartu Ulikool win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Parnu win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tartu UlikoolLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlikool
Date
Competition
BK Liepaja
#12
W
87-83
87
83
+4
86avg 81
A30/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
L
85-92
85
92
-7
79avg 81
A02/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Dziki Warszawa
#15
L
76-103
76
103
-27
65avg 81
H06/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Rigas Zelli
#1
L
74-94
74
94
-20
61avg 81
H09/10
Latvia-Estonian League
MZT Skopje
#46
W
95-92
95
92
+3
93avg 81
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Keila KK
#11
W
89-71
89
71
+18
91avg 81
A17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
AEK Larnaca
#14
L
93-99
93
99
-6
90avg 81
A21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Tal Tech
#6
W
65-41
65
41
+24
57avg 81
H24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Iraklis
#21
W
101-100 OT
101
100
+1
91avg 81
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
VEF Riga
#2
W
86-74
86
74
+12
no box
A31/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-20
23-22
20-24
19-17
23-25
32-27
13-20
17-20
12-36
17-19
20-19
27-29
19-29
18-17
26-24
11-24
24-17
20-22
28-23
23-30
19-19
23-21
26-9
21-22
21-32
30-25
20-22
22-20
15-9
21-15
12-9
17-8
24-22
19-25
28-22
18-20
25-34
15-17
18-9
28-14
170.0Avg total
85.1Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)82.374.0156.3+8.371%
Season at home (3)76.366.0142.3+10.367%
Season away (4)86.880.0166.8+6.875%
Last 10 (10)85.184.9170.0+0.260%
Last 5 (5)86.877.0163.8+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)83.988.4172.3-4.643%
vs Similar (2)90.092.0182.0-2.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)88.372.7161.0+15.693%
This opponent (Parnu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParnuLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParnu
Date
Competition
BK Liepaja
#12
W
76-73
76
73
+3
61avg 68
H26/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Neftchi IK
#45
W
73-61
73
61
+12
64avg 68
H30/09
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#7
L
78-79
78
79
-1
63avg 68
A03/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keravnos
#13
L
70-88
70
88
-18
68avg 68
A07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Keila KK
#11
L
70-75
70
75
-5
60avg 68
H10/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Nancy
#5
L
61-84
61
84
-23
54avg 68
H13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
VEF Riga
#2
L
72-89
72
89
-17
63avg 68
A17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Vienna Basket
#39
W
86-69
86
69
+17
80avg 68
H22/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
91-77
91
77
+14
92avg 68
H25/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Nitra Blue Wings
#44
L
80-82
80
82
-2
74avg 68
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-18
23-18
18-16
19-21
19-19
21-17
17-13
16-12
21-17
17-27
19-19
21-16
11-26
19-19
18-25
22-18
24-21
12-19
11-20
23-15
18-28
13-15
10-12
20-29
19-17
15-19
17-29
21-24
14-21
24-16
24-17
24-15
24-25
19-16
29-14
19-22
12-32
20-13
26-20
22-17
153.4Avg total
75.7Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)77.478.6156.0-1.240%
Season at home (3)79.075.0154.0+4.067%
Season away (2)75.084.0159.0-9.00%
Last 10 (10)75.777.7153.4-2.040%
Last 5 (5)78.080.2158.2-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)74.185.6159.7-11.60%
vs Similar (4)80.874.0154.8+6.875%
vs Weaker (12)80.873.7154.4+7.175%
This opponent (Tartu Ulikool) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: -4.6-4.6Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +1.8+1.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: -4.6-4.6Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +1.8+1.8
Tartu UlikoolParnu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Tartu UlikoolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BK Liepaja
#12
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A30/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
W
55-52
55
52
+3
A02/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Dziki Warszawa
#15
L
29-55
29
55
-26
H06/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Rigas Zelli
#1
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H09/10
Latvia-Estonian League
MZT Skopje
#46
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Keila KK
#11
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
AEK Larnaca
#14
L
51-57
51
57
-6
A21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Tal Tech
#6
W
36-24
36
24
+12
H24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Iraklis
#21
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
VEF Riga
#2
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A31/10
Latvia-Estonian League
87.8Avg total
42.5Scored
45.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.842.485.2+0.547%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.240.981.1-0.729%-
Last 30 away (16)45.143.688.8+1.562%-
Last 10 (10)42.545.387.8-2.850%-
Last 5 (5)42.443.886.2-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)39.447.386.6-7.97%-
vs Similar (2)49.545.595.0+4.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)45.437.082.4+8.479%-
