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Varese vs Bamberg Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 09 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#37
Record1-3
FormWWWLL
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game83.0
vs
Form · last 5 games
6.4/10
Above normal
3.9/10
Below normal
Position#53
Record0-4
FormLWLLL
Points / game70.2
Allowed / game93.0
EuropeChampions League· Palasport Lino Oldrini
European cup2026
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Bamberg win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Scafati
#15
W
85-77
85
77
+8
78avg 78
A04/10
Lega A
Murcia
#4
L
58-85
58
85
-27
44avg 78
A07/10
Champions League
Trieste
#6
W
85-84
85
84
+1
82avg 78
H10/10
Lega A
Peristeri
#3
L
82-85
82
85
-3
80avg 78
H13/10
Champions League
Trento
#11
L
85-87
85
87
-2
72avg 78
A18/10
Lega A
BC Roma
#12
W
110-103 OT
110
103
+7
106avg 78
H24/10
Lega A
Bamberg
#53
W
95-61
95
61
+34
92avg 78
A27/10
Champions League
Verona
#10
W
99-88
99
88
+11
90avg 78
A31/10
Lega A
Udine
#7
L
81-84
81
84
-3
no box
H08/11
Lega A
Peristeri
#3
L
96-101
96
101
-5
no box
A11/11
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-17
16-21
30-24
15-15
8-16
14-23
20-27
16-19
19-15
21-23
21-20
24-26
27-26
25-11
12-27
18-21
17-23
24-26
21-23
23-15
32-28
17-17
17-22
29-28
22-10
24-16
29-17
20-18
25-23
25-21
23-27
26-17
26-14
23-26
14-27
18-17
20-28
27-30
17-21
32-22
173.1Avg total
87.6Scored
85.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)82.883.0165.8-0.225%
Season at home (1)82.085.0167.0-3.00%
Season away (3)83.082.3165.3+0.733%
Last 10 (10)87.685.5173.1+2.150%
Last 5 (5)96.287.4183.6+8.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)84.590.6175.1-6.238%
vs Similar (15)88.187.1175.3+1.053%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)90.069.0159.0+21.0100%
This opponent (Bamberg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BambergLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBamberg
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#9
W
98-83
98
83
+15
94avg 80
A03/10
BBL
Peristeri
#3
L
87-93
87
93
-6
78avg 80
A06/10
Champions League
Syntainics MBC
#3
L
74-85
74
85
-11
60avg 80
H10/10
BBL
Murcia
#4
L
67-86
67
86
-19
53avg 80
H14/10
Champions League
Oldenburg
#10
W
80-70
80
70
+10
75avg 80
A23/10
BBL
Varese
#37
L
61-95
61
95
-34
44avg 80
H27/10
Champions League
Jena
#18
W
88-78
88
78
+10
72avg 80
H01/11
BBL
Trier
#2
L
79-92
79
92
-13
no box
A07/11
BBL
Murcia
#4
L
66-98
66
98
-32
no box
A11/11
Champions League
Bonn
#4
L
71-85
71
85
-14
no box
H14/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-11
24-28
25-19
27-25
22-18
20-35
22-17
23-23
22-19
10-26
9-21
33-19
17-15
15-19
23-32
12-20
25-24
12-15
23-25
20-6
10-22
16-24
17-29
18-20
26-30
21-13
22-23
19-12
18-26
17-21
18-16
26-29
19-29
18-21
11-15
18-33
25-21
12-21
22-19
12-24
163.6Avg total
77.1Scored
86.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)70.293.0163.2-22.80%
Season at home (2)64.090.5154.5-26.50%
Season away (2)76.595.5172.0-19.00%
Last 10 (10)77.186.5163.6-9.430%
Last 5 (5)73.089.6162.6-16.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)72.192.8164.9-20.60%
vs Similar (13)87.384.4171.7+2.962%
vs Weaker (9)89.473.4162.9+16.0100%
This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -5.8-5.8Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -0.3-0.3
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -5.8-5.8Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -0.3-0.3
VareseBamberg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Scafati
#15
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A04/10
Lega A
Murcia
#4
L
22-39
22
39
-17
A07/10
Champions League
Trieste
#6
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H10/10
Lega A
Peristeri
#3
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H13/10
Champions League
Trento
#11
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A18/10
Lega A
BC Roma
#12
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H24/10
Lega A
Bamberg
#53
W
46-26
46
26
+20
A27/10
Champions League
Verona
#10
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A31/10
Lega A
Udine
#7
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H08/11
Lega A
Peristeri
#3
L
47-58
47
58
-11
A11/11
Champions League
85.0Avg total
43.6Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.143.185.2-1.047%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.442.286.6+2.157%-
Last 30 away (16)40.143.984.0-3.838%-
Last 10 (10)43.641.485.0+2.270%-
Last 5 (5)48.242.690.8+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)41.845.787.5-3.931%-
vs Similar (15)42.342.384.6-0.153%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)43.032.075.0+11.0100%-
This opponent (Bamberg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BambergLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#9
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A03/10
BBL
Peristeri
#3
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A06/10
Champions League
Syntainics MBC
#3
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H10/10
BBL
Murcia
#4
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H14/10
Champions League
Oldenburg
#10
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A23/10
