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Boston Celtics vs Toronto Raptors Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 120-118
35-20 33-33 31-33 21-32
Position#1
Record24-5
FormLWWWW
Points / game120.6
Allowed / game109.9
Boston Celtics 🏆
USA
vs
Toronto Raptors
USA
Position#25
Record12-18
FormWLLLW
Points / game113.1
Allowed / game114.4
USANBA· TD Garden (Boston)
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Boston Celtics v Toronto Raptors
14 Feb 2027
BOS v TOR
upcoming
25 Jan 2027
BOS v TOR
upcoming
05 Apr 2026
BOS115
TOR101
09 Jan 2026
BOS125
TOR117
31 Dec 2024
BOS125
TOR71
16 Nov 2024
BOS126
TOR123
29 Dec 2023
BOS120
TOR118
11 Nov 2023
BOS117
TOR94
07 Apr 2023
BOS121
TOR102
05 Apr 2023
BOS97
TOR93
10 Nov 2021
BOS104
TOR88
22 Oct 2021
BOS83
TOR115
04 Mar 2021
BOS132
TOR125
11 Feb 2021
BOS120
TOR106
09 Sep 2020
BOS122
TOR125
05 Sep 2020
BOS93
TOR100
03 Sep 2020
BOS103
TOR104
28 Dec 2019
BOS97
TOR113
25 Oct 2019
BOS112
TOR106
16 Jan 2019
BOS117
TOR108
16 Nov 2018
BOS123
TOR116
31 Mar 2018
BOS110
TOR99
12 Nov 2017
BOS95
TOR94
01 Feb 2017
BOS109
TOR104
09 Dec 2016
BOS94
TOR101
23 Mar 2016
BOS91
TOR79
30 Oct 2015
BOS103
TOR113
14 Apr 2015
BOS95
TOR93
05 Nov 2014
BOS107
TOR110
26 Mar 2014
BOS90
TOR99
15 Jan 2014
BOS88
TOR83
13 Mar 2013
BOS112
TOR88
17 Nov 2012
BOS107
TOR89
01 Feb 2012
BOS100
TOR64
18 Jan 2012
BOS96
TOR73
21 Dec 2011
BOS81
TOR73
07 Jan 2011
BOS122
TOR102
26 Nov 2010
BOS110
TOR101
02 Jan 2010
BOS103
TOR96
27 Nov 2009
BOS116
TOR103
12 Jan 2009
BOS115
TOR109
10 Nov 2008
BOS94
TOR87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boston Celtics winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toronto Raptors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#5
W
133-123
133
123
+10
121avg 111
H09/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
W
120-113
120
113
+7
115avg 111
H13/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
W
116-107
116
107
+9
110avg 111
H15/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
128-111
128
111
+17
119avg 111
H16/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
114-97
114
97
+17
105avg 111
H17/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
L
126-132 OT
126
132
-6
111avg 111
A20/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
W
144-119
144
119
+25
148avg 111
A21/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
145-108
145
108
+37
145avg 111
A23/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
126-115
126
115
+11
122avg 111
A25/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
128-122 OT
128
122
+6
115avg 111
H29/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-32
41-33
35-30
24-28
21-31
38-29
35-32
26-21
33-24
32-30
25-33
26-20
30-24
34-27
37-27
27-33
27-31
34-19
22-24
31-23
40-30
25-32
32-24
24-35
38-41
36-25
39-24
31-29
28-21
40-30
38-30
39-27
32-23
26-34
41-33
27-25
27-30
20-36
35-16
26-26
242.7Avg total
128.0Scored
114.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)120.6109.9230.5+10.783%
Season at home (15)123.1108.1231.2+14.9100%
Season away (14)118.0111.8229.8+6.264%
Last 10 (10)128.0114.7242.7+13.390%
Last 5 (5)133.8119.2253.0+14.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)119.4109.7229.1+9.780%
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toronto RaptorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRaptors
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#18
L
103-112
103
112
-9
100avg 105
H07/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
L
116-119
116
119
-3
111avg 105
A09/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
L
130-136
130
136
-6
120avg 105
A12/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
W
135-128
135
128
+7
142avg 105
H14/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
L
104-125
104
125
-21
99avg 105
H16/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
114-99
114
99
+15
116avg 105
H19/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
L
104-113
104
113
-9
95avg 105
H21/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
L
111-121
111
121
-10
108avg 105
A23/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
L
119-126
119
126
-7
114avg 105
H24/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
132-102
132
102
+30
143avg 105
