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Pesaro vs Pistoia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Oct 2018
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 83-77
18-23 21-20 18-15 26-19
Position#15
Record-
FormLLWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Pesaro 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#16
Record-
FormLLLLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
ItalyLega ARound 1
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Pesaro v Pistoia
30 Dec 2026
PES v PIS
upcoming
29 Oct 2025
PES82
PIS73
13 Apr 2024
PES89
PIS82
13 Apr 2020
PES v PIS
upcoming
07 Oct 2018
PES83
PIS77
08 Apr 2018
PES80
PIS72
27 Dec 2016
PES57
PIS59
11 Oct 2015
PES73
PIS74
26 Apr 2015
PES82
PIS86
09 Mar 2014
PES75
PIS74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pistoia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
84-81 OT
84
81
+3
no box
H11/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
L
83-93
83
93
-10
106avg 106
A18/03
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
62-77
62
77
-15
no box
H25/03
Lega A
Varese
#8
L
68-88
68
88
-20
95avg 106
A31/03
Lega A
Pistoia
#13
W
80-72 OT
80
72
+8
no box
H08/04
Lega A
Avellino
#4
L
81-103
81
103
-22
106avg 106
A15/04
Lega A
Cantu
#9
L
82-91
82
91
-9
109avg 106
H22/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
75-70
75
70
+5
101avg 106
A29/04
Lega A
Venezia
#2
W
77-74
77
74
+3
104avg 106
H06/05
Lega A
Sassari
#6
L
81-112
81
112
-31
107avg 106
A09/05
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-16
13-29
24-17
15-8
17-23
19-29
24-17
23-24
17-15
10-28
14-17
21-17
12-26
16-22
19-14
21-26
27-14
16-19
16-24
10-12
25-31
23-28
13-25
20-19
18-23
16-28
18-16
30-24
18-16
13-19
24-13
20-22
20-21
18-16
22-16
17-21
14-28
22-29
24-30
21-25
163.4Avg total
77.3Scored
86.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)77.386.1163.4-8.840%
Last 5 (5)79.290.0169.2-10.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)76.886.1163.0-9.321%
vs Similar ◀ (4)81.581.5163.0+0.050%
vs Weaker (2)70.077.0147.0-7.050%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistoia
Date
Competition
Cantu
#9
L
85-106
85
106
-21
116avg 111
A11/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
L
74-78
74
78
-4
96avg 111
H17/03
Lega A
Venezia
#2
W
93-83
93
83
+10
123avg 111
H25/03
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
84-77
84
77
+7
114avg 111
A31/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
72-80 OT
72
80
-8
no box
A08/04
Lega A
Sassari
#6
L
69-80
69
80
-11
94avg 111
H15/04
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
70-85
70
85
-15
93avg 111
A22/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
61-74
61
74
-13
85avg 111
H29/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
74-101
74
101
-27
99avg 111
A06/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
90-85
90
85
+5
124avg 111
H09/05
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-26
22-33
22-19
21-28
18-21
21-20
27-17
8-20
27-13
18-20
25-24
23-26
31-11
12-16
20-28
21-22
14-27
19-16
24-16
12-10
28-19
12-13
16-29
13-19
23-21
16-21
14-20
17-23
14-23
18-22
14-14
15-15
20-31
13-17
21-29
20-24
26-22
20-22
26-23
18-18
162.1Avg total
77.2Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)77.284.9162.1-7.730%
Last 5 (5)72.885.0157.8-12.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)73.884.2158.0-10.418%
vs Similar ◀ (6)79.878.3158.2+1.567%
vs Weaker (2)82.063.0145.0+19.0100%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -8.1-8.1Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -3.7-3.7
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -8.1-8.1Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -3.7-3.7
PesaroPistoia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Capo d'Orlando
#16
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H11/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
L
36-52
36
52
-16
A18/03
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
27-43
27
43
-16
H25/03
Lega A
Varese
#8
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A31/03
Lega A
Pistoia
#13
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H08/04
Lega A
Avellino
#4
L
48-59
48
59
-11
A15/04
Lega A
Cantu
#9
L
34-51
34
51
-17
H22/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A29/04
Lega A
Venezia
#2
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H06/05
Lega A
Sassari
#6
L
36-57
36
57
-21
A09/05
