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Tasmania JackJumpers vs Sydney Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 15 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 08:30
Final 86-70
29-19 21-13 19-18 17-20
Position#6
Record3-2
FormLWWWL
Points / game84.6
Allowed / game85.2
vs
Position#1
Record2-2
FormLLWLW
Points / game91.8
Allowed / game84.5
AustraliaNBLRound 5· MyState Bank Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Tasmania JackJumpers v Sydney
30 Oct 2026
TASM68
SYDN71
23 Nov 2025
TASM104
SYDN81
15 Oct 2025
TASM86
SYDN70
18 Oct 2024
TASM71
SYDN80
17 Dec 2023
TASM82
SYDN90
06 Oct 2023
TASM80
SYDN72
27 Jan 2023
TASM77
SYDN91
08 May 2022
TASM86
SYDN90
03 Apr 2022
TASM83
SYDN103
27 Feb 2022
TASM v SYDN
upcoming
04 Feb 2022
TASM77
SYDN70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tasmania JackJumpers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sydney winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tasmania JackJumpersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJackJumpers
Date
Competition
Sydney
#4
L
77-88
77
88
-11
71avg 76
A19/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
80-116
80
116
-36
60avg 76
A25/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
78-102
78
102
-24
66avg 76
H30/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
92-94
92
94
-2
80avg 76
A01/02
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
90-83
90
83
+7
79avg 76
H08/02
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
84-88
84
88
-4
no box
H18/09
NBL
Perth
#5
W
75-72
75
72
+3
no box
A20/09
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
91-86
91
86
+5
77avg 76
A27/09
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
84-82
84
82
+2
75avg 76
A04/10
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
89-98
89
98
-9
84avg 76
A09/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-16
19-22
21-18
22-32
23-19
22-27
17-29
18-41
13-21
21-31
25-25
19-25
32-21
29-30
16-17
15-26
26-20
23-21
16-19
25-23
22-23
24-24
18-17
20-24
13-21
20-14
21-14
21-23
21-21
28-24
20-16
22-25
22-21
20-24
16-21
26-16
20-21
22-30
30-25
17-22
174.9Avg total
84.0Scored
90.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)84.685.2169.8-0.660%
Season at home (1)84.088.0172.0-4.00%
Season away (4)84.884.5169.2+0.275%
Last 10 (10)84.090.9174.9-6.940%
Last 5 (5)84.685.2169.8-0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)79.892.9172.7-13.113%
vs Similar (14)89.683.9173.5+5.879%
vs Weaker (1)84.082.0166.0+2.0100%
This opponent (Sydney) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SydneyAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSydney
Date
Competition
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
W
88-77
88
77
+11
73avg 82
H19/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
W
103-92
103
92
+11
103avg 82
A22/01
NBL
Adelaide
#6
L
96-105
96
105
-9
82avg 82
H24/01
NBL
Perth
#3
L
97-104
97
104
-7
97avg 82
H02/02
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
75-95
75
95
-20
62avg 82
A07/02
NBL
Adelaide
#6
L
88-95
88
95
-7
82avg 82
H13/02
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
L
74-77
74
77
-3
55avg 82
H28/09
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
97-75
97
75
+22
88avg 82
H04/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
93-107
93
107
-14
77avg 82
H08/10
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
103-79
103
79
+24
100avg 82
A11/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-15
22-19
18-21
32-22
26-22
36-23
17-23
24-24
23-34
32-18
18-26
23-27
21-32
27-24
26-29
23-19
24-29
15-21
22-15
14-30
22-23
19-28
30-18
17-26
18-22
27-18
13-21
16-16
22-15
17-19
31-18
27-23
25-29
27-21
19-31
22-26
29-19
25-22
25-23
24-15
182.0Avg total
91.4Scored
90.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)91.884.5176.2+7.250%
Season at home (3)88.086.3174.3+1.733%
Season away (1)103.079.0182.0+24.0100%
Last 10 (10)91.490.6182.0+0.840%
Last 5 (5)91.086.6177.6+4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)87.397.3184.7-10.00%
vs Similar (8)92.191.4183.5+0.838%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)90.384.6174.9+5.763%
This opponent (Tasmania JackJumpers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -5.2-5.2Q4: -0.6-0.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -5.2-5.2Q4: -0.6-0.6
Tasmania JackJumpersSydney
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Tasmania JackJumpersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sydney
#4
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A19/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A25/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
34-52
34
52
-18
H30/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
W
61-51
61
51
+10
A01/02
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H08/02
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H18/09
NBL
Perth
#5
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A20/09
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A27/09
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A04/10
