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Tasmania JackJumpers vs Sydney Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 23 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 03:30
Final 104-81
27-24 33-16 15-18 29-23
Position#6
Record5-9
FormLLLLL
Points / game84.4
Allowed / game87.2
Tasmania JackJumpers 🏆
Australia
vs
Sydney
Australia
Position#1
Record7-5
FormLWWWW
Points / game91.9
Allowed / game84.3
AustraliaNBLRound 10· MyState Bank Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Tasmania JackJumpers v Sydney
30 Oct 2026
TASM68
SYDN71
23 Nov 2025
TASM104
SYDN81
15 Oct 2025
TASM86
SYDN70
18 Oct 2024
TASM71
SYDN80
17 Dec 2023
TASM82
SYDN90
06 Oct 2023
TASM80
SYDN72
27 Jan 2023
TASM77
SYDN91
08 May 2022
TASM86
SYDN90
03 Apr 2022
TASM83
SYDN103
27 Feb 2022
TASM v SYDN
upcoming
04 Feb 2022
TASM77
SYDN70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tasmania JackJumpers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sydney winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tasmania JackJumpersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJackJumpers
Date
Competition
Adelaide
#3
L
89-98
89
98
-9
84avg 78
A09/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
86-70
86
70
+16
80avg 78
H15/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
65-82
65
82
-17
58avg 78
A17/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
90-89
90
89
+1
85avg 78
A26/10
NBL
Perth
#5
L
84-95
84
95
-11
77avg 78
H29/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
L
69-75
69
75
-6
60avg 78
H01/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
102-103
102
103
-1
101avg 78
H06/11
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
L
81-83
81
83
-2
74avg 78
H08/11
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
86-97
86
97
-11
72avg 78
H13/11
NBL
Perth
#5
L
95-101
95
101
-6
85avg 78
A21/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
22-30
30-25
17-22
29-19
21-13
19-18
17-20
18-20
13-20
11-23
23-19
29-25
21-30
14-24
26-10
28-16
13-21
27-35
16-23
15-18
16-22
18-14
20-21
29-32
32-28
20-18
21-25
23-19
20-27
17-23
21-14
15-26
23-26
17-28
31-17
28-32
24-25
19-24
24-20
174.0Avg total
84.7Scored
89.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)84.487.2171.6-2.936%
Season at home (7)84.687.3171.9-2.714%
Season away (7)84.187.1171.3-3.057%
Last 10 (10)84.789.3174.0-4.620%
Last 5 (5)86.691.8178.4-5.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)85.993.9179.7-8.027%
vs Similar (12)89.086.8175.8+2.267%
vs Weaker (3)78.080.0158.0-2.033%
This opponent (Sydney) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SydneyAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSydney
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#4
L
93-107
93
107
-14
77avg 84
H08/10
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
103-79
103
79
+24
100avg 84
A11/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
L
70-86
70
86
-16
60avg 84
A15/10
NBL
Perth
#5
W
94-72
94
72
+22
81avg 84
H19/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
95-112
95
112
-17
87avg 84
A23/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
L
89-90
89
90
-1
74avg 84
H26/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
116-79
116
79
+37
117avg 84
A01/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
W
95-92
95
92
+3
85avg 84
A03/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
79-72
79
72
+7
71avg 84
H09/11
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
98-71
98
71
+27
85avg 84
A16/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-29
27-21
19-31
22-26
29-19
25-22
25-23
24-15
19-29
13-21
18-19
20-17
15-22
35-23
24-21
20-6
20-22
28-23
25-34
22-33
25-29
30-21
24-14
10-26
35-17
22-28
32-21
27-13
30-25
24-25
23-19
18-23
17-25
22-16
13-13
27-18
18-14
35-18
18-18
27-21
179.2Avg total
93.2Scored
86.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)91.984.3176.2+7.658%
Season at home (6)87.782.2169.8+5.550%
Season away (6)96.286.5182.7+9.767%
Last 10 (10)93.286.0179.2+7.260%
Last 5 (5)95.480.8176.2+14.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)87.397.3184.7-10.00%
vs Similar (5)99.297.6196.8+1.640%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)91.786.2177.9+5.564%
This opponent (Tasmania JackJumpers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +1.9+1.9
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +1.9+1.9
Tasmania JackJumpersSydney
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Tasmania JackJumpersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Adelaide
#3
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A09/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
50-32
50
32
+18
H15/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A17/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
50-55
50
55
-5
A26/10
NBL
Perth
#5
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H29/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H01/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
W
61-60
61
60
+1
H06/11
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H08/11
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
38-52
38
52
-14
H13/11
NBL
Perth
#5
L
52-57
52
57
-5
A21/11
NBL
90.9Avg total
43.9Scored
47.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.846.691.4-1.840%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.747.892.5-3.140%-
Last 30 away (15)44.945.590.3-0.640%-
