PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Unicaja vs Tofas Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 24 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 89-70
17-21 24-6 23-18 25-25
Position#1
Record4-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game73.7
Unicaja 🏆
vs
Position#34
Record4-5
FormLLLWL
Points / game88.7
Allowed / game85.9
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 1· Palacio de Deportes José María Martín Carpena
European cup2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Unicaja winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tofas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UnicajaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUnicaja
Date
Competition
Manresa
#9
W
91-77
91
77
+14
81avg 78
H02/12
ACB
Szombathely
#40
W
88-65
88
65
+23
88avg 78
H06/12
Champions League
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
87-81
87
81
+6
83avg 78
A09/12
ACB
Granada
#17
W
92-70
92
70
+22
88avg 78
H16/12
ACB
Peristeri
#15
L
73-76
73
76
-3
62avg 78
A19/12
Champions League
Murcia
#6
W
88-65
88
65
+23
85avg 78
A22/12
ACB
Barcelona
#3
W
91-71
91
71
+20
82avg 78
H27/12
ACB
Palencia
#18
W
86-72
86
72
+14
83avg 78
A06/01
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
W
80-77
80
77
+3
71avg 78
H13/01
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#10
L
81-85
81
85
-4
78avg 78
A20/01
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-25
18-21
21-14
21-17
22-14
23-13
17-14
26-24
18-24
16-15
25-18
28-24
18-9
32-21
20-23
22-17
21-26
26-20
15-14
11-16
20-11
24-16
25-18
19-20
19-26
29-11
21-23
22-11
21-21
20-10
30-18
15-23
22-16
18-16
19-27
21-18
28-17
22-29
13-16
18-23
159.6Avg total
85.7Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)81.773.7155.3+8.067%
Season at home (3)84.067.7151.7+16.3100%
Season away (3)79.379.7159.0-0.333%
Last 10 (10)85.773.9159.6+11.880%
Last 5 (5)85.274.0159.2+11.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)81.088.0169.0-7.00%
vs Similar (4)85.287.2172.5-2.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)85.475.5161.0+9.975%
This opponent (Tofas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TofasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTofas
Date
Competition
Çağdaş Bodrum Spor
#15
W
102-82
102
82
+20
102avg 81
H16/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Murcia
#2
L
75-90
75
90
-15
71avg 81
H20/12
Champions League
Karsiyaka
#4
L
71-98
71
98
-27
57avg 81
A24/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
W
88-86
88
86
+2
86avg 81
H29/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
PAOK
#32
W
95-63
95
63
+32
98avg 81
A02/01
Champions League
Galatasaray
#5
L
76-95
76
95
-19
64avg 81
A06/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
PAOK
#32
L
87-88 OT
87
88
-1
71avg 81
H09/01
Champions League
Samsunspor
#16
L
86-87
86
87
-1
90avg 81
A13/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
PAOK
#32
W
84-71
84
71
+13
83avg 81
A16/01
Champions League
Besiktas
#3
L
81-85
81
85
-4
77avg 81
H20/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-30
33-17
30-7
21-28
17-23
28-25
11-26
19-16
19-26
14-17
17-22
21-33
24-26
24-20
19-17
21-23
27-12
26-14
24-16
18-21
21-24
14-32
22-18
19-21
23-16
9-15
12-23
26-16
21-13
25-34
25-19
15-21
22-19
18-15
22-15
22-22
24-19
22-27
17-19
18-20
169.0Avg total
84.5Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)88.785.9174.6+2.844%
Season at home (4)85.282.8168.0+2.525%
Season away (5)91.488.4179.8+3.060%
Last 10 (10)84.584.5169.0+0.040%
Last 5 (5)82.885.2168.0-2.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)77.392.0169.3-14.70%
vs Similar (13)86.285.5171.8+0.754%
vs Weaker (8)95.181.1176.2+14.075%
This opponent (Unicaja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +5.6+5.6Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -2.1-2.1
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +5.6+5.6Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -2.1-2.1
UnicajaTofas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UnicajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manresa
#9
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H02/12
ACB
Szombathely
#40
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H06/12
Champions League
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A09/12
ACB
Granada
#17
W
50-30
50
30
+20
H16/12
ACB
Peristeri
#15
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A19/12
Champions League
Murcia
#6
W
44-27
44
27
+17
A22/12
ACB
Barcelona
#3
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H27/12
ACB
Palencia
#18
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A06/01
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H13/01
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A20/01
ACB
80.9Avg total
44.8Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.838.881.6+3.973%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.636.780.3+6.987%-
Last 30 away (15)41.940.982.9+1.060%-
Last 10 (10)44.836.180.9+8.790%-
Last 5 (5)44.634.679.2+10.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)31.044.075.0-13.00%-
vs Similar (4)39.844.083.8-4.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)43.837.881.7+6.079%-
This opponent (Tofas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Çağdaş Bodrum Spor
#15
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H16/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Murcia
#2
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H20/12
Champions League
Karsiyaka
#4
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A24/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H29/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
PAOK
#32
W
53-26
53
26
+27
A02/01
Champions League
Galatasaray
#5
L
35-56
35
56
-21
A06/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
PAOK
#32
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H09/01
Champions League
Samsunspor
#16
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A13/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
PAOK
#32
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A16/01
Champions League
Besiktas
#3
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H20/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
85.3Avg total
42.9Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.741.884.5+0.950%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.142.186.3+2.064%-
Last 30 away (16)41.441.482.9+0.038%-
Last 10 (10)42.942.485.3+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)39.842.882.6-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)38.846.184.9-7.30%-
vs Similar (13)44.941.586.4+3.569%-
vs Weaker (8)43.537.480.9+6.175%-
This opponent (Unicaja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Unicajatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Unicaja: 84.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.521.5
53.1%
51.4%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.88.4
35.3%
34.9%25.2
🏀 Free throws21.116.5
78.2%
74.5%16.5
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 83.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.418.6
51.1%
51.4%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.39.4
37.2%
34.9%28.2
🏀 Free throws23.718.3
77.2%
74.5%18.3
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Unicaja
LWWWWLWWWW
Tofas
LWLLLWWLLW
#1
League position
#34
+15.4
Net rating
+0.0
110.5
Offensive rating
114.2
95.1
Defensive rating
114.2
53.0%
Effective FG%
53.0%
46.3%
Opp. effective FG%
56.0%
16.7%
Turnover %
16.7%
28.0%
Off. rebound %
31.3%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.38
35.3%
3-point %
37.2%
63.5%
Assist %
66.8%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence110.5 · 114.2Defence95.1 · 114.2Shooting53.0% · 53.0%3-point %35.3% · 37.2%Ball care16.7% · 16.7%Off. rebounds28.0% · 31.3%Free throws0.33 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Unicaja   ■ Tofas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Unicaja wins
0
Tofas wins
No previous meetings.
Unicajalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/24AJoventut Badalona81-85
13/01/24HGran Canaria80-77
06/01/24APalencia86-72
27/12/23HBarcelona91-71
22/12/23AMurcia88-65
19/12/23APeristeri73-76
16/12/23HGranada92-70
09/12/23AMoraBanc Andorra87-81
06/12/23HSzombathely88-65
02/12/23HManresa91-77
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/24HBesiktas81-85
16/01/24APAOK84-71
13/01/24ASamsunspor86-87
09/01/24HPAOK87-88 OT
06/01/24AGalatasaray76-95
02/01/24APAOK95-63
29/12/23HBahcesehir Kol.88-86
24/12/23AKarsiyaka71-98
20/12/23HMurcia75-90
16/12/23HÇağdaş Bodrum Spor102-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Unicaja
Champions League 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL67%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%100%33%
Points / game81.784.079.3
Allowed / game73.767.779.7
Point differential+8.0+16.3-0.3
Avg total155.3151.7159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tofas
Champions League 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW44%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayWLLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %44%25%60%
Points / game88.785.291.4
Allowed / game85.982.888.4
Point differential+2.8+2.5+3.0
Avg total174.6168.0179.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%25%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %33%25%40%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Murcia76186%85.069.7+15.3
2 Hapoel Jerusalem76186%84.373.6+10.7
3 Dijon75271%86.975.7+11.1
4 AEK Athens75271%86.777.3+9.4
5 Tenerife75271%85.177.1+8.0
6 Strasbourg107370%82.479.5+2.9
7 Cholet139469%84.282.9+1.3
8 Obradoiro CAB32167%80.768.0+12.7
9 Unicaja64267%81.773.7+8.0
10 Promitheas96367%85.077.8+7.2
11 Brindisi32167%74.772.3+2.3
12 Norrkoping32167%77.776.3+1.3
13 Tortona85362%82.481.2+1.1
14 Ludwigsburg106460%82.279.1+3.1
15 Bonn74357%83.778.4+5.3
16 Galatasaray95456%83.982.2+1.7
17 Peristeri95456%81.282.4-1.2
18 Nes Ziona21150%83.067.5+15.5
19 Bakken Bears21150%85.578.5+7.0
20 Rytas84450%85.181.0+4.1
21 Legia21150%68.066.5+1.5
22 Karsiyaka105550%84.083.4+0.6
23 Hapoel Holon105550%74.374.7-0.4
24 Den Bosch21150%79.581.0-1.5
25 Fribourg Olympic21150%58.060.5-2.5
26 Varese21150%80.583.5-3.0
27 Bursaspor63350%73.278.8-5.7
28 AEK Larnaca21150%66.576.5-10.0
29 Benfica94544%81.778.7+3.0
30 Tofas94544%88.785.9+2.8
31 Breogan94544%78.178.6-0.4
32 Oostende94544%75.079.8-4.8
33 Darussafaka94544%78.683.7-5.1
34 PAOK94544%75.282.7-7.4
35 Le Mans83538%77.979.0-1.1
36 Oldenburg62433%84.082.5+1.5
37 Sassari93633%85.689.2-3.7
38 Szczecin62433%78.882.7-3.8
39 VEF Riga62433%71.876.0-4.2
40 Szombathely62433%76.081.3-5.3
41 FMP Beograd1010%71.073.0-2.0
42 CSM Oradea1010%74.077.0-3.0
43 Antwerp Giants1010%72.076.0-4.0
44 BC Kalev/Cramo1010%78.082.0-4.0
45 Jonava1010%78.083.0-5.0
46 Caledonia Gladiators1010%51.057.0-6.0
47 Levice1010%66.074.0-8.0
48 Gottingen1010%84.096.0-12.0
49 Igokea6060%72.587.0-14.5
50 Peja1010%79.0103.0-24.0
51 Opava6060%72.0102.0-30.0
52 Mornar Bar1010%56.090.0-34.0
53 Karhu Basket1010%56.092.0-36.0
54 TSU1010%62.0122.0-60.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 54 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Unicaja1724232589
Tofas216182570
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.