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Toronto Raptors vs Boston Celtics Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 16 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 96-105
25-29 30-32 20-23 21-21
Position#25
Record15-24
FormLWLLL
Points / game115.5
Allowed / game117.1
Toronto Raptors
USA
vs
Boston Celtics 🏆
USA
Position#1
Record30-8
FormWLWLW
Points / game121.7
Allowed / game111.4
USANBA· Scotiabank Arena (Toronto)
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Toronto Raptors v Boston Celtics
31 Jan 2027
TOR v BOS
upcoming
11 Nov 2026
TOR v BOS
upcoming
20 Dec 2025
TOR96
BOS112
07 Dec 2025
TOR113
BOS121
25 Feb 2025
TOR101
BOS111
15 Jan 2025
TOR110
BOS97
15 Jan 2024
TOR96
BOS105
17 Nov 2023
TOR105
BOS108
21 Jan 2023
TOR104
BOS106
05 Dec 2022
TOR110
BOS116
28 Mar 2022
TOR115
BOS112
28 Nov 2021
TOR97
BOS109
04 Jan 2021
TOR114
BOS126
11 Sep 2020
TOR87
BOS92
07 Sep 2020
TOR89
BOS111
01 Sep 2020
TOR99
BOS102
30 Aug 2020
TOR94
BOS112
07 Aug 2020
TOR100
BOS122
25 Dec 2019
TOR102
BOS118
26 Feb 2019
TOR118
BOS95
19 Oct 2018
TOR113
BOS101
04 Apr 2018
TOR96
BOS78
06 Feb 2018
TOR111
BOS91
24 Feb 2017
TOR107
BOS97
10 Jan 2017
TOR114
BOS106
18 Mar 2016
TOR105
BOS91
20 Jan 2016
TOR115
BOS109
04 Apr 2015
TOR116
BOS117
10 Jan 2015
TOR109
BOS96
28 Mar 2014
TOR105
BOS103
30 Oct 2013
TOR93
BOS87
17 Apr 2013
TOR114
BOS90
06 Feb 2013
TOR95
BOS99
13 Apr 2012
TOR84
BOS79
10 Feb 2012
TOR86
BOS74
18 Dec 2011
TOR75
BOS76
02 Jan 2011
TOR79
BOS93
21 Nov 2010
TOR102
BOS101
07 Apr 2010
TOR104
BOS115
10 Jan 2010
TOR107
BOS114
11 Jan 2009
TOR88
BOS94
23 Nov 2008
TOR103
BOS118
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toronto Raptors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Boston Celtics winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Toronto RaptorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRaptors
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#29
W
132-102
132
102
+30
143avg 107
A28/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
118-120
118
120
-2
106avg 107
A30/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
L
127-129
127
129
-2
114avg 107
A30/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
W
124-121
124
121
+3
116avg 107
H02/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
116-111
116
111
+5
111avg 107
A04/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
L
130-135
130
135
-5
126avg 107
A06/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
W
133-118
133
118
+15
136avg 107
A08/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
L
131-132
131
132
-1
127avg 107
A10/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
120-126
120
126
-6
119avg 107
A11/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
L
113-145
113
145
-32
99avg 107
A13/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-25
28-25
38-31
35-21
20-35
33-33
33-31
32-21
24-25
20-27
42-38
41-39
41-32
26-27
31-32
26-30
30-29
32-19
31-28
23-35
27-36
30-41
40-30
33-28
36-28
40-21
25-38
32-31
24-28
29-23
36-37
42-44
29-28
28-30
35-33
28-35
25-28
22-36
38-41
28-40
248.3Avg total
124.4Scored
123.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (39)115.5117.1232.6-1.638%
Season at home (18)113.2112.8225.9+0.450%
Season away (21)117.5120.9238.3-3.429%
Last 10 (10)124.4123.9248.3+0.540%
Last 5 (5)125.4131.2256.6-5.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)117.0120.8237.8-3.830%
vs Similar (10)119.3116.6235.9+2.750%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
128-122 OT
128
122
+6
115avg 112
H29/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
W
120-118
120
118
+2
121avg 112
H30/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
134-101
134
101
+33
135avg 112
A01/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
123-127
123
127
-4
120avg 112
A03/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
W
126-97
126
97
+29
121avg 112
H06/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
118-101
118
101
+17
116avg 112
A07/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
L
131-133
131
133
-2
122avg 112
A09/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
127-120 OT
127
120
+7
117avg 112
H11/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#8
L
102-135
102
135
-33
81avg 112
A12/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
