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Juventus vs Neptunas Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 12 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 14:50
Scheduled
Position#7
Record3-6
FormWLLWL
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game88.0
vs
Form · last 5 games
3.5/10
Below normal
4.6/10
Around normal
Position#4
Record5-4
FormLLLWW
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game84.7
LithuaniaLKL· Utenos arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Juventus v Neptunas
13 Feb 2027
JUV v NEP
upcoming
12 Dec 2026
JUV v NEP
upcoming
03 Jun 2026
JUV103
NEP90
29 May 2026
JUV86
NEP83
02 May 2026
JUV102
NEP91
15 Nov 2025
JUV90
NEP97
21 Apr 2025
JUV100
NEP94
12 Dec 2024
JUV82
NEP93
06 Oct 2024
JUV92
NEP99
25 Mar 2024
JUV83
NEP96
23 Nov 2023
JUV92
NEP78
02 Oct 2023
JUV112
NEP102
02 May 2023
JUV85
NEP83
27 Oct 2022
JUV95
NEP86
08 Oct 2022
JUV95
NEP77
14 Mar 2022
JUV82
NEP79
27 Jan 2022
JUV76
NEP64
03 Mar 2021
JUV98
NEP58
13 Dec 2020
JUV85
NEP84
15 Apr 2020
JUV v NEP
upcoming
14 Dec 2019
JUV80
NEP76
09 Feb 2019
JUV88
NEP89
30 Dec 2018
JUV88
NEP80
24 Mar 2018
JUV81
NEP90
07 Oct 2017
JUV72
NEP73
02 May 2017
JUV57
NEP78
26 Mar 2017
JUV83
NEP98
04 Dec 2016
JUV91
NEP97
26 Mar 2016
JUV104
NEP89
08 Oct 2015
JUV79
NEP76
07 Jun 2015
JUV61
NEP66
01 Jun 2015
JUV76
NEP66
20 Apr 2015
JUV77
NEP71
30 Dec 2014
JUV79
NEP85
21 Dec 2013
JUV76
NEP79
29 Sep 2012
JUV93
NEP88
19 Nov 2011
JUV85
NEP71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Juventus win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JuventusLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJuventus
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#10
W
94-77
94
77
+17
85avg 78
H27/09
LKL
Taurage
#9
W
93-77
93
77
+16
86avg 78
H04/10
LKL
Unicaja
#1
L
66-105
66
105
-39
51avg 78
H07/10
Champions League
Siauliai
#6
L
71-83
71
83
-12
62avg 78
A11/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#2
W
100-90
100
90
+10
100avg 78
H18/10
LKL
Reggiana
#32
W
76-75
76
75
+1
70avg 78
A21/10
Champions League
Rytas
#3
L
76-94
76
94
-18
63avg 78
H25/10
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
82-94
82
94
-12
74avg 78
A31/10
LKL
Pardubice
#49
W
98-95 OT
98
95
+3
no box
H03/11
Champions League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
85-94
85
94
-9
no box
H08/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-24
24-14
17-22
25-17
18-20
23-16
26-17
26-24
8-20
21-24
19-34
18-27
25-23
28-18
15-21
3-21
31-25
26-26
20-19
23-20
22-25
25-25
14-20
15-5
25-30
17-21
10-20
24-23
27-16
15-29
25-24
15-25
21-21
19-25
35-23
14-20
17-21
25-27
20-12
23-34
172.5Avg total
84.1Scored
88.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)85.288.0173.2-2.833%
Season at home (5)89.686.4176.0+3.260%
Season away (4)79.890.0169.8-10.20%
Last 10 (10)84.188.4172.5-4.350%
Last 5 (5)83.490.4173.8-7.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)85.093.8178.8-8.844%
vs Similar ◀ (8)86.989.6176.5-2.838%
vs Weaker (4)93.087.0180.0+6.075%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Rytas
#3
L
77-86
77
86
-9
65avg 81
A10/10
LKL
JL Bourg
#24
W
93-89
93
89
+4
86avg 81
H13/10
Eurocup
Jonava
#8
W
84-83
84
83
+1
75avg 81
A17/10
LKL
Buducnost
#10
L
89-104
89
104
-15
81avg 81
A20/10
Eurocup
Siauliai
#6
W
110-88
110
88
+22
108avg 81
H25/10
LKL
Basket Napoli
#2
L
85-94
85
94
-9
77avg 81
H28/10
Eurocup
Lietkabelis
#5
L
79-99
79
99
-20
78avg 81
A31/10
LKL
Tofas
#6
L
79-94
79
94
-15
no box
A03/11
Eurocup
Taurage
#9
W
82-80
82
80
+2
no box
H07/11
LKL
Slask Wroclaw
#31
W
90-82
90
82
+8
no box
H10/11
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
18-22
21-27
16-19
32-14
19-29
17-24
25-22
29-24
19-21
17-21
19-17
22-31
20-25
26-24
21-24
25-23
26-17
31-26
28-22
20-24
25-23
20-24
20-23
33-19
20-29
11-25
15-26
29-19
20-24
10-24
20-27
11-22
23-21
20-23
28-14
21-18
17-20
30-26
22-18
176.7Avg total
86.8Scored
89.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)85.284.7169.9+0.656%
Season at home (5)89.881.4171.2+8.480%
Season away (4)79.588.8168.2-9.225%
Last 10 (10)86.889.9176.7-3.150%
Last 5 (5)83.089.8172.8-6.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)82.795.2177.8-12.50%
vs Similar ◀ (11)83.682.5166.1+1.255%
vs Weaker (13)89.585.5175.0+4.162%
This opponent (Juventus) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: +0.2+0.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: +0.2+0.2
JuventusNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JuventusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#10
W
52-38
52
38
+14
H27/09
LKL
Taurage
#9
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H04/10
LKL
Unicaja
#1
L
29-44
29
44
-15
H07/10
Champions League
Siauliai
#6
W
53-41
53
41
+12
A11/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#2
W
57-51
57
51
+6
H18/10
LKL
Reggiana
#32
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A21/10
Champions League
Rytas
#3
L
42-51
42
51
-9
H25/10
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A31/10
LKL
Pardubice
#49
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H03/11