BBL
Varese
#37
L
26-46
26
46
-20
H27/10
Champions League
Jena
#18
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H01/11
BBL
Trier
#2
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A07/11
BBL
Murcia
#4
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A11/11
Champions League
Bonn
#4
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H14/11
BBL
80.9Avg total
37.1Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.543.283.6-2.737%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.640.581.1+0.147%-
Last 30 away (15)40.345.886.1-5.527%-
Last 10 (10)37.143.880.9-6.720%-
Last 5 (5)36.445.682.0-9.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)33.646.580.1-12.90%-
vs Similar (13)40.542.883.3-2.223%-
vs Weaker (9)46.440.887.2+5.789%-
This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 84.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.8 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.518.0
50.7%
53.1%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.910.5
36.3%
35.3%31.5
🏀 Free throws24.717.1
69.2%
72.1%17.1
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bambergtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bamberg: 82.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.8 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.720.7
49.6%
53.1%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.410.1
35.6%
35.3%30.3
🏀 Free throws15.911.2
70.4%
72.1%11.2
They take 70.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
LLWWWLLWLW
Bamberg
LLLWLWLLLW
#37
League position
#53
-1.2
Net rating
-4.2
91.5
Offensive rating
89.7
92.7
Defensive rating
93.9
52.4%
Effective FG%
51.1%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
55.1%
18.5%
Turnover %
16.5%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.23
36.3%
3-point %
35.6%
66.7%
Assist %
58.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence91.5 · 89.7Defence92.7 · 93.9Shooting52.4% · 51.1%3-point %36.3% · 35.6%Ball care18.5% · 16.5%Free throws0.38 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Varese   ■ Bamberg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Varese wins
0
Bamberg wins
DateGameScore
27/10/26Bamberg v Varese61-95
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26APeristeri96-101
08/11/26HUdine81-84
31/10/26AVerona99-88
27/10/26ABamberg95-61
24/10/26HBC Roma110-103 OT
18/10/26ATrento85-87
13/10/26HPeristeri82-85
10/10/26HTrieste85-84
07/10/26AMurcia58-85
04/10/26AScafati85-77
Bamberglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HBonn71-85
11/11/26AMurcia66-98
07/11/26ATrier79-92
01/11/26HJena88-78
27/10/26HVarese61-95
23/10/26AOldenburg80-70
14/10/26HMurcia67-86
10/10/26HSyntainics MBC74-85
06/10/26APeristeri87-93
03/10/26AAlba Berlin98-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Champions League 2026
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWL25%
HomeL0%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %25%0%33%
Points / game82.882.083.0
Allowed / game83.085.082.3
Point differential-0.2-3.0+0.7
Avg total165.8167.0165.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bamberg
Champions League 2026
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game70.264.076.5
Allowed / game93.090.595.5
Point differential-22.8-26.5-19.0
Avg total163.2154.5172.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unicaja330100%94.374.3+20.0
2 Joventut Badalona330100%81.071.0+10.0
3 Peristeri440100%89.884.2+5.5
4 Murcia43175%85.267.8+17.5
5 Spartak Subotica43175%81.072.0+9.0
6 Alba Berlin43175%94.587.0+7.5
7 Bilbao43175%93.085.8+7.2
8 Rytas43175%86.582.2+4.2
9 Dziki Warszawa43175%103.299.2+4.0
10 Breogan32167%113.792.3+21.3
11 Strasbourg32167%90.771.7+19.0
12 Antwerp Giants32167%90.382.0+8.3
13 CSM Oradea32167%94.787.3+7.3
14 Bonn32167%84.379.7+4.7
15 Salon Vilpas64267%86.784.0+2.7
16 Legia32167%78.783.0-4.3
17 AEK Athens32167%81.087.3-6.3
18 Promitheas32167%86.392.7-6.3
19 Juventus32167%80.091.7-11.7
20 Vechta85362%87.086.8+0.2
21 Cholet42250%80.272.2+8.0
22 Korfez Basket21150%92.086.5+5.5
23 VEF Riga21150%100.095.0+5.0
24 Sabah Baku42250%83.583.5+0.0
25 Benfica21150%87.588.0-0.5
26 Trabzonspor42250%86.588.5-2.0
27 Igokea42250%81.083.8-2.8
28 Bakken Bears21150%80.584.0-3.5
29 Hapoel Holon42250%84.588.5-4.0
30 Batumi21150%81.589.0-7.5
31 Manchester Basketball21150%79.089.0-10.0
32 Reggiana31233%83.780.0+3.7
33 Szombathely31233%81.381.0+0.3
34 FC Porto31233%74.777.7-3.0
35 Galatasaray31233%77.084.0-7.0
36 Cibona31233%81.088.7-7.7
37 Varese41325%82.883.0-0.2
38 Nanterre41325%84.586.8-2.2
39 Fribourg Olympic1010%85.086.0-1.0
40 Wurzburg1010%73.074.0-1.0
41 Denizli Basket1010%98.0101.0-3.0
42 Levice1010%87.090.0-3.0
43 AEK Larnaca1010%87.095.0-8.0
44 Geneva Lions1010%78.087.0-9.0
45 Vienna Basket1010%82.092.0-10.0
46 Zwolle1010%78.089.0-11.0
47 Bnei Herzliya3030%79.391.0-11.7
48 Kolossos Rhodes1010%79.091.0-12.0
49 Pardubice3030%74.386.3-12.0
50 Slavia Prague ERA NBK4040%81.293.2-12.0
51 Absheron Lions1010%88.0105.0-17.0
52 Opava1010%99.0116.0-17.0
53 Bamberg4040%70.293.0-22.8
54 Rilski Sportist1010%80.0126.0-46.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 54 teams: scroll the table.
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