145-113
145
113
+32
140avg 112
H14/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-30
20-36
35-16
26-26
35-20
33-33
31-33
21-32
30-22
35-31
40-23
29-25
29-31
32-27
25-40
37-29
30-15
41-25
36-35
19-22
29-17
29-32
26-32
34-20
34-33
34-26
33-44
30-30
32-27
22-26
25-32
32-26
23-41
15-34
32-36
32-24
35-31
34-27
43-28
33-27
242.1Avg total
125.4Scored
116.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)121.7111.4233.1+10.379%
Season at home (19)124.4108.9233.4+15.5100%
Season away (19)118.9113.8232.7+5.258%
Last 10 (10)125.4116.7242.1+8.770%
Last 5 (5)124.6120.4245.0+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)123.0127.0250.0-4.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (29)121.9111.7233.6+10.383%
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +3.2+3.2
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +3.2+3.2
Toronto RaptorsBoston Celtics
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Toronto RaptorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#29
W
59-50
59
50
+9
A28/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
53-68
53
68
-15
A30/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A30/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
W
67-59
67
59
+8
H02/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
62-48
62
48
+14
A04/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
L
57-77
57
77
-20
A06/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
W
76-49
76
49
+27
A08/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
53-51
53
51
+2
A10/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
57-58
57
58
-1
A11/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
L
47-64
47
64
-17
A13/01
NBA
115.1Avg total
57.5Scored
57.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.658.5115.1-1.940%-
Last 30 at home (14)57.058.4115.4-1.443%-
Last 30 away (16)56.258.5114.8-2.238%-
Last 10 (10)57.557.6115.1-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)58.059.8117.8-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)57.860.3118.0-2.540%-
vs Similar (10)54.354.8109.1-0.540%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#30
L
47-66
47
66
-19
H29/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
W
68-53
68
53
+15
H30/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
65-53
65
53
+12
A01/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
W
61-58
61
58
+3
A03/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
W
71-40
71
40
+31
H06/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
58-49
58
49
+9
A07/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
68-59
68
59
+9
A09/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
54-53
54
53
+1
H11/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#8
L
38-75
38
75
-37
A12/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
69-58
69
58
+11
H14/01
NBA
116.3Avg total
59.9Scored
56.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)62.255.6117.9+6.680%-
Last 30 at home (16)63.354.8118.1+8.575%-
Last 30 away (14)61.056.6117.6+4.486%-
Last 10 (10)59.956.4116.3+3.580%-
Last 5 (5)57.458.8116.2-1.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)61.058.0119.0+3.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)62.355.6117.8+6.779%-
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toronto Raptorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toronto Raptors: 124.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.832.0
57.3%
54.4%64.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.114.1
42.6%
36.3%42.3
🏀 Free throws24.318.1
74.5%
78.2%18.1
They take 88.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 125.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers48.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.628.0
55.3%
54.4%56.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.416.0
38.6%
36.3%48.0
🏀 Free throws26.621.4
80.5%
78.2%21.4
They take 92.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 41.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Toronto Raptors
LLLWLWWLLW
Boston Celtics
WLWLWWLWWW
#25
League position
#1
+0.5
Net rating
+8.4
121.1
Offensive rating
120.6
120.6
Defensive rating
112.2
59.8%
Effective FG%
56.5%
57.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
10.8%
Turnover %
11.6%
