PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Toledo vs Kent State Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 04 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 72-75
36-29 36-46
Position#156
Record12-10
FormLWLWW
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game77.8
vs
Position#52
Record15-7
FormWLWWL
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game81.4
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Toledo v Kent State
05 Dec 2026
TOLE v KENT
upcoming
03 Feb 2026
TOLE72
KENT75
21 Jan 2025
TOLE64
KENT83
14 Mar 2024
TOLE59
KENT67
08 Mar 2024
TOLE86
KENT71
11 Mar 2023
TOLE78
KENT93
15 Feb 2022
TOLE59
KENT72
23 Jan 2021
TOLE76
KENT74
28 Jan 2020
TOLE70
KENT83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toledo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kent State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ToledoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
73-87
73
87
-14
H09/01
NCAA
CBC Valladolid
#7
W
87-73
87
73
+14
H11/01
Segunda FEB
Ohio
#241
W
101-85
101
85
+16
H14/01
NCAA
Kent State
#52
L
84-87
84
87
-3
A16/01
NCAA
Valle de Egues
#28
L
81-83
81
83
-2
A17/01
Segunda FEB
UMass
#189
L
82-84
82
84
-2
A20/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
W
73-72
73
72
+1
H24/01
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
81-91
81
91
-10
A28/01
NCAA
Ball State
#288
W
73-55
73
55
+18
H31/01
NCAA
Leonesa
#19
W
73-54
73
54
+19
H01/02
Segunda FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
36-56
0-0
37-31
23-22
23-13
25-22
16-16
0-0
52-50
0-0
49-35
0-0
41-35
0-0
43-52
19-23
21-17
24-16
17-27
0-0
34-35
0-0
48-49
0-0
39-38
0-0
34-34
0-0
49-41
0-0
32-50
0-0
39-27
0-0
34-28
25-13
12-12
15-19
21-10
157.9Avg total
80.8Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)81.877.8159.5+4.055%
Season at home (11)85.074.7159.7+10.373%
Season away (11)78.580.8159.4-2.336%
Last 10 (10)80.877.1157.9+3.750%
Last 5 (5)76.471.2147.6+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)73.685.8159.4-12.220%
vs Similar ◀ (13)83.481.1164.5+2.346%
vs Weaker (11)84.771.2155.9+13.591%
This opponent (Kent State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kent StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Purdue
#31
L
60-101
60
101
-41
A30/12
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
W
77-73
77
73
+4
H03/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
W
96-93
96
93
+3
H07/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
L
85-87
85
87
-2
A10/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
W
87-81
87
81
+6
A13/01
NCAA
Toledo
#156
W
87-84
87
84
+3
H16/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
101-107 OT
101
107
-6
H21/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
W
76-75 OT
76
75
+1
A24/01
NCAA
Ohio
#241
W
72-57
72
57
+15
H28/01
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
52-69
52
69
-17
A30/01
NCAA
1H
2H
27-51
33-50
47-26
30-47
45-45
51-48
43-49
42-38
44-30
43-51
35-41
52-43
34-48
58-44
31-23
27-35
28-24
44-33
29-38
23-31
162.0Avg total
79.3Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)87.281.4168.5+5.868%
Season at home (14)95.482.7178.1+12.679%
Season away (8)72.979.0151.9-6.150%
Last 10 (10)79.382.7162.0-3.460%
Last 5 (5)77.678.4156.0-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)79.089.4168.4-10.440%
vs Similar ◀ (11)81.580.1161.6+1.564%
vs Weaker (12)84.775.2159.8+9.575%
This opponent (Toledo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +3.1+3.11st half: -1.2-1.22nd half2nd half: +0.6+0.62nd half: -1.7-1.7
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +3.1+3.11st half: -1.2-1.22nd half2nd half: +0.6+0.62nd half: -1.7-1.7
ToledoKent State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ToledoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
36-56
36
56
-20
H09/01
NCAA
CBC Valladolid
#7
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H11/01
Segunda FEB
Ohio
#241
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H14/01
NCAA
Kent State
#52
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A16/01
NCAA
Valle de Egues
#28
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A17/01
Segunda FEB
UMass
#189
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A20/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H24/01
NCAA
Akron
#14
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A28/01
