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Toronto Raptors vs Boston Celtics Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 31 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 23:00
Scheduled
Position#15
Record4-4
FormWLLWL
Points / game117.9
Allowed / game113.5
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.2/10
Around normal
5.0/10
Around normal
Position#8
Record6-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game114.2
Allowed / game108.2
USANBA· Scotiabank Arena
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Toronto Raptors v Boston Celtics
31 Jan 2027
TOR v BOS
upcoming
11 Nov 2026
TOR v BOS
upcoming
20 Dec 2025
TOR96
BOS112
07 Dec 2025
TOR113
BOS121
25 Feb 2025
TOR101
BOS111
15 Jan 2025
TOR110
BOS97
15 Jan 2024
TOR96
BOS105
17 Nov 2023
TOR105
BOS108
21 Jan 2023
TOR104
BOS106
05 Dec 2022
TOR110
BOS116
28 Mar 2022
TOR115
BOS112
28 Nov 2021
TOR97
BOS109
04 Jan 2021
TOR114
BOS126
11 Sep 2020
TOR87
BOS92
07 Sep 2020
TOR89
BOS111
01 Sep 2020
TOR99
BOS102
30 Aug 2020
TOR94
BOS112
07 Aug 2020
TOR100
BOS122
25 Dec 2019
TOR102
BOS118
26 Feb 2019
TOR118
BOS95
19 Oct 2018
TOR113
BOS101
04 Apr 2018
TOR96
BOS78
06 Feb 2018
TOR111
BOS91
24 Feb 2017
TOR107
BOS97
10 Jan 2017
TOR114
BOS106
18 Mar 2016
TOR105
BOS91
20 Jan 2016
TOR115
BOS109
04 Apr 2015
TOR116
BOS117
10 Jan 2015
TOR109
BOS96
28 Mar 2014
TOR105
BOS103
30 Oct 2013
TOR93
BOS87
17 Apr 2013
TOR114
BOS90
06 Feb 2013
TOR95
BOS99
13 Apr 2012
TOR84
BOS79
10 Feb 2012
TOR86
BOS74
18 Dec 2011
TOR75
BOS76
02 Jan 2011
TOR79
BOS93
21 Nov 2010
TOR102
BOS101
07 Apr 2010
TOR104
BOS115
10 Jan 2010
TOR107
BOS114
11 Jan 2009
TOR88
BOS94
23 Nov 2008
TOR103
BOS118
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toronto Raptors win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Boston Celtics win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Toronto RaptorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRaptors
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
112-110 OT
112
110
+2
103avg 108
H01/05
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
102-114
102
114
-12
87avg 108
A03/05
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#30
W
135-92
135
92
+43
124avg 108
H21/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#19
W
112-102
112
102
+10
99avg 108
A23/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
94-117
94
117
-23
52avg 108
A25/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
W
129-99
129
99
+30
127avg 108
H28/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
L
114-121
114
121
-7
99avg 108
H30/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#4
L
125-131
125
131
-6
111avg 108
A02/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#26
W
125-118
125
118
+7
115avg 108
A03/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#12
L
109-128
109
128
-19
98avg 108
A05/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-32
29-19
31-30
12-23
26-24
23-25
19-38
34-27
43-23
26-21
34-27
32-21
34-21
26-31
21-25
31-25
21-32
26-23
15-35
32-27
32-25
37-28
34-23
26-23
27-31
28-33
33-31
26-26
23-36
31-30
28-38
43-27
22-33
30-30
26-28
47-27
35-33
32-31
15-39
27-25
228.9Avg total
115.7Scored
113.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)117.9113.5231.4+4.450%
Season at home (3)126.0104.0230.0+22.067%
Season away (5)113.0119.2232.2-6.240%
Last 10 (10)115.7113.2228.9+2.550%
Last 5 (5)120.4119.4239.8+1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)101.5117.8219.2-16.20%
vs Similar ◀ (15)113.3113.2226.5+0.140%
vs Weaker (11)126.8108.5235.4+18.382%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
93-106
93
106
-13
80avg 106
A01/05
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
100-109
100
109
-9
84avg 106
H02/05
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#6
L
113-121
113
121
-8
104avg 106
A20/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#14
W
107-103
107
103
+4
96avg 106
H23/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#30
W
134-99
134
99
+35
127avg 106
H26/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#24
W
125-124 OT
125
124
+1
119avg 106
H27/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#30
