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Taurage vs Gargzdai Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 09 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#4
Record1-3
FormLWLLL
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game84.5
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.2/10
Around normal
3.9/10
Below normal
Position#1
Record3-0
FormLWWLW
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game79.7
LithuaniaKing Mindaugas Cup· Taurages arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Taurage v Gargzdai
20 Mar 2027
TAU v GAR
upcoming
09 Dec 2026
TAU v GAR
upcoming
11 Oct 2026
TAU82
GAR102
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Taurage win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Gargzdai win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TaurageLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTaurage
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#2
W
81-76
81
76
+5
79avg 72
H07/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Gargzdai
#2
L
82-102
82
102
-20
72avg 72
H11/10
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
76-96
76
96
-20
71avg 72
A18/10
LKL
Rytas
#3
L
71-79
71
79
-8
61avg 72
H21/10
LKL
Nevezis
#10
W
80-76
80
76
+4
77avg 72
H24/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#1
L
78-81
78
81
-3
71avg 72
A27/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#6
W
91-81
91
81
+10
83avg 72
A31/10
LKL
Jurbarkas
#3
L
77-91
77
91
-14
no box
A03/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#4
L
80-82
80
82
-2
no box
A07/11
LKL
Nevezis
#2
L
79-90
79
90
-11
no box
A11/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-18
23-18
13-23
19-17
29-22
19-29
20-24
14-27
23-25
19-18
14-30
20-23
24-21
17-12
16-24
14-22
19-22
24-18
18-15
19-21
15-17
26-24
9-23
28-17
22-27
17-22
29-15
23-17
21-28
18-15
13-23
25-25
22-11
21-23
23-20
14-28
20-23
17-22
22-28
20-17
164.9Avg total
79.5Scored
85.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)78.884.5163.2-5.825%
Season at home (1)81.076.0157.0+5.0100%
Season away (3)78.087.3165.3-9.30%
Last 10 (10)79.585.4164.9-5.930%
Last 5 (5)81.085.0166.0-4.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)78.286.4164.6-8.112%
vs Similar (5)84.086.2170.2-2.260%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GargzdaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGargzdai
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#4
W
87-78
87
78
+9
81avg 79
H26/09
LKL
Rytas
#3
W
105-102
105
102
+3
96avg 79
A03/10
LKL
Jurbarkas
#3
W
79-75
79
75
+4
65avg 79
H06/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Taurage
#9
W
102-82
102
82
+20
97avg 79
A11/10
LKL
Nevezis
#2
W
101-86
101
86
+15
103avg 79
A14/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#7
L
90-100
90
100
-10
80avg 79
A18/10
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
W
83-80
83
80
+3
81avg 79
H24/10
LKL
Taurage
#4
W
81-78
81
78
+3
74avg 79
H27/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#10
L
76-87
76
87
-11
no box
A02/11
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
91-70
91
70
+21
no box
A08/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-24
16-20
24-27
29-7
31-25
20-23
27-32
27-22
16-20
29-21
18-24
16-10
22-29
29-19
24-20
27-14
18-18
27-20
30-25
26-23
25-31
26-26
19-20
20-23
27-14
12-23
16-22
28-21
17-15
24-26
23-9
17-28
25-22
17-27
19-18
15-20
17-20
20-16
30-18
24-16
173.3Avg total
89.5Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)87.079.7166.7+7.3100%
Season at home (2)80.076.5156.5+3.5100%
Season away (1)101.086.0187.0+15.0100%
Last 10 (10)89.583.8173.3+5.780%
Last 5 (5)84.283.0167.2+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)78.586.5165.0-7.936%
vs Similar (7)90.987.1178.0+3.771%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)88.785.1173.8+3.667%
This opponent (Taurage) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -4.8-4.8Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +4.5+4.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -4.8-4.8Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +4.5+4.5
TaurageGargzdai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TaurageLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#2
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H07/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Gargzdai
#2
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H11/10
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A18/10
LKL
Rytas
#3
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H21/10
LKL
Nevezis
#10
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H24/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#1
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A27/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#6
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A31/10
LKL
Jurbarkas
#3
