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Toledo vs Kent State Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 05 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 21:00
Scheduled
Position#262
Record2-3
FormWLLLW
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game77.2
vs
Position#274
Record1-2
FormWLLWL
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game75.3
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Toledo v Kent State
05 Dec 2026
TOLE v KENT
upcoming
03 Feb 2026
TOLE72
KENT75
21 Jan 2025
TOLE64
KENT83
14 Mar 2024
TOLE59
KENT67
08 Mar 2024
TOLE86
KENT71
11 Mar 2023
TOLE78
KENT93
15 Feb 2022
TOLE59
KENT72
23 Jan 2021
TOLE76
KENT74
28 Jan 2020
TOLE70
KENT83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toledo win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Kent State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ToledoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Algeciras
#13
W
100-79
100
79
+21
H18/10
Segunda FEB
Moron
#11
L
81-90
81
90
-9
A25/10
Segunda FEB
Jaen Paraiso
#21
W
93-81
93
81
+12
H01/11
Segunda FEB
Arkansas State
#228
L
70-71
70
71
-1
A03/11
NCAA
Michigan State
#28
L
61-91
61
91
-30
A06/11
NCAA
Marshall
#301
W
81-76
81
76
+5
A07/11
NCAA
Spanish Basketball Academy
#20
L
77-85
77
85
-8
A08/11
Segunda FEB
Wright State
#41
L
68-76
68
76
-8
H11/11
NCAA
CBC Valladolid
#6
L
80-88
80
88
-8
H14/11
Segunda FEB
Detroit
#453
W
85-72
85
72
+13
A14/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-15
19-25
25-22
30-17
22-18
21-28
13-17
25-27
23-22
30-20
15-17
25-22
0-0
35-36
0-0
35-35
0-0
25-48
0-0
36-43
0-0
27-38
0-0
54-38
15-14
23-27
18-19
21-25
0-0
31-36
0-0
37-40
21-26
26-17
19-21
14-24
0-0
42-40
0-0
43-32
160.5Avg total
79.6Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)73.077.2150.2-4.240%
Season at home (1)68.076.0144.0-8.00%
Season away (4)74.277.5151.8-3.250%
Last 10 (10)79.680.9160.5-1.340%
Last 5 (5)78.279.4157.6-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)72.179.3151.4-7.220%
vs Similar (12)81.876.1157.8+5.767%
vs Weaker (8)78.571.4149.9+7.175%
This opponent (Kent State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kent StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bowling Green
#143
W
78-71
78
71
+7
A18/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
W
83-81
83
81
+2
H25/02
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
70-92
70
92
-22
H28/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
W
102-76
102
76
+26
A04/03
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
86-78
86
78
+8
H07/03
NCAA
Ohio
#241
W
86-75
86
75
+11
H12/03
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
68-75
68
75
-7
A13/03
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#208
L
75-85
75
85
-10
A03/11
NCAA
Roberts Wesleyan
#493
W
102-50
102
50
+52
H07/11
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#19
L
73-91
73
91
-18
A12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
30-25
48-46
32-42
51-39
37-47
33-45
51-28
51-48
46-37
40-41
40-38
46-37
28-42
40-33
32-41
43-44
49-15
53-35
30-49
43-42
159.7Avg total
82.3Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)83.375.3158.7+8.033%
Season at home (1)102.050.0152.0+52.0100%
Season away (2)74.088.0162.0-14.00%
Last 10 (10)82.377.4159.7+4.960%
Last 5 (5)80.875.2156.0+5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)74.887.4162.1-12.625%
vs Similar (6)81.577.5159.0+4.083%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)85.374.6159.9+10.679%
This opponent (Toledo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -2.4-2.41st half: +1.1+1.12nd half2nd half: +1.1+1.12nd half: +3.8+3.8
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -2.4-2.41st half: +1.1+1.12nd half2nd half: +1.1+1.12nd half: +3.8+3.8
ToledoKent State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ToledoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Algeciras
#13
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H18/10
Segunda FEB
Moron
#11
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A25/10
Segunda FEB
Jaen Paraiso
#21
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H01/11
Segunda FEB
Arkansas State
#228
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A03/11
NCAA
Michigan State
#28
L
25-48
25
48
-23
A06/11
NCAA