Champions League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H08/11
LKL
89.5Avg total
44.5Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.744.187.8-0.447%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.343.788.0+0.760%-
Last 30 away (15)43.144.587.6-1.533%-
Last 10 (10)44.545.089.5-0.540%-
Last 5 (5)42.648.090.6-5.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)43.646.990.5-3.433%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)43.640.884.4+2.962%-
vs Weaker (4)44.538.082.5+6.575%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#3
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A10/10
LKL
JL Bourg
#24
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H13/10
Eurocup
Jonava
#8
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A17/10
LKL
Buducnost
#10
L
42-56
42
56
-14
A20/10
Eurocup
Siauliai
#6
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H25/10
LKL
Basket Napoli
#2
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H28/10
Eurocup
Lietkabelis
#5
W
53-48
53
48
+5
A31/10
LKL
Tofas
#6
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A03/11
Eurocup
Taurage
#9
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H07/11
LKL
Slask Wroclaw
#31
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H10/11
Eurocup
89.4Avg total
45.1Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.642.987.5+1.857%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.241.686.9+3.653%-
Last 30 away (13)43.844.588.3-0.662%-
Last 10 (10)45.144.389.4+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)43.843.887.6+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)43.249.592.7-6.317%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)45.538.584.1+7.082%-
vs Weaker (13)44.543.588.0+1.154%-
This opponent (Juventus) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Juventustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Juventus: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.521.5
53.1%
55.6%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.38.4
34.6%
35.3%25.2
🏀 Free throws20.014.2
71.0%
70.8%14.2
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 85.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.2 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.521.1
53.4%
55.6%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.87.8
32.8%
35.3%23.4
🏀 Free throws24.620.2
82.1%
70.8%20.2
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Juventus
LWLLWWLLWW
Neptunas
WWLLLWLWWL
#7
League position
#4
-6.3
Net rating
-1.7
96.0
Offensive rating
98.4
102.3
Defensive rating
100.1
52.6%
Effective FG%
51.8%
55.0%
Opp. effective FG%
56.6%
15.2%
Turnover %
15.6%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.39
34.6%
3-point %
32.8%
50.5%
Assist %
64.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence96.0 · 98.4Defence102.3 · 100.1Shooting52.6% · 51.8%3-point %34.6% · 32.8%Ball care15.2% · 15.6%Free throws0.31 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Juventus   ■ Neptunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Juventus wins
6
Neptunas wins
DateGameScore
23/09/26Neptunas v Juventus99-84
03/06/26Juventus v Neptunas103-90
01/06/26Neptunas v Juventus102-84
29/05/26Juventus v Neptunas86-83
27/05/26Neptunas v Juventus83-96
02/05/26Juventus v Neptunas102-91
06/04/26Neptunas v Juventus95-89
15/11/25Juventus v Neptunas90-97
08/11/25Neptunas v Juventus85-72
17/05/25Neptunas v Juventus100-88
Juventuslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26HZalgiris Kaunas85-94
03/11/26HPardubice98-95 OT
31/10/26AJonava82-94
25/10/26HRytas76-94
21/10/26AReggiana76-75
18/10/26HGargzdai100-90
11/10/26ASiauliai71-83
07/10/26HUnicaja66-105
04/10/26HTaurage93-77
27/09/26HNevezis94-77
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/26HSlask Wroclaw90-82
07/11/26HTaurage82-80
03/11/26ATofas79-94
31/10/26ALietkabelis79-99
28/10/26HBasket Napoli85-94
25/10/26HSiauliai110-88
20/10/26ABuducnost89-104
17/10/26AJonava84-83
13/10/26HJL Bourg93-89
10/10/26ARytas77-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Juventus
LKL 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL33%
HomeWWWLL60%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %33%60%0%
Points / game85.289.679.8
Allowed / game88.086.490.0
Point differential-2.8+3.2-10.2
Avg total173.2176.0169.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Neptunas
LKL 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW56%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %56%80%25%
Points / game85.289.879.5
Allowed / game84.781.488.8
Point differential+0.6+8.4-9.2
Avg total169.9171.2168.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas990100%93.276.1+17.1
2 Gargzdai96367%89.086.2+2.8
3 Rytas85362%89.685.4+4.2
4 Neptunas95456%85.284.7+0.6
5 Lietkabelis95456%79.681.1-1.6
6 Siauliai94544%83.286.0-2.8
7 Juventus93633%85.288.0-2.8
8 Jonava93633%78.482.0-3.6
9 Taurage93633%81.287.1-5.9
10 Nevezis81712%73.982.5-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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