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Melbourne United vs Sydney Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 03 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 08:30
Final 92-95
25-30 25-24 19-23 23-18
Position#4
Record9-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game97.9
Allowed / game80.3
Melbourne United
Australia
vs
Sydney 🏆
Australia
Position#1
Record4-5
FormLWLLW
Points / game92.3
Allowed / game86.3
AustraliaNBLRound 7· John Cain Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Melbourne United v Sydney
25 Oct 2026
MELB105
SYDN95
14 Dec 2025
MELB86
SYDN92
03 Nov 2025
MELB92
SYDN95
01 Dec 2024
MELB101
SYDN98
31 Oct 2024
MELB87
SYDN83
19 Nov 2023
MELB105
SYDN93
23 Oct 2022
MELB69
SYDN87
09 Oct 2022
MELB71
SYDN91
16 Dec 2021
MELB89
SYDN47
02 May 2021
MELB103
SYDN78
27 Feb 2021
MELB83
SYDN80
02 Mar 2020
MELB125
SYDN80
14 Dec 2019
MELB81
SYDN104
04 Nov 2019
MELB107
SYDN104
28 Feb 2019
MELB95
SYDN73
24 Nov 2018
MELB84
SYDN82
05 Nov 2018
MELB77
SYDN70
11 Dec 2017
MELB95
SYDN69
11 Nov 2017
MELB108
SYDN90
26 Nov 2016
MELB95
SYDN92
12 Nov 2016
MELB71
SYDN87
16 Dec 2015
MELB81
SYDN96
01 Nov 2015
MELB96
SYDN82
22 Feb 2015
MELB95
SYDN92
21 Dec 2014
MELB105
SYDN101
09 Mar 2014
MELB92
SYDN82
01 Dec 2013
MELB63
SYDN67
06 Jan 2013
MELB74
SYDN71
18 Nov 2012
MELB67
SYDN72
25 Nov 2011
MELB80
SYDN89
07 Oct 2011
MELB82
SYDN76
26 Jan 2011
MELB67
SYDN85
15 Oct 2010
MELB68
SYDN84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Melbourne United winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sydney winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Melbourne UnitedAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUnited
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
104-114
104
114
-10
90avg 90
A23/03
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
88-84
88
84
+4
no box
A18/09
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
114-82
114
82
+32
no box
H21/09
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
W
103-83
103
83
+20
103avg 90
H25/09
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
107-93
107
93
+14
101avg 90
A08/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
95-60
95
60
+35
84avg 90
H12/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
95-86
95
86
+9
86avg 90
A17/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
104-88
104
88
+16
103avg 90
H19/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
94-67
94
67
+27
88avg 90
A24/10
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
81-80
81
80
+1
71avg 90
H26/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-26
24-34
22-22
32-32
23-22
24-24
17-18
24-20
34-15
21-18
34-22
25-27
29-24
23-22
23-24
28-13
29-25
21-27
31-19
26-22
27-15
21-10
22-16
25-19
31-16
24-21
15-17
25-32
28-17
28-21
19-25
29-25
31-16
17-18
24-17
22-16
14-17
26-20
19-18
22-25
182.2Avg total
98.5Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)97.980.3178.2+17.6100%
Season at home (5)99.478.6178.0+20.8100%
Season away (4)96.082.5178.5+13.5100%
Last 10 (10)98.583.7182.2+14.890%
Last 5 (5)93.876.2170.0+17.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)93.697.1190.8-3.538%
vs Similar (9)97.894.1191.9+3.778%
vs Weaker (13)96.386.2182.5+10.177%
This opponent (Sydney) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SydneyAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSydney
Date
Competition
Adelaide
#6
L
88-95
88
95
-7
82avg 83
H13/02
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
L
74-77
74
77
-3
55avg 83
H28/09
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
97-75
97
75
+22
88avg 83
H04/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
93-107
93
107
-14
77avg 83
H08/10
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
103-79
103
79
+24
100avg 83
A11/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
L
70-86
70
86
-16
60avg 83
A15/10
NBL
Perth
#5
W
94-72
94
72
+22
81avg 83
H19/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
95-112
95
112
-17
87avg 83
A23/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
L
89-90
89
90
-1
74avg 83
H26/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
116-79
116
79
+37
117avg 83
A01/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
19-28
30-18
17-26
18-22
27-18
13-21
16-16
22-15
17-19
31-18
27-23
25-29
27-21
19-31
22-26
29-19
25-22
25-23
24-15
19-29
13-21
18-19
20-17
15-22
35-23
24-21
20-6
20-22
28-23
25-34
22-33
25-29
30-21
24-14
10-26
35-17
22-28
32-21
27-13
179.1Avg total
91.9Scored
87.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)92.386.3178.7+6.044%
Season at home (5)89.484.2173.6+5.240%
Season away (4)96.089.0185.0+7.050%
Last 10 (10)91.987.2179.1+4.740%
Last 5 (5)92.887.8180.6+5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)87.397.3184.7-10.00%
vs Similar (7)93.392.0185.3+1.343%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)91.786.0177.7+5.660%
This opponent (Melbourne United) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +7.9+7.9Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: +0.4+0.4
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +7.9+7.9Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: +0.4+0.4
Melbourne UnitedSydney
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Melbourne UnitedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
50-60
50
60
-10
A23/03
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A18/09
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
55-33
55
33
+22
H21/09
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
W
52-46
52
46
+6
H25/09
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
50-52
50
52
-2
A08/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
48-25
48
25
+23
H12/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