Lega A
81.2Avg total
35.2Scored
46.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.644.081.6-6.427%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.241.879.0-4.633%-
Last 30 away (15)38.146.284.3-8.120%-
Last 10 (10)35.246.081.2-10.820%-
Last 5 (5)37.447.885.2-10.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)37.644.482.0-6.825%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)41.843.585.2-1.850%-
vs Weaker (2)30.040.570.5-10.50%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#9
L
42-59
42
59
-17
A11/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H17/03
Lega A
Venezia
#2
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H25/03
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
43-27
43
27
+16
A31/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A08/04
Lega A
Sassari
#6
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H15/04
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A22/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H29/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A06/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H09/05
Lega A
80.6Avg total
39.2Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.141.179.2-3.137%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.638.777.3-0.153%-
Last 30 away (15)37.543.681.1-6.120%-
Last 10 (10)39.241.480.6-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)38.042.280.2-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)36.942.879.7-5.923%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)41.238.079.2+3.267%-
vs Weaker (2)41.532.574.0+9.0100%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 76.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.720.9
51.4%
51.0%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.46.9
29.5%
35.1%20.7
🏀 Free throws18.214.1
77.5%
72.3%14.1
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 76.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.218.0
45.9%
51.0%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.110.0
34.4%
35.1%30.0
🏀 Free throws16.610.6
63.9%
72.3%10.6
They take 68.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Oct 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pesaro
LWWLLWLLLW
Pistoia
WLLLLLWWLL
#15
League position
#16
-16.4
Net rating
-7.6
100.5
Offensive rating
103.6
116.9
Defensive rating
111.1
48.8%
Effective FG%
48.3%
56.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.6%
20.4%
Turnover %
16.7%
30.7%
Off. rebound %
33.7%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.24
29.5%
3-point %
34.4%
47.8%
Assist %
56.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence100.5 · 103.6Defence116.9 · 111.1Shooting48.8% · 48.3%3-point %29.5% · 34.4%Ball care20.4% · 16.7%Off. rebounds30.7% · 33.7%Free throws0.28 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Pesaro   ■ Pistoia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Pesaro wins
8
Pistoia wins
DateGameScore
08/04/18Pesaro v Pistoia80-72 OT
09/12/17Pistoia v Pesaro86-83
23/04/17Pistoia v Pesaro87-83
27/12/16Pesaro v Pistoia57-59
25/01/16Pistoia v Pesaro77-75
11/10/15Pesaro v Pistoia73-74
26/04/15Pesaro v Pistoia82-86
29/12/14Pistoia v Pesaro84-53
09/03/14Pesaro v Pistoia75-74
24/11/13Pistoia v Pesaro115-110 OT
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/05/18ASassari81-112
06/05/18HVenezia77-74
29/04/18AOlimpia Milano75-70
22/04/18HCantu82-91
15/04/18AAvellino81-103
08/04/18HPistoia80-72 OT
31/03/18AVarese68-88
25/03/18HTrento62-77
18/03/18ABrindisi83-93
11/03/18HCapo d'Orlando84-81 OT
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/05/18HBrescia90-85
06/05/18AOlimpia Milano74-101
29/04/18HVirtus Bologna61-74
22/04/18ATrento70-85
15/04/18HSassari69-80
08/04/18APesaro72-80 OT
31/03/18ATorino84-77
25/03/18HVenezia93-83
17/03/18HReggiana74-78
11/03/18ACantu85-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Pistoia
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Avellino110100%98.081.0+17.0
2 Olimpia Milano110100%103.092.0+11.0
3 Reggiana110100%85.077.0+8.0
4 Cremona110100%104.099.0+5.0
5 Venezia110100%76.075.0+1.0
6 Torino1010%75.076.0-1.0
7 Trento1010%99.0104.0-5.0
8 Sassari1010%77.085.0-8.0
9 Brindisi1010%92.0103.0-11.0
10 Cantu1010%81.098.0-17.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pesaro1821182683
Pistoia2320151977
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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