Marshall
#301
L
27-38
27
38
-11
A07/11
NCAA
Spanish Basketball Academy
#20
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A08/11
Segunda FEB
Wright State
#41
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H11/11
NCAA
CBC Valladolid
#6
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H14/11
Segunda FEB
Detroit
#453
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A14/11
NCAA
79.6Avg total
38.6Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.136.474.6+1.753%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.135.976.1+4.273%-
Last 30 away (15)36.136.973.1-0.833%-
Last 10 (10)38.641.079.6-2.440%-
Last 5 (5)37.039.676.6-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)34.838.072.8-3.220%-
vs Similar (12)40.036.776.7+3.375%-
vs Weaker (8)39.534.173.6+5.462%-
This opponent (Kent State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kent StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bowling Green
#143
W
30-25
30
25
+5
A18/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H25/02
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H28/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
W
51-28
51
28
+23
A04/03
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H07/03
NCAA
Ohio
#241
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H12/03
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
28-42
28
42
-14
A13/03
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#208
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A03/11
NCAA
Roberts Wesleyan
#493
W
49-15
49
15
+34
H07/11
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#19
L
30-49
30
49
-19
A12/11
NCAA
73.9Avg total
37.5Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.935.173.0+2.850%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.534.275.7+7.360%-
Last 30 away (15)34.336.070.3-1.740%-
Last 10 (10)37.536.473.9+1.150%-
Last 5 (5)35.837.072.8-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)32.543.175.6-10.612%-
vs Similar (6)35.234.069.2+1.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)40.432.973.3+7.664%-
This opponent (Toledo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Toledo wins
8
Kent State wins
DateGameScore
04/02/26Toledo v Kent State72-75
16/01/26Kent State v Toledo87-84
26/02/25Kent State v Toledo105-65
22/01/25Toledo v Kent State64-83
14/03/24Toledo v Kent State59-67
09/03/24Toledo v Kent State86-71
10/01/24Kent State v Toledo75-89
12/03/23Toledo v Kent State78-93
11/01/23Kent State v Toledo75-63
15/02/22Toledo v Kent State59-72
Toledolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ADetroit85-72
14/11/26HCBC Valladolid80-88
11/11/26HWright State68-76
08/11/26ASpanish Basketball Academy77-85
07/11/26AMarshall81-76
06/11/26AMichigan State61-91
03/11/26AArkansas State70-71
01/11/26HJaen Paraiso93-81
25/10/26AMoron81-90
18/10/26HAlgeciras100-79
Kent Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26ANC Wilmington73-91
07/11/26HRoberts Wesleyan102-50
03/11/26ALouisiana Tech75-85
13/03/26AAkron68-75
12/03/26HOhio86-75
07/03/26HWestern Michigan86-78
04/03/26ANorthern Illinois102-76
28/02/26HAkron70-92
25/02/26HCentral Michigan83-81
18/02/26ABowling Green78-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toledo
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW40%
HomeL0%
AwayLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games514
Win %40%0%50%
Points / game73.068.074.2
Allowed / game77.276.077.5
Point differential-4.2-8.0-3.2
Avg total150.2144.0151.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Kent State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game83.3102.074.0
Allowed / game75.350.088.0
Point differential+8.0+52.0-14.0
Avg total158.7152.0162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Akron330100%84.062.7+21.3
2 Central Michigan440100%83.865.8+18.0
3 Bowling Green330100%86.376.0+10.3
4 Miami (Ohio)330100%84.076.0+8.0
5 Western Michigan43175%79.060.8+18.2
6 Eastern Michigan32167%77.363.3+14.0
7 UMass32167%66.064.3+1.7
8 Ohio32167%76.075.7+0.3
9 Northern Illinois53260%79.473.2+6.2
10 Toledo52340%73.077.2-4.2
11 Kent State31233%83.375.3+8.0
12 Buffalo31233%77.779.0-1.3
13 Ball State41325%68.872.5-3.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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