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Toronto Raptors vs Atlanta Hawks Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 06 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 118-100
31-26 30-23 25-24 32-27
Position#11
Record21-14
FormLWWLW
Points / game114.8
Allowed / game112.5
vs
Position#12
Record17-20
FormLLWWL
Points / game119.0
Allowed / game119.9
USANBA· Scotiabank Arena
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Toronto Raptors v Atlanta Hawks
02 Apr 2027
TOR v ATL
upcoming
26 Feb 2027
TOR v ATL
upcoming
05 Jan 2026
TOR118
ATL100
03 Jan 2026
TOR134
ATL117
29 Dec 2024
TOR107
ATL136
15 Dec 2023
TOR104
ATL125
13 Dec 2023
TOR135
ATL128
14 Jan 2023
TOR103
ATL114
31 Oct 2022
TOR139
ATL109
05 Apr 2022
TOR118
ATL108
04 Feb 2022
TOR125
ATL114
13 Apr 2021
TOR103
ATL108
11 Mar 2021
TOR120
ATL121
10 Apr 2020
TOR v ATL
upcoming
28 Jan 2020
TOR130
ATL114
08 Jan 2019
TOR104
ATL101
06 Mar 2018
TOR106
ATL90
29 Dec 2017
TOR111
ATL98
16 Dec 2016
TOR121
ATL125
03 Dec 2016
TOR128
ATL84
30 Mar 2016
TOR105
ATL97
10 Mar 2016
TOR104
ATL96
16 Jan 2015
TOR89
ATL110
29 Oct 2014
TOR109
ATL102
23 Mar 2014
TOR96
ATL86
12 Feb 2014
TOR104
ATL83
27 Mar 2013
TOR88
ATL107
16 Apr 2012
TOR87
ATL109
31 Jan 2012
TOR77
ATL100
12 Jan 2011
TOR101
ATL104
28 Nov 2010
TOR78
ATL96
17 Mar 2010
TOR106
ATL105
11 Dec 2009
TOR89
ATL111
07 Apr 2009
TOR110
ATL118
28 Nov 2008
TOR93
ATL88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toronto Raptors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Atlanta Hawks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Toronto RaptorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRaptors
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#17
W
106-96
106
96
+10
106avg 106
A16/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
111-105
111
105
+6
110avg 106
A19/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
96-112
96
112
-16
88avg 106
H21/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
81-96
81
96
-15
69avg 106
A21/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
112-91
112
91
+21
113avg 106
A24/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
L
117-138
117
138
-21
103avg 106
A27/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
141-127 OT
141
127
+14
141avg 106
H28/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
W
107-106
107
106
+1
94avg 106
H30/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
103-106
103
106
-3
90avg 106
H01/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
134-117
134
117
+17
132avg 106
H04/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
23-30
28-25
32-19
31-25
26-28
26-23
28-29
20-32
31-17
29-34
16-29
18-24
21-25
26-18
16-29
21-16
30-28
31-23
30-24
32-35
30-38
38-29
17-36
33-29
32-35
31-36
26-22
18-29
36-36
30-29
23-12
23-32
31-31
25-22
24-21
35-29
42-41
30-36
27-11
220.2Avg total
110.8Scored
109.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)114.8112.5227.3+2.360%
Season at home (18)115.5112.6228.1+2.961%
Season away (17)114.0112.4226.4+1.659%
Last 10 (10)110.8109.4220.2+1.460%
Last 5 (5)120.4118.8239.2+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)101.0116.3217.3-15.30%
vs Similar ◀ (17)114.6110.2224.8+4.571%
vs Weaker (10)115.8107.7223.5+8.180%
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Atlanta HawksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
126-133
126
133
-7
119avg 112
A19/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
98-126
98
126
-28
86avg 112
H20/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
150-152
150
152
-2
144avg 112
H21/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
123-126
123
126
-3
118avg 112
H24/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
111-126
111
126
-15
106avg 112
H27/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
125-128
125
128
-3
120avg 112
H28/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
129-140
129
140
-11
119avg 112
A30/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
126-102
126
102
+24
122avg 112
H31/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
111-99
111
99
+12
108avg 112
