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Sydney vs New Zealand Breakers Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 09 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 05:30
Final 79-72
17-25 22-16 13-13 27-18
Position#1
Record5-5
FormWLLWW
Points / game92.6
Allowed / game86.9
Sydney 🏆
Australia
vs
New Zealand Breakers
Australia
Position#7
Record3-8
FormWLLWL
Points / game87.5
Allowed / game88.6
AustraliaNBLRound 8· Qudos Bank Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Sydney v New Zealand Breakers
15 Nov 2026
SYDN v NEW
upcoming
14 Oct 2026
SYDN101
NEW 102
09 Nov 2025
SYDN79
NEW 72
04 Oct 2025
SYDN97
NEW 75
27 Oct 2024
SYDN89
NEW 93
28 Feb 2024
SYDN76
NEW 83
14 Jan 2024
SYDN105
NEW 76
05 Nov 2023
SYDN87
NEW 85
15 Mar 2023
SYDN77
NEW 69
10 Mar 2023
SYDN91
NEW 68
03 Mar 2023
SYDN87
NEW 95
22 Jan 2023
SYDN88
NEW 93
06 Feb 2022
SYDN84
NEW 65
16 Jan 2022
SYDN75
NEW 82
25 Feb 2021
SYDN96
NEW 78
12 Feb 2021
SYDN84
NEW 74
18 Oct 2019
SYDN96
NEW 91
11 Jan 2019
SYDN100
NEW 92
18 Nov 2018
SYDN100
NEW 87
18 Feb 2018
SYDN101
NEW 86
21 Dec 2017
SYDN95
NEW 98
29 Jan 2017
SYDN84
NEW 57
30 Dec 2016
SYDN85
NEW 80
27 Dec 2015
SYDN83
NEW 93
19 Nov 2015
SYDN74
NEW 86
26 Dec 2014
SYDN85
NEW 97
06 Dec 2014
SYDN82
NEW 69
08 Feb 2014
SYDN98
NEW 96
29 Dec 2013
SYDN83
NEW 99
01 Apr 2013
SYDN88
NEW 99
09 Feb 2013
SYDN94
NEW 96
08 Dec 2012
SYDN75
NEW 62
15 Oct 2011
SYDN61
NEW 98
05 Dec 2010
SYDN80
NEW 94
16 Oct 2010
SYDN70
NEW 83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sydney winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
New Zealand Breakers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SydneyAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSydney
Date
Competition
Cairns Taipans
#9
L
74-77
74
77
-3
55avg 84
H28/09
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
97-75
97
75
+22
88avg 84
H04/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
93-107
93
107
-14
77avg 84
H08/10
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
103-79
103
79
+24
100avg 84
A11/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
L
70-86
70
86
-16
60avg 84
A15/10
NBL
Perth
#5
W
94-72
94
72
+22
81avg 84
H19/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
95-112
95
112
-17
87avg 84
A23/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
L
89-90
89
90
-1
74avg 84
H26/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
116-79
116
79
+37
117avg 84
A01/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
W
95-92
95
92
+3
85avg 84
A03/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
27-18
13-21
16-16
22-15
17-19
31-18
27-23
25-29
27-21
19-31
22-26
29-19
25-22
25-23
24-15
19-29
13-21
18-19
20-17
15-22
35-23
24-21
20-6
20-22
28-23
25-34
22-33
25-29
30-21
24-14
10-26
35-17
22-28
32-21
27-13
30-25
24-25
23-19
18-23
179.5Avg total
92.6Scored
86.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)92.686.9179.5+5.750%
Season at home (5)89.484.2173.6+5.240%
Season away (5)95.889.6185.4+6.260%
Last 10 (10)92.686.9179.5+5.750%
Last 5 (5)97.889.0186.8+8.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)87.397.3184.7-10.00%
vs Similar (6)95.092.8187.8+2.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)91.886.3178.1+5.562%
This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New Zealand BreakersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreakers
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#4
L
82-114
82
114
-32
no box
A21/09
NBL
Perth
#5
L
78-89
78
89
-11
no box
H27/09
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
75-97
75
97
-22
65avg 77
A04/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
117-88
117
88
+29
114avg 77
H08/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
81-87
81
87
-6
78avg 77
H12/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
82-65
82
65
+17
70avg 77
H17/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
88-104
88
104
-16
77avg 77
A19/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
L
83-84
83
84
-1
62avg 77
H23/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
102-60
102
60
+42
101avg 77
A31/10
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
79-83
79
83
-4
69avg 77
H06/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-34
18-21
22-34
27-25
17-25
25-19
17-18
19-27
15-22
19-17
18-31
23-27
30-24
30-25
27-23
30-16
15-21
31-13
19-28
16-25
20-18
20-13
23-11
19-23
17-28
21-28
25-19
25-29
25-11
32-28
15-29
11-16
31-18
21-16
27-10
23-16
14-22
33-21
21-23
11-17
173.8Avg total
86.7Scored
87.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)87.588.6176.1-1.227%
Season at home (7)87.985.7173.6+2.129%
Season away (4)86.893.8180.5-7.025%
Last 10 (10)86.787.1173.8-0.430%
Last 5 (5)86.879.2166.0+7.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)84.7100.2184.9-15.50%
vs Similar (13)88.285.3173.5+2.946%
vs Weaker (2)89.094.0183.0-5.00%
This opponent (Sydney) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +4.9+4.9Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -1.7-1.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +4.9+4.9Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -1.7-1.7
SydneyNew Zealand Breakers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SydneyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H28/09
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H04/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H08/10
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
54-41
54
41
+13
A11/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A15/10
NBL
Perth
#5
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H19/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A23/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
55-50
55
50
+5
H26/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