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A09/10
NBL
88.6Avg total
43.5Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.244.889.0-0.650%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.846.591.3-1.846%-
Last 30 away (17)43.843.487.2+0.453%-
Last 10 (10)43.545.188.6-1.630%-
Last 5 (5)42.444.687.0-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)42.746.589.3-3.833%-
vs Similar (14)45.942.988.8+3.171%-
vs Weaker (1)42.045.087.0-3.00%-
This opponent (Sydney) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SydneyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H19/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
W
62-45
62
45
+17
A22/01
NBL
Adelaide
#6
W
55-52
55
52
+3
H24/01
NBL
Perth
#3
L
48-56
48
56
-8
H02/02
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A07/02
NBL
Adelaide
#6
L
41-51
41
51
-10
H13/02
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H28/09
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H04/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H08/10
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
54-41
54
41
+13
A11/10
NBL
92.6Avg total
47.3Scored
45.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.847.091.8-2.240%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.047.292.2-2.247%-
Last 30 away (13)44.546.791.2-2.231%-
Last 10 (10)47.345.392.6+2.070%-
Last 5 (5)46.243.289.4+3.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)44.050.794.7-6.70%-
vs Similar (8)45.850.896.5-5.025%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)44.544.889.3-0.453%-
This opponent (Tasmania JackJumpers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tasmania JackJumperstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tasmania JackJumpers: 73.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.719.3
54.1%
54.6%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.77.8
32.9%
33.3%23.4
🏀 Free throws16.011.3
70.6%
74.8%11.3
They take 59.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sydneytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sydney: 90.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.123.0
62.0%
54.6%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.98.9
31.9%
33.3%26.7
🏀 Free throws23.918.1
75.7%
74.8%18.1
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tasmania JackJumpers
LWWWLWLLLL
Sydney
WLWLLLLLWW
#6
League position
#1
-17.3
Net rating
+1.1
107.3
Offensive rating
122.0
124.6
Defensive rating
120.9
52.2%
Effective FG%
55.9%
58.2%
Opp. effective FG%
54.6%
17.7%
Turnover %
12.8%
28.7%
Off. rebound %
28.1%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.37
32.9%
3-point %
31.9%
55.0%
Assist %
53.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence107.3 · 122.0Defence124.6 · 120.9Shooting52.2% · 55.9%3-point %32.9% · 31.9%Ball care17.7% · 12.8%Off. rebounds28.7% · 28.1%Free throws0.27 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Tasmania JackJumpers   ■ Sydney
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Tasmania JackJumpers wins
7
Sydney wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/10/25AAdelaide89-98
04/10/25ABrisbane Bullets84-82
27/09/25AIllawarra Hawks91-86
20/09/25APerth75-72
18/09/25HMelbourne United84-88
08/02/25HCairns Taipans90-83
01/02/25AMelbourne United92-94
30/01/25HIllawarra Hawks78-102
25/01/25ASouth East Melbourne80-116
19/01/25ASydney77-88
Sydneylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/25AAdelaide103-79
08/10/25HMelbourne United93-107
04/10/25HNew Zealand Breakers97-75
28/09/25HCairns Taipans74-77
13/02/25HAdelaide88-95
07/02/25AIllawarra Hawks75-95
02/02/25HPerth97-104
24/01/25HAdelaide96-105
22/01/25ASouth East Melbourne103-92
19/01/25HTasmania JackJumpers88-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tasmania JackJumpers
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL60%
HomeL0%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games514
Win %60%0%75%
Points / game84.684.084.8
Allowed / game85.288.084.5
Point differential-0.6-4.0+0.2
Avg total169.8172.0169.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)0% (1)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sydney
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLW50%
HomeLWL33%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %50%33%100%
Points / game91.888.0103.0
Allowed / game84.586.379.0
Point differential+7.2+1.7+24.0
Avg total176.2174.3182.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%33%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Melbourne United550100%101.480.4+21.0
2 Adelaide43175%93.587.8+5.8
3 Perth43175%83.278.5+4.8
4 South East Melbourne32167%94.787.0+7.7
5 Tasmania JackJumpers53260%84.685.2-0.6
6 Sydney42250%91.884.5+7.2
7 Cairns Taipans62433%75.592.5-17.0
8 Illawarra Hawks41325%93.597.2-3.8
9 Brisbane Bullets51420%87.493.0-5.6
10 New Zealand Breakers61517%88.096.5-8.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tasmania JackJumpers2921191786
Sydney1913182070
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