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Toronto Raptors vs Boston Celtics Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 104-106
27-26 30-24 28-31 19-25
Position#18
Record20-26
FormWLWLL
Points / game112.5
Allowed / game112.5
vs
Position#3
Record34-12
FormWWWWW
Points / game118.8
Allowed / game112.4
USANBA
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Toronto Raptors v Boston Celtics
31 Jan 2027
TOR v BOS
upcoming
11 Nov 2026
TOR v BOS
upcoming
20 Dec 2025
TOR96
BOS112
07 Dec 2025
TOR113
BOS121
25 Feb 2025
TOR101
BOS111
15 Jan 2025
TOR110
BOS97
15 Jan 2024
TOR96
BOS105
17 Nov 2023
TOR105
BOS108
21 Jan 2023
TOR104
BOS106
05 Dec 2022
TOR110
BOS116
28 Mar 2022
TOR115
BOS112
28 Nov 2021
TOR97
BOS109
04 Jan 2021
TOR114
BOS126
11 Sep 2020
TOR87
BOS92
07 Sep 2020
TOR89
BOS111
01 Sep 2020
TOR99
BOS102
30 Aug 2020
TOR94
BOS112
07 Aug 2020
TOR100
BOS122
25 Dec 2019
TOR102
BOS118
26 Feb 2019
TOR118
BOS95
19 Oct 2018
TOR113
BOS101
04 Apr 2018
TOR96
BOS78
06 Feb 2018
TOR111
BOS91
24 Feb 2017
TOR107
BOS97
10 Jan 2017
TOR114
BOS106
18 Mar 2016
TOR105
BOS91
20 Jan 2016
TOR115
BOS109
04 Apr 2015
TOR116
BOS117
10 Jan 2015
TOR109
BOS96
28 Mar 2014
TOR105
BOS103
30 Oct 2013
TOR93
BOS87
17 Apr 2013
TOR114
BOS90
06 Feb 2013
TOR95
BOS99
13 Apr 2012
TOR84
BOS79
10 Feb 2012
TOR86
BOS74
18 Dec 2011
TOR75
BOS76
02 Jan 2011
TOR79
BOS93
21 Nov 2010
TOR102
BOS101
07 Apr 2010
TOR104
BOS115
10 Jan 2010
TOR107
BOS114
11 Jan 2009
TOR88
BOS94
23 Nov 2008
TOR103
BOS118
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toronto Raptors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Boston Celtics winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Toronto RaptorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRaptors
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#24
L
114-122
114
122
-8
101avg 100
A03/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
101-104 OT
101
104
-3
72avg 100
H05/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
L
108-112
108
112
-4
100avg 100
H07/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
W
117-105
117
105
+12
106avg 100
H08/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
W
132-120
132
120
+12
131avg 100
H11/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
W
124-114
124
114
+10
117avg 100
H13/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#16
L
103-114
103
114
-11
89avg 100
H15/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
W
123-121 OT
123
121
+2
108avg 100
A16/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
122-130
122
130
-8
105avg 100
A18/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
L
126-128
126
128
-2
118avg 100
A20/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-29
24-37
33-25
24-31
12-13
26-26
21-24
38-34
26-30
21-27
31-24
30-31
34-27
24-26
31-21
28-31
35-34
37-32
24-28
36-26
38-29
31-26
28-33
27-26
25-34
32-35
22-27
24-18
29-25
27-34
25-28
29-23
34-44
40-23
23-38
25-25
37-31
39-35
33-35
17-27
234.0Avg total
117.0Scored
117.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (46)112.5112.5225.0+0.143%
Season at home (25)112.9111.0223.9+2.056%
Season away (21)112.1114.3226.4-2.229%
Last 10 (10)117.0117.0234.0+0.040%
Last 5 (5)119.6121.4241.0-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)110.0116.0226.0-6.00%
vs Similar (25)111.6114.0225.6-2.532%
vs Weaker (4)121.8115.2237.0+6.575%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
111-123
111
123
-12
106avg 111
A02/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
L
117-150
117
150
-33
108avg 111
A04/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
W
124-95
124
95
+29
126avg 111
A06/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
W
121-116
121
116
+5
113avg 111
A07/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
107-99
107
99
+8
103avg 111
H10/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
125-114
125
114
+11
120avg 111
H12/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
W
109-98
109
98
+11
104avg 111
A13/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
W
122-106
122
106
+16
119avg 111
