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Tofas vs Karsiyaka Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 23 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 15:00
Scheduled
Position#11
Record3-4
FormWLWWW
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game85.0
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.7/10
Around normal
5.4/10
Around normal
Position#8
Record4-3
FormLWLWW
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game82.6
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 28· Tofas Spor Salonu
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Tofas v Karsiyaka
23 Apr 2027
TOF v KAR
upcoming
03 May 2026
TOF87
KAR78
17 May 2025
TOF90
KAR76
21 Apr 2024
TOF111
KAR91
05 Mar 2023
TOF81
KAR86
12 Dec 2021
TOF69
KAR71
30 Mar 2021
TOF90
KAR79
17 Oct 2020
TOF78
KAR88
07 Dec 2019
TOF94
KAR88
26 Jan 2019
TOF93
KAR91
15 Apr 2018
TOF94
KAR75
21 Jan 2017
TOF80
KAR86
06 Nov 2012
TOF63
KAR64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tofas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Karsiyaka win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TofasTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTofas
Date
Competition
Esenler Erokspor
#9
L
79-87
79
87
-8
63avg 75
H10/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buducnost
#10
W
90-85
90
85
+5
78avg 75
H14/10
Eurocup
Korfez Basket
#12
W
71-69
71
69
+2
38avg 75
A17/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Basket Napoli
#2
L
101-105 OT
101
105
-4
89avg 75
A21/10
Eurocup
Petkim Spor
#6
L
72-74
72
74
-2
67avg 75
H25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Slask Wroclaw
#31
W
90-74
90
74
+16
91avg 75
A28/10
Eurocup
Fenerbahce
#3
L
77-88
77
88
-11
70avg 75
A01/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Neptunas
#26
W
94-79
94
79
+15
no box
H03/11
Eurocup
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
93-87
93
87
+6
no box
A08/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trento
#27
W
96-86
96
86
+10
no box
A10/11
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-29
17-19
25-11
20-28
22-25
30-19
19-20
19-21
19-20
7-15
15-19
30-15
20-29
22-24
24-20
27-20
21-14
19-24
19-14
13-22
22-24
33-14
15-22
20-14
21-25
22-22
16-23
18-18
19-29
24-20
24-10
27-20
21-21
25-17
21-31
26-18
21-24
23-20
23-22
29-20
169.7Avg total
86.3Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)81.385.0166.3-3.743%
Season at home (3)80.383.3163.7-3.033%
Season away (4)82.086.2168.2-4.250%
Last 10 (10)86.383.4169.7+2.960%
Last 5 (5)90.082.8172.8+7.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)81.287.6168.9-6.412%
vs Similar ◀ (11)83.589.8173.4-6.318%
vs Weaker (11)90.683.3173.9+7.491%
This opponent (Karsiyaka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KarsiyakaTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKarsiyaka
Date
Competition
Esenler Erokspor
#8
W
68-67
68
67
+1
58avg 72
H26/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#9
L
78-87
78
87
-9
69avg 72
A03/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#12
W
84-82
84
82
+2
71avg 72
H10/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#1
L
72-73
72
73
-1
71avg 72
A26/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#5
W
78-71 OT
78
71
+7
64avg 72
H02/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#2
L
82-92
82
92
-10
80avg 72
A10/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cayirova
#14
W
95-79
95
79
+16
96avg 72
H16/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#3
L
72-97
72
97
-25
60avg 72
H25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#16
W
86-83
86
83
+3
78avg 72
A01/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#10
W
84-83
84
83
+1
no box
H09/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-13
20-18
21-19
16-17
20-23
26-24
11-14
21-26
16-14
15-34
31-18
22-16
15-17
29-20
15-16
13-20
18-13
17-21
15-14
15-17
13-20
21-22
24-28
24-22
24-22
24-19
23-21
24-17
16-25
20-24
14-25
22-23
21-19
21-20
24-18
20-26
17-22
23-16
12-21
32-24
161.3Avg total
79.9Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)81.382.6163.9-1.357%
Season at home (4)82.282.5164.8-0.275%
Season away (3)80.082.7162.7-2.733%
Last 10 (10)79.981.4161.3-1.560%
Last 5 (5)83.886.8170.6-3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)78.385.6163.9-7.424%
vs Similar ◀ (11)85.986.0171.9-0.155%
vs Weaker (2)90.581.0171.5+9.5100%
This opponent (Tofas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: +0.1+0.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: +0.1+0.1
TofasKarsiyaka
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Esenler Erokspor
#9
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H10/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buducnost
#10
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H14/10
Eurocup
Korfez Basket
#12
L
26-35
26
35
-9
A17/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Basket Napoli
#2
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A21/10
Eurocup
Petkim Spor
#6
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Slask Wroclaw
#31
W
55-38
55
38
+17
A28/10
Eurocup
Fenerbahce
#3
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A01/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Neptunas
#26
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H03/11
Eurocup
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A08/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trento
#27
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A10/11
Eurocup
85.9Avg total