A28/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-37
34-27
18-23
19-25
22-35
32-31
23-24
39-29
35-35
25-31
37-32
33-38
31-39
33-27
39-29
32-33
24-30
25-29
29-28
26-38
19-27
29-25
31-29
35-18
20-29
24-32
31-29
29-23
37-28
21-33
31-32
22-28
34-31
37-24
27-30
21-41
31-25
28-25
38-31
35-21
234.9Avg total
116.8Scored
118.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)113.1114.4227.4-1.340%
Season at home (17)112.5112.3224.8+0.247%
Season away (13)113.8117.1230.8-3.331%
Last 10 (10)116.8118.1234.9-1.330%
Last 5 (5)116.0112.2228.2+3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)111.5116.0227.4-4.533%
vs Similar (9)116.8110.7227.4+6.156%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +6.6+6.6Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -0.3-0.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +6.6+6.6Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -0.3-0.3
Boston CelticsToronto Raptors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#5
W
74-65
74
65
+9
H09/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
L
59-60
59
60
-1
H13/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
W
65-54
65
54
+11
H15/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
64-51
64
51
+13
H16/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
61-50
61
50
+11
H17/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
W
65-62
65
62
+3
A20/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
W
74-66
74
66
+8
A21/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
68-51
68
51
+17
A23/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
58-57
58
57
+1
A25/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
L
47-66
47
66
-19
H29/12
NBA
121.7Avg total
63.5Scored
58.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)62.155.1117.3+7.077%-
Last 30 at home (16)62.155.5117.6+6.669%-
Last 30 away (14)62.254.7116.9+7.586%-
Last 10 (10)63.558.2121.7+5.380%-
Last 5 (5)62.460.4122.8+2.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)62.155.1117.3+7.077%-
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toronto RaptorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#18
W
66-64
66
64
+2
H07/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
L
54-66
54
66
-12
A09/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
L
60-66
60
66
-6
A12/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
L
64-66
64
66
-2
H14/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
L
49-59
49
59
-10
H16/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
L
48-52
48
52
-4
H19/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
L
44-61
44
61
-17
H21/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
L
58-61
58
61
-3
A23/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
W
71-55
71
55
+16
H24/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
59-50
59
50
+9
A28/12
NBA
117.3Avg total
57.3Scored
60.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.656.4111.0-1.943%-
Last 30 at home (17)56.456.3112.7+0.153%-
Last 30 away (13)52.256.6108.8-4.531%-
Last 10 (10)57.360.0117.3-2.730%-
Last 5 (5)56.055.8111.8+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)55.357.5112.9-2.243%-
vs Similar (9)52.853.9106.7-1.144%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 128.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers51.9 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.829.0
58.2%
54.4%58.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.917.3
39.4%
36.3%51.9
🏀 Free throws21.718.1
83.4%
78.2%18.1
They take 93.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 43.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Toronto Raptorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toronto Raptors: 116.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers65.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.532.8
59.1%
54.4%65.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.211.6
34.9%
36.3%34.8
🏀 Free throws21.816.4
75.2%
78.2%16.4
They take 88.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Boston Celtics
WWWWLWWWWW
Toronto Raptors
WLLLWLWLLL
#1
League position
#25
+13.2
Net rating
-1.3
126.6
Offensive rating
117.3
113.5
Defensive rating
118.6
58.6%
Effective FG%
56.6%
54.8%
Opp. effective FG%
58.2%
10.2%
Turnover %
13.3%
27.8%