This opponent (Parnu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParnuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BK Liepaja
#12
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H26/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Neftchi IK
#45
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H30/09
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#7
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A03/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keravnos
#13
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Keila KK
#11
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H10/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Nancy
#5
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
VEF Riga
#2
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Vienna Basket
#39
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H22/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H25/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Nitra Blue Wings
#44
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
76.4Avg total
36.1Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.340.178.4-1.847%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.039.778.7-0.759%-
Last 30 away (13)37.540.678.1-3.231%-
Last 10 (10)36.140.376.4-4.240%-
Last 5 (5)35.640.476.0-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)36.241.477.6-5.221%-
vs Similar (4)38.537.576.0+1.075%-
vs Weaker (12)40.839.480.2+1.367%-
This opponent (Tartu Ulikool) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tartu Ulikooltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tartu Ulikool: 85.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.823.0
55.0%
52.7%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.68.6
33.6%
31.2%25.8
🏀 Free throws21.113.7
64.9%
67.8%13.7
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Parnutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Parnu: 75.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.321.7
50.1%
52.7%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.87.3
27.2%
31.2%21.9
🏀 Free throws16.010.4
65.0%
67.8%10.4
They take 70.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tartu Ulikool
WWWLWWLLLW
Parnu
LWWLLLLLWW
#5
League position
#10
+1.8
Net rating
-2.3
92.7
Offensive rating
86.3
90.8
Defensive rating
88.6
53.3%
Effective FG%
46.6%
48.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
15.8%
Turnover %
14.3%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.23
33.6%
3-point %
27.2%
67.4%
Assist %
69.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence92.7 · 86.3Defence90.8 · 88.6Shooting53.3% · 46.6%3-point %33.6% · 27.2%Ball care15.8% · 14.3%Free throws0.31 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Tartu Ulikool   ■ Parnu
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Tartu Ulikool wins
1
Parnu wins
DateGameScore
23/03/26Parnu v Tartu Ulikool88-89 OT
20/03/26Tartu Ulikool v Parnu80-71
04/03/26Parnu v Tartu Ulikool70-91
01/11/25Tartu Ulikool v Parnu83-71
14/01/25Parnu v Tartu Ulikool87-90
30/11/24Tartu Ulikool v Parnu94-91
13/05/24Parnu v Tartu Ulikool63-71
11/05/24Tartu Ulikool v Parnu75-78
09/05/24Parnu v Tartu Ulikool78-86
07/05/24Tartu Ulikool v Parnu80-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26AVEF Riga86-74
28/10/26HIraklis101-100 OT
24/10/26HTal Tech65-41
21/10/26AAEK Larnaca93-99
17/10/26AKeila KK89-71
14/10/26AMZT Skopje95-92
09/10/26HRigas Zelli74-94
06/10/26HDziki Warszawa76-103
02/10/26AVentspils85-92
30/09/26ABK Liepaja87-83
Parnulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/26ANitra Blue Wings80-82
25/10/26HLatvijas Universitate91-77
22/10/26HVienna Basket86-69
17/10/26AVEF Riga72-89
13/10/26HNancy61-84
10/10/26HKeila KK70-75
07/10/26AKeravnos70-88
03/10/26ABC Kalev/Cramo78-79
30/09/26HNeftchi IK73-61
26/09/26HBK Liepaja76-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tartu Ulikool
Latvia-Estonian League 2026
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW71%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %71%67%75%
Points / game82.376.386.8
Allowed / game74.066.080.0
Point differential+8.3+10.3+6.8
Avg total156.3142.3166.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%67%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Parnu
Latvia-Estonian League 2026
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW40%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%67%0%
Points / game77.479.075.0
Allowed / game78.675.084.0
Point differential-1.2+4.0-9.0
Avg total156.0154.0159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rigas Zelli770100%94.075.6+18.4
2 VEF Riga87188%89.871.4+18.4
3 Valmiera Glass Via76186%91.775.7+16.0
4 Ventspils86275%87.081.1+5.9
5 Tartu Ulikool75271%82.374.0+8.3
6 Tal Tech96367%74.671.8+2.8
7 BC Kalev/Cramo74357%84.181.3+2.9
8 Rigas Juniori63350%84.288.3-4.2
9 BK Ogre73443%86.786.1+0.6
10 Parnu52340%77.478.6-1.2
11 Keila KK83538%71.983.6-11.8
12 BK Liepaja72529%80.178.6+1.6
13 Viimsi91811%71.286.0-14.8
14 Latvijas Universitate91811%76.991.9-15.0
15 Keila Coolbet8080%71.091.0-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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