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Gargzdai vs Nevezis Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 06 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 17:10
Scheduled
Position#3
Record6-4
FormWWLWL
Points / game88.3
Allowed / game87.3
vs
Form · last 5 games
3.9/10
Below normal
5.2/10
Around normal
Position#10
Record2-7
FormLWLWW
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game83.1
LithuaniaLKL· Gargzdu arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Gargzdai v Nevezis
08 May 2027
GAR v NEV
upcoming
16 Dec 2026
GAR v NEV
upcoming
06 Dec 2026
GAR v NEV
upcoming
07 Mar 2026
GAR88
NEV81
10 Dec 2025
GAR90
NEV74
16 Nov 2025
GAR86
NEV79
16 Oct 2023
GAR97
NEV84
02 Apr 2023
GAR73
NEV87
29 Oct 2022
GAR71
NEV73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gargzdai win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Nevezis win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GargzdaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGargzdai
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
W
105-102
105
102
+3
96avg 78
A03/10
LKL
Jurbarkas
#3
W
79-75
79
75
+4
65avg 78
H06/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Taurage
#9
W
102-82
102
82
+20
97avg 78
A11/10
LKL
Nevezis
#2
W
101-86
101
86
+15
103avg 78
A14/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#8
L
90-100
90
100
-10
80avg 78
A18/10
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
83-80
83
80
+3
81avg 78
H24/10
LKL
Taurage
#4
W
81-78
81
78
+3
74avg 78
H27/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#10
L
76-87
76
87
-11
no box
A02/11
LKL
Jonava
#7
W
91-70
91
70
+21
no box
A08/11
LKL
Siauliai
#6
L
82-97
82
97
-15
no box
A14/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-25
20-23
27-32
27-22
16-20
29-21
18-24
16-10
22-29
29-19
24-20
27-14
18-18
27-20
30-25
26-23
25-31
26-26
19-20
20-23
27-14
12-23
16-22
28-21
17-15
24-26
23-9
17-28
25-22
17-27
19-18
15-20
17-20
20-16
30-18
24-16
25-28
16-19
22-24
19-26
174.7Avg total
89.0Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)88.387.3175.6+1.060%
Season at home (4)84.283.8168.0+0.575%
Season away (6)91.089.7180.7+1.350%
Last 10 (10)89.085.7174.7+3.370%
Last 5 (5)82.682.4165.0+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)78.586.5165.0-7.936%
vs Similar (10)90.888.3179.1+2.570%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)89.084.7173.7+4.367%
This opponent (Nevezis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevezisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNevezis
Date
Competition
Taurage
#4
L
76-81
76
81
-5
60avg 73
A07/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
76-80
76
80
-4
72avg 73
H11/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#1
L
86-101
86
101
-15
85avg 73
H14/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#4
L
72-73
72
73
-1
70avg 73
H17/10
LKL
Jurbarkas
#3
W
93-69
93
69
+24
85avg 73
A20/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Taurage
#9
L
76-80
76
80
-4
65avg 73
A24/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#3
W
87-76
87
76
+11
no box
H02/11
LKL
Siauliai
#6
L
76-83
76
83
-7
no box
H08/11
LKL
Taurage
#4
W
90-79
90
79
+11
no box
H11/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#8
W
91-88
91
88
+3
no box
H14/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-26
18-23
23-13
17-19
22-16
18-18
19-25
17-21
18-18
20-27
25-30
23-26
19-20
9-22
21-20
23-11
27-20
21-25
24-13
21-11
22-19
18-24
15-18
21-19
22-25
27-17
18-19
20-15
26-23
23-18
15-20
12-22
23-20
22-17
28-22
17-20
28-23
18-23
27-21
18-21
163.3Avg total
82.3Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)75.883.1158.9-7.322%
Season at home (5)80.480.0160.4+0.440%
Season away (4)70.087.0157.0-17.00%
Last 10 (10)82.381.0163.3+1.340%
Last 5 (5)84.081.2165.2+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)81.090.9172.0-9.923%
vs Similar (5)80.888.2169.0-7.420%
vs Weaker (3)86.376.3162.7+10.067%
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +0.4+0.4
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +0.4+0.4
GargzdaiNevezis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GargzdaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A03/10
LKL
Jurbarkas
#3
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H06/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Taurage
#9
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A11/10
LKL
Nevezis
#2
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A14/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#8
L
51-57
51
57
-6
A18/10
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H24/10
LKL
Taurage
#4
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H27/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#10
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A02/11
LKL
Jonava
#7
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A08/11
LKL
Siauliai
#6
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A14/11
LKL
88.5Avg total
44.3Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.944.885.7-3.930%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.643.781.3-6.113%-
