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Tenerife vs AEK Athens Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 May 2025
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 73-77
21-11 18-17 16-18 18-31
Position#2
Record14-1
FormWWLWL
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game72.6
vs
Position#4
Record11-5
FormLWWLL
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game75.2
EuropeChampions LeagueChampions League - 3rd place· Ano Liosia Olympic Hall
European cup2024
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tenerife winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AEK Athens winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TenerifeLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTenerife
Date
Competition
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
93-89
93
89
+4
86avg 68
A29/03
ACB
Granada
#17
W
95-87
95
87
+8
74avg 68
H06/04
ACB
Tortona
#5
W
93-89 OT
93
89
+4
90avg 68
H09/04
Champions League
Real Madrid
#1
L
68-79
68
79
-11
59avg 68
H13/04
ACB
Tortona
#5
W
77-64
77
64
+13
74avg 68
A16/04
Champions League
Baskonia
#7
W
93-89
93
89
+4
88avg 68
A20/04
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#18
W
92-83
92
83
+9
90avg 68
H26/04
ACB
Unicaja
#4
L
78-91
78
91
-13
68avg 68
H01/05
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
W
93-84
93
84
+9
93avg 68
A04/05
ACB
Galatasaray
#6
L
80-90
80
90
-10
71avg 68
H09/05
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-21
21-25
29-17
21-26
22-23
22-25
28-23
23-16
23-10
17-26
19-19
21-25
15-23
19-22
15-21
19-13
24-19
11-19
24-16
18-10
26-29
25-23
16-19
26-18
25-24
23-27
26-21
18-11
24-23
22-28
19-23
13-17
21-12
17-19
28-35
27-18
24-20
19-20
12-24
25-26
170.7Avg total
86.2Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)84.572.6157.1+11.993%
Season at home (8)88.576.8165.2+11.888%
Season away (7)79.967.9147.7+12.0100%
Last 10 (10)86.284.5170.7+1.770%
Last 5 (5)87.287.4174.6-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)79.088.3167.3-9.30%
vs Similar (6)82.782.8165.5-0.283%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)89.580.2169.6+9.395%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Maroussi
#11
W
104-83
104
83
+21
108avg 78
H23/03
Basket League
Promitheas
#31
W
60-56
60
56
+4
52avg 78
A26/03
Champions League
PAOK
#6
W
89-76
89
76
+13
83avg 78
H05/04
Basket League
Nanterre
#12
W
76-69
76
69
+7
69avg 78
H09/04
Champions League
PAOK
#6
L
69-94
69
94
-25
58avg 78
A12/04
Basket League
Nanterre
#12
L
70-82
70
82
-12
62avg 78
A16/04
Champions League
Nanterre
#12
W
104-69
104
69
+35
103avg 78
H23/04
Champions League
PAOK
#6
W
89-85 OT
89
85
+4
84avg 78
H27/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
L
85-87
85
87
-2
77avg 78
A04/05
Basket League
Unicaja
#1
L
65-71
65
71
-6
63avg 78
H09/05
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-26
24-21
22-19
31-17
15-19
10-16
11-14
24-7
14-14
29-18
27-16
19-28
23-25
19-16
14-19
20-9
17-27
16-14
18-30
18-23
24-15
9-27
19-19
18-21
19-18
29-13
34-9
22-29
21-9
19-16
18-26
20-27
25-24
18-24
15-20
27-19
20-23
11-14
24-13
10-21
158.3Avg total
81.1Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)81.475.2156.6+6.269%
Season at home (9)86.172.7158.8+13.489%
Season away (7)75.378.4153.7-3.143%
Last 10 (10)81.177.2158.3+3.960%
Last 5 (5)82.678.8161.4+3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)75.087.5162.5-12.50%
vs Similar (3)87.084.7171.7+2.367%
vs Weaker (22)86.977.2164.1+9.782%
This opponent (Tenerife) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +0.8+0.8
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +0.8+0.8
TenerifeAEK Athens
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TenerifeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Zaragoza
#12
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A29/03
ACB
Granada
#17
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H06/04
ACB
Tortona
#5
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H09/04
Champions League
Real Madrid
#1
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H13/04
ACB
Tortona
#5
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A16/04
Champions League
Baskonia
#7
L
51-52
51
52
-1
A20/04
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#18
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H26/04
ACB
Unicaja
#4
L
46-51
46
51
-5
H01/05
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A04/05
ACB
Galatasaray
#6
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H09/05
Champions League
86.0Avg total
42.2Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.342.084.3+0.337%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.343.888.1+0.638%-
Last 30 away (14)40.140.080.1+0.136%-
Last 10 (10)42.243.886.0-1.630%-
Last 5 (5)45.245.090.2+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)38.342.781.0-4.333%-
vs Similar (6)41.242.783.8-1.517%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)43.041.184.2+1.945%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maroussi
#11
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H23/03
Basket League
Promitheas
#31
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A26/03
Champions League
PAOK
#6
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H05/04
Basket League
Nanterre
#12
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H09/04
Champions League
PAOK
#6
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A12/04
Basket League
Nanterre
#12
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A16/04
Champions League
Nanterre
#12
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H23/04
Champions League
PAOK
#6
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H27/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A04/05
Basket League
Unicaja
#1
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H09/05
Champions League
76.8Avg total
38.9Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.839.382.2+3.553%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.637.982.5+6.669%-
Last 30 away (14)40.940.981.8-0.136%-
Last 10 (10)38.937.976.8+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)39.036.675.6+2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)39.544.884.2-5.20%-
vs Similar (3)40.341.782.0-1.333%-
vs Weaker (22)44.338.082.2+6.368%-
This opponent (Tenerife) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tenerifetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tenerife: 85.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.720.8
59.9%
52.1%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.89.8
34.0%
35.0%29.4
🏀 Free throws17.114.4
84.2%
74.0%14.4
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.019.1
51.6%
52.1%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.18.5
36.8%
35.0%25.5
🏀 Free throws21.016.6
79.0%
74.0%16.6
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tenerife
LWLWWWLWWW
AEK Athens
LLWWLLWWWW
#2
League position
#4
+2.9
Net rating
+5.9
118.5
Offensive rating
110.5
115.6
Defensive rating
104.6
55.9%
Effective FG%
53.0%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
14.8%
Turnover %
16.1%
31.1%
Off. rebound %
26.4%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.35
34.0%
3-point %
36.8%
60.5%
Assist %
60.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence118.5 · 110.5Defence115.6 · 104.6Shooting55.9% · 53.0%3-point %34.0% · 36.8%Ball care14.8% · 16.1%Off. rebounds31.1% · 26.4%Free throws0.27 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Tenerife   ■ AEK Athens
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Tenerife wins
0
AEK Athens wins
No previous meetings.
Tenerifelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/05/25HGalatasaray80-90
04/05/25ABasquet Girona93-84
01/05/25HUnicaja78-91
26/04/25HLeyma Coruna92-83
20/04/25ABaskonia93-89
16/04/25ATortona77-64
13/04/25HReal Madrid68-79
09/04/25HTortona93-89 OT
06/04/25HGranada95-87
29/03/25ABasket Zaragoza93-89
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/05/25HUnicaja65-71
04/05/25AOlympiacos85-87
27/04/25HPAOK89-85 OT
23/04/25HNanterre104-69
16/04/25ANanterre70-82
12/04/25APAOK69-94
09/04/25HNanterre76-69
05/04/25HPAOK89-76
26/03/25APromitheas60-56
23/03/25HMaroussi104-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tenerife
Champions League 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL93%
HomeWWWWL88%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %93%88%100%
Points / game84.588.579.9
Allowed / game72.676.867.9
Point differential+11.9+11.8+12.0
Avg total157.1165.2147.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%50%86%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %7%12%0%
AEK Athens
Champions League 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL69%
HomeWWWWL89%
AwayLWLWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %69%89%43%
Points / game81.486.175.3
Allowed / game75.272.778.4
Point differential+6.2+13.4-3.1
Avg total156.6158.8153.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%44%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unicaja1514193%92.876.0+16.8
2 Tenerife1514193%84.572.6+11.9
3 Nymburk1612475%86.477.7+8.8
4 Galatasaray1813572%86.080.3+5.7
5 AEK Athens1611569%81.475.2+6.2
6 Tortona1611569%81.276.0+5.2
7 Murcia128467%82.877.4+5.3
8 Bonn106460%81.281.4-0.2
9 Manresa127558%87.881.8+6.1
10 Rytas127558%86.581.8+4.8
11 Petkim Spor1810856%80.881.7-0.8
12 Nanterre1810856%80.882.2-1.4
13 CSM Oradea21150%85.070.0+15.0
14 Levice21150%93.585.5+8.0
15 MoraBanc Andorra21150%91.086.0+5.0
16 Karsiyaka84450%80.877.0+3.8
17 Rilski Sportist21150%79.576.5+3.0
18 Norrkoping21150%77.075.5+1.5
19 Wurzburg126650%84.183.8+0.3
20 Juventus21150%80.080.5-0.5
21 Sassari21150%74.075.5-1.5
22 Trepca21150%80.081.5-1.5
23 Fribourg Olympic21150%82.585.0-2.5
24 BC Kalev/Cramo21150%75.078.0-3.0
25 Manisa147750%87.090.0-3.0
26 Reggiana168850%78.281.8-3.6
27 PAOK21150%75.079.5-4.5
28 Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan94544%83.284.1-0.9
29 Hapoel Holon94544%78.179.4-1.3
30 Benfica83538%75.984.5-8.6
31 Promitheas145936%79.184.1-5.0
32 Oostende93633%77.178.9-1.8
33 Igokea62433%82.286.5-4.3
34 Saint Quentin93633%72.879.0-6.2
35 Szombathely1551033%80.187.3-7.2
36 Peristeri82625%71.674.9-3.2
37 VEF Riga61517%77.380.3-3.0
38 Slask Wroclaw61517%74.582.3-7.8
39 FMP Beograd61517%74.283.8-9.7
40 Vechta61517%78.588.5-10.0
41 Chemnitz81712%77.585.8-8.2
42 Keravnos1010%79.082.0-3.0
43 Spartak Subotica1010%84.087.0-3.0
44 Sabah Baku1010%71.075.0-4.0
45 Cholet1010%70.076.0-6.0
46 BC Nokia1010%64.071.0-7.0
47 Antwerp Giants1010%73.091.0-18.0
48 Kolossos Rhodes6060%64.583.2-18.7
49 Szczecin6060%64.783.3-18.7
50 Den Bosch1010%72.092.0-20.0
51 Kutaisi1010%87.0111.0-24.0
52 Caledonia Gladiators1010%59.090.0-31.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 52 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tenerife2118161873
AEK Athens1117183177
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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