A15/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
W
130-118
130
118
+12
133avg 111
A16/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
121-118 OT
121
118
+3
106avg 111
H20/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-37
26-25
31-36
26-25
33-34
21-40
37-48
26-28
29-20
35-26
25-19
35-30
33-30
35-27
25-32
28-27
28-25
31-25
25-23
23-26
35-32
29-26
33-27
28-29
29-31
31-26
24-25
25-16
31-34
31-32
33-19
27-21
35-22
31-33
26-31
38-32
25-26
29-29
28-34
24-17
232.4Avg total
118.7Scored
113.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (46)118.8112.4231.2+6.474%
Season at home (23)121.9112.6234.5+9.378%
Season away (23)115.7112.2227.9+3.570%
Last 10 (10)118.7113.7232.4+5.080%
Last 5 (5)121.4110.8232.2+10.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)124.0115.0239.0+9.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)117.4111.8229.2+5.670%
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +2.9+2.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +2.9+2.9
Toronto RaptorsBoston Celtics
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Toronto RaptorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#24
L
57-66
57
66
-9
A03/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H05/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
L
47-57
47
57
-10
H07/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
W
58-53
58
53
+5
H08/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
W
72-66
72
66
+6
H11/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
W
69-55
69
55
+14
H13/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#16
L
57-69
57
69
-12
H15/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
L
56-59
56
59
-3
A16/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
W
74-67
74
67
+7
A18/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
76-66
76
66
+10
A20/01
NBA
120.1Avg total
60.4Scored
59.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.557.3114.8+0.253%-
Last 30 at home (18)56.954.7111.6+2.261%-
Last 30 away (12)58.461.3119.8-2.942%-
Last 10 (10)60.459.7120.1+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)66.463.2129.6+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)62.056.0118.0+6.0100%-
vs Similar (25)56.357.0113.2-0.748%-
vs Weaker (4)64.060.0124.0+4.075%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
54-62
54
62
-8
A02/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
L
54-74
54
74
-20
A04/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
W
64-46
64
46
+18
A06/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
W
68-57
68
57
+11
A07/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
59-50
59
50
+9
H10/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
64-58
64
58
+6
H12/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
W
60-57
60
57
+3
A13/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
L
62-66
62
66
-4
A15/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
W
66-55
66
55
+11
A16/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
54-55
54
55
-1
H20/01
NBA
118.5Avg total
60.5Scored
58.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.057.0117.0+3.160%-
Last 30 at home (16)60.156.3116.4+3.869%-
Last 30 away (14)60.057.7117.7+2.350%-
Last 10 (10)60.558.0118.5+2.560%-
Last 5 (5)61.258.2119.4+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)60.061.7121.7-1.767%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)60.056.4116.5+3.659%-
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toronto Raptorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toronto Raptors: 117.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws23.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.028.6
50.2%
54.5%57.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.612.2
34.3%
35.8%36.6
🏀 Free throws29.523.2
78.6%
78.1%23.2
They take 92.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 118.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.428.2
56.0%
54.5%56.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.814.2
34.8%
35.8%42.6
🏀 Free throws23.519.7
83.8%
78.1%19.7