Last 10 (10)43.947.090.9-3.130%-
Last 5 (5)45.051.096.0-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)45.748.494.1-2.733%-
vs Similar (12)45.245.290.4+0.158%-
vs Weaker (3)38.743.782.3-5.00%-
This opponent (Sydney) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SydneyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#4
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H08/10
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
54-41
54
41
+13
A11/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A15/10
NBL
Perth
#5
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H19/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A23/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
55-50
55
50
+5
H26/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
57-45
57
45
+12
A01/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
W
54-50
54
50
+4
A03/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H09/11
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
53-32
53
32
+21
A16/11
NBL
94.3Avg total
49.4Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.847.794.4-0.950%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.148.995.0-2.850%-
Last 30 away (14)47.546.393.8+1.250%-
Last 10 (10)49.444.994.3+4.580%-
Last 5 (5)51.643.695.2+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)44.050.794.7-6.70%-
vs Similar (5)49.456.6106.0-7.220%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)46.545.291.8+1.364%-
This opponent (Tasmania JackJumpers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tasmania JackJumperstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tasmania JackJumpers: 83.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.022.7
51.6%
54.6%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.28.4
33.3%
33.3%25.2
🏀 Free throws18.613.3
71.5%
74.8%13.3
They take 69.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sydneytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sydney: 92.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.624.4
54.7%
54.6%48.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.29.0
34.4%
33.3%27.0
🏀 Free throws23.516.6
70.6%
74.8%16.6
They take 70.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tasmania JackJumpers
LLLLLLWLWL
Sydney
WWWWLLWLWL
#6
League position
#1
-5.6
Net rating
+9.1
107.7
Offensive rating
119.9
113.3
Defensive rating
110.9
51.0%
Effective FG%
53.5%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
15.5%
Turnover %
11.7%
29.4%
Off. rebound %
30.2%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.33
33.3%
3-point %
34.4%
60.1%
Assist %
55.4%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.7 · 119.9Defence113.3 · 110.9Shooting51.0% · 53.5%3-point %33.3% · 34.4%Ball care15.5% · 11.7%Off. rebounds29.4% · 30.2%Free throws0.27 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Tasmania JackJumpers   ■ Sydney
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Tasmania JackJumpers wins
6
Sydney wins
DateGameScore
26/10/25Sydney v Tasmania JackJumpers89-90
15/10/25Tasmania JackJumpers v Sydney86-70
19/01/25Sydney v Tasmania JackJumpers88-77
03/11/24Sydney v Tasmania JackJumpers88-60
18/10/24Tasmania JackJumpers v Sydney71-80
17/12/23Tasmania JackJumpers v Sydney82-90
22/10/23Sydney v Tasmania JackJumpers95-105
06/10/23Tasmania JackJumpers v Sydney80-72
27/01/23Tasmania JackJumpers v Sydney77-91
30/12/22Sydney v Tasmania JackJumpers97-77
Tasmania JackJumperslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/11/25APerth95-101
13/11/25HAdelaide86-97
08/11/25HBrisbane Bullets81-83
06/11/25HSouth East Melbourne102-103
01/11/25HCairns Taipans69-75
29/10/25HPerth84-95
26/10/25ASydney90-89
17/10/25ANew Zealand Breakers65-82
15/10/25HSydney86-70
09/10/25AAdelaide89-98
Sydneylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/25AIllawarra Hawks98-71
09/11/25HNew Zealand Breakers79-72
03/11/25AMelbourne United95-92
01/11/25ABrisbane Bullets116-79
26/10/25HTasmania JackJumpers89-90
23/10/25ASouth East Melbourne95-112
19/10/25HPerth94-72
15/10/25ATasmania JackJumpers70-86
11/10/25AAdelaide103-79
08/10/25HMelbourne United93-107

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tasmania JackJumpers
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL36%
HomeLLLLL14%
AwayWLLWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %36%14%57%
Points / game84.484.684.1
Allowed / game87.287.387.1
Point differential-2.9-2.7-3.0
Avg total171.6171.9171.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)0% (3)100% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sydney
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW58%
HomeWLWLW50%
AwayLLWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %58%50%67%
Points / game91.987.796.2
Allowed / game84.382.286.5
Point differential+7.6+5.5+9.7
Avg total176.2169.8182.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Melbourne United1412286%97.385.8+11.5
2 Adelaide1411379%91.985.9+5.9
3 South East Melbourne139469%96.588.4+8.2
4 Perth138562%89.285.8+3.3
5 Sydney127558%91.984.3+7.6
6 Tasmania JackJumpers145936%84.487.2-2.9
7 New Zealand Breakers1551033%88.388.1+0.1
8 Brisbane Bullets1551033%88.796.1-7.4
9 Illawarra Hawks134931%88.897.2-8.4
10 Cairns Taipans1531220%81.496.5-15.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tasmania JackJumpers27331529104
Sydney2416182381
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