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A03/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#4
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A07/11
LKL
Nevezis
#2
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A11/11
King Mindaugas Cup
83.7Avg total
42.2Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (13)41.040.981.9+0.138%-
Last 30 at home (5)44.439.684.0+4.880%-
Last 30 away (8)38.941.880.6-2.912%-
Last 10 (10)42.241.583.7+0.740%-
Last 5 (5)39.842.482.2-2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)41.940.182.0+1.838%-
vs Similar (5)39.642.281.8-2.640%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GargzdaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#4
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H26/09
LKL
Rytas
#3
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A03/10
LKL
Jurbarkas
#3
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H06/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Taurage
#9
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A11/10
LKL
Nevezis
#2
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A14/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#7
L
51-57
51
57
-6
A18/10
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H24/10
LKL
Taurage
#4
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H27/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#10
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A02/11
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A08/11
LKL
87.5Avg total
43.6Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.244.884.9-4.630%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.643.781.3-6.113%-
Last 30 away (15)42.745.888.5-3.147%-
Last 10 (10)43.643.987.5-0.360%-
Last 5 (5)42.044.086.0-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)39.144.683.7-5.518%-
vs Similar (7)38.344.482.7-6.129%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)42.245.187.3-2.842%-
This opponent (Taurage) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tauragetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Taurage: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.0 points a game
54%
26%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.519.3
47.7%
52.4%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.18.0
33.2%
28.5%24.0
🏀 Free throws24.518.4
75.1%
72.6%18.4
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Gargzdaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gargzdai: 88.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.0 points a game
54%
26%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.125.2
55.9%
52.4%50.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.18.0
34.6%
28.5%24.0
🏀 Free throws19.814.0
70.7%
72.6%14.0
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Taurage
LLLWLWLLLW
Gargzdai
WLWWLWWWWW
#4
League position
#1
-4.4
Net rating
+3.6
92.1
Offensive rating
99.4
96.6
Defensive rating
95.8
48.5%
Effective FG%
54.5%
52.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
15.0%
Turnover %
13.1%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.29
33.2%
3-point %
34.6%
62.6%
Assist %
60.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence92.1 · 99.4Defence96.6 · 95.8Shooting48.5% · 54.5%3-point %33.2% · 34.6%Ball care15.0% · 13.1%Free throws0.38 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)30% · 80%
■ Taurage   ■ Gargzdai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Taurage wins
2
Gargzdai wins
DateGameScore
27/10/26Gargzdai v Taurage81-78
11/10/26Taurage v Gargzdai82-102
Tauragelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26ANevezis79-90
07/11/26ANeptunas80-82
03/11/26AJurbarkas77-91
31/10/26ASiauliai91-81
27/10/26AGargzdai78-81
24/10/26HNevezis80-76
21/10/26HRytas71-79
18/10/26AZalgiris Kaunas76-96
11/10/26HGargzdai82-102
07/10/26HNevezis81-76
Gargzdailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26AJonava91-70
02/11/26ANevezis76-87
27/10/26HTaurage81-78
24/10/26HLietkabelis83-80
18/10/26AJuventus90-100
14/10/26ANevezis101-86
11/10/26ATaurage102-82
06/10/26HJurbarkas79-75
03/10/26ARytas105-102
26/09/26HNeptunas87-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Taurage
King Mindaugas Cup 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLL25%
HomeW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %25%100%0%
Points / game78.881.078.0
Allowed / game84.576.087.3
Point differential-5.8+5.0-9.3
Avg total163.2157.0165.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Gargzdai
King Mindaugas Cup 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game87.080.0101.0
Allowed / game79.776.586.0
Point differential+7.3+3.5+15.0
Avg total166.7156.5187.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gargzdai330100%87.079.7+7.3
2 Nevezis42250%86.282.5+3.8
3 Jurbarkas31233%78.383.0-4.7
4 Taurage41325%78.884.5-5.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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