W
125-111
125
111
+14
118avg 106
H30/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
W
108-97
108
97
+11
103avg 106
A01/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
93-109
93
109
-16
78avg 106
A03/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#28
W
109-102
109
102
+7
102avg 106
H05/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
26-38
14-24
30-24
19-32
31-23
25-33
25-21
28-27
30-18
30-37
25-39
26-27
24-22
33-24
24-30
33-21
33-33
39-21
29-24
26-31
30-30
30-21
31-35
44-25
34-24
21-25
26-37
24-23
31-27
22-24
31-23
29-29
21-28
23-25
20-27
28-14
34-27
25-38
22-23
218.8Avg total
110.7Scored
108.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)114.2108.2222.5+6.075%
Season at home (5)120.0107.8227.8+12.2100%
Season away (3)104.7109.0213.7-4.333%
Last 10 (10)110.7108.1218.8+2.660%
Last 5 (5)112.0108.6220.6+3.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)93.0109.0202.0-16.00%
vs Similar ◀ (6)112.0107.7219.7+4.367%
vs Weaker (23)115.6106.7222.3+8.974%
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: -5.8-5.8Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +5.9+5.9Q4: -2.0-2.0
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: -5.8-5.8Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +5.9+5.9Q4: -2.0-2.0
Toronto RaptorsBoston Celtics
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Toronto RaptorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
61-51
61
51
+10
H01/05
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
D
49-49
49
49
+0
A03/05
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#30
W
69-44
69
44
+25
H21/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#19
W
60-52
60
52
+8
A23/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
47-55
47
55
-8
A25/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
W
69-53
69
53
+16
H28/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
L
55-64
55
64
-9
H30/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#4
L
54-66
54
66
-12
A02/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#26
L
52-63
52
63
-11
A03/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#12
W
67-64
67
64
+3
A05/11
NBA
114.4Avg total
58.3Scored
56.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.354.4111.8+2.950%-
Last 30 at home (12)61.251.0112.2+10.275%-
Last 30 away (18)54.856.7111.5-1.933%-
Last 10 (10)58.356.1114.4+2.250%-
Last 5 (5)59.462.0121.4-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)45.854.8100.5-9.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)56.555.2111.7+1.347%-
vs Weaker (11)62.653.3115.9+9.473%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
49-58
49
58
-9
A01/05
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
50-55
50
55
-5
H02/05
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#6
W
58-45
58
45
+13
A20/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#14
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H23/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#30
W
66-54
66
54
+12
H26/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#24
L
56-61
56
61
-5
H27/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#30
W
78-49
78
49
+29
H30/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
W
55-50
55
50
+5
A01/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
50-57
50
57
-7
A03/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#28
W
62-41
62
41
+21
H05/11
NBA
109.3Avg total
57.4Scored
51.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.652.5111.1+6.160%-
Last 30 at home (18)58.753.2111.8+5.556%-
Last 30 away (12)58.551.5110.0+7.067%-
Last 10 (10)57.451.9109.3+5.560%-
Last 5 (5)60.251.6111.8+8.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)50.057.0107.0-7.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)54.751.8106.5+2.850%-
vs Weaker (23)60.052.5112.5+7.565%-
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toronto Raptorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toronto Raptors: 110.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.929.6
52.0%
54.0%59.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.110.6
34.1%
34.8%31.8
🏀 Free throws27.219.9
73.2%
76.4%19.9
