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Tofas vs AEK Larnaca Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 06 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 93-61
28-13 18-26 23-12 24-10
Position#4
Record4-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game99.0
Allowed / game84.0
Tofas 🏆
vs
AEK Larnaca
Position#29
Record1-3
FormLWWLW
Points / game68.2
Allowed / game82.5
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 5· Tofas Spor Salonu
European cup2024
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tofas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AEK Larnaca winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TofasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTofas
Date
Competition
Galatasaray
#5
L
102-107 OT
102
107
-5
92avg 83
H04/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
W
99-95
99
95
+4
96avg 83
H05/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Keravnos
#34
W
99-81
99
81
+18
104avg 83
H09/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Galatasaray
#8
W
80-76
80
76
+4
72avg 83
A13/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
AEK Larnaca
#29
W
96-69
96
69
+27
105avg 83
A16/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Buyukcekmece
#10
W
93-86
93
86
+7
89avg 83
H20/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Basketball Braunschweig
#15
W
102-90
102
90
+12
108avg 83
H23/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Yalovaspor
#16
W
77-65
77
65
+12
77avg 83
A26/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Keravnos
#34
W
99-96
99
96
+3
100avg 83
A30/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Bursaspor
#9
W
94-71
94
71
+23
93avg 83
H03/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-29
26-24
21-22
29-22
30-30
24-20
19-23
26-22
30-15
19-14
16-33
34-19
24-22
19-23
20-14
17-17
27-20
25-16
23-20
21-13
24-21
19-27
18-21
32-17
29-20
29-26
23-19
21-25
22-18
18-17
14-17
23-13
24-26
20-25
29-24
26-21
18-22
26-17
23-13
27-19
177.7Avg total
94.1Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)99.084.0183.0+15.0100%
Season at home (2)100.585.5186.0+15.0100%
Season away (2)97.582.5180.0+15.0100%
Last 10 (10)94.183.6177.7+10.590%
Last 5 (5)93.081.6174.6+11.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)84.889.0173.8-4.238%
vs Similar (16)86.883.8170.5+3.056%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)90.876.7167.5+14.2100%
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK LarnacaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLarnaca
Date
Competition
Keravnos
#1
L
74-92
74
92
-18
61avg 83
A19/05
Division A
Keravnos
#1
W
74-61
74
61
+13
78avg 83
H23/05
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
63-68
63
68
-5
58avg 83
A27/05
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
77-84
77
84
-7
69avg 83
H30/05
Division A
Basketball Braunschweig
#15
L
59-89
59
89
-30
41avg 83
A09/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Tofas
#4
L
69-96
69
96
-27
54avg 83
H16/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Achilleas K.
#9
W
93-69
93
69
+24
94avg 83
A19/10
Division A
Keravnos
#34
W
82-73
82
73
+9
78avg 83
H23/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Basketball Braunschweig
#15
L
63-72
63
72
-9
52avg 83
H30/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Apoel BC
#4
W
80-61
80
61
+19
80avg 83
H03/11
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-28
12-24
26-26
16-14
20-17
11-16
24-16
19-12
16-18
15-16
15-22
17-12
17-23
22-20
15-17
23-24
21-12
11-20
15-29
12-28
20-27
16-25
20-23
13-21
22-14
28-19
26-15
17-21
18-16
20-21
22-17
22-19
14-20
17-23
20-10
12-19
18-20
12-11
23-11
27-19
149.9Avg total
73.4Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)68.282.5150.8-14.225%
Season at home (3)71.380.3151.7-9.033%
Season away (1)59.089.0148.0-30.00%
Last 10 (10)73.476.5149.9-3.140%
Last 5 (5)77.474.2151.6+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)68.282.5150.8-14.225%
vs Similar (9)75.777.4153.1-1.833%
vs Weaker (17)96.368.6164.9+27.7100%
This opponent (Tofas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +6.8+6.8Q4: -1.1-1.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +6.8+6.8Q4: -1.1-1.1
TofasAEK Larnaca
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galatasaray
#5
L
47-53
47
53
-6
H04/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
W
54-50
54
50
+4
H05/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Keravnos
#34
W
49-29
49
29
+20
H09/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Galatasaray
#8
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A13/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
AEK Larnaca
#29
W
52-36
52
36
+16
A16/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Buyukcekmece
#10
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H20/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Basketball Braunschweig
#15
W
58-46
58
46
+12
H23/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Yalovaspor
#16
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A26/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Keravnos
#34
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A30/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Bursaspor
#9
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H03/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
90.6Avg total
47.4Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.843.085.8-0.353%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.343.089.3+3.369%-
Last 30 away (14)38.743.181.8-4.436%-
Last 10 (10)47.443.290.6+4.260%-
Last 5 (5)45.843.889.6+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)41.246.087.2-4.862%-
vs Similar (16)42.642.685.2-0.144%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)45.340.285.5+5.267%-
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK LarnacaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keravnos
#1
L
32-52
32
52
-20
A19/05
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H23/05
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A27/05
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H30/05
Division A
Basketball Braunschweig
#15
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A09/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Tofas
#4
L
36-52
36
52
-16
H16/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Achilleas K.