A03/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
117-134
117
134
-17
109avg 112
A04/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-37
37-43
26-27
31-26
19-32
25-36
28-34
26-24
38-38
35-45
42-33
35-36
36-30
32-25
37-37
18-34
32-32
19-31
33-27
27-36
27-33
28-35
34-30
36-30
38-35
36-35
29-43
26-27
33-26
37-23
28-24
28-29
33-30
27-17
34-23
17-29
29-35
41-42
36-30
11-27
248.2Avg total
121.6Scored
126.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)119.0119.9238.9-0.946%
Season at home (17)117.5121.0238.5-3.535%
Season away (20)120.2119.0239.2+1.255%
Last 10 (10)121.6126.6248.2-5.020%
Last 5 (5)121.6120.6242.2+1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)114.2123.6237.9-9.412%
vs Similar ◀ (15)119.0118.3237.3+0.760%
vs Weaker (7)128.1120.9249.0+7.357%
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -4.3-4.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -4.3-4.3
Toronto RaptorsAtlanta Hawks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Toronto RaptorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#17
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A16/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
57-53
57
53
+4
A19/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
51-49
51
49
+2
H21/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A21/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A24/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
L
62-73
62
73
-11
A27/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
65-64
65
64
+1
H28/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
L
54-65
54
65
-11
H30/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
54-63
54
63
-9
H01/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
77-70
77
70
+7
H04/01
NBA
113.8Avg total
55.6Scored
58.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.656.3112.9+0.360%-
Last 30 at home (16)58.658.0116.6+0.669%-
Last 30 away (14)54.454.4108.8+0.150%-
Last 10 (10)55.658.2113.8-2.650%-
Last 5 (5)62.467.0129.4-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)54.061.7115.7-7.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)56.457.0113.4-0.653%-
vs Weaker (10)57.853.5111.3+4.380%-
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Atlanta HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
69-80
69
80
-11
A19/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
44-68
44
68
-24
H20/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
73-83
73
83
-10
H21/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
68-55
68
55
+13
H24/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
51-63
51
63
-12
H27/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
55-68
55
68
-13
H28/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
74-70
74
70
+4
A30/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
70-49
70
49
+21
H31/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
60-47
60
47
+13
A03/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
70-77
70
77
-7
A04/01
NBA
129.4Avg total
63.4Scored
66.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.760.2120.9+0.543%-
Last 30 at home (15)59.158.6117.7+0.547%-
Last 30 away (15)62.361.7124.1+0.640%-
Last 10 (10)63.466.0129.4-2.640%-
Last 5 (5)65.862.2128.0+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)57.064.1121.1-7.125%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)59.857.5117.3+2.340%-
vs Weaker (7)66.961.3128.1+5.671%-
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toronto Raptorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toronto Raptors: 110.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.928.8
53.4%
54.8%57.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.412.6
32.8%
35.8%37.8
🏀 Free throws18.815.4
81.9%
78.1%15.4
They take 92.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Atlanta Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Atlanta Hawks: 121.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers47.1 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.729.2
56.5%
54.8%58.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.615.7
37.7%