Last 30 away (15)44.145.990.0-1.747%-
Last 10 (10)44.344.288.5+0.160%-
Last 5 (5)40.042.082.0-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)39.144.683.7-5.518%-
vs Similar (10)41.345.486.7-4.130%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)42.644.386.9-1.844%-
This opponent (Nevezis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevezisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Taurage
#4
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A07/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H11/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#1
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H14/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#4
L
28-42
28
42
-14
H17/10
LKL
Jurbarkas
#3
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A20/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Taurage
#9
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A24/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#3
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H02/11
LKL
Siauliai
#6
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H08/11
LKL
Taurage
#4
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H11/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#8
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H14/11
LKL
84.3Avg total
41.9Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.645.885.4-6.230%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.645.084.6-5.433%-
Last 30 away (15)39.546.686.1-7.127%-
Last 10 (10)41.942.484.3-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)45.841.887.6+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)38.946.585.4-7.732%-
vs Similar (5)40.643.884.4-3.20%-
vs Weaker (3)43.043.786.7-0.767%-
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Gargzdaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gargzdai: 88.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.125.2
55.9%
55.6%50.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.18.0
34.6%
35.3%24.0
🏀 Free throws19.814.0
70.7%
70.8%14.0
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nevezistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nevezis: 75.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.821.1
50.5%
55.6%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.56.0
29.3%
35.3%18.0
🏀 Free throws23.615.6
66.1%
70.8%15.6
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gargzdai
LWLWWLWWWW
Nevezis
WWLWLWLLLL
#3
League position
#10
+3.6
Net rating
-10.2
99.4
Offensive rating
88.9
95.8
Defensive rating
99.1
54.5%
Effective FG%
48.3%
52.8%
Opp. effective FG%
54.4%
13.1%
Turnover %
14.8%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.38
34.6%
3-point %
29.3%
60.8%
Assist %
59.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence99.4 · 88.9Defence95.8 · 99.1Shooting54.5% · 48.3%3-point %34.6% · 29.3%Ball care13.1% · 14.8%Free throws0.29 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Gargzdai   ■ Nevezis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Gargzdai wins
3
Nevezis wins
DateGameScore
02/11/26Nevezis v Gargzdai87-76
14/10/26Nevezis v Gargzdai86-101
26/04/26Nevezis v Gargzdai85-90
07/03/26Gargzdai v Nevezis88-81
10/12/25Gargzdai v Nevezis90-74
16/11/25Gargzdai v Nevezis86-79
03/11/25Nevezis v Gargzdai94-87
08/10/25Nevezis v Gargzdai72-94
04/12/23Nevezis v Gargzdai92-80
16/10/23Gargzdai v Nevezis97-84
Gargzdailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ASiauliai82-97
08/11/26AJonava91-70
02/11/26ANevezis76-87
27/10/26HTaurage81-78
24/10/26HLietkabelis83-80
18/10/26AJuventus90-100
14/10/26ANevezis101-86
11/10/26ATaurage102-82
06/10/26HJurbarkas79-75
03/10/26ARytas105-102
Nevezislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HJuventus91-88
11/11/26HTaurage90-79
08/11/26HSiauliai76-83
02/11/26HGargzdai87-76
24/10/26ATaurage76-80
20/10/26AJurbarkas93-69
17/10/26HLietkabelis72-73
14/10/26HGargzdai86-101
11/10/26HZalgiris Kaunas76-80
07/10/26ATaurage76-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gargzdai
LKL 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL60%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayWLLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %60%75%50%
Points / game88.384.291.0
Allowed / game87.383.889.7
Point differential+1.0+0.5+1.3
Avg total175.6168.0180.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nevezis
LKL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW22%
HomeLLWLW40%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %22%40%0%
Points / game75.880.470.0
Allowed / game83.180.087.0
Point differential-7.3+0.4-17.0
Avg total158.9160.4157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas10100100%92.676.7+15.9
2 Rytas85362%89.685.4+4.2
3 Gargzdai106460%88.387.3+1.0
4 Lietkabelis106460%79.780.3-0.6
5 Neptunas105550%84.984.9+0.0
6 Siauliai105550%84.685.6-1.0
7 Jonava93633%78.482.0-3.6
8 Juventus103730%85.588.3-2.8
9 Taurage103730%80.486.5-6.1
10 Nevezis92722%75.883.1-7.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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