NCAA
Ball State
#288
W
39-27
39
27
+12
H31/01
NCAA
Leonesa
#19
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H01/02
Segunda FEB
79.5Avg total
41.3Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.837.677.3+2.260%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.736.077.7+5.779%-
Last 30 away (16)38.138.977.0-0.944%-
Last 10 (10)41.338.279.5+3.170%-
Last 5 (5)39.633.272.8+6.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)37.045.882.8-8.840%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)39.537.777.2+1.854%-
vs Weaker (11)40.534.575.1+6.073%-
This opponent (Kent State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kent StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Purdue
#31
L
27-51
27
51
-24
A30/12
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
W
47-26
47
26
+21
H03/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H07/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A10/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A13/01
NCAA
Toledo
#156
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H16/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H21/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
W
31-23
31
23
+8
A24/01
NCAA
Ohio
#241
W
28-24
28
24
+4
H28/01
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A30/01
NCAA
73.8Avg total
36.3Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.334.874.1+4.460%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.634.877.4+7.862%-
Last 30 away (14)35.434.970.3+0.657%-
Last 10 (10)36.337.573.8-1.240%-
Last 5 (5)31.434.866.2-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.643.278.8-7.620%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)38.435.573.9+2.864%-
vs Weaker (12)41.431.873.2+9.767%-
This opponent (Toledo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Toledo wins
8
Kent State wins
DateGameScore
16/01/26Kent State v Toledo87-84
26/02/25Kent State v Toledo105-65
22/01/25Toledo v Kent State64-83
14/03/24Toledo v Kent State59-67
09/03/24Toledo v Kent State86-71
10/01/24Kent State v Toledo75-89
12/03/23Toledo v Kent State78-93
11/01/23Kent State v Toledo75-63
15/02/22Toledo v Kent State59-72
01/01/22Kent State v Toledo66-63
Toledolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/26HLeonesa73-54
31/01/26HBall State73-55
28/01/26AAkron81-91
24/01/26HBowling Green73-72
20/01/26AUMass82-84
17/01/26AValle de Egues81-83
16/01/26AKent State84-87
14/01/26HOhio101-85
11/01/26HCBC Valladolid87-73
09/01/26HMiami (Ohio)73-87
Kent Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/26AAkron52-69
28/01/26HOhio72-57
24/01/26AEastern Michigan76-75 OT
21/01/26HMiami (Ohio)101-107 OT
16/01/26HToledo87-84
13/01/26ABuffalo87-81
10/01/26ACentral Michigan85-87
07/01/26HBowling Green96-93
03/01/26HNorthern Illinois77-73
30/12/25APurdue60-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toledo
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW55%
HomeWLWWW73%
AwayWWLLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %55%73%36%
Points / game81.885.078.5
Allowed / game77.874.780.8
Point differential+4.0+10.3-2.3
Avg total159.5159.7159.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%45%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)67% (3)20% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Kent State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL68%
HomeWWWLW79%
AwayLLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22148
Win %68%79%50%
Points / game87.295.472.9
Allowed / game81.482.779.0
Point differential+5.8+12.6-6.1
Avg total168.5178.1151.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%43%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %18%14%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Miami (Ohio)23230100%92.874.3+18.5
2 Akron2319483%90.474.0+16.4
3 Kent State2215768%87.281.4+5.8
4 UMass2314961%79.574.4+5.1
5 Buffalo2314961%79.775.5+4.2
6 Bowling Green2213959%84.670.9+13.7
7 Toledo22121055%81.877.8+4.0
8 Ohio23121152%77.477.6-0.2
9 Eastern Michigan2391439%71.272.7-1.5
10 Western Michigan2181338%75.479.2-3.8
11 Ball State2171433%67.369.9-2.6
12 Northern Illinois2171433%73.076.5-3.5
13 Central Michigan2271532%72.477.6-5.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Toledo363672
Kent State294675
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.