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Tennessee vs Florida Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 30 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 21:00
Scheduled
Position#55
Record3-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game61.3
vs
Position#54
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game62.5
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Tennessee v Florida
30 Jan 2027
TENN v FLOR
upcoming
01 Feb 2025
TENN64
FLOR44
16 Jan 2024
TENN85
FLOR66
26 Jan 2022
TENN78
FLOR71
12 Mar 2021
TENN78
FLOR66
07 Mar 2021
TENN65
FLOR54
10 Feb 2021
TENN v FLOR
upcoming
29 Feb 2020
TENN63
FLOR58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tennessee win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Florida win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TennesseeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vanderbilt
#37
L
82-86
82
86
-4
H07/03
NCAA
Auburn
#188
W
72-62
72
62
+10
H12/03
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
L
68-75
68
75
-7
A13/03
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
W
78-56
78
56
+22
H20/03
NCAA
Virginia
#19
W
79-72
79
72
+7
A22/03
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
W
76-62
76
62
+14
A28/03
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
62-95
62
95
-33
A29/03
NCAA
Wofford
#253
W
90-59
90
59
+31
H03/11
NCAA
Radford
#310
W
70-47
70
47
+23
H10/11
NCAA
Tennessee State
#186
W
83-78
83
78
+5
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
22-32
60-54
25-32
47-30
31-31
37-44
51-32
27-24
36-31
43-41
34-33
42-29
26-48
36-47
34-31
56-28
33-24
37-23
42-37
41-41
145.2Avg total
76.0Scored
69.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)81.061.3142.3+19.7100%
Season at home (3)81.061.3142.3+19.7100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)76.069.2145.2+6.870%
Last 5 (5)76.268.2144.4+8.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)70.876.0146.8-5.250%
vs Similar ◀ (15)78.975.1153.9+3.860%
vs Weaker (11)80.560.7141.2+19.791%
This opponent (Florida) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FloridaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mississippi St.
#257
W
108-74
108
74
+34
H04/03
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
W
84-77
84
77
+7
A07/03
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
W
71-63
71
63
+8
H13/03
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
L
74-91
74
91
-17
H14/03
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#198
W
114-55
114
55
+59
H21/03
NCAA
Iowa
#81
L
72-73
72
73
-1
H22/03
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#92
W
77-67
77
67
+10
H02/11
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#161
W
88-57
88
57
+31
H06/11
NCAA
Florida State
#232
W
81-72
81
72
+9
A10/11
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#234
W
83-54
83
54
+29
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
47-35
61-39
49-32
35-45
37-28
34-35
34-47
40-44
60-21
54-34
31-33
41-40
46-36
31-31
50-28
38-29
31-29
50-43
43-26
40-28
153.5Avg total
85.2Scored
68.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)82.262.5144.8+19.8100%
Season at home (3)82.759.3142.0+23.3100%
Season away (1)81.072.0153.0+9.0100%
Last 10 (10)85.268.3153.5+16.980%
Last 5 (5)80.264.6144.8+15.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)77.067.0144.0+10.0100%
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weaker (29)88.370.2158.5+18.286%
This opponent (Tennessee) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +0.3+0.31st half: +11.3+11.32nd half2nd half: +6.5+6.52nd half: +5.6+5.6
-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +0.3+0.31st half: +11.3+11.32nd half2nd half: +6.5+6.52nd half: +5.6+5.6
TennesseeFlorida
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TennesseeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vanderbilt
#37
L
22-32
22
32
-10
H07/03
NCAA
Auburn
#188
L
25-32
25
32
-7
H12/03
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A13/03
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H20/03
NCAA
Virginia
#19
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A22/03
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A28/03
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
26-48
26
48
-22
A29/03
NCAA
Wofford
#253
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H03/11
NCAA
Radford
#310
W
33-24
33
24
+9
H10/11
NCAA
Tennessee State
#186
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H14/11
NCAA
66.5Avg total
33.4Scored
33.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.131.767.7+4.467%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.729.867.5+7.982%-
Last 30 away (13)33.934.268.1-0.246%-
Last 10 (10)33.433.166.5+0.360%-
Last 5 (5)33.834.668.4-0.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)34.838.573.2-3.850%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)36.533.269.7+3.353%-
vs Weaker (11)35.927.163.0+8.891%-
This opponent (Florida) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FloridaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mississippi St.
#257
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H04/03
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
W
49-32
49
32
+17
A07/03
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H13/03
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H14/03
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#198
W
60-21
60
21
+39
H21/03
NCAA
Iowa
#81
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H22/03
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#92
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H02/11
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#161
W
50-28
50
28
+22
H06/11
NCAA
Florida State
#232
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A10/11
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#234
W
43-26
43
26
+17
H14/11
NCAA
74.3Avg total
42.8Scored
31.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.031.373.2+10.780%-
Last 30 at home (20)42.531.674.1+10.985%-
Last 30 away (10)40.930.671.5+10.370%-
Last 10 (10)42.831.574.3+11.380%-
Last 5 (5)40.230.470.6+9.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)46.036.082.0+10.0100%-
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weaker (29)41.831.172.9+10.779%-
This opponent (Tennessee) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Tennessee wins
5
Florida wins
DateGameScore
10/01/26Florida v Tennessee91-67
16/03/25Florida v Tennessee86-77
01/02/25Tennessee v Florida64-44
08/01/25Florida v Tennessee73-43
16/01/24Tennessee v Florida85-66
02/02/23Florida v Tennessee67-54
26/01/22Tennessee v Florida78-71
12/03/21Tennessee v Florida78-66
07/03/21Tennessee v Florida65-54
20/01/21Florida v Tennessee75-49
Tennesseelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HTennessee State83-78
10/11/26HRadford70-47
03/11/26HWofford90-59
29/03/26AMichigan62-95
28/03/26AIowa State76-62
22/03/26AVirginia79-72
20/03/26HMiami (Ohio)78-56
13/03/26AVanderbilt68-75
12/03/26HAuburn72-62
07/03/26HVanderbilt82-86
Floridalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HMerrimack Warriors83-54
10/11/26AFlorida State81-72
06/11/26HJacksonville Dolphins88-57
02/11/26HMiami (FL)77-67
22/03/26HIowa72-73
21/03/26HPrairie View A&M114-55
14/03/26HVanderbilt74-91
13/03/26HKentucky71-63
07/03/26AKentucky84-77
04/03/26HMississippi St.108-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tennessee
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game81.081.0-
Allowed / game61.361.3-
Point differential+19.7+19.7-
Avg total142.3142.3-
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%67%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
Florida
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game82.282.781.0
Allowed / game62.559.372.0
Point differential+19.8+23.3+9.0
Avg total144.8142.0153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Texas330100%100.057.0+43.0
2 Ole Miss330100%94.056.3+37.7
3 Texas A&M440100%99.267.2+32.0
4 LSU440100%90.859.5+31.2
5 Vanderbilt440100%90.260.2+30.0
6 South Carolina440100%78.856.5+22.2
7 Alabama440100%97.076.0+21.0
8 Florida440100%82.262.5+19.8
9 Tennessee330100%81.061.3+19.7
10 Georgia440100%81.870.2+11.5
11 Mississippi St.43175%87.267.5+19.8
12 Arkansas43175%83.267.8+15.5
13 Oklahoma43175%75.863.8+12.0
14 Kentucky43175%80.275.8+4.5
15 Missouri32167%97.066.0+31.0
16 Auburn32167%78.764.0+14.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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