35.8%47.1
🏀 Free throws21.516.1
74.9%
78.1%16.1
They take 93.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 41.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Toronto Raptors
WLWWLWLLWW
Atlanta Hawks
LWWLLLLLLL
#11
League position
#12
+1.4
Net rating
-4.7
110.1
Offensive rating
113.7
108.7
Defensive rating
118.4
51.7%
Effective FG%
56.5%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
57.1%
13.0%
Turnover %
12.6%
27.4%
Off. rebound %
19.2%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.23
32.8%
3-point %
37.7%
69.8%
Assist %
72.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence110.1 · 113.7Defence108.7 · 118.4Shooting51.7% · 56.5%3-point %32.8% · 37.7%Ball care13.0% · 12.6%Off. rebounds27.4% · 19.2%Free throws0.20 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Toronto Raptors   ■ Atlanta Hawks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Toronto Raptors wins
3
Atlanta Hawks wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/26HAtlanta Hawks134-117
01/01/26HDenver Nuggets103-106
30/12/25HOrlando Magic107-106
28/12/25HGolden State Warriors141-127 OT
27/12/25AWashington Wizards117-138
24/12/25AMiami Heat112-91
21/12/25ABrooklyn Nets81-96
21/12/25HBoston Celtics96-112
19/12/25AMilwaukee Bucks111-105
16/12/25AMiami Heat106-96
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/26AToronto Raptors117-134
03/01/26ANew York Knicks111-99
31/12/25HMinnesota Timberwolves126-102
30/12/25AOklahoma City Thunder129-140
28/12/25HNew York Knicks125-128
27/12/25HMiami Heat111-126
24/12/25HChicago Bulls123-126
21/12/25HChicago Bulls150-152
20/12/25HSan Antonio Spurs98-126
19/12/25ACharlotte Hornets126-133

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toronto Raptors
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW60%
HomeLWWLW61%
AwayWWLWL59%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351817
Win %60%61%59%
Points / game114.8115.5114.0
Allowed / game112.5112.6112.4
Point differential+2.3+2.9+1.6
Avg total227.3228.1226.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%39%47%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)67% (6)-
Overtime %6%6%6%
Atlanta Hawks
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL46%
HomeLLLLW35%
AwayLLLWL55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371720
Win %46%35%55%
Points / game119.0117.5120.2
Allowed / game119.9121.0119.0
Point differential-0.9-3.5+1.2
Avg total238.9238.5239.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%18%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (12)33% (6)67% (6)
Overtime %3%0%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder3429585%121.8107.6+14.2
2 Detroit Pistons3627975%118.8112.1+6.7
3 San Antonio Spurs33231070%119.6114.2+5.5
4 Los Angeles Lakers32221069%117.2116.8+0.4
5 Denver Nuggets35231266%124.3118.1+6.2
6 Houston Rockets32211166%120.0111.4+8.6
7 Boston Celtics34221265%117.9110.7+7.1
8 Minnesota Timberwolves36231364%119.6114.6+4.9
9 New York Knicks34211362%119.3115.4+3.9
10 Phoenix Suns34211362%116.0112.4+3.6
11 Toronto Raptors35211460%114.8112.5+2.3
12 Philadelphia 76ers33191458%117.0116.1+0.9
13 Miami Heat35201557%121.2117.3+3.9
14 Orlando Magic34191556%117.0115.2+1.8
15 Cleveland Cavaliers37201754%119.2116.8+2.4
16 Golden State Warriors36191753%115.2113.9+1.2
17 Chicago Bulls35171849%118.3121.8-3.5
18 Atlanta Hawks37172046%119.0119.9-0.9
19 Milwaukee Bucks36162044%113.3115.5-2.2
20 Portland Trail Blazers36162044%116.3119.6-3.3
21 Memphis Grizzlies35152043%116.0117.0-1.0
22 Dallas Mavericks36132336%113.5117.5-4.0
23 Los Angeles Clippers34122235%112.4114.6-2.2
24 Utah Jazz34122235%119.7126.7-7.1
25 Charlotte Hornets35122334%115.8118.5-2.6
26 Brooklyn Nets33112233%109.5114.3-4.8
27 Washington Wizards3492526%113.4124.4-11.0
28 Sacramento Kings3682822%110.3122.2-12.0
29 New Orleans Pelicans3782922%115.2123.1-8.0
30 Indiana Pacers3663017%110.6119.7-9.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Toronto Raptors31302532118
Atlanta Hawks26232427100
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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