PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Taurage vs Gargzdai Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 20 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 17:10
Scheduled
Position#9
Record3-5
FormLWLWL
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game87.8
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.2/10
Around normal
4.0/10
Below normal
Position#3
Record5-3
FormWLWWL
Points / game88.8
Allowed / game88.2
LithuaniaLKL· Taurages arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Taurage v Gargzdai
20 Mar 2027
TAU v GAR
upcoming
09 Dec 2026
TAU v GAR
upcoming
11 Oct 2026
TAU82
GAR102
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Taurage win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Gargzdai win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TaurageLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTaurage
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#5
L
79-85
79
85
-6
68avg 72
A26/09
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
77-93
77
93
-16
60avg 72
A04/10
LKL
Nevezis
#2
W
81-76
81
76
+5
79avg 72
H07/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Gargzdai
#3
L
82-102
82
102
-20
72avg 72
H11/10
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
76-96
76
96
-20
71avg 72
A18/10
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
71-79
71
79
-8
61avg 72
H21/10
LKL
Nevezis
#10
W
80-76
80
76
+4
77avg 72
H24/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#1
L
78-81
78
81
-3
71avg 72
A27/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#8
W
91-81
91
81
+10
83avg 72
A31/10
LKL
Jurbarkas
#4
L
77-91
77
91
-14
no box
A03/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-24
16-14
28-32
17-15
20-18
16-23
17-26
24-26
26-18
23-18
13-23
19-17
29-22
19-29
20-24
14-27
23-25
19-18
14-30
20-23
24-21
17-12
16-24
14-22
19-22
24-18
18-15
19-21
15-17
26-24
9-23
28-17
22-27
17-22
29-15
23-17
21-28
18-15
13-23
25-25
165.2Avg total
79.2Scored
86.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)81.487.8169.1-6.438%
Season at home (4)82.086.8168.8-4.850%
Season away (4)80.888.8169.5-8.025%
Last 10 (10)79.286.0165.2-6.830%
Last 5 (5)79.481.6161.0-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)79.987.8167.6-7.925%
vs Similar (3)82.782.7165.3+0.067%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GargzdaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGargzdai
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#8
W
90-79
90
79
+11
85avg 81
H20/09
LKL
Neptunas
#4
W
87-78
87
78
+9
81avg 81
H26/09
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
105-102
105
102
+3
96avg 81
A03/10
LKL
Jurbarkas
#4
W
79-75
79
75
+4
65avg 81
H06/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Taurage
#9
W
102-82
102
82
+20
97avg 81
A11/10
LKL
Nevezis
#2
W
101-86
101
86
+15
103avg 81
A14/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#7
L
90-100
90
100
-10
80avg 81
A18/10
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
W
83-80
83
80
+3
81avg 81
H24/10
LKL
Taurage
#3
W
81-78
81
78
+3
74avg 81
H27/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#10
L
76-87
76
87
-11
no box
A02/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-25
19-23
27-18
29-13
18-24
16-20
24-27
29-7
31-25
20-23
27-32
27-22
16-20
29-21
18-24
16-10
22-29
29-19
24-20
27-14
18-18
27-20
30-25
26-23
25-31
26-26
19-20
20-23
27-14
12-23
16-22
28-21
17-15
24-26
23-9
17-28
25-22
17-27
19-18
15-20
174.1Avg total
89.4Scored
84.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)88.888.2177.0+0.562%
Season at home (4)84.283.8168.0+0.575%
Season away (4)93.292.8186.0+0.550%
Last 10 (10)89.484.7174.1+4.780%
Last 5 (5)86.286.2172.4+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)80.686.4167.0-5.846%
vs Similar (7)86.186.0172.1+0.157%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)90.185.7175.8+4.470%
This opponent (Taurage) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -5.8-5.8Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +5.3+5.3
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -5.8-5.8Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +5.3+5.3
TaurageGargzdai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TaurageLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#5
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A26/09
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A04/10
LKL
Nevezis
#2
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H07/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Gargzdai
#3
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H11/10
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A18/10
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H21/10
LKL
Nevezis
#10
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H24/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#1
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A27/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#8