Off. rebound %
27.0%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.25
39.4%
3-point %
34.9%
58.3%
Assist %
73.4%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence126.6 · 117.3Defence113.5 · 118.6Shooting58.6% · 56.6%3-point %39.4% · 34.9%Ball care10.2% · 13.3%Off. rebounds27.8% · 27.0%Free throws0.23 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)90% · 30%
■ Boston Celtics   ■ Toronto Raptors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Boston Celtics wins
2
Toronto Raptors wins
DateGameScore
18/11/23Toronto Raptors v Boston Celtics105-108
12/11/23Boston Celtics v Toronto Raptors117-94
07/04/23Boston Celtics v Toronto Raptors121-102
05/04/23Boston Celtics v Toronto Raptors97-93
21/01/23Toronto Raptors v Boston Celtics104-106
06/12/22Toronto Raptors v Boston Celtics110-116
28/03/22Toronto Raptors v Boston Celtics115-112 OT
28/11/21Toronto Raptors v Boston Celtics97-109
11/11/21Boston Celtics v Toronto Raptors104-88
22/10/21Boston Celtics v Toronto Raptors83-115
Boston Celticslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/23HDetroit Pistons128-122 OT
25/12/23ALos Angeles Lakers126-115
23/12/23ALos Angeles Clippers145-108
21/12/23ASacramento Kings144-119
20/12/23AGolden State Warriors126-132 OT
17/12/23HOrlando Magic114-97
16/12/23HOrlando Magic128-111
15/12/23HCleveland Cavaliers116-107
13/12/23HCleveland Cavaliers120-113
09/12/23HNew York Knicks133-123
Toronto Raptorslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/23AWashington Wizards132-102
24/12/23HUtah Jazz119-126
23/12/23APhiladelphia 76ers111-121
21/12/23HDenver Nuggets104-113
19/12/23HCharlotte Hornets114-99
16/12/23HAtlanta Hawks104-125
14/12/23HAtlanta Hawks135-128
12/12/23ANew York Knicks130-136
09/12/23ACharlotte Hornets116-119
07/12/23HMiami Heat103-112

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boston Celtics
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW83%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLWWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %83%100%64%
Points / game120.6123.1118.0
Allowed / game109.9108.1111.8
Point differential+10.7+14.9+6.2
Avg total230.5231.2229.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%60%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)100% (1)50% (6)
Overtime %14%7%21%
Toronto Raptors
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW40%
HomeWLWLL47%
AwayLLLLW31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301713
Win %40%47%31%
Points / game113.1112.5113.8
Allowed / game114.4112.3117.1
Point differential-1.3+0.2-3.3
Avg total227.4224.8230.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%24%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)67% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %7%0%15%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics2924583%120.6109.9+10.7
2 Minnesota Timberwolves3023777%113.4107.4+6.0
3 Milwaukee Bucks2922776%124.7118.8+5.9
4 Philadelphia 76ers3021970%121.6110.6+11.0
5 Denver Nuggets33231070%115.9110.0+5.9
6 Oklahoma City Thunder2920969%121.3113.6+7.7
7 Orlando Magic31191261%113.0110.6+2.4
8 Miami Heat31191261%113.4111.5+1.9
9 Sacramento Kings28171161%117.4117.5-0.1
10 Los Angeles Clippers30181260%116.6112.4+4.2
11 Cleveland Cavaliers31181358%112.1111.8+0.3
12 New Orleans Pelicans30171357%116.1112.3+3.8
13 New York Knicks30171357%114.8112.0+2.8
14 Dallas Mavericks32181456%118.8117.6+1.1
15 Houston Rockets29151452%111.8109.0+2.8
16 Phoenix Suns29151452%115.4114.8+0.6
17 Indiana Pacers28141450%126.2125.4+0.8
18 Los Angeles Lakers30151550%114.3115.7-1.4
19 Golden State Warriors31151648%116.6115.8+0.8
20 Brooklyn Nets32151747%115.8116.1-0.3
21 Chicago Bulls33141942%110.0112.6-2.6
22 Utah Jazz32131941%113.3119.1-5.8
23 Atlanta Hawks30121840%122.3122.8-0.4
24 Toronto Raptors30121840%113.1114.4-1.3
25 Memphis Grizzlies30102033%107.3113.4-6.2
26 Portland Trail Blazers3082227%108.6114.8-6.2
27 Charlotte Hornets2972224%110.3121.0-10.8
28 Washington Wizards3162519%116.4126.0-9.6
29 San Antonio Spurs3052517%111.1122.6-11.5
30 Detroit Pistons312296%109.7121.0-11.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Boston Celtics35333121120
Toronto Raptors20333332118
← all games of the day
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