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Adelaide vs Tasmania JackJumpers Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 09 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 08:30
Final 98-89
21-20 30-22 25-30 22-17
Position#3
Record2-0
FormLWLWW
Points / game98.5
Allowed / game79.5
Adelaide 🏆
Australia
vs
Tasmania JackJumpers
Australia
Position#6
Record3-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game82.0
AustraliaNBLRound 4· Adelaide Entertainment Centre
Other2025-26
Meetings · Adelaide v Tasmania JackJumpers
05 Dec 2026
ADEL v TASM
upcoming
09 Jan 2026
ADEL72
TASM80
09 Oct 2025
ADEL98
TASM89
30 Nov 2024
ADEL73
TASM77
20 Oct 2024
ADEL77
TASM73
11 Nov 2023
ADEL72
TASM82
19 Dec 2022
ADEL93
TASM82
13 Oct 2022
ADEL72
TASM97
01 Apr 2022
ADEL72
TASM80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Adelaide winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tasmania JackJumpers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AdelaideAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAdelaide
Date
Competition
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
99-75
99
75
+24
95avg 84
A19/01
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
105-96
105
96
+9
94avg 84
A24/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
94-78
94
78
+16
92avg 84
H26/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
L
89-92
89
92
-3
82avg 84
H31/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
99-105
99
105
-6
88avg 84
A02/02
NBL
Perth
#3
L
104-112
104
112
-8
91avg 84
A07/02
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
95-88
95
88
+7
88avg 84
A13/02
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
75-85
75
85
-10
63avg 84
A16/02
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
87-80
87
80
+7
83avg 84
H28/09
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
110-79
110
79
+31
104avg 84
A02/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
38-12
22-25
22-21
17-17
34-23
18-32
26-18
27-23
27-15
30-20
22-23
15-20
21-22
24-20
18-26
26-24
23-30
20-31
34-18
22-26
27-20
29-29
22-32
26-31
23-22
28-19
18-30
26-17
16-15
29-11
15-28
15-31
27-23
21-24
29-20
10-13
36-23
22-15
27-22
25-19
184.7Avg total
95.7Scored
89.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)98.579.5178.0+19.0100%
Season at home (1)87.080.0167.0+7.0100%
Season away (1)110.079.0189.0+31.0100%
Last 10 (10)95.789.0184.7+6.760%
Last 5 (5)94.288.8183.0+5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)95.498.5193.9-3.147%
vs Similar ◀ (9)89.193.3182.4-4.233%
vs Weaker (4)98.881.8180.5+17.0100%
This opponent (Tasmania JackJumpers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tasmania JackJumpersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJackJumpers
Date
Competition
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
75-85
75
85
-10
67avg 75
A16/01
NBL
Sydney
#4
L
77-88
77
88
-11
71avg 75
A19/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
80-116
80
116
-36
60avg 75
A25/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
78-102
78
102
-24
66avg 75
H30/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
92-94
92
94
-2
80avg 75
A01/02
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
90-83
90
83
+7
79avg 75
H08/02
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
84-88
84
88
-4
no box
H18/09
NBL
Perth
#5
W
75-72
75
72
+3
no box
A20/09
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
91-86
91
86
+5
77avg 75
A27/09
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
84-82
84
82
+2
75avg 75
A04/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
8-19
37-20
17-22
13-24
15-16
19-22
21-18
22-32
23-19
22-27
17-29
18-41
13-21
21-31
25-25
19-25
32-21
29-30
16-17
15-26
26-20
23-21
16-19
25-23
22-23
24-24
18-17
20-24
13-21
20-14
21-14
21-23
21-21
28-24
20-16
22-25
22-21
20-24
16-21
26-16
172.2Avg total
82.6Scored
89.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)83.582.0165.5+1.575%
Season at home (1)84.088.0172.0-4.00%
Season away (3)83.380.0163.3+3.3100%
Last 10 (10)82.689.6172.2-7.040%
Last 5 (5)84.882.2167.0+2.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)80.192.1172.1-12.019%
vs Similar ◀ (13)89.782.8172.5+6.985%
vs Weaker (1)84.082.0166.0+2.0100%
This opponent (Adelaide) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.7+6.7Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -5.8-5.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.7+6.7Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -5.8-5.8
AdelaideTasmania JackJumpers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AdelaideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
60-37
60
37
+23
A19/01
NBL
Sydney
#4
L
52-55
52
55
-3
A24/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
57-35
57
35
+22
H26/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H31/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
43-61
43
61
-18
A02/02
NBL
Perth
#3
W
56-49
56
49
+7
A07/02
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
51-41
51
41
+10
A13/02
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
W
45-26
45
26
+19
A16/02
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H28/09
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
58-38
58
38
+20
A02/10
NBL
94.6Avg total
51.5Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.547.196.6+2.553%-