57-45
57
45
+12
A01/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
W
54-50
54
50
+4
A03/11
NBL
93.6Avg total
48.6Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.147.593.7-1.450%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.447.693.1-2.253%-
Last 30 away (13)47.147.494.5-0.346%-
Last 10 (10)48.645.093.6+3.690%-
Last 5 (5)52.847.099.8+5.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)44.050.794.7-6.70%-
vs Similar (6)46.553.299.7-6.717%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)46.345.591.8+0.967%-
This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New Zealand BreakersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#4
L
33-55
33
55
-22
A21/09
NBL
Perth
#5
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H27/09
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A04/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
60-49
60
49
+11
H08/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H12/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H17/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
38-56
38
56
-18
A19/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
57-39
57
39
+18
H23/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
52-34
52
34
+18
A31/10
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H06/11
NBL
87.3Avg total
44.9Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.447.691.0-4.233%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.445.490.8-0.147%-
Last 30 away (13)40.850.491.2-9.515%-
Last 10 (10)44.942.487.3+2.560%-
Last 5 (5)46.840.687.4+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)41.550.391.7-8.820%-
vs Similar (13)44.545.289.8-0.746%-
vs Weaker (2)50.542.593.0+8.050%-
This opponent (Sydney) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sydneytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sydney: 91.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.925.5
59.4%
54.6%51.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.58.4
32.9%
33.3%25.2
🏀 Free throws22.815.4
67.5%
74.8%15.4
They take 68.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
New Zealand Breakerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

New Zealand Breakers: 88.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.6 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.125.3
63.1%
54.6%50.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.28.7
29.8%
33.3%26.1
🏀 Free throws16.111.7
72.7%
74.8%11.7
They take 69.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sydney
WWLLWLWLWL
New Zealand Breakers
LWLLWLWLLL
#1
League position
#7
+7.5
Net rating
+6.2
124.8
Offensive rating
118.5
117.3
Defensive rating
112.3
55.7%
Effective FG%
55.3%
56.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
9.6%
Turnover %
15.8%
29.1%
Off. rebound %
32.1%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.23
32.9%
3-point %
29.8%
52.2%
Assist %
57.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence124.8 · 118.5Defence117.3 · 112.3Shooting55.7% · 55.3%3-point %32.9% · 29.8%Ball care9.6% · 15.8%Off. rebounds29.1% · 32.1%Free throws0.33 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Sydney   ■ New Zealand Breakers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Sydney wins
4
New Zealand Breakers wins
DateGameScore
04/10/25Sydney v New Zealand Breakers97-75
20/12/24New Zealand Breakers v Sydney84-92
07/12/24New Zealand Breakers v Sydney83-98
27/10/24Sydney v New Zealand Breakers89-93
28/02/24Sydney v New Zealand Breakers76-83
14/01/24Sydney v New Zealand Breakers105-76
22/12/23New Zealand Breakers v Sydney109-101
05/11/23Sydney v New Zealand Breakers87-85
15/03/23Sydney v New Zealand Breakers77-69
12/03/23New Zealand Breakers v Sydney80-70
Sydneylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/25AMelbourne United95-92
01/11/25ABrisbane Bullets116-79
26/10/25HTasmania JackJumpers89-90
23/10/25ASouth East Melbourne95-112
19/10/25HPerth94-72
15/10/25ATasmania JackJumpers70-86
11/10/25AAdelaide103-79
08/10/25HMelbourne United93-107
04/10/25HNew Zealand Breakers97-75
28/09/25HCairns Taipans74-77
New Zealand Breakerslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/25HAdelaide79-83
31/10/25AIllawarra Hawks102-60
23/10/25HBrisbane Bullets83-84
19/10/25AMelbourne United88-104
17/10/25HTasmania JackJumpers82-65
12/10/25HSouth East Melbourne81-87
08/10/25HIllawarra Hawks117-88
04/10/25ASydney75-97
27/09/25HPerth78-89
21/09/25AMelbourne United82-114

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sydney
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW50%
HomeLWLWL40%
AwayWLLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %50%40%60%
Points / game92.689.495.8
Allowed / game86.984.289.6
Point differential+5.7+5.2+6.2
Avg total179.5173.6185.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%40%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
New Zealand Breakers
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL27%
HomeWLWLL29%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1174
Win %27%29%25%
Points / game87.587.986.8
Allowed / game88.685.793.8
Point differential-1.2+2.1-7.0
Avg total176.1173.6180.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%29%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Melbourne United1210283%96.583.8+12.7
2 South East Melbourne107370%97.088.9+8.1
3 Adelaide107370%89.385.0+4.3
4 Perth116555%88.286.0+2.2
5 Sydney105550%92.686.9+5.7
6 Tasmania JackJumpers125742%83.385.2-1.9
7 Brisbane Bullets125742%89.893.9-4.1
8 Illawarra Hawks104640%89.796.4-6.7
9 New Zealand Breakers113827%87.588.6-1.2
10 Cairns Taipans123925%77.894.9-17.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sydney1722132779
New Zealand Breakers2516131872
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