They take 91.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 40.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Toronto Raptors
LLWLWWWLLL
Boston Celtics
WWWWWWWWLL
#18
League position
#3
+0.0
Net rating
+4.9
114.5
Offensive rating
116.4
114.5
Defensive rating
111.5
50.6%
Effective FG%
54.3%
56.1%
Opp. effective FG%
54.7%
9.7%
Turnover %
11.9%
26.5%
Off. rebound %
26.1%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.26
34.3%
3-point %
34.8%
61.3%
Assist %
66.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence114.5 · 116.4Defence114.5 · 111.5Shooting50.6% · 54.3%3-point %34.3% · 34.8%Ball care9.7% · 11.9%Off. rebounds26.5% · 26.1%Free throws0.32 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Toronto Raptors   ■ Boston Celtics
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Toronto Raptors wins
7
Boston Celtics wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/23AMinnesota Timberwolves126-128
18/01/23AMilwaukee Bucks122-130
16/01/23ANew York Knicks123-121 OT
15/01/23HAtlanta Hawks103-114
13/01/23HCharlotte Hornets124-114
11/01/23HCharlotte Hornets132-120
08/01/23HPortland Trail Blazers117-105
07/01/23HNew York Knicks108-112
05/01/23HMilwaukee Bucks101-104 OT
03/01/23AIndiana Pacers114-122
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/23HGolden State Warriors121-118 OT
16/01/23ACharlotte Hornets130-118
15/01/23ACharlotte Hornets122-106
13/01/23ABrooklyn Nets109-98
12/01/23HNew Orleans Pelicans125-114
10/01/23HChicago Bulls107-99
07/01/23ASan Antonio Spurs121-116
06/01/23ADallas Mavericks124-95
04/01/23AOklahoma City Thunder117-150
02/01/23ADenver Nuggets111-123

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toronto Raptors
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL43%
HomeLWWWL56%
AwayWLWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games462521
Win %43%56%29%
Points / game112.5112.9112.1
Allowed / game112.5111.0114.3
Point differential+0.1+2.0-2.2
Avg total225.0223.9226.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%32%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won27% (15)33% (6)22% (9)
Overtime %9%4%14%
Boston Celtics
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW74%
HomeWWWWW78%
AwayWWWWW70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games462323
Win %74%78%70%
Points / game118.8121.9115.7
Allowed / game112.4112.6112.2
Point differential+6.4+9.3+3.5
Avg total231.2234.5227.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%48%35%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)50% (6)75% (4)
Overtime %11%13%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics46341274%118.8112.4+6.4
2 Denver Nuggets46331372%117.6113.1+4.5
3 Memphis Grizzlies45311469%117.6111.9+5.7
4 Philadelphia 76ers45291664%113.7109.8+3.9
5 Milwaukee Bucks45291664%112.6111.3+1.3
6 Brooklyn Nets45281762%113.6110.5+3.0
7 Cleveland Cavaliers47281960%111.6107.4+4.3
8 Sacramento Kings44261859%119.8116.8+3.0
9 New Orleans Pelicans46262057%116.4113.7+2.7
10 New York Knicks47252253%114.3112.0+2.3
11 Dallas Mavericks47252253%112.9112.2+0.7
12 Miami Heat47252253%108.8108.7+0.1
13 Atlanta Hawks46242252%115.9116.2-0.2
14 Golden State Warriors46232350%117.6117.9-0.3
15 Los Angeles Clippers48242450%109.7110.8-1.1
16 Utah Jazz49242549%117.5116.6+0.9
17 Minnesota Timberwolves47232449%115.4115.8-0.4
18 Indiana Pacers47232449%115.2116.9-1.7
19 Oklahoma City Thunder46222448%116.9115.9+1.0
20 Phoenix Suns46222448%112.7112.2+0.5
21 Portland Trail Blazers45212447%112.9112.6+0.3
22 Chicago Bulls45212447%114.8115.0-0.2
23 Los Angeles Lakers46212546%117.0118.1-1.1
24 Toronto Raptors46202643%112.5112.5+0.1
25 Washington Wizards45192642%111.9113.2-1.3
26 Orlando Magic45172838%110.8114.2-3.4
27 San Antonio Spurs46143230%112.8121.4-8.7
28 Charlotte Hornets46123426%112.4118.9-6.5
29 Detroit Pistons48123625%112.0119.6-7.6
30 Houston Rockets45103522%109.8117.6-7.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Toronto Raptors27302819104
Boston Celtics26243125106
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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