55-37
55
37
+18
A17/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
56-38
56
38
+18
H19/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
48-34
48
34
+14
A24/10
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H26/10
NBL
90.9Avg total
50.1Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.145.494.6+3.753%-
Last 30 at home (14)49.145.694.7+3.450%-
Last 30 away (16)49.245.294.4+3.956%-
Last 10 (10)50.140.890.9+9.380%-
Last 5 (5)49.434.283.6+15.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)44.848.893.5-4.025%-
vs Similar (9)51.347.298.6+4.167%-
vs Weaker (13)50.342.292.5+8.262%-
This opponent (Sydney) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SydneyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Adelaide
#6
L
41-51
41
51
-10
H13/02
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H28/09
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H04/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H08/10
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
54-41
54
41
+13
A11/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A15/10
NBL
Perth
#5
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H19/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A23/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
55-50
55
50
+5
H26/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
57-45
57
45
+12
A01/11
NBL
92.4Avg total
47.3Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.847.493.2-1.647%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.447.693.1-2.253%-
Last 30 away (13)46.247.193.3-0.838%-
Last 10 (10)47.345.192.4+2.280%-
Last 5 (5)48.447.095.4+1.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)44.050.794.7-6.70%-
vs Similar (7)46.052.198.1-6.114%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)46.045.291.2+0.765%-
This opponent (Melbourne United) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Melbourne Unitedtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Melbourne United: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.818.7
53.7%
54.6%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.29.3
34.2%
33.3%27.9
🏀 Free throws23.717.7
74.7%
74.8%17.7
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sydneytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sydney: 91.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.6 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.125.8
61.3%
54.6%51.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.78.0
31.1%
33.3%24.0
🏀 Free throws22.915.5
67.7%
74.8%15.5
They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Melbourne United
WWWWWWWWWL
Sydney
WLLWLWLWLL
#4
League position
#1
+11.5
Net rating
+6.4
119.1
Offensive rating
124.2
107.6
Defensive rating
117.8
52.7%
Effective FG%
55.8%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
56.4%
12.7%
Turnover %
10.7%
29.5%
Off. rebound %
30.3%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.34
34.2%
3-point %
31.1%
59.3%
Assist %
53.3%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence119.1 · 124.2Defence107.6 · 117.8Shooting52.7% · 55.8%3-point %34.2% · 31.1%Ball care12.7% · 10.7%Off. rebounds29.5% · 30.3%Free throws0.38 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)90% · 40%
■ Melbourne United   ■ Sydney
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Melbourne United wins
4
Sydney wins
DateGameScore
08/10/25Sydney v Melbourne United93-107
09/01/25Sydney v Melbourne United88-90
01/12/24Melbourne United v Sydney101-98
31/10/24Melbourne United v Sydney87-83
28/01/24Sydney v Melbourne United98-86
04/01/24Sydney v Melbourne United85-101
19/11/23Melbourne United v Sydney105-93
25/12/22Sydney v Melbourne United101-80
23/10/22Melbourne United v Sydney69-87
09/10/22Melbourne United v Sydney71-91
Melbourne Unitedlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/10/25HAdelaide81-80
24/10/25ACairns Taipans94-67
19/10/25HNew Zealand Breakers104-88
17/10/25ABrisbane Bullets95-86
12/10/25HCairns Taipans95-60
08/10/25ASydney107-93
25/09/25HSouth East Melbourne103-83
21/09/25HNew Zealand Breakers114-82
18/09/25ATasmania JackJumpers88-84
23/03/25AIllawarra Hawks104-114
Sydneylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/25ABrisbane Bullets116-79
26/10/25HTasmania JackJumpers89-90
23/10/25ASouth East Melbourne95-112
19/10/25HPerth94-72
15/10/25ATasmania JackJumpers70-86
11/10/25AAdelaide103-79
08/10/25HMelbourne United93-107
04/10/25HNew Zealand Breakers97-75
28/09/25HCairns Taipans74-77
13/02/25HAdelaide88-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Melbourne United
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game97.999.496.0
Allowed / game80.378.682.5
Point differential+17.6+20.8+13.5
Avg total178.2178.0178.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%80%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sydney
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW44%
HomeLWLWL40%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %44%40%50%
Points / game92.389.496.0
Allowed / game86.384.289.0
Point differential+6.0+5.2+7.0
Avg total178.7173.6185.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%40%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Melbourne United990100%97.980.3+17.6
2 South East Melbourne86275%98.286.9+11.4
3 Adelaide86275%90.484.6+5.8
4 Perth105550%87.685.9+1.7
5 Tasmania JackJumpers105550%81.783.7-2.0
6 Sydney94544%92.386.3+6.0
7 Brisbane Bullets114736%90.595.1-4.6
8 New Zealand Breakers103730%88.389.2-0.9
9 Cairns Taipans113827%76.793.8-17.1
10 Illawarra Hawks82625%85.497.6-12.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Melbourne United2525192392
Sydney3024231895
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