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A31/10
LKL
Jurbarkas
#4
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A03/11
King Mindaugas Cup
82.7Avg total
41.2Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (11)41.241.282.4+0.036%-
Last 30 at home (5)44.439.684.0+4.880%-
Last 30 away (6)38.542.581.0-4.00%-
Last 10 (10)41.241.582.7-0.330%-
Last 5 (5)40.641.281.8-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)41.540.181.6+1.438%-
vs Similar (3)40.344.084.3-3.733%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GargzdaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#8
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H20/09
LKL
Neptunas
#4
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H26/09
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A03/10
LKL
Jurbarkas
#4
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H06/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Taurage
#9
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A11/10
LKL
Nevezis
#2
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A14/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#7
L
51-57
51
57
-6
A18/10
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H24/10
LKL
Taurage
#3
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H27/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#10
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A02/11
LKL
88.4Avg total
43.3Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.144.684.7-4.430%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.643.781.3-6.113%-
Last 30 away (15)42.745.488.1-2.747%-
Last 10 (10)43.345.188.4-1.850%-
Last 5 (5)43.644.488.0-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)39.843.883.5-4.031%-
vs Similar (7)37.445.683.0-8.114%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)42.544.987.4-2.440%-
This opponent (Taurage) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tauragetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Taurage: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.519.3
47.7%
55.6%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.18.0
33.2%
35.3%24.0
🏀 Free throws24.518.4
75.1%
70.8%18.4
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Gargzdaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gargzdai: 88.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.125.2
55.9%
55.6%50.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.18.0
34.6%
35.3%24.0
🏀 Free throws19.814.0
70.7%
70.8%14.0
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Taurage
LWLWLLLWLL
Gargzdai
LWWLWWWWWW
#9
League position
#3
-4.4
Net rating
+3.6
92.1
Offensive rating
99.4
96.6
Defensive rating
95.8
48.5%
Effective FG%
54.5%
52.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
15.0%
Turnover %
13.1%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.29
33.2%
3-point %
34.6%
62.6%
Assist %
60.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence92.1 · 99.4Defence96.6 · 95.8Shooting48.5% · 54.5%3-point %33.2% · 34.6%Ball care15.0% · 13.1%Free throws0.38 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)30% · 80%
■ Taurage   ■ Gargzdai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Taurage wins
2
Gargzdai wins
DateGameScore
27/10/26Gargzdai v Taurage81-78
11/10/26Taurage v Gargzdai82-102
Tauragelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/26AJurbarkas77-91
31/10/26ASiauliai91-81
27/10/26AGargzdai78-81
24/10/26HNevezis80-76
21/10/26HRytas71-79
18/10/26AZalgiris Kaunas76-96
11/10/26HGargzdai82-102
07/10/26HNevezis81-76
04/10/26AJuventus77-93
26/09/26ALietkabelis79-85
Gargzdailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/26ANevezis76-87
27/10/26HTaurage81-78
24/10/26HLietkabelis83-80
18/10/26AJuventus90-100
14/10/26ANevezis101-86
11/10/26ATaurage102-82
06/10/26HJurbarkas79-75
03/10/26ARytas105-102
26/09/26HNeptunas87-78
20/09/26HSiauliai90-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Taurage
LKL 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW38%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %38%50%25%
Points / game81.482.080.8
Allowed / game87.886.888.8
Point differential-6.4-4.8-8.0
Avg total169.1168.8169.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %12%25%0%
Gargzdai
LKL 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL62%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%75%50%
Points / game88.884.293.2
Allowed / game88.283.892.8
Point differential+0.5+0.5+0.5
Avg total177.0168.0186.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas880100%93.175.0+18.1
2 Rytas64267%90.885.2+5.7
3 Gargzdai85362%88.888.2+0.5
4 Neptunas84450%85.685.2+0.4
5 Lietkabelis84450%78.981.1-2.2
6 Jonava73443%78.479.4-1.0
7 Juventus83538%85.287.2-2.0
8 Siauliai83538%83.287.2-4.0
9 Taurage83538%81.487.8-6.4
10 Nevezis71614%73.682.4-8.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.