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Gargzdai vs Jonava Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 13 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 14:50
Scheduled
Position#3
Record6-4
FormWWLWL
Points / game88.3
Allowed / game87.3
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.0/10
Below normal
4.6/10
Around normal
Position#7
Record3-6
FormLWWLL
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game82.0
LithuaniaLKL· Gargzdu arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Gargzdai v Jonava
13 Mar 2027
GAR v JON
upcoming
13 Dec 2026
GAR v JON
upcoming
02 May 2026
GAR104
JON109
30 Oct 2025
GAR84
JON88
04 Oct 2025
GAR103
JON73
12 Nov 2023
GAR86
JON80
15 Jan 2023
GAR68
JON69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gargzdai win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Jonava win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GargzdaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGargzdai
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
W
105-102
105
102
+3
96avg 79
A03/10
LKL
Jurbarkas
#3
W
79-75
79
75
+4
65avg 79
H06/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Taurage
#9
W
102-82
102
82
+20
97avg 79
A11/10
LKL
Nevezis
#2
W
101-86
101
86
+15
103avg 79
A14/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#8
L
90-100
90
100
-10
80avg 79
A18/10
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
83-80
83
80
+3
81avg 79
H24/10
LKL
Taurage
#4
W
81-78
81
78
+3
74avg 79
H27/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#10
L
76-87
76
87
-11
no box
A02/11
LKL
Jonava
#7
W
91-70
91
70
+21
no box
A08/11
LKL
Siauliai
#6
L
82-97
82
97
-15
no box
A14/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-25
20-23
27-32
27-22
16-20
29-21
18-24
16-10
22-29
29-19
24-20
27-14
18-18
27-20
30-25
26-23
25-31
26-26
19-20
20-23
27-14
12-23
16-22
28-21
17-15
24-26
23-9
17-28
25-22
17-27
19-18
15-20
17-20
20-16
30-18
24-16
25-28
16-19
22-24
19-26
174.7Avg total
89.0Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)88.387.3175.6+1.060%
Season at home (4)84.283.8168.0+0.575%
Season away (6)91.089.7180.7+1.350%
Last 10 (10)89.085.7174.7+3.370%
Last 5 (5)82.682.4165.0+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)78.586.5165.0-7.936%
vs Similar (10)90.888.3179.1+2.570%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)89.084.7173.7+4.367%
This opponent (Jonava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JonavaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJonava
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#10
W
85-65
85
65
+20
81avg 74
H22/09
LKL
Tindastoll
#2
L
71-77
71
77
-6
61avg 74
H27/09
ENBL
Siauliai
#6
L
63-79
63
79
-16
54avg 74
H03/10
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
71-65
71
65
+6
65avg 74
A10/10
LKL
Neptunas
#5
L
83-84
83
84
-1
79avg 74
H17/10
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
63-86
63
86
-23
53avg 74
A25/10
LKL
CIU
#12
W
80-67
80
67
+13
78avg 74
A28/10
ENBL
Juventus
#8
W
94-82
94
82
+12
94avg 74
H31/10
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
87-91
87
91
-4
no box
H05/11
LKL
Gargzdai
#3
L
70-91
70
91
-21
no box
H08/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-19
19-18
21-18
27-10
14-22
23-14
21-22
13-19
16-20
17-28
17-22
13-9
20-13
13-15
14-15
24-22
24-29
21-19
21-17
17-19
15-24
11-17
14-24
23-21
20-18
17-20
24-12
19-17
16-27
29-15
24-25
25-15
22-27
22-22
22-12
21-30
20-17
16-20
18-30
16-24
155.4Avg total
76.7Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)78.482.0160.4-3.633%
Season at home (6)80.382.0162.3-1.733%
Season away (3)74.782.0156.7-7.333%
Last 10 (10)76.778.7155.4-2.040%
Last 5 (5)78.883.4162.2-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)82.990.0172.8-7.127%
vs Similar (7)82.680.4163.0+2.157%
vs Weaker (1)80.067.0147.0+13.0100%
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +1.2+1.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +1.2+1.2
GargzdaiJonava
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GargzdaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A03/10
LKL
Jurbarkas
#3
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H06/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Taurage
#9
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A11/10
LKL
Nevezis
#2
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A14/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#8
L
51-57
51
57
-6
A18/10
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H24/10
LKL
Taurage
#4
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H27/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#10
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A02/11
LKL
Jonava
#7
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A08/11
LKL
Siauliai
#6
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A14/11
LKL
88.5Avg total
44.3Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.944.885.7-3.930%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.643.781.3-6.113%-
