PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Illawarra Hawks vs Sydney Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 03:30
Final 71-98
14-18 18-35 18-18 21-27
Position#8
Record4-6
FormWLLWW
Points / game89.7
Allowed / game96.4
vs
Sydney 🏆
Australia
Position#1
Record6-5
FormLLWWW
Points / game91.4
Allowed / game85.5
AustraliaNBLRound 9· WIN Entertainment Centre
Other2025-26
Meetings · Illawarra Hawks v Sydney
04 Dec 2026
ILLA v SYDN
upcoming
22 Oct 2026
ILLA82
SYDN108
13 Feb 2026
ILLA94
SYDN120
16 Nov 2025
ILLA71
SYDN98
07 Feb 2025
ILLA95
SYDN75
16 Nov 2024
ILLA86
SYDN79
03 Nov 2023
ILLA83
SYDN103
30 Sep 2023
ILLA81
SYDN96
16 Dec 2022
ILLA79
SYDN86
01 Oct 2022
ILLA97
SYDN106
29 Apr 2022
ILLA79
SYDN89
14 Apr 2022
ILLA102
SYDN107
13 Jan 2022
ILLA97
SYDN89
03 Jun 2021
ILLA73
SYDN79
24 Apr 2021
ILLA75
SYDN79
24 Jan 2020
ILLA79
SYDN102
31 Dec 2019
ILLA85
SYDN80
05 Jan 2019
ILLA78
SYDN71
16 Dec 2018
ILLA68
SYDN83
16 Nov 2017
ILLA97
SYDN93
29 Oct 2017
ILLA94
SYDN99
05 Dec 2016
ILLA93
SYDN99
13 Oct 2016
ILLA84
SYDN88
18 Dec 2015
ILLA102
SYDN83
25 Nov 2015
ILLA96
SYDN90
13 Dec 2014
ILLA82
SYDN77
07 Nov 2014
ILLA53
SYDN82
21 Mar 2014
ILLA100
SYDN87
07 Dec 2013
ILLA73
SYDN69
15 Mar 2013
ILLA81
SYDN74
05 Oct 2012
ILLA79
SYDN76
09 Mar 2012
ILLA81
SYDN92
31 Dec 2011
ILLA83
SYDN86
27 Mar 2011
ILLA86
SYDN70
26 Nov 2010
ILLA89
SYDN72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illawarra Hawks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sydney winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illawarra HawksAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
L
86-91
86
91
-5
80avg 90
H27/09
NBL
Perth
#5
L
84-92
84
92
-8
73avg 90
A02/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
88-117
88
117
-29
81avg 90
A08/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
116-89
116
89
+27
119avg 90
H11/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
76-116
76
116
-40
68avg 90
A18/10
NBL
Perth
#5
W
85-84
85
84
+1
76avg 90
A25/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
60-102
60
102
-42
46avg 90
H31/10
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
88-90
88
90
-2
90avg 90
A02/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
W
107-93
107
93
+14
107avg 90
H05/11
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
107-90
107
90
+17
108avg 90
A07/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
24-28
16-20
25-22
20-10
23-34
13-23
28-25
24-30
25-30
23-27
16-30
34-18
34-29
21-24
27-18
23-30
17-36
12-17
24-33
23-19
18-15
11-24
33-26
18-31
16-21
10-27
16-23
19-21
22-20
26-31
21-18
32-22
25-21
22-25
28-25
25-22
27-26
29-20
26-22
186.1Avg total
89.7Scored
96.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)89.796.4186.1-6.740%
Season at home (4)92.293.8186.0-1.550%
Season away (6)88.098.2186.2-10.233%
Last 10 (10)89.796.4186.1-6.740%
Last 5 (5)89.491.8181.2-2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)88.095.0183.0-7.040%
vs Similar (3)78.0103.3181.3-25.30%
vs Weaker (22)99.389.5188.8+9.868%
This opponent (Sydney) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SydneyAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSydney
Date
Competition
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
97-75
97
75
+22
88avg 83
H04/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
93-107
93
107
-14
77avg 83
H08/10
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
103-79
103
79
+24
100avg 83
A11/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
L
70-86
70
86
-16
60avg 83
A15/10
NBL
Perth
#5
W
94-72
94
72
+22
81avg 83
H19/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
95-112
95
112
-17
87avg 83
A23/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
L
89-90
89
90
-1
74avg 83
H26/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
116-79
116
79
+37
117avg 83
A01/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
W
95-92
95
92
+3
85avg 83
A03/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
79-72
79
72
+7
71avg 83
H09/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-15
17-19
31-18
27-23
25-29
27-21
19-31
22-26
29-19
25-22
25-23
24-15
19-29
13-21
18-19
20-17
15-22
35-23
24-21
20-6
20-22
28-23
25-34
22-33
25-29
30-21
24-14
10-26
35-17
22-28
32-21
27-13
30-25
24-25
23-19
18-23
17-25
22-16
13-13
27-18
179.5Avg total
93.1Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)91.485.5176.9+5.855%
Season at home (6)87.782.2169.8+5.550%
Season away (5)95.889.6185.4+6.260%
Last 10 (10)93.186.4179.5+6.760%
Last 5 (5)94.889.0183.8+5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)87.397.3184.7-10.00%
vs Similar (6)95.092.8187.8+2.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)91.486.9178.3+4.562%
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: -5.5-5.5Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +1.7+1.7
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: -5.5-5.5Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +1.7+1.7
Illawarra HawksSydney
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Illawarra HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H27/09
NBL
Perth
#5
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A02/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
49-60
49
60
-11
A08/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
68-47
68
47
+21
H11/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
40-66
40
66
-26
A18/10
NBL
Perth