They take 88.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 111.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers46.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.223.6
53.4%
54.0%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.915.6
35.5%
34.8%46.8
🏀 Free throws23.017.3
75.2%
76.4%17.3
They take 88.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 43.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Toronto Raptors
LWLLWLWWLW
Boston Celtics
WLWWWWWLLL
#15
League position
#8
-1.1
Net rating
+4.5
106.6
Offensive rating
111.2
107.7
Defensive rating
106.7
51.7%
Effective FG%
53.3%
55.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
13.9%
Turnover %
13.3%
23.6%
Off. rebound %
26.4%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.26
34.1%
3-point %
35.5%
65.7%
Assist %
64.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence106.6 · 111.2Defence107.7 · 106.7Shooting51.7% · 53.3%3-point %34.1% · 35.5%Ball care13.9% · 13.3%Off. rebounds23.6% · 26.4%Free throws0.31 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Toronto Raptors   ■ Boston Celtics
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Toronto Raptors wins
9
Boston Celtics wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/26ADenver Nuggets109-128
03/11/26ALos Angeles Clippers125-118
02/11/26ALos Angeles Lakers125-131
30/10/26HOrlando Magic114-121
28/10/26HOrlando Magic129-99
25/10/26AMinnesota Timberwolves94-117
23/10/26AWashington Wizards112-102
21/10/26HChicago Bulls135-92
03/05/26ACleveland Cavaliers102-114
01/05/26HCleveland Cavaliers112-110 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/26HMilwaukee Bucks109-102
03/11/26AHouston Rockets93-109
01/11/26AOrlando Magic108-97
30/10/26HChicago Bulls125-111
27/10/26HBrooklyn Nets125-124 OT
26/10/26HChicago Bulls134-99
23/10/26HNew York Knicks107-103
20/10/26ADetroit Pistons113-121
02/05/26HPhiladelphia 76ers100-109
01/05/26APhiladelphia 76ers93-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toronto Raptors
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL50%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWLLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %50%67%40%
Points / game117.9126.0113.0
Allowed / game113.5104.0119.2
Point differential+4.4+22.0-6.2
Avg total231.4230.0232.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%67%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Boston Celtics
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW75%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %75%100%33%
Points / game114.2120.0104.7
Allowed / game108.2107.8109.0
Point differential+6.0+12.2-4.3
Avg total222.5227.8213.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%40%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %12%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Philadelphia 76ers98189%111.0105.2+5.8
2 Portland Trail Blazers76186%121.9110.7+11.1
3 Houston Rockets97278%117.9107.6+10.3
4 Los Angeles Lakers97278%121.8113.9+7.9
5 Memphis Grizzlies86275%120.5109.8+10.8
6 Detroit Pistons86275%111.1101.8+9.4
7 San Antonio Spurs86275%116.9108.6+8.2
8 Boston Celtics86275%114.2108.2+6.0
9 Oklahoma City Thunder86275%110.0108.8+1.2
10 Minnesota Timberwolves96367%118.8107.6+11.2
11 Golden State Warriors85362%117.5114.6+2.9
12 Denver Nuggets74357%115.4114.7+0.7
13 Atlanta Hawks95456%115.8113.0+2.8
14 New York Knicks84450%110.0105.1+4.9
15 Toronto Raptors84450%117.9113.5+4.4
16 New Orleans Pelicans84450%121.6119.2+2.4
17 Cleveland Cavaliers84450%119.2117.1+2.1
18 Dallas Mavericks84450%112.1112.2-0.1
19 Washington Wizards84450%108.9109.0-0.1
20 Miami Heat83538%118.0122.9-4.9
21 Indiana Pacers93633%111.2114.2-3.0
22 Charlotte Hornets93633%98.1109.2-11.1
23 Phoenix Suns72529%113.9121.4-7.6
24 Brooklyn Nets82625%106.6112.9-6.2
25 Orlando Magic82625%105.5115.0-9.5
26 Los Angeles Clippers81712%109.1115.6-6.5
27 Utah Jazz81712%107.8119.0-11.2
28 Milwaukee Bucks81712%110.0122.2-12.2
29 Sacramento Kings81712%109.2123.2-14.0
30 Chicago Bulls81712%111.6129.6-18.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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