Last 30 away (15)44.145.990.0-1.747%-
Last 10 (10)44.344.288.5+0.160%-
Last 5 (5)40.042.082.0-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)39.144.683.7-5.518%-
vs Similar (10)41.345.486.7-4.130%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)42.644.386.9-1.844%-
This opponent (Jonava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JonavaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#10
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H22/09
LKL
Tindastoll
#2
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H27/09
ENBL
Siauliai
#6
L
33-48
33
48
-15
H03/10
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A10/10
LKL
Neptunas
#5
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H17/10
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
26-41
26
41
-15
A25/10
LKL
CIU
#12
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A28/10
ENBL
Juventus
#8
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H31/10
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H05/11
LKL
Gargzdai
#3
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H08/11
LKL
77.7Avg total
37.3Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.343.784.0-3.437%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.042.683.6-1.644%-
Last 30 away (14)39.645.084.6-5.429%-
Last 10 (10)37.340.477.7-3.130%-
Last 5 (5)37.641.479.0-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)40.645.085.5-4.432%-
vs Similar (7)40.040.680.6-0.657%-
vs Weaker (1)37.038.075.0-1.00%-
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Gargzdaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gargzdai: 88.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.125.2
55.9%
55.6%50.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.18.0
34.6%
35.3%24.0
🏀 Free throws19.814.0
70.7%
70.8%14.0
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Jonavatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jonava: 77.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.819.2
56.8%
55.6%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.88.1
30.2%
35.3%24.3
🏀 Free throws21.514.5
67.4%
70.8%14.5
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gargzdai
LWLWWLWWWW
Jonava
LLWWLLWLLW
#3
League position
#7
+3.6
Net rating
+6.4
99.4
Offensive rating
91.3
95.8
Defensive rating
84.9
54.5%
Effective FG%
51.7%
52.8%
Opp. effective FG%
50.4%
13.1%
Turnover %
17.0%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.35
34.6%
3-point %
30.2%
60.8%
Assist %
62.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence99.4 · 91.3Defence95.8 · 84.9Shooting54.5% · 51.7%3-point %34.6% · 30.2%Ball care13.1% · 17.0%Free throws0.29 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Gargzdai   ■ Jonava
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Gargzdai wins
6
Jonava wins
DateGameScore
08/11/26Jonava v Gargzdai70-91
02/05/26Gargzdai v Jonava104-109 OT
17/02/26Jonava v Gargzdai95-90
03/01/26Jonava v Gargzdai75-82
04/12/25Jonava v Gargzdai97-82
30/10/25Gargzdai v Jonava84-88
04/10/25Gargzdai v Jonava103-73
28/12/23Jonava v Gargzdai105-73
12/11/23Gargzdai v Jonava86-80
18/04/23Jonava v Gargzdai67-65
Gargzdailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ASiauliai82-97
08/11/26AJonava91-70
02/11/26ANevezis76-87
27/10/26HTaurage81-78
24/10/26HLietkabelis83-80
18/10/26AJuventus90-100
14/10/26ANevezis101-86
11/10/26ATaurage102-82
06/10/26HJurbarkas79-75
03/10/26ARytas105-102
Jonavalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26HGargzdai70-91
05/11/26HRytas87-91
31/10/26HJuventus94-82
28/10/26ACIU80-67
25/10/26AZalgiris Kaunas63-86
17/10/26HNeptunas83-84
10/10/26ALietkabelis71-65
03/10/26HSiauliai63-79
27/09/26HTindastoll71-77
22/09/26HNevezis85-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gargzdai
LKL 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL60%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayWLLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %60%75%50%
Points / game88.384.291.0
Allowed / game87.383.889.7
Point differential+1.0+0.5+1.3
Avg total175.6168.0180.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Jonava
LKL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL33%
HomeLLWLL33%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %33%33%33%
Points / game78.480.374.7
Allowed / game82.082.082.0
Point differential-3.6-1.7-7.3
Avg total160.4162.3156.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %11%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas990100%93.276.1+17.1
2 Rytas85362%89.685.4+4.2
3 Gargzdai106460%88.387.3+1.0
4 Lietkabelis106460%79.780.3-0.6
5 Neptunas95456%85.284.7+0.6
6 Siauliai105550%84.685.6-1.0
7 Jonava93633%78.482.0-3.6
8 Juventus103730%85.588.3-2.8
9 Taurage103730%80.486.5-6.1
10 Nevezis92722%75.883.1-7.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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