42.5Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.844.587.2-1.740%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.545.988.5-3.440%-
Last 30 away (15)43.043.086.0+0.040%-
Last 10 (10)42.543.485.9-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)46.243.289.4+3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)41.643.985.5-2.238%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)39.647.186.7-7.518%-
vs Weaker (11)46.742.389.0+4.564%-
This opponent (Karsiyaka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KarsiyakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Esenler Erokspor
#8
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H26/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#9
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A03/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#12
L
31-48
31
48
-17
H10/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#1
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A26/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#5
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H02/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#2
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A10/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cayirova
#14
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H16/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#3
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#16
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A01/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#10
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H09/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
79.3Avg total
38.7Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.743.683.3-3.927%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.442.881.2-4.425%-
Last 30 away (14)41.344.585.8-3.229%-
Last 10 (10)38.740.679.3-1.950%-
Last 5 (5)40.041.881.8-1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)38.142.981.0-4.918%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)41.445.386.6-3.927%-
vs Weaker (2)45.040.085.0+5.0100%-
This opponent (Tofas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.222.2
58.1%
54.8%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.66.9
29.2%
35.9%20.7
🏀 Free throws19.715.1
76.6%
75.9%15.1
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Karsiyakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Karsiyaka: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.719.6
52.0%
54.8%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.47.9
36.9%
35.9%23.7
🏀 Free throws22.916.5
72.1%
75.9%16.5
They take 59.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tofas
WWWLWLLWWL
Karsiyaka
WWLWLWLWLW
#11
League position
#8
-1.4
Net rating
+0.5
92.8
Offensive rating
96.8
94.2
Defensive rating
96.3
52.7%
Effective FG%
53.2%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
54.3%
17.6%
Turnover %
14.8%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.39
29.2%
3-point %
36.9%
59.8%
Assist %
63.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence92.8 · 96.8Defence94.2 · 96.3Shooting52.7% · 53.2%3-point %29.2% · 36.9%Ball care17.6% · 14.8%Free throws0.32 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Tofas   ■ Karsiyaka
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Tofas wins
5
Karsiyaka wins
DateGameScore
03/05/26Tofas v Karsiyaka87-78
02/01/26Karsiyaka v Tofas107-101 OT
17/05/25Tofas v Karsiyaka90-76
19/01/25Karsiyaka v Tofas81-93
21/04/24Tofas v Karsiyaka111-91
24/12/23Karsiyaka v Tofas98-71
05/03/23Tofas v Karsiyaka81-86
21/10/22Karsiyaka v Tofas72-83
09/04/22Karsiyaka v Tofas79-78
12/12/21Tofas v Karsiyaka69-71
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/26ATrento96-86
08/11/26AAnadolu Efes93-87
03/11/26HNeptunas94-79
01/11/26AFenerbahce77-88
28/10/26ASlask Wroclaw90-74
25/10/26HPetkim Spor72-74
21/10/26ABasket Napoli101-105 OT
17/10/26AKorfez Basket71-69
14/10/26HBuducnost90-85
10/10/26HEsenler Erokspor79-87
Karsiyakalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/26HBesiktas84-83
01/11/26ABursaspor86-83
25/10/26HFenerbahce72-97
16/10/26HCayirova95-79
10/10/26ABahcesehir Kol.82-92
02/10/26HGalatasaray78-71 OT
26/09/26ATurk Telekom72-73
10/05/26HBursaspor84-82
03/05/26ATofas78-87
26/04/26HEsenler Erokspor68-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tofas
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW43%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%33%50%
Points / game81.380.382.0
Allowed / game85.083.386.2
Point differential-3.7-3.0-4.2
Avg total166.3163.7168.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Karsiyaka
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW57%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%75%33%
Points / game81.382.280.0
Allowed / game82.682.582.7
Point differential-1.3-0.2-2.7
Avg total163.9164.8162.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %14%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Turk Telekom76186%83.673.1+10.4
2 Bahcesehir Kol.76186%92.786.6+6.1
3 Fenerbahce75271%86.979.6+7.3
4 Anadolu Efes75271%86.079.4+6.6
5 Galatasaray74357%88.679.4+9.1
6 Petkim Spor74357%83.783.6+0.1
7 Trabzonspor74357%83.083.3-0.3
8 Karsiyaka74357%81.382.6-1.3
9 Esenler Erokspor74357%82.984.7-1.9
10 Besiktas73443%84.186.3-2.1
11 Tofas73443%81.385.0-3.7
12 Korfez Basket72529%82.085.9-3.9
13 Bordo Bandirma72529%82.387.0-4.7
14 Cayirova72529%81.988.0-6.1
15 Denizli Basket71614%80.687.6-7.0
16 Bursaspor71614%74.983.6-8.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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