Last 30 at home (14)49.445.594.9+3.964%-
Last 30 away (16)49.748.498.1+1.244%-
Last 10 (10)51.543.194.6+8.480%-
Last 5 (5)51.640.291.8+11.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)50.448.699.0+1.853%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)46.745.091.7+1.744%-
vs Weaker (4)52.245.297.5+7.075%-
This opponent (Tasmania JackJumpers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tasmania JackJumpersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A16/01
NBL
Sydney
#4
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A19/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A25/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
34-52
34
52
-18
H30/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
W
61-51
61
51
+10
A01/02
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H08/02
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H18/09
NBL
Perth
#5
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A20/09
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A27/09
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A04/10
NBL
87.7Avg total
43.8Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.844.388.1-0.550%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.745.889.5-2.143%-
Last 30 away (16)43.942.986.8+0.956%-
Last 10 (10)43.843.987.7-0.140%-
Last 5 (5)43.842.686.4+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)41.945.987.8-3.931%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)46.242.288.5+4.077%-
vs Weaker (1)42.045.087.0-3.00%-
This opponent (Adelaide) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Adelaidetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Adelaide: 94.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.725.2
61.9%
54.6%50.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.59.1
34.3%
33.3%27.3
🏀 Free throws20.816.8
80.8%
74.8%16.8
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tasmania JackJumperstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tasmania JackJumpers: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.419.5
52.1%
54.6%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.88.4
33.9%
33.3%25.2
🏀 Free throws15.210.8
71.1%
74.8%10.8
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Adelaide
WWLWLLLWWW
Tasmania JackJumpers
WWWLWLLLLL
#3
League position
#6
+7.6
Net rating
-15.4
122.4
Offensive rating
108.7
114.7
Defensive rating
124.1
57.8%
Effective FG%
51.6%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
57.9%
12.6%
Turnover %
16.5%
22.9%
Off. rebound %
30.0%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.24
34.3%
3-point %
33.9%
53.1%
Assist %
54.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence122.4 · 108.7Defence114.7 · 124.1Shooting57.8% · 51.6%3-point %34.3% · 33.9%Ball care12.6% · 16.5%Off. rebounds22.9% · 30.0%Free throws0.31 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Adelaide   ■ Tasmania JackJumpers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Adelaide wins
8
Tasmania JackJumpers wins
DateGameScore
10/01/25Tasmania JackJumpers v Adelaide104-103 OT
30/11/24Adelaide v Tasmania JackJumpers73-77
20/10/24Adelaide v Tasmania JackJumpers77-73
04/02/24Tasmania JackJumpers v Adelaide109-86
02/12/23Tasmania JackJumpers v Adelaide94-59
11/11/23Adelaide v Tasmania JackJumpers72-82
12/01/23Tasmania JackJumpers v Adelaide98-82
19/12/22Adelaide v Tasmania JackJumpers93-82
13/10/22Adelaide v Tasmania JackJumpers72-97
01/04/22Adelaide v Tasmania JackJumpers72-80
Adelaidelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/10/25ACairns Taipans110-79
28/09/25HBrisbane Bullets87-80
16/02/25ASouth East Melbourne75-85
13/02/25ASydney95-88
07/02/25APerth104-112
02/02/25ASouth East Melbourne99-105
31/01/25HBrisbane Bullets89-92
26/01/25HNew Zealand Breakers94-78
24/01/25ASydney105-96
19/01/25ACairns Taipans99-75
Tasmania JackJumperslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/25ABrisbane Bullets84-82
27/09/25AIllawarra Hawks91-86
20/09/25APerth75-72
18/09/25HMelbourne United84-88
08/02/25HCairns Taipans90-83
01/02/25AMelbourne United92-94
30/01/25HIllawarra Hawks78-102
25/01/25ASouth East Melbourne80-116
19/01/25ASydney77-88
16/01/25ANew Zealand Breakers75-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Adelaide
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game98.587.0110.0
Allowed / game79.580.079.0
Point differential+19.0+7.0+31.0
Avg total178.0167.0189.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tasmania JackJumpers
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWW75%
HomeL0%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %75%0%100%
Points / game83.584.083.3
Allowed / game82.088.080.0
Point differential+1.5-4.0+3.3
Avg total165.5172.0163.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)0% (1)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Adelaide220100%98.579.5+19.0
2 Melbourne United440100%103.085.5+17.5
3 Tasmania JackJumpers43175%83.582.0+1.5
4 Perth32167%84.379.0+5.3
5 South East Melbourne21150%98.590.0+8.5
6 Cairns Taipans42250%79.095.0-16.0
7 Sydney31233%88.086.3+1.7
8 Brisbane Bullets41325%87.087.2-0.2
9 New Zealand Breakers51420%89.498.4-9.0
10 Illawarra Hawks3030%86.0100.0-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Adelaide2130252298
Tasmania JackJumpers2022301789
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