20.1%
Off. rebound %
24.8%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.29
42.6%
3-point %
38.6%
66.6%
Assist %
59.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence121.1 · 120.6Defence120.6 · 112.2Shooting59.8% · 56.5%3-point %42.6% · 38.6%Ball care10.8% · 11.6%Off. rebounds20.1% · 24.8%Free throws0.27 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Toronto Raptors   ■ Boston Celtics
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Toronto Raptors wins
9
Boston Celtics wins
DateGameScore
30/12/23Boston Celtics v Toronto Raptors120-118
18/11/23Toronto Raptors v Boston Celtics105-108
12/11/23Boston Celtics v Toronto Raptors117-94
07/04/23Boston Celtics v Toronto Raptors121-102
05/04/23Boston Celtics v Toronto Raptors97-93
21/01/23Toronto Raptors v Boston Celtics104-106
06/12/22Toronto Raptors v Boston Celtics110-116
28/03/22Toronto Raptors v Boston Celtics115-112 OT
28/11/21Toronto Raptors v Boston Celtics97-109
11/11/21Boston Celtics v Toronto Raptors104-88
Toronto Raptorslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/24AUtah Jazz113-145
11/01/24ALos Angeles Clippers120-126
10/01/24ALos Angeles Lakers131-132
08/01/24AGolden State Warriors133-118
06/01/24ASacramento Kings130-135
04/01/24AMemphis Grizzlies116-111
02/01/24HCleveland Cavaliers124-121
30/12/23ADetroit Pistons127-129
30/12/23ABoston Celtics118-120
28/12/23AWashington Wizards132-102
Boston Celticslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/24HHouston Rockets145-113
12/01/24AMilwaukee Bucks102-135
11/01/24HMinnesota Timberwolves127-120 OT
09/01/24AIndiana Pacers131-133
07/01/24AIndiana Pacers118-101
06/01/24HUtah Jazz126-97
03/01/24AOklahoma City Thunder123-127
01/01/24ASan Antonio Spurs134-101
30/12/23HToronto Raptors120-118
29/12/23HDetroit Pistons128-122 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toronto Raptors
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL38%
HomeLWLLW50%
AwayLWLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games391821
Win %38%50%29%
Points / game115.5113.2117.5
Allowed / game117.1112.8120.9
Point differential-1.6+0.4-3.4
Avg total232.6225.9238.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%22%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (13)75% (4)22% (9)
Overtime %5%0%10%
Boston Celtics
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW79%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWLL58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games381919
Win %79%100%58%
Points / game121.7124.4118.9
Allowed / game111.4108.9113.8
Point differential+10.3+15.5+5.2
Avg total233.1233.4232.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%58%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)100% (2)38% (8)
Overtime %13%11%16%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics3830879%121.7111.4+10.3
2 Minnesota Timberwolves39281172%113.1107.3+5.8
3 Oklahoma City Thunder38271171%122.5113.4+9.1
4 Milwaukee Bucks38271171%124.6119.7+4.9
5 Denver Nuggets41281368%116.2111.0+5.2
6 Philadelphia 76ers38251366%119.8111.6+8.1
7 Los Angeles Clippers39251464%117.4111.9+5.5
8 Cleveland Cavaliers38231561%113.1110.7+2.3
9 Sacramento Kings38231561%118.2117.5+0.7
10 New Orleans Pelicans39231659%116.9111.4+5.6
11 New York Knicks39231659%114.9110.4+4.5
12 Miami Heat39231659%112.3111.0+1.3
13 Dallas Mavericks41241759%118.7117.1+1.5
14 Indiana Pacers37211657%126.2123.6+2.5
15 Phoenix Suns38211755%116.2114.6+1.6
16 Orlando Magic40221855%112.2111.2+0.9
17 Utah Jazz41212051%116.4118.5-2.1
18 Houston Rockets39192049%112.7111.8+0.9
19 Chicago Bulls42192345%110.1112.4-2.3
20 Golden State Warriors40182245%117.2118.2-1.0
21 Los Angeles Lakers38172145%113.8116.8-3.0
22 Brooklyn Nets38162242%114.6116.4-1.8
23 Atlanta Hawks39162341%121.3123.5-2.1
24 Toronto Raptors39152438%115.5117.1-1.6
25 Memphis Grizzlies40152538%108.2113.2-5.0
26 Portland Trail Blazers39102926%107.3117.1-9.8
27 Charlotte Hornets3782922%108.3120.1-11.8
28 San Antonio Spurs3973218%112.2121.4-9.1
29 Washington Wizards3973218%115.5125.3-9.8
30 Detroit Pistons4043610%111.8122.6-10.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Toronto Raptors2530202196
Boston Celtics29322321105
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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