#5
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A25/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
34-52
34
52
-18
H31/10
NBL
Adelaide
#3
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A02/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
W
57-43
57
43
+14
H05/11
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A07/11
NBL
95.4Avg total
47.0Scored
48.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.945.494.3+3.560%-
Last 30 at home (15)53.144.597.6+8.580%-
Last 30 away (15)44.746.390.9-1.640%-
Last 10 (10)47.048.495.4-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)45.043.688.6+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)44.445.690.0-1.240%-
vs Similar (3)42.753.796.3-11.00%-
vs Weaker (22)50.744.295.0+6.573%-
This opponent (Sydney) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SydneyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H04/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H08/10
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
54-41
54
41
+13
A11/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A15/10
NBL
Perth
#5
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H19/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A23/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
55-50
55
50
+5
H26/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
57-45
57
45
+12
A01/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
W
54-50
54
50
+4
A03/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H09/11
NBL
93.1Avg total
48.0Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.147.893.9-1.747%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.348.193.4-2.847%-
Last 30 away (13)47.147.494.5-0.346%-
Last 10 (10)48.045.193.1+2.980%-
Last 5 (5)50.646.296.8+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)44.050.794.7-6.70%-
vs Similar (6)46.553.299.7-6.717%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)46.245.992.1+0.462%-
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Illawarra Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Illawarra Hawks: 89.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.424.4
61.9%
54.6%48.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.18.7
33.3%
33.3%26.1
🏀 Free throws19.314.1
73.1%
74.8%14.1
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sydneytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sydney: 92.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.924.7
60.4%
54.6%49.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.68.8
34.4%
33.3%26.4
🏀 Free throws24.016.3
67.9%
74.8%16.3
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Illawarra Hawks
WWLLWLWLLL
Sydney
WWWLLWLWLW
#8
League position
#1
-5.9
Net rating
+8.9
116.3
Offensive rating
126.6
122.1
Defensive rating
117.7
57.2%
Effective FG%
57.0%
55.5%
Opp. effective FG%
56.8%
18.7%
Turnover %
11.4%
31.2%
Off. rebound %
30.0%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.36
33.3%
3-point %
34.4%
59.2%
Assist %
54.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence116.3 · 126.6Defence122.1 · 117.7Shooting57.2% · 57.0%3-point %33.3% · 34.4%Ball care18.7% · 11.4%Off. rebounds31.2% · 30.0%Free throws0.29 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Illawarra Hawks   ■ Sydney
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Illawarra Hawks wins
4
Sydney wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/25ACairns Taipans107-90
05/11/25HMelbourne United107-93
02/11/25AAdelaide88-90
31/10/25HNew Zealand Breakers60-102
25/10/25APerth85-84
18/10/25ASouth East Melbourne76-116
11/10/25HBrisbane Bullets116-89
08/10/25ANew Zealand Breakers88-117
02/10/25APerth84-92
27/09/25HTasmania JackJumpers86-91
Sydneylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/25HNew Zealand Breakers79-72
03/11/25AMelbourne United95-92
01/11/25ABrisbane Bullets116-79
26/10/25HTasmania JackJumpers89-90
23/10/25ASouth East Melbourne95-112
19/10/25HPerth94-72
15/10/25ATasmania JackJumpers70-86
11/10/25AAdelaide103-79
08/10/25HMelbourne United93-107
04/10/25HNew Zealand Breakers97-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illawarra Hawks
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW40%
HomeLWLW50%
AwayLLWLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %40%50%33%
Points / game89.792.288.0
Allowed / game96.493.898.2
Point differential-6.7-1.5-10.2
Avg total186.1186.0186.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%50%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sydney
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW55%
HomeWLWLW50%
AwayWLLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %55%50%60%
Points / game91.487.795.8
Allowed / game85.582.289.6
Point differential+5.8+5.5+6.2
Avg total176.9169.8185.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%33%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Melbourne United1311285%96.784.5+12.2
2 South East Melbourne118373%97.489.0+8.4
3 Adelaide118373%90.085.1+4.9
4 Perth127558%88.285.1+3.1
5 Sydney116555%91.485.5+5.8
6 Illawarra Hawks104640%89.796.4-6.7
7 Tasmania JackJumpers135838%83.586.2-2.6
8 Brisbane Bullets145936%89.695.6-6.0
9 New Zealand Breakers1441029%87.387.6-0.3
10 Cairns Taipans1331023%78.895.4-16.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Illawarra Hawks1418182171
Sydney1835182798
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.