#9
W
50-33
50
33
+17
A19/10
Division A
Keravnos
#34
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H23/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Basketball Braunschweig
#15
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H30/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Apoel BC
#4
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H03/11
Division A
74.0Avg total
35.0Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.336.679.9+6.760%-
Last 30 at home (18)43.637.681.2+6.161%-
Last 30 away (12)42.835.278.1+7.658%-
Last 10 (10)35.039.074.0-4.020%-
Last 5 (5)37.039.276.2-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)34.241.075.2-6.825%-
vs Similar (9)37.439.977.3-2.433%-
vs Weaker (17)48.533.982.4+14.682%-
This opponent (Tofas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 91.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.021.5
59.7%
52.6%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.69.9
38.7%
34.0%29.7
🏀 Free throws24.018.7
77.9%
72.6%18.7
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AEK Larnacatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Larnaca: 72.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.719.0
50.4%
52.6%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.56.7
27.3%
34.0%20.1
🏀 Free throws19.214.5
75.5%
72.6%14.5
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tofas
WWWWWWWWWL
AEK Larnaca
WLWWLLLLWL
#4
League position
#29
+8.5
Net rating
-4.2
121.2
Offensive rating
99.3
112.7
Defensive rating
103.5
59.0%
Effective FG%
46.7%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
49.4%
15.3%
Turnover %
18.4%
29.3%
Off. rebound %
30.3%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.31
38.7%
3-point %
27.3%
78.3%
Assist %
62.3%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence121.2 · 99.3Defence112.7 · 103.5Shooting59.0% · 46.7%3-point %38.7% · 27.3%Ball care15.3% · 18.4%Off. rebounds29.3% · 30.3%Free throws0.39 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)90% · 40%
■ Tofas   ■ AEK Larnaca
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Tofas wins
0
AEK Larnaca wins
DateGameScore
16/10/24AEK Larnaca v Tofas69-96
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/24HBursaspor94-71
30/10/24AKeravnos99-96
26/10/24AYalovaspor77-65
23/10/24HBasketball Braunschweig102-90
20/10/24HBuyukcekmece93-86
16/10/24AAEK Larnaca96-69
13/10/24AGalatasaray80-76
09/10/24HKeravnos99-81
05/10/24HBesiktas99-95
04/05/24HGalatasaray102-107 OT
AEK Larnacalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/24HApoel BC80-61
30/10/24HBasketball Braunschweig63-72
23/10/24HKeravnos82-73
19/10/24AAchilleas K.93-69
16/10/24HTofas69-96
09/10/24ABasketball Braunschweig59-89
30/05/24HKeravnos77-84
27/05/24AKeravnos63-68
23/05/24HKeravnos74-61
19/05/24AKeravnos74-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tofas
FIBA Europe Cup 2024
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game99.0100.597.5
Allowed / game84.085.582.5
Point differential+15.0+15.0+15.0
Avg total183.0186.0180.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
AEK Larnaca
FIBA Europe Cup 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWL25%
HomeLWL33%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %25%33%0%
Points / game68.271.359.0
Allowed / game82.580.389.0
Point differential-14.2-9.0-30.0
Avg total150.8151.7148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bilbao660100%88.260.0+28.2
2 Sassari550100%86.264.6+21.6
3 Cholet440100%93.875.0+18.8
4 Tofas440100%99.084.0+15.0
5 BC Kalev/Cramo440100%81.266.8+14.5
6 PAOK440100%84.870.5+14.2
7 CSM Oradea440100%79.071.5+7.5
8 Dijon65183%95.772.0+23.7
9 Ludwigsburg54180%78.864.6+14.2
10 Anwil Wloclawek43175%93.266.5+26.8
11 Levice43175%85.574.5+11.0
12 FC Porto43175%78.872.2+6.5
13 Basket Zaragoza43175%91.886.0+5.8
14 Maroussi64267%87.576.5+11.0
15 Spirou Charleroi64267%79.575.2+4.3
16 BC Prievidza64267%86.886.0+0.8
17 Le Portel53260%81.071.2+9.8
18 Fribourg Olympic42250%87.079.5+7.5
19 Basketball Braunschweig42250%86.279.8+6.5
20 Spojnia Stargard42250%73.572.0+1.5
21 Bursaspor42250%83.884.2-0.5
22 Antwerp Giants42250%80.083.5-3.5
23 Norrkoping42250%78.284.2-6.0
24 Caledonia Gladiators42250%67.280.8-13.5
25 Alba Fehervar73443%89.194.3-5.1
26 Limburg52340%76.883.4-6.6
27 Anorthosis62433%77.385.0-7.7
28 Sporting CP72529%69.977.0-7.1
29 Arges Pitesti41325%68.270.2-2.0
30 Parnu41325%70.577.5-7.0
31 Keravnos41325%86.293.5-7.2
32 Kutaisi41325%79.087.8-8.8
33 AEK Larnaca41325%68.282.5-14.2
34 BC Dnipro82625%66.087.1-21.1
35 CSM Constanta61517%73.887.2-13.3
36 Sabah Baku4040%72.279.0-6.8
37 Starlites2020%74.584.0-9.5
38 Szolnoki Olaj5050%74.884.8-10.0
39 Rilski Sportist4040%73.090.0-17.0
40 Trepca5050%68.888.8-20.0
41 Neptunas2020%62.584.5-22.0
42 Peja2020%78.0102.0-24.0
43 Balkan4040%66.290.8-24.5
44 Dinamo Zagreb2020%70.5100.0-29.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 44 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tofas2818232